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Economists from the LSE Centre for Economic Performance found that the UK’s departure from the EU caused a 6 per cent increase in British food prices. ... Read more...
20 July 2022
Britain's cost of living crisis is being made worse by Brexit dragging down the country's growth potential and costing workers hundreds of pounds a year in lost pay, say researchers. The Resolution Foundation thinktank a... Read more...
22 June 2022
Britain’s departure from the EU has damaged its competitiveness and will cut productivity and wages over the next ten years. Instead of the expected effect of narrowly reducing exports to the EU, Brexit has “... Read more...
Thomas Sampson, an associate professor of economics at the London School of Economics who has modelled the effects of Brexit on UK trade, said there was no economic basis for the assertion that cutting EU regulation woul... Read more...
Researchers from the London School of Economics’ Centre for Economic Performance find that a “clear and robust impact of Brexit-induced trade frictions” had led to an increase in prices. ... Read more...
27 April 2022
LSE finds one-third decline in trading relationships under Boris Johnson’s deal – which has hit small firms hardest. ... Read more...
26 April 2022
Findings from the LSE's Centre for Economic Performance chime with warnings from business groups: that smaller firms have struggled to absorb customs controls, VAT and regulatory red tape, with many quitting exporting al... Read more...
Swati Dhingra speaks to the Telegraph about the impact of Covid-19 on attempts to overcome poverty in India, describing how many lower and middle urban workers are having to borrow money to make up for a ... Read more...
24 June 2021
Report by Josh De Lyon and Swati Dhingra finds almost two thirds of businesses have suffered from new EU import and export rules, while one in five companies have found it tougher to trade with ... Read more...
06 May 2021
Warnings of widespread business failure comes in an analysis by the John Van Reenen and Peter Lambert, using the latest Business Insights and Impact survey. ... Read more...
04 May 2021
Thomas Sampson, associate economics professor at the London School of Economics, has predicted a 36 per cent fall in exports to the EU over the next decade. He said it was too early to claim that economists... Read more...
13 February 2021
The final report of the LSE Economic Diplomacy Commission, which proposes a framework for the UK’s trade agenda that seeks to balance commercial openness with strategic domestic and foreign policy aims, ... Read more...
09 February 2021
In a recent working paper, Chad Bown, Paola Conconi, Aksel Erbahar and Lorenzo Trimarchi calculate the higher cost of imported inputs caused by those tariffs leveled at China caused the U.S. economy to create ... Read more...
08 February 2021
Study into trade concludes that the costs of Scottish independence would be two to three times greater than the impact from Brexit, and that joining the European Union would do little to offset that cost. ... Read more...
03 February 2021
Trade barriers with the rest of the UK would deal a hit to the Scottish economy far greater than Brexit, warns report by Hanwei Huang, Thomas Sampson and Patrick Schneider. ... Read more...
Study by Hanwei Huang, Thomas Sampson and Patrick Schneider concludes independence would hit the Scottish economy harder than Brexit because Scotland’s trade with the rest of the UK is around f... Read more...
Academics from the LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance say the economic costs of independence are two or three times greater than Brexit due to the volume of Scotland’s trade with the rest of the... Read more...
Independence from the UK would cost Scotland’s economy up to three times as much in lost trade as Brexit will, according to analysis by the London School of Economics’ Centre for Economic Performan... Read more...
Independence would damage Scotland’s economy and leave the country “considerably poorer” than staying inside the UK, according to a study by economists Hanwei Huang, Thomas Sampson ... Read more...
Economists say impact of leaving UK’s common market would hit two to three times as hard as leaving EU. ... Read more...
Research by Thomas Sampson suggests UK exports to the EU may fall by over a third, and income per capita is forecast to fall by 6 per cent – just 2 per cent less than under a no-deal departure. ... Read more...
15 January 2021
A report by the Centre for Economic Performance found that seven in 10 firms “expect a no-deal Brexit to negatively impact their business”, adding that the consequences of no deal are "se... Read more...
07 December 2020
Two Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) associates are members of a new expert trade panel set up to support UK trade negotiations. The Department for International Trade (DIT) has said that Professor Tony Venables, B... Read more...
30 September 2020
Sectors unscathed from coronavirus crisis face being severely affected by Brexit, finds a report from Dr Swati Dhingra and Josh De Lyon. ... Read more...
28 July 2020
Interview with Swati Dhingra - industries that have weathered Covid could be hit by Brexit. ... Read more...
14 July 2020
In India, the pandemic reportedly tripled the unemployment rate in just three weeks, and the vast majority of those newly unemployed worked were in the informal sector. The government respo... Read more...
Real-time survey data shows that 50% of companies had a lower volume of business in April, and the situation is expected to get worse over the next three months, write Swati Dhingra and Josh De Lyon. ... Read more...
07 May 2020
05 May 2020
Trade recovered quickly after 2008 because the collapse wasn't long enough for firms to dismantle their portfolios, writes Giordano Mion. ... Read more...
29 April 2020
How hoax information on social media about covid-19 might be worsening the pandemic. ... Read more...
24 April 2020
Research showing that when people are forced to change their behaviour, some find a better way of doing things. Published 2015. ... Read more...
17 April 2020
An investigation of the determinants of trade collapse in Belgium in 2008-09. The paper highlights the extent to which firms factor in sunk costs. Published 2010. ... Read more...
A selection of comments from academics, journalists and other experts on the crisis facing many countries across Europe. ... Read more...
20 March 2020
While the 2020 Budget offers an overall adequate response to the challenges currently posed by coronavirus, there are three issues that need to be addressed further, especially as the outbreak becomes more wid... Read more...
12 March 2020
Carrying out Brexit will not improve the UK's struggling economy but will usher in years more uncertainty about Britain's trading relationships, a new report has said. The hard Brexit that Prime Minister Boris J... Read more...
26 November 2019
Congratulations to Dr Swati Dhingra, associate professor of economics at the Centre for Economic Performance, who has won the People's Choice Award at the ONS research excellence awards 2019. The ONS's research excell... Read more...
04 November 2019
A new research paper from the U.S. Federal Reserve Board suggests the record is not all negative - as you might actually expect, given that China's success in penetrating the U.S. market was not imposed on Americans but ... Read more...
31 October 2019
Thomas Sampson If Brexit is a divorce, then Northern Ireland is a child at the centre of a messy custody fight. The new Brexit deal seeks to solve the Irish border problem through joint custody. Whether Northern Ireland... Read more...
26 October 2019
The think tank, The UK in a Changing Europe, estimate that these effects will eventually reduce UK GDP per person by around 2.5 per cent, relative to what it would have been were we to stay in the EU. Less trade, however... Read more...
24 October 2019
In a report to be published today by the UK in a Changing Europe think tank, economists say that the prime minister's proposals are likely to end in a "Canada-minus" trade agreement less comprehensive than that between t... Read more...
13 October 2019
The Brexit deal that Boris Johnson, the prime minister, is seeking to strike with Brussels this week would push the UK down the route of a hard Brexit, resulting in the nation missing out on up to 7 per cent of growth, a... Read more...
The Office for National Statistics (ONS) releases its Pink and Blue Books on the balance of payments at the end of October (interestingly the date is later than usual and coincides with the current Brexit departure date)... Read more...
04 October 2019
Some commentators argue that globalisation is systematically connected to the real-wage and productivity stagnation seen across the developed world. This column analyses the relationship between international trade and w... Read more...
01 October 2019
In a context made even more complicated by the situation in Ireland, the economists of the Center for Economic Performance of the LSE underline that the Brexiters also neglect the economic benefits of integration in the ... Read more...
25 September 2019
Another, Swati Dhingra, lecturer in economics at the London School of Economics, said that since the EU referendum, "the number of foreign investments and expansions… are showing disconcerting reductions."... Read more...
23 September 2019
Prof Stephen Machin, at the London School of Economics, says on the decline in membership: "It is not because of getting rid of unions where they are already in place, it is actually the failure to organise new workplace... Read more...
22 September 2019
Prof Stephen Machin at the London School of Economics says on the decline in membership: "It is not because of getting rid of unions where they are already in place, it is actually the failure to organise new workplaces.... Read more...
21 September 2019
On Brexit and the potential future trading options for the UK and the EU27. This interview was part of a larger piece for the 6 o'clock news programme. ... Read more...
17 September 2019
The winners of the 2019 WTO Essay Award for Young Economists are Jan Bakker of Oxford University and Federico Huneeus of Princeton University, who were ranked in equal first place by the Selection Panel. They will share ... Read more...
12 September 2019
A no-deal Brexit means that Britain will revert to WTO rules to trade with the EU and the rest of the world. This means import duties and various controls on trade, which economists at LSE's Centre for Economic Performan... Read more...
Such things occur outside idle thought experiments. Guy Michaels, of the London School of Economics, and Ferdinand Rauch, of the University of Oxford, studied the fortunes of Roman-era towns in Britain and France. When t... Read more...
09 September 2019
Dr Thomas Sampson explains what the immediate impacts of a no-deal will have on UK trade. Professor Thomas Sampson from @CEP_LSE explains what the immediate impacts of a #nodeal will have on UK trade.#Nodealexplain... Read more...
05 September 2019
Although the short-term impact of a no-deal Brexit could be relatively benign, leaving without a deal would prove costly in the long term, a new paper by the UK in a Changing Europe and the London School of Economics' Ce... Read more...
04 September 2019
Research published by the London School of Economics estimated that the spike in inflation that followed the 2016 referendum was costing the average household £7.74 a week - a figure equivalent to £404 a year... Read more...
03 September 2019
LONDON (MNI) - The Bank of England risks substantially underestimating the upward inflationary pressure from sterling's depreciation due its practice of using trade weights to assess the impact of currency movements, a s... Read more...
30 August 2019
QUEST: John Van Reenen is professor of economics at MIT, he says a no-deal Brexit is a battle for the soul of Britain. Why? JOHN VAN REENEN, PROFESSOR OF ECONOMICS, MIT: It's about the soul of Britain. I think today, Bo... Read more...
28 August 2019
Britain is lurching towards an economic, political and moral disaster, writes John Van Reenen.... Read more...
26 August 2019
A large increase in US consumers' purchasing power compensated for trade-related job losses, write <b?Xavier Jaravel and Erick Sager. This blog post appeared first on the LSE USA blog. It's based on 'What are the Pric... Read more...
20 August 2019
A report commissioned by dairy giant Arla and published last year by the London School of Economics makes for sobering reading. In a press release accompanying the release of the report, the MD of the company that commis... Read more...
16 August 2019
As Brexit nears (again), are British firms choosing to invest in the UK or in other European markets? Are European firms investing in the UK to preserve access to its markets? And has "global Britain" got off the drawing... Read more...
When China joined the World Trade Organization in 2001, exports to the US market surged. In new research Xavier Jaravel and Erick Sager find that the rise of lower priced Chinese imports also helped to reduce prices of U... Read more...
14 August 2019
"But all UK households lose from a depreciation that pushes up the cost of imported goods, raising prices in the shops and eroding the real value of their earnings and savings. Research published by the London School of ... Read more...
30 July 2019
Facilitating trade in services, particularly knowledge-intensive ones, requires strong global cities as trade hubs, write Saul Estrin and Daniel Shapiro.... Read more...
25 July 2019
There is an almost complete pass-through of tariffs into prices paid by US importers; consumers pick up the tab, write Mary Amiti, Stephen Redding and David E. Weinstein.... Read more...
24 July 2019
Write David Jacks, Dennis Novy Against the backdrop of new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration and retaliation from targeted countries, notably China, the trade wars of the 1930s have received renewed attention... Read more...
23 July 2019
More than a century ago, the opening of the Panama Canal revolutionized international trade by making it much quicker and easier to travel between the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. But, write Stephan Maurer and Ferdinand ... Read more...
22 July 2019
CEPR Fellow Swati Dhingra, LSE, looks at what Brexit tells us about the contribution of globalisation to the productivity and wage stagnation we see across the developed world. Following the Brexit vote, sterling suffere... Read more...
09 July 2019
By Gianmarco Ottaviano, Professor of Economics, Bocconi University. Originally published at VoxEU... Read more...
03 July 2019
By Gianmarco Ottaviano Economic geography strikes back. After a couple of decades of easy talk about the 'death of distance' in the age of globalisation, the promise of a world of rising living standards for all is inc... Read more...
Tito Boeri interviews Raghuram G. Rajan With industrialized countries beset by a political backlash against trade, technology, migration, and other hallmarks of the modern global economy, expert solutions are needed now... Read more...
28 June 2019
Reaffirming this idea, John Van Reenen, economist at MIT, explained that this division could point to a scenario in which the only one harmed is the global economy. "Given the assault of Trump and the growing band of 'st... Read more...
The slide in sterling since the referendum has pushed up prices without doing much to boost UK exports, while wage growth has lagged behind inflation, the analysis has found. Authors cite estimates by the London School o... Read more...
25 June 2019
Free trade is not necessarily efficient when larger, more productive firms can charge higher markups than smaller, less productive ones, write Antonella Nocco, Gianmarco Ottaviano and Matteo Salto. ... Read more...
24 June 2019
3) In the Fall 2017 issue of the Journal of Economic Perspectives, and Thomas Sampson sums up the research on what is known and what might come next in "Brexit: The Economics of International Disintegration," In turn, I... Read more...
23 June 2019
"One thing is really clear: There has got to be a reset in the world trading system," said Swati Dhingra, an economist at the London School of Economics. "It's all breaking at the seams at this point."... Read more...
21 June 2019
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20 June 2019
The achievements of the Chinese and Vietnamese economies lead to a debate on state capitalism as a viable model of further development. Economists Leonardo Baccini, Giammario Impullitti and Edmund Malesky present on VoxE... Read more...
19 June 2019
In sectors where import prices rose because of the drop in sterling, training and wages for workers fell, the paper said. That could have negative long-term implications for productivity, skills and living standards, iss... Read more...
11 June 2019
UK workers took a hit from the Brexit-related depreciation in the pound in the form of lower wages and training, according to an academic paper. In sectors where import prices rose because of the drop in sterling, train... Read more...
10 June 2019
In a fascinating new paper, economists David Jacks and Dennis Novy argue that today's contentious trade disputes recall what happened during the Great Depression of the 1930s. Led by Great Britain and Germany, competing ... Read more...
09 June 2019
It is harder to quantify the emotional impact of losing a plant where generations of the same families had worked for a century. From the beach, the idle works hulk over the skyline. Research by Sascha Becker, Thiemo Fet... Read more...
06 June 2019
"At the moment, we have not witnessed a wholesale collapse of the modern trading system. This is partially for the fact that policymakers seem to have learned some of the lessons of interwar history by not responding in ... Read more...
Who compromises most in such cases? Generally, size matters: big trading economies are usually in a position to dictate terms to smaller partners. In the words of professor Dennis Novy of the University of Warwick: "Th... Read more...
05 June 2019
The US and the EU may be threatening each other with tariffs, but experts say the trade relationship is balanced. "I find it difficult to understand exactly what the basis is for the US administration's complaints on th... Read more...
04 June 2019
In a fascinating new paper, economists David S. Jacks and Dennis Novy argue that today's contentious trade disputes recall what happened during the Great Depression of the 1930s. Led by Britain and Germany, competing tra... Read more...
The unexpected result of the Brexit referendum, working through the rapid depreciation of sterling, has hurt British workers. Rui Costa, Swati Dhingra and Stephen Machin (LSE) show that the big drop in the value of the p... Read more...
03 June 2019
To help us sort out the prospects of a bilateral trade deal between the U.S. and the U.K. and to look at the historical context, we're joined by Professor Dennis Novy. He's an economist at the University of Warwick. Welc... Read more...
AUDIE CORNISH: One item on the docket for Trump's visit this week - negotiating a potential trade deal between the U.S. and the U.K. to go into effect after the U.K.'s expected departure from the European Union. The nego... Read more...
02 June 2019
Dr Swati Dhingra, assistant professor at the London School of Economics, specialising in globalisation and industrial policy, says there's not enough trained staff to power it. "Compared to other creative or tech-based ... Read more...
20 May 2019
The economic losses from Trump's trade war compound that burden. A study by researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Columbia University and Princeton University found that trade warfare was costing Americans... Read more...
17 May 2019
Distance matters, big time. Moreover, it matters more now than it did a century ago. Thus, another study reveals that the negative effect of distance was larger between 1950 and 2000 than it had been between 1870 and 191... Read more...
16 May 2019
15 May 2019
Research from Mary Amiti of the New York Fed, Stephen Redding of Princeton University and David Weinstein of Columbia University in March found that the "full incidence" of the tariffs has fallen on domestic consumers so... Read more...
14 May 2019
13 May 2019
12 May 2019
10 May 2019
09 May 2019
Brexit affects domestic firms, too. In January Barclays bank received legal approval to move €190bn ($213bn) of assets to Dublin, fearing no-deal. The London School of Economics recently found the Brexit vote had ca... Read more...
19 April 2019
17 April 2019
05 April 2019
04 April 2019
Figure of the week - $1.4bn a month. The hit to US prices and welfare produced by Mr Trump's trade policies in 2018, according to research by Mary Amiti of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Stephen Redding of Princet... Read more...
"How unequal power relations can be, is shown by the example of Turkey, whose customs union with the EU has hitherto been limited to industrial products. If the EU lowers the industrial tariffs for a particular trading p... Read more...
One of the first major trade expansions in human history provides early evidence that trade promotes growth, write Jan David Bakker, Stephan Maurer, Jorn-Steffen Pischke and Ferdinand Rauch. ... Read more...
The value of the British pound is ten percent lower than in 2016. A study by the Center for Economic Performance estimated that increased inflation had cost an average household an estimated weekly wage all the first yea... Read more...
Snippet: ...according to a study by the London School of Economics British companies have delivered almost 11 billion dollars worth of new investment away from Britain through the EU since the Brexit vote so UK firms hik... Read more...
01 April 2019
Snippet: ...A fall in the pound increases the costs of UK imports, and in the year after the vote consumer prices rose rapidly. Analysis from 2017 by researchers at the Centre for Economic Performance estimated that the ... Read more...
Snippet: ... so what does the investment picture look like in the UK since the referendum in June 20 16th government figures show that last year business investment fell slightly by 0.4% to around 247 billion dollars acc... Read more...
27 March 2019
...13, Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics.... Read more...
26 March 2019
Evidence of the UK's economic performance since the EU Referendum is clear: GDP growth has slowed down, productivity has suffered, the pound has depreciated and purchasing power has gone down, and investments have declin... Read more...
21 March 2019
Despite calls to 'take back control' the economic reality is that tariffs will be determined by the 'bound rates' that the UK already has in place under the WTO and, ultimately, no tariff regime will make up for loss of ... Read more...
20 March 2019
If, in spite of all this, the government manages to negotiate a trade agreement with the EU, what will be the economic and political consequences for the UK? Will it all be worthwhile in the end? A good guide to the econ... Read more...
12 March 2019
What we're reading Political Quarterly is continuing its excellent series on Britain and Brexit. This week Swati Dhingra examined what a post-Brexit trade policy could look like while Duncan Weldon asked if Brexit really... Read more...
10 March 2019
Ben Chu, Economics Editor of BBC Newsnight, showed a graph on FDI outflows from the UK (actual vs. expected) on BBC2 Newsnight on 07 March 2019. This graph is taken from CEP Brexit Analysis No. 13, Figure 2. 19:20min ... Read more...
07 March 2019
06 March 2019
05 March 2019
The United Kingdom is one of the most open economies in the world. Its exports and imports were over £600 billion (30 per cent of UK GDP) each last year. It is 'extremely open' from an investment perspective, both its o... Read more...
04 March 2019
03 March 2019
02 March 2019
"Moving companies to Dublin does not turn Dublin into London," says Swati Dhingra, an economist at the London School of Economics. "The dispersal—to Paris, Munich, wherever—means that nobody will inherit the conglome... Read more...
21 February 2019
UK companies have increased their investments into the EU by $10.73bn due to Brexit uncertainty diverting investment from the domestic market, says a recent study from the London School of Economics' (LSE) Centre for Eco... Read more...
According to the Centre for Economic Performance, a research institute, a no-deal Brexit would lower Britain's trade with the EU by two-fifths over ten years. BREXIT Papers & Analyses from the CEP.... Read more...
17 February 2019
The increase in outward investments is entirely driven by the services sector, as Brexit negotiations have prioritised manufacturing - by Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson. ... Read more...
16 February 2019
The referendum result led to a 12 percent increase in foreign direct investment transactions from Britain into the EU between mid-2016 and September 2018, researchers from the London School of Economics' Centre for Econo... Read more...
12 February 2019
Media reports suggest that some UK firms have started to move production abroad in anticipation of Brexit. Using data on announcements of new foreign investment transactions, this column reports evidence that the Brexit ... Read more...
Dennis Novy, one of the report's authors, told CNBC: "The economic risk of Brexit is larger on the UK side of the Channel.... Read more...
A study published this morning by the Centre for Economic Performance at the LSE dissects how foreign investment has changed behaviour since the referendum. According to the LSE researchers, UK firms appear to have star... Read more...
Are firms moving investment abroad because of Brexit? Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson (LSE) use a 'doppelganger method' to estimate how foreign direct investment would have evolved without... Read more...
11 February 2019
A study conducted by academics from the London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) looked into how the vote to leave the EU has affected outward investment by U.K. companies. ... Read more...
Mention of CEP report showing British firms investing outside of the UK because of Brexit. ... Read more...
Klaus Desmet, David Krisztian Nagy, Dzhamilya Nigmatulina, Nathaniel Young The economic geography of transition economies has changed dramatically over the last quarter century, with large urban areas growing fast and ... Read more...
04 February 2019
Snippet: ...ther revolutionary thing called Brexit the EU has always been a unique experiment and shared sovereignty and no-one has ever tried to leave before well apart from Greenland sort of in 1985 Professor Swati Dhi... Read more...
The Centre for Economic Performance estimates that the long-term impact of no deal on Ireland is almost as bad as for the UK. But, locked inside the EU, it cannot subsidise industries or change tariff schedules and its c... Read more...
Ireland has a more intractable problem, however. The Centre for Economic Performance estimates that the long-term impact of no deal on Ireland is almost as bad as for the UK. But, locked inside the EU, it cannot subsidis... Read more...
02 February 2019
But economists at the LSE argue that Mr Minford made no allowance for differences in quality among the manufactured goods being considered (Economists for Brexit: A Critique, Thomas Sampson, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Otta... Read more...
18 January 2019
Thomas Sampson, a London School of Economics scholar, detects a wider global meaning in Brexit. "The period since world war II has been marked by growing economic and cultural globalisation and, in Europe, increasing pol... Read more...
08 January 2019
Swati Dhingra, associate professor, LSE Slowdown like earlier, low GDP growth relative to other OECD countries. Dampening of investments. Hard to predict numbers here because short-term forecasts are not the most relia... Read more...
02 January 2019
Snippet: ...poll. Everyday dairy products such as butter, yoghurt and cheese could become luxury items in Britain after Brexit, with price rises being caused by the slightest delay in the journey from farm to ... Read more...
08 December 2018
Parliament should vote down Theresa May's Brexit deal on Tuesday. John Van Reenen (MIT/LSE) writes that while the argument for remaining in the EU is fundamentally moral and political, and not economic, it is important f... Read more...
07 December 2018
"We see a lost generation," said Swati Dhingra, an economist at the London School of Economics. "There was already wage stagnation and productivity stagnation. The trade war has exacerbated all of that."... Read more...
01 December 2018
Swati Dhingra discusses trade policy and Brexit. ... Read more...
30 November 2018
Both the deal on offer and trading on WTO terms would reduce UK living standards compared to staying in the EU, write Thomas Sampson and Swati Dhingra.... Read more...
29 November 2018
What will the economic impact of Theresa May's deal be? And how does it compare to the no-deal scenario?The LSE's Centre for Economic Performance, in association with The UK in a Changing Europe, has modelled both scenar... Read more...
We at The UK in a Changing Europe, working with the Centre for Economic Performance at the LSE and the Institute for Fiscal Studies, have reached similar findings, modelling specifically for how the prime minister's Brex... Read more...
You wait for months for an analysis of the economic impacts of Brexit, and then three come along at once. But, in contrast to the public perception that economists can't agree on even the most basic questions, like wheth... Read more...
28 November 2018
Experts at the Centre for Economic Performance at LSE, King's College London and the IFS also released research today on the economic and fiscal consequences of Brexit. They estimate that the Brexit deal negotiated by th... Read more...
27 November 2018
Research by the London School of Economics Centre for Economic Performance, King's College London and the Institute for Fiscal Studies added a no-deal Brexit could hit GDP by as much as 8.7%. ... Read more...
The economic consequences of the Brexit deal New research by experts at the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, King's College London and the Institute for Fiscal Studies has modelled the e... Read more...
The economic modelling in the report covers trade and migration. For trade, researchers at LSE's entre for Economic Performance used a state-of-the-art model of global trade. They assumed that the deal means that the UK ... Read more...
Undertaken by a consortium of academics and think-tanks, from King's College London, the Centre for Economic Performance and the Institute for Fiscal Studies, the study was funded by the government's Economic and Social ... Read more...
The PM's Brexit deal could leave the economy as much as 5.5% smaller in a decade's time than it would be if the UK stayed in the EU, a study has said. And the cost to the public finances could be as much as 1.8% of GDP,... Read more...
The Brexit deal could leave the economy up to 5.5 per cent smaller in ten ... per cent, says the London School of Economics entre for Economic Performance, … ... Read more...
26 November 2018
Savings on the U.K.'s contributions to the EU budget would make up only a fraction of the potential damage to the economy, according to the joint paper by the Centre for Economic Performance and academic think tank The U... Read more...
The report, The economic consquences for the Brexit deal, was carried out by the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, Kings College London and the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS). This co... Read more...
The OECD estimated before the referendum that a WTO Brexit could cost the UK up to 5.1 percent of GDP over 15 years. A study by the London School of Economics estimated a 9.5 per cent hit. ... Read more...
20 July 2018
Dr Swati Dhingra interviewed, talking about CEOs' meeting with President Trump and the importance of the trading relationship between the US and the UK, particularly given the prospect of a post-Brexit tra... Read more...
12 July 2018
Article by Natalie Chen and Dennis Novy. Currency unions usually go hand in hand with deeper economic integration. But does that automatically mean more international trade? This column shows that since the en... Read more...
09 July 2018
A detailed assessment of what the government must address in its Brexit white paper has been carried out by academic think tank The UK in a Changing Europe. The report – The Brexit w... Read more...
2 years on from the UK’s referendum vote to leave the EU, substantial questions about the path to Brexit remain. In this special edition of Vox Talks, Tim Phillips talks to Swati Dhingra, Karl Whelan, an... Read more...
29 June 2018
Many businesses “are going to think very hard before choosing the U.K. if they don’t know whether it will be part of the integrated market” of the European Union, said Thomas Sampson, a lectu... Read more...
22 June 2018
Dennis Novy gave a live TV interview o n Al Jazeera on the latest US/China/EU trade disputes. Dennis discussed the economic effects of tariffs on consumers, as well as the potential consequences for the i... Read more...
03 June 2018
“If Jeremy Corbyn fails to back this and lets Theresa May drag us out of the Single Market our party will be abandoning workers in Aberdeen, Inverness and towns and cities across Scotland. That... Read more...
29 May 2018
Addressing hardships requires both redistribution and regulation, writes Swati Dhingra of the London School of Economics Workers remain exposed to hardship from changes in their economic environment. Man... Read more...
28 May 2018
THE LUDICROUS customs partnership arrangement preferred by Remainers as a solution to the Ireland border post-Brexit has been torn apart by a London based think thank who have argued the plan is almo... Read more...
27 May 2018
M-RCBG Associate Working Paper No. 89, Peter Sands, Ed Balls, Mehek Sethi, Eleanor Hallam, Sebastian Leape, Nyasha Weinberg, 2018. Paper interviewed and quotes Nikhil Datta, Swati Dhingra and Dennis Novy ... Read more...
15 May 2018
Economists Scott Baker, Nicholas Bloom and Steven Davis —authors of the study that measured Depression-era uncertainty—have found that economic uncertainty related to trade this March was more than... Read more...
10 May 2018
Article by Philippe Aghion and Beneficte Berner: French President Emmanuel Macron was elected with a clear mandate to reform the French economy, and he has not hesitated to target politically sensit... Read more...
08 May 2018
An interview with John Van Reenen of MIT. The Economist: At its most basic level, what is free trade? John Van Reenen: Free trade means allowing good and services to move as freely as possible across dif... Read more...
04 May 2018
America’s patents and research spending have soared alongside its trade deficit with China. Article in the Economist refers to the research paper ‘ Related publications Trade Induced Te... Read more...
03 May 2018
…Ex-Tory Cabinet Minister Chris Patten said he was a “caricature” with no idea about trade deals. Brexit may cost us £1,700 a year each, says the London School of Economics. ... Read more...
28 March 2018
Disruption to trade caused by Brexit could cost the average Briton as much as £1,700 a year, with Remain-backing areas bearing the brunt, a report has claimed. The research suggested many of the worst-af... Read more...
27 March 2018
The telegraph was the Victorian equivalent of today’s ‘big data’, helping firms to forecast future demand, writes Claudia Steinwender. How do exporters gather information about overseas... Read more...
20 March 2018
In this blog, Josh De Lyon (LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance) discusses some of the concerns with the economic forecasts of the effects of Brexit and suggests that the available reports are inf... Read more...
13 March 2018
Article by Giuseppe Berlingieri, Holger Breinlich and Swati Dhingra: There has been a surge in the number of trade agreements over the past two decades. This column investigates the impact of trade agree... Read more...
12 March 2018
Opinion – Letters to the Editor: Alastair Hamilton must acknowledge Brexit realities Writing in the Huffington Post Invest NI chief executive Alastair Hamilton has described the concern that Brexit... Read more...
07 March 2018
Even customs duties, which will help US companies in the short term, can be detrimental in the long run. This protection of the domestic market can lead to a decline in qualitative competitiveness. In this con... Read more...
06 March 2018
Using tariffs to restore American competitiveness could easily backfire. If U.S. companies can hunker behind trade barriers and sell to a captive market, many will lose their edge. Research by economists Nicho... Read more...
05 March 2018
03 March 2018
That’s helped to boost growth and employment, but now it means that regions like the north east are vulnerable to any increase in barriers to trade, as demonstrated by recent research at the University o... Read more...
02 March 2018
As March 2019 draws closer, the UK government remains divided over the type of trade relationship it wants to achieve in the ongoing negotiations with the EU. Paola Conconi (ULB/LSE) explains why Japanese... Read more...
28 February 2018
Last week’s highlights - Assessing the impact assessments - Almost all of the interesting results you get out of modelling Brexit are down to the judgments and assumptions you put in, said Robert Chote, ... Read more...
11 February 2018
Business groups rule the global economy. Data show that about 70% of the global international trade is linked to multinational groups and about a third is linked to companies belonging to the same multinationa... Read more...
09 February 2018
Moreover, when we consider these findings in light of research published last July by Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance, which suggested that Aberdeen’s economy would be hit harde... Read more...
An authoritative report last year by a team under MIT trade expert John Van Reenen for the Centre for Economic Performance estimated that a WTO option would cut British living standards by 2.7pc over time... Read more...
01 February 2018
The intervention in the Brexit debate by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) this week, coming out in support of Britain remaining in a customs union, is timely. ... The idea that a UK free to negotiat... Read more...
26 January 2018
…nearly six years. The Centre for Economic Performance says that the vote has cost the … ... Read more...
25 January 2018
With the UK due to leave the EU at 11pm on 29 March 2019, countries on both sides of the channel are figuring out what Brexit will mean for their economies. We speak to Panmure Gordon’s David B... Read more...
19 January 2018
Type: Broadcast Mention of LSE report which said that Aberdeen would be the UK city worst hit by a hard Brexit. ... Read more...
15 January 2018
Mention of LSE report which found Aberdeen would be worst hit by a hard Brexit. ... Read more...
A no-deal Brexit would leave Britain’s economy diminished and its people poorer. That is the conclusion of the economic forecast commissioned by the mayor of London, Sadiq Khan from Cambridge Econometric... Read more...
11 January 2018
The average British household is already worse off than it was before the Brexit vote. Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson discuss how much of the rise in inflation is due to Brexit. Higher prices are costing the a... Read more...
08 January 2018
According to the calculations of the Center for Economic Performance (CEP), Brexit will significantly affect inflation, the national currency rate, as well as the income level of the British and the overall qu... Read more...
07 January 2018
AREPORT written by a Welsh political consultant for a thinktank set up by Tony Blair paints a bleak picture of a post-Brexit future. Dafydd Rees, who has held senior positions with the BBC, Sky and Bloomberg, ... Read more...
05 January 2018
Executive summary: This document sets out some of the key things we have learnt since the referendum. These include: The Office for Budget Responsibility has downgraded UK growth expectations for the ... Read more...
04 January 2018
The following information was released by the Office of Tony Blair: Executive summary The Centre for Economic Performance says that the Brexit vote has cost the average household 404 a year. ... Read more...
03 January 2018
The latest forecasts from major London economic research houses seem to provoke pensive respondents. The renowned London Economics University, a study by the London School of Economics (CEP), has shown that th... Read more...
01 January 2018
The London School of Economics has estimated that failing to agree a trade deal could cost the UK economy up to £430 billion over five years. ... Read more...
Large London think tanks have also drawn attention to the real wage erosion in Great Britain. The recent London-based Economics Research Center (CEP), the London-based Economics University of London, has shown... Read more...
29 December 2017
The recent London-based Economics Research Center (CEP), the London-based Economics University of London, has shown that the unexpected market and real economy shock of the last year's referendum on Britis... Read more...
The recent study of the London School of Economics (CEP) in London has demonstrated with various model calculations that the unexpected market and real economy shock of a British EU member, who won a narrow ma... Read more...
A study published by the Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics says the happiest age in human life, statistically, is 23 and 69 years. Based on data from 23,161 people aged 17 and 8... Read more...
28 December 2017
Brexit analysis from the Centre for Economic Performance recently found that the living standard of every income group in the UK would decrease after Brexit, with those on middle incomes suffering slightly mor... Read more...
22 December 2017
According to a study by the Financial Times, which analyzed a wide range of estimates and predictions, output in the UK is about 0.9% below the potential for remaining in the single market. In a complementary ... Read more...
20 December 2017
As the portal iz.ru wrote, according to calculations for the Center for Economic Performance, each British family will lose up to £404 per year because of Brexit. This is due to rising prices for consume... Read more...
19 December 2017
The possible options for the long-term economic partnership range along a wide spectrum – from a European Economic Area-type broad-based single market access, through a Canada-type free trade agreement, ... Read more...
Everything paletti thus? Not quite. There is a loser, and that means Great Britain. It is becoming increasingly clear that Brexit was not a good idea, at least economically. Thomas Sampson and his colleagues f... Read more...
18 December 2017
Thomas Sampson and colleagues at the London School of Economics have examined the direct effect of sterling’s depreciation since the EU referendum on prices and living standards. With the pound falling a... Read more...
Business investment grew by 1.3 per cent in the third quarter of 2017, this is down almost five-fold against official forecasts for growth drawn up in 2016. This economic downturn after Brexit has already cost... Read more...
FT research shows that the weekly hit to the British economy could be the same £350m that Leave campaigners promised to claw back Thomas Sampson and colleagues at the London School of Economics have e... Read more...
In June 2016, a referendum was held in Britain and the result was to withdraw from the EU. This opens the door to an experiment: what happens when an economy wants to reduce its globalization and lift its ties... Read more...
15 December 2017
In a study of the English Center for Economic Performance, published in late autumn, it is reported that only the fact of voting for England's withdrawal from the European Union has resulted in serious los... Read more...
11 December 2017
Thus, the report for the Center for Economic Performance shows that voting for exit from the EU "was an unforeseen shock for the UK economy," the researchers conclude. "Our results provide convi... Read more...
10 December 2017
… within the next half an hour Mole Valley and Drygate and Banstead among the areas which would be hit hardest by Brexit according to a report by researchers at the London School of Economics say both e... Read more...
08 December 2017
A recent study by LSE said Brexit without a trade deal would cost London over £100bn over five years, while staying in the single market would reduce the losses to some £58bn. ... Read more...
06 December 2017
Snippet:... A recent study by LSE said Brexit without a trade deal would cost London over £100 billion over five years, while staying in the single market would reduce the losses to some £58 billio... Read more...
Article by Thomas Sampson, Dennis Novy, Holger Breinlich and Elsa Leromain Most economists believe that Brexit will be bad for the UK economy in the long-run. But what about the short-term? How ha... Read more...
04 December 2017
Our final #GeekoftheWeek goes to Henry Overman with his NIESR chart looking at the local economic impact of Brexit. ... Read more...
03 December 2017
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance and Centre for Cities estimates the British capital could lose as much as £18 billion in annual revenue and as many as 30,000 jobs, a f... Read more...
01 December 2017
How will your local area be affected by #Brexit? Our final #GeekoftheWeek goes to @HenryOverman with his @NIESRorg chart looking at the local economic impact of Brexit. Peston on Sunday Retweeted ... Read more...
30 November 2017
A report by the London School of Economics’ Centre for Economics Performance earlier this month estimated that the Brexit-related spike in inflation in the UK had already cost the average UK household ar... Read more...
29 November 2017
The report defines a hard Brexit as being on World Trade Organisation (WTO) tariffs with no customs union, and a soft Brexit with the UK staying in a form of customs union and tariffs remaining at zero with a ... Read more...
Alison Thewliss MP (SNP), Shadow SNP spokesman for Cities and Treasury referred to the recent CEP report The Brexit Vote, Inflation and UK Living Standards estimate "that the average household has... Read more...
27 November 2017
Article by Thomas Sampson et al Most economists believe that Brexit will be bad for the UK economy in the long-run. But what about the short-term? How has the referendum affected households in the first yea... Read more...
Article by Henry Overman Much has been written about the impact that Brexit might have on the national economy. We know far less about how that impact might vary across the UK. In a recent paper published i... Read more...
The latest work by economists at the London School of Economics estimates that, if the UK crashes out of the EU with no deal, the impact will be far more severe than the projections in the budget suggested. Th... Read more...
26 November 2017
… Dr Thomas Sampson, who co-authored the Centre for Economic Performance research, said: "Even before Brexit occurs, the increase in inflation caused by the Leave vote has already hurt UK household... Read more...
25 November 2017
Government sources said ministers would this week release sections of assessments into the potential economic impact of Brexit carried out across Whitehall, which until recently they had tried to keep secret. ... Read more...
According to the Center for Economic Performance Research Center (CEP), one of the main consequences of the vote on leaving the European Union was a marked decrease in the quality of life of British subjects. ... Read more...
24 November 2017
However, the regions that are now calling for special rules do not belong to those parts of the country that Brexit is likely to hit particularly hard economically. According to calculations by economists at t... Read more...
... according to new analysis from the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London ... ... Read more...
In the first detailed statistical analysis of how the referendum outcome has affected UK inflation, wages and living standards Thomas Sampson and his team show UK households are paying a high economic price fo... Read more...
The danger is not making a real difference to productivity when the country needs it the most, writes Anna Valero. Budget 2017 began with a bleak assessment of the UK’s growth prospects. For those of us ... Read more...
In support of this statement we can mention a recent investigation by a team of economists from the London School of Economics, directed by Richard Layard. The researchers analyzed data from surveys conducted ... Read more...
23 November 2017
In the referendum on British EU membership last June, a small, 51.9 percent majority of the participants voted out. The study, published on Monday by the prestigious London Economics University at London Schoo... Read more...
A statistical analysis on the consequences of the Brexit vote in the United Kingdom was released on Monday, showing how the referendum outcome has affected inflation and living standards of people across the c... Read more...
Recently, the Center for Economic Performance (CEP), a local research center, recently released a survey according to which every British family, on average, loses 400 pounds sterling per year due to Brexit. ... Read more...
22 November 2017
“One of the guys who pays my wages has decided he’s pulling investment from the UK,” my private fund manager mate tells me on Sunday as we stand on the touchline, watching our kids play rugby... Read more...
Meanwhile, on the home front consumers have been fighting raging price increases thanks to the collapse in the value of the pound. The average household has lost £404 last year according to the Centre fo... Read more...
On 23 June 2016, the UK voted to leave the EU. As soon as the result became clear, sterling depreciated sharply and, since the vote, UK inflation has dramatically increased. How much of the rise in inflat... Read more...
Dr Thomas Sampson, who co-authored the Centre for Economic Performance research, said: “Even before Brexit occurs, the increase in inflation caused by the Leave vote has already hurt UK households. &ldqu... Read more...
20 November 2017
According to research conducted by the UK-based Centre for Economic Performance "By June 2017, the Brexit vote was costing the average household £7.74 per week through ... Read more...
Article by Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson. On 23 June 2016, the UK voted to leave the EU. As soon as the result became clear, sterling depreciated sharply and, since the vote, ... Read more...
The first detailed statistical analysis of how the referendum outcome has affected UK inflation, wages and living standards shows UK households are paying a high economic price for the vote to leave the Europe... Read more...
Snippet: ...e Thank you very much Steve France's reporting for us there in Cardiff and serve loaded of the have been in touch about food prices someone texted me to say food has increased by 5% since June ... Read more...
10 November 2017
Article by Nikhil Datta and Swati Dhingra It’s no secret that the UK is deeply integrated into the European Union. About half of its trade and investment is with the EU and, as a member of the single ... Read more...
09 November 2017
Meanwhile, the risks of Scotland crashing out of the EU without the UK government securing a deal have been revealed in a damning report by the London School of Economics. Figures show that every single part o... Read more...
08 November 2017
Ronnie Cowan, SNP, Inverclyde: A report from the centre for cities and the Centre for economic performance and the London School of Economics said that all cities would schedule increasing cost... Read more...
06 November 2017
With Swati Dhingra, Martin Donnelly and Sam Lowe - Chaired by Soumaya Keynes Trading places: #BrexitTrade conference video: What types of trade barriers are most important for UK firms with an eye ... Read more...
02 November 2017
Another study by the institute examining the regional implications of Brexit concludes that the south around London is likely to be hit particularly hard, as well as the region around Manchester and the south ... Read more...
The LSE economist: the cost of leaving the Union will fluctuate between £200 billion a year in the event of a complete breakdown and 20 billion for the softest solution to the Norwegian. There is no doub... Read more...
Research by the London School of Economics forecasts that even in the event of a Brexit transition deal being struck, the Argyll and Bute economy will shrink by 2 per cent. ... Read more...
31 October 2017
Scotland’s Brexit Secretary Mike Russell told the convention that a report out last week revealed a soft exit from the EU would leave the area £150million worse off, while a “hard, no deal Br... Read more...
Mention of figures from the London School of Economics on the impact of a ‘no-deal’ Brexit on Birmingham’s economy. ... Read more...
29 October 2017
The overall impression in other European capitals is that the British want to have their cake and eat it, by leaving the EU and yet retaining all its advantages, a demand which no EU government is prepared to ... Read more...
28 October 2017
Scottish Secretary David Mundell has told opponents of Brexit to stop bandying about “damning figures” such as an analysis that Aberdeen will be worst hit by the divorce from Brussels. The London S... Read more...
25 October 2017
However, the Department for Exiting the EU recently rejected requests to publish the analysis, arguing that there was a risk of a knock-on effect on national and regional economies . But the Lib Dems have work... Read more...
But the analysis will be shared with the Scottish government, David Davis told a committee of MPs. Mr Davis told the Brexit select committee that publishing the analysis could undermine the national interest. ... Read more...
It is still unclear whether we are heading for a ‘hard’ or ‘soft’ Brexit but, amid calls for a second referendum, it is important that voters are told about the UK Government’s ow... Read more...
Scotland’s biggest cities stand to lose billions of pounds if the UK government fails to secure a Brexit deal, the Liberal Democrats have claimed (Hamish Macdonell writes). The party commissioned analysi... Read more...
24 October 2017
Tory whip writes to every vice-chancellor to ask for syllabus and any online material Academics are accusing a Tory MP and government whip of “McCarthyite” behaviour, after he wrote to all unive... Read more...
‘This paper estimates the welfare effects of Brexit in the medium to long run, focusing on trade and fiscal transfers. We use a standard quantitative general equilibrium trade model with many countries a... Read more...
23 October 2017
Who voted for Brexit? A comprehensive district-level analysis – Sascha O Becker, Thiemo Fetzer and Dennis Novy ‘On 23 June 2016, the British electorate voted to leave the European Union (EU). We... Read more...
Every part of Scotland and the UK as a whole would be affected by a soft Brexit, which would retain access to the single market during a transition period, according to the London School of Economics (LSE). Ho... Read more...
Birmingham would be the second most damaged city in Britain by a hard Brexit, new research has revealed. The city's economy would lose £6.82 billion over five years. The figures, published by the res... Read more...
London boroughs from the suburbs to the City stand to lose billions of pounds from Brexit, new research revealed today. The impact of a “hard” exit without a trade deal would cost the capital&rsquo... Read more...
Newcastle’s economy would shrink by £1.92bn, a fall in economic output of 5%. The figures, published by the respected Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, show how muc... Read more...
Using calculations based on research by the London School of Economics, the Lib Dems say that if the UK exits the EU in March 2019 without a deal, Britain’s economic output in the five years after Brexit... Read more...
22 October 2017
Leaving the EU will cost Britain £430billion over five years if no deal is done, research suggests. Even a “soft” Norway-style Brexit could cost the country £235billion – spa... Read more...
21 October 2017
... Read more...
20 October 2017
Article by Thomas Sampson It is too soon to know whether Brexit will be merely a diversion on the path to greater integration, a sign globalisation has reached its limits, or the start of a new era of prote... Read more...
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance and Centre for Cities estimates the British capital could lose as much as £18 billion ($23.7 billion) in annual revenue and as many as ... Read more...
19 October 2017
A major impediment to clarity has been the weight of advice from what Michael Gove calls ‘organisations with acronyms’ suggesting that a ‘no deal’ on trade will greatly damage the... Read more...
13 October 2017
Letter by Swati Dhingra and Nikhil Datta Martin Sanderson points out that manufacturing accounts for only a small share of the UK workforce, and reasons that it is hardly right to say blue-collar British wo... Read more...
11 October 2017
In the London Review of Books, Swati Dhingra and Nikhil Datta (economists in London) run down all the difficulties facing Britain in withdrawing from the European Union, in an article called “How Not to ... Read more...
10 October 2017
A working group will be set up to prepare Pembrokeshire for the effect of Brexit, following a council vote. The county could lose £35.4m in trade if the United Kingdom opts for a "hard" Brexit,... Read more...
09 October 2017
… Whether post-EU frictionless trade is even possible remains to be seen. In an article in the London Review of Books, Swati Dhingra and Nikhil Datta of the London School of Economics pour cold water on... Read more...
08 October 2017
Brexit will hit Pembrokeshire harder than the Sea Empress disaster, according to a comparison made in a report for Cabinet next week. The Director of Development’s report ahead of an agenda item called &... Read more...
06 October 2017
Dennis Novy, professor of economics at the University of Warwick, said the tariff slapped on Bombardier was ‘designed to completely kill’ the C-Series programme. ‘Trump is telling the rest of... Read more...
29 September 2017
Too many economists have refused to take seriously the idea that Brexit has the potential to provide economic benefits to the UK. Before the referendum, Treasury economists assured the public that a vote to le... Read more...
28 September 2017
Exclusive: Krugman rejects the assertions of Brexiteers that leaving the single market and customs union will ultimately help the UK export more to the rest of the world. A study by economi... Read more...
27 September 2017
Article by Swati Dhingra and Josh De Lyon. On trade, the PM reiterated that the UK would be outside the Single Market and the Customs Union after Brexit. The UK would not pursue off-the-shelf arrangements, lik... Read more...
A study by economists at the London School of Economics has estimated the damage could be as great as 9.5 per cent of GDP if the UK leaves the EU without a free trade deal. Related article ‘Th... Read more...
26 September 2017
Professor of Finance and Economics, Kevin Dowd (Durham University), Professor David Paton (Nottingham University) and Professor David Blake (University of London) discuss how the UK can benefit from a free tra... Read more...
20 September 2017
It’s important to realise that, while Brexit will have an effect on the whole of the UK, it will not be spread evenly around the country. In an attempt to look at the relative winners and losers, the thi... Read more...
19 September 2017
This paper provides information on and/or links to a selection of analysis, comment and statistics on: - Trade negotiations, tariffs and custom duties - Domestic economic policy and public expenditure... Read more...
18 September 2017
Article by Nikhil Datta and Swati Dhingra: About half of Britain’s trade and investment is with the EU, and currently, as members, we implement almost the same standards for products and services. One of... Read more...
13 September 2017
Snippet: ...means goods will be subject to proof-of-origin checks as they cross borders. Research suggests this process adds extra cost on average to the underlying value of the goods, according to Nikhil Datt... Read more...
Earlier in the summer, research from think tank Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics revealed Reading is likely to be one of the areas hit hardest by Brex... Read more...
12 September 2017
The great majority of the economic forecasts have concluded that Brexit will damage the UK economy. In the case of ‘no deal’ between the UK and the EU, the majority view is that the loss of GDP cou... Read more...
08 September 2017
10.1111/twec.12440 ... Read more...
07 September 2017
I've been working with colleagues at the Centre for Economic Performance (Swati Dhingra and Steve Machin) and the Centre for Cities (Naomi Clayton) to take a first look at the local economic impacts of Bre... Read more...
A report by the London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance had suggested Brexit would leave all British cities adversely affected. Related publications ‘Brexit, Trade and the E... Read more...
06 September 2017
The Centre for Economic Performance at London School of Economics has predicted a soft brexit is likely to increase the cost of EU trade by 2%, causing a subsequent 1% fall in British GDP, while a hard Brexit ... Read more...
03 September 2017
Snippet…The Centre for Economic performance says trade would drop 40 per cent over 10 years and incomes would fall 2.6 per cent. Related links CEP BREXIT Analysis series http://cep.lse.ac.uk/BREXI... Read more...
02 September 2017
“NO – Thomas Sampson, assistant professor of economics at the London School of Economics. Economists for Free Trade’s estimate is misleading nonsense. It is based on an economic model that... Read more...
22 August 2017
The LSE quartet – professors Thomas Sampson, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen – do concede that there is, potentially, a very minor boost to going it alone. Their own model... Read more...
21 August 2017
“Compared to an outcome in which the U.K. and the EU traded under WTO terms, there would be benefits for the U.K. to unilaterally liberalizing as it would reduce the cost of imports,” said Thomas S... Read more...
18 August 2017
17 August 2017
Trump's efforts to bring work back to the U.S. could eliminate some jobs that are already here. "Altering NAFTA could fundamentally change the production of the economy — for the U.S., as well a... Read more...
16 August 2017
The British government has issued a document on Tuesday expressing its willingness to ensure both sides have the greatest stability for several years after the Brexite, and at the same time it was time for Lon... Read more...
"Altering NAFTA could fundamentally change the production of the economy — for the U.S., as well as for Mexico — and that will be very disruptive," said Swati Dhingra, an economist at the... Read more...
Dennis Novy gave a live TV interview to CNN (host: Rosemary Church). The topic was the economic impact of Brexit, in particular a potential brain drain from the UK jobs market and the proposed post-Brexit cust... Read more...
THE economies of both Tunbridge Wells and Tonbridge will suffer in the coming years due to Brexit, a new report by the London School of Economics claims. Titled The Local Economic Effects of Brexit, the study ... Read more...
Dr Thomas Sampson of the London School of Economics (LSE) said on Tuesday that the publication of UK government plans for a transition period and regulations after the breit suggests that London wants to speed... Read more...
15 August 2017
Dr Thomas Sampson of the London School of Economics (LSE) said that the publication of the UK government's plans for a transition period and regulations after the breit suggests that London wants to speed ... Read more...
Also, the U.K. paper isn't a negotiating document and presented technical ideas that weren't fully developed and lacked significant detail. The two long-term approaches "are worth exploring fu... Read more...
LONDON -- The U.K. government proposed a far-reaching customs arrangement with the European Union that it said would eliminate the need for border checks on imports and exports after Brexit. The "new cust... Read more...
"Altering Nafta could fundamentally change the production of the economy — for the U.S., as well as for Mexico — and that will be very disruptive," said Swati Dhingra, an economist at... Read more...
The latest concern unfolds this week, as the Trump administration begins to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement, redrawing the terms of commerce with Mexico and Canada. “Altering NAFTA co... Read more...
The Center for Economic Performance estimated that in the case of such a scenario over the decade, trade would have fallen by 40 percent and average income by 2.6 percent. ... Read more...
14 August 2017
A rebalancing is long overdue. “Regional disparities are wider in the UK than other western European countries,” according to the London School of Economics’ Centre for Economic Performance. ... Read more...
12 August 2017
Experts have predicted that Thanet would be the hardest hit area of Kent in a 'soft Brexit' scenario. A new study by the London School of Economics revealed that Thanet could lose £27.2 million &... Read more...
10 August 2017
What if there is no deal? A “very, very bad outcome,” in the words of Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond. The U.K. would regain control of laws, money, immigration and ability to negotia... Read more...
People up and down the country can ill afford for silly season squabbles to distract us from the complexity of Brexit …amidst the summer politicking and parties, a new report by Centre for ... Read more...
Their research found that every local authority would be negatively affected under either scenario but concluded that the economic impact of leaving the single market and customs union would be around twice as... Read more...
06 August 2017
A new report by think tank Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) predicts Worthing will be on the places hit hardest by an expected downturn in trade after the country leaves the... Read more...
New research suggests that Slough will be among the top five UK urban areas to be negatively impacted by Brexit. A report by the London School of Economics Centre for Economic Performance and think tank Centre... Read more...
05 August 2017
Number 10 said on 31 July that it would be “wrong” to suggest that EU free movement to the UK would “continue as it is now” after 2019. But Home Secretary Amber Rudd has said that EU na... Read more...
04 August 2017
A new report put Reading in third place of areas worst hit by a hard Brexit A new report by the think tank Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics reveals... Read more...
02 August 2017
The authors of the report, Naomi Clayton and Professor Henry Overman of the LSE’s Centre For Economic Performance, said: “All British cities are set to be negatively affected as a result of higher ... Read more...
01 August 2017
The London School of Economics has published an analysis of the possible effects of a ‘hard’ and ‘soft’ Brexit on towns and cities all over the country. The report predicts that Swin... Read more...
31 July 2017
Middlesbrough has been singled out as one of the places which could be hardest hit by Brexit. As the debate over the terms of the UK’s exit of the European Union continue to be debated, the potential ... Read more...
30 July 2017
The study by the Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic performance at the London School of Economics found that cities with large high-skilled service sectors, such as business and financial services, ... Read more...
28 July 2017
Smaller cities Crawley and Barnsley are predicted to have the lowest downturn in economic output of either a "hard" or "soft" Brexit, alongside cities like Hull and Wakefield. A new report ... Read more...
Aberdeen and Edinburgh are the cities set to take the biggest financial hit when the United Kingdom leaves the European Union, according to a think tank that predicts a downturn in trade even if ministers stri... Read more...
The impact of Brexit on Aberdeen’s economy will not be as bad as predicted, according to junior Brexit minister Robin Walker. Mr Walker was responding to a bombshell report from the Centre for Cities, wh... Read more...
…Evidence again that any form of Brexit will do more damage to Scotland’s farming sector than it will to the UK as a whole. At least the city economies will be OK though? Not a chance. The report ... Read more...
Aberdeen can rise to the challenge of finding news ways to boost the economy, politicians and industry leaders said today. The confident comments come despite a report yesterday that predicts Brexit will hit A... Read more...
All areas of the North East would be hit by Brexit and may take longer to recover than other parts of the country, a new study says. The study by the Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance (... Read more...
Wealthy Southern cities are predicted to be hardest hit by Brexit, according to a new report. The study, by the Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, foun... Read more...
A think tank analysed the potential impact of both a “hard” and “soft” Brexit on British cities in the 10 years following the implementation of new trade arrangements with the EU. It is... Read more...
27 July 2017
All cities in the UK are looking set to see a fall in economic output regardless of whether a ‘hard’ or ‘soft’ Brexit is delivered, experts have today warned – but more prosperous... Read more...
Centre for Cities and Centre for Economic Performance analysis also places Edinburgh sixth in a top ten of urban conurbations hit most if the country fails to strike a deal with the EU. Related publications... Read more...
Aberdeen will be the hardest hit city in the UK by Brexit, according to a new report on the economic impact of withdrawal from the European Union (EU). Other cities or urban areas such as London, Slough and Ed... Read more...
Worthing is among the top ten towns that will suffer the most by Britain’s exit from Europe, according to a study that overturns assumptions that poorer areas of the UK will suffer the most. For the firs... Read more...
Cities that are successful and have large high-skilled service sectors, mainly located in the south of England, will be hit the hardest by Brexit, whether it is ‘hard’ or ‘soft’. A repo... Read more...
A new report today named Aberdeen as the UK city predicted to be the worst-hit by a so-called hard Brexit. London and Edinburgh also ranked in the top 10 list compiled by researchers at the think tank Centre f... Read more...
Research done by the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London School of Economics and the Centre for Cities predicted an economic downturn of 3.7 per cent for Aberdeen and 2.7 per cent in Edinburgh ... Read more...
The joint Centre for Cities and Centre for Economic Performance study predicts that Bristol’s economic output will decrease by up to 2.6 per cent – the 11th worst-hit city in the country. However, ... Read more...
Brexit will hit Scottish oil capital Aberdeen the hardest of all Britain’s cities, with London also ranking highly and facing a medium-term blow to economic output of as much as 2.6 percent, academics at... Read more...
The LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance (working with the Centre for Cities think tank) has carried out a study shedding light upon the local economic impact of Brexit. Henry G. Overman writes that it ... Read more...
Snippet: News that Swindon could be one of the cities worst hit by Brexit Click to open Related publications ‘The Local Economic Effects of Brexit’, Swati Dhingra, Stephen Machin and Henry ... Read more...
A NEW report has named Aberdeen as the UK city predicted to be the worst-hit by a so-called hard Brexit. Edinburgh also ranked in the top 10 list compiled by researchers at the think tank Centre for Cities and... Read more...
Towns and cities in the South of England will be hit hardest by Britain’s exit from Europe, according to a study that overturns assumptions that poorer areas of the UK will suffer the most. Researchers a... Read more...
Aberdeen and Edinburgh are the cities set to take the biggest financial hit when the UK leaves the European Union, according to a think tank that predicts a downturn in trade even if ministers strike a “... Read more...
Article by Henry Overman I've been working with colleagues at the Centre for Economic Performance (Swati Dhingra and Steve Machin) and the Centre for Cities (Naomi Clayton) to take a first look at the l... Read more...
Aberdeen could be the city worst hit by falling economic output due to a "hard" Brexit, experts have predicted. A new report from the Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance at t... Read more...
While the Prime Minister seems to understand that trade with the European Union is sizeable, she also seems to be under the illusion that Britain can pick and choose during the Brexit negotiations. L... Read more...
26 July 2017
Dennis Novy was live on the show. The topic was the ongoing Brexit negotiations between the UK and the EU in Brussels, and in particular what the potential outcome might be for Britain’s economy an... Read more...
21 July 2017
Article by Thomas Sampson: The most welcome aspect of the government’s policy paper on future customs arrangements is its acknowledgement of the desirability of a transition agreement after the UK leaves... Read more...
19 July 2017
The government’s recent paper on future customs arrangements sets out its objectives for how goods trade with the EU will be governed following Brexit. However, as Thomas Sampson outlines below... Read more...
17 July 2017
“There are bigger potential gains from doing a deal with Europe than with the U.K. on its own, just because Europe is a bigger market,” said Thomas Sampson, an economist at the Centre for Economic ... Read more...
12 July 2017
“There are bigger potential gains from doing a deal with Europe than with the UK on its own, just because Europe is a bigger market,” said Thomas Sampson, an economist at the Centre for Economic Pe... Read more...
11 July 2017
Article by Thomas Sampson One year ago, the UK voted to leave the EU. However, voters did not choose what would come after Brexit. Options for “life after Brexit”: One option is to rema... Read more...
28 June 2017
Swati Dhingra, of the LSE, said: “There is near consensus among economists that the hard – or chaotic – form of Brexit…would hurt the UK economy. Although there was little immediate ec... Read more...
22 June 2017
But the greatest potential trouble is on Brexit, with the constitutional uncertainty growing and economists laying out this week just what a hard or chaotic Brexit could mean for the economy: the pound droppin... Read more...
21 June 2017
Many commentators are throwing out numbers about the negative impact of Brexit on GDP growth and income across Europe. The Center for Economic Performance has concluded that every EU member will lose income af... Read more...
20 June 2017
19 June 2017
‘EU referendum: One year on’. Report from The UK in a Changing Europe and the Political Studies Association, June 2017 Articles within the report: ‘Trade and the Single Market’, T... Read more...
16 June 2017
According to Dennis Novy, Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Warwick: “TTIP has the potential to benefit millions of consumers. It goes far beyond an economic project. Its current time... Read more...
07 June 2017
Article by Swati Dhingra Unlike some other countries – the US and France spring to mind – trade has not been a major issue in recent UK elections. This reflected both EU membership and a broad p... Read more...
06 June 2017
Demography and education are a much better explanation of the ‘Leave’ vote in the June 2016 Brexit referendum than the decline in public services or recent immigration. These are the conclusions of... Read more...
This collection of 18 essays by leading economists highlights many of the most pressing domestic and international economic policy issues on the Trump docket. Many chapters are sharply critical of the Tr... Read more...
05 June 2017
Brexit In fact is a trauma that breaks the vertical chain of production of the value that ties the United Kingdom to the EU, with consequences not apparent immediately. Quantifying these costs is therefore a d... Read more...
Although last year's vote to quit the EU has had "no obvious effect" on GDP growth, the collapse in the value of the pound - down 13% against the US dollar and 9% against the euro by the end of l... Read more...
31 May 2017
Article by Gianmarco Ottaviano …at the G7 in Taormina, an extraordinary thesis was presented to the international community. According to the new US presidency, from the liberalization of internation... Read more...
28 May 2017
The assumptions of the Economists for Brexit group – now rebranded as Economists for Free Trade - were previously criticised as grossly unrealistic on other grounds, including ignoring the fact that coun... Read more...
19 April 2017
Article by Patrick Stewart. A recent report on the likely impact of Brexit from the London School of Economics has found that all EU countries will lose income after Brexit. The overall GDP fall in the U... Read more...
19 March 2017
Europe, not Britain, is seen as having the most leverage going into the talks. "The party with the most to lose has the weakest position," says Dennis Novy, a University of Warwick economist, "a... Read more...
13 March 2017
The interview was about the negotiations on international trade between the UK and the EU that will follow once Article 50 has been triggered. In particular, the interview covered the strengths and weakne... Read more...
07 March 2017
England, one of our main trading partners is to get out of the EU. The British Prime Minister Theresa May this month officially advised the European Union of the British departure. Dutch entrepreneurs who do a... Read more...
04 March 2017
Economists from the London School of Economics have estimated that the WTO route would cause an almost 10 per cent hit to UK GDP by 2030. Also in: The i Paper Failure to secure trade deal 'would o... Read more...
02 March 2017
Last Friday, the LSE Growth Commission released a new report setting out a blueprint for inclusive and sustainable growth in the UK, which deals with both old and new challenges. Related publications ... Read more...
Recent research by Paola Conconi, Maurizio Zanardi and their co-authors finds U.S. presidential elections tend to influence the timing of WTO dispute filings, especially those with economic interests in key el... Read more...
28 February 2017
…"more coherent and comprehensive than anything the government has yet come up with" Article on the LSE Growth Commission Report. Related publications 'UK Growth: A New Chapter',... Read more...
26 February 2017
Dennis Novy gave a live TV interview to Al Jazeera. The topic was the confirmation of Steven Mnuchin as the new U.S. Treasury Secretary. The interview covered the proposed U.S. tax reforms and how changes to f... Read more...
14 February 2017
"The idea of trade wars these days, what politicians have in mind is really a 19th-century or early 20th-century conception of trade," said Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano, a trade economist at the London S... Read more...
31 January 2017
“The idea of trade wars these days, what politicians have in mind is really a 19th-century or early 20th-century conception of trade,” said Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano, a trade economist at the London... Read more...
Most experts have assumed the responsibilities of governance would temper Trump's trade posture. Given that nearly one-third of all U.S. trade is conducted with China and Mexico, a rupture risks severe eco... Read more...
Not surprisingly, when an index for global political uncertainty, compiled records so unsafe level, inter alia by the Stanford economist Nicholas Bloom, on a high, (Stanford). And Austria's foreign trade m... Read more...
27 January 2017
Britain's economy made a decision after the brexit-lock braking. One-third of the companies that froze investment plans as a result of a decision. The collapse of the value of the pound sterling told the c... Read more...
26 January 2017
Thomas Sampson, a professor at the London School of Economics, said British carmakers could suffer further disruption beyond tariffs. "Inside the customs union cross-border supply networks can flourish, b... Read more...
Last week Prime Minister Theresa May confirmed Brexit would see Britain leave the European single market, creating a stumbling block for the car industry which relies on trading vehicles and loose parts withou... Read more...
Thomas Sampson, a professor at the London School of Economics, said British car makers could suffer further disruption beyond tariffs. “Inside the customs union cross-border supply networks can flourish,... Read more...
DW spoke to economist Thomas Sampson from the London School of Economics ahead of British Prime Minister Theresa May's visit to the White House. She is the first world leader to meet the new US President D... Read more...
Dennis Novy gave a live radio interview [8.35-8.40am] on Donald Trump and his withdrawal from the Transpacific Partnership (TPP, the trade deal previously negotiated by Barack Obama with Asian/Austra... Read more...
24 January 2017
It has long been known that America’s Senate is less protectionist (i.e., more likely to favor trade deals) than the House. The usual explanation was that senators, representing larger territories, took ... Read more...
23 January 2017
El predominio de las firmas de menos de 10 empeados es in obstaculo para la productividad e internacionalizacion Article by Luis Garicano, Claire LeLarge and John Van Reenen The prevalence of firms of le... Read more...
22 January 2017
"Trade agreements are based on have something to give to receive something in return. "Nobody is doing charity here", explains Swati Dhingra, academic at the center of economic performance&... Read more...
20 January 2017
"Trade agreements are based on have something to give to receive something in return. No one is making charity here", explains Swati Dhingra, academic center of economic behaviour of the LSE. ... Read more...
19 January 2017
Swati Dhinghra commenting on free trade and Brexit. [Time: 08:00:24] ... Read more...
0750 Swati Dhingra interviewed. After the UK gives up full membership of the EU's customs union exporters' goods could be facing checks and delays at Britain's border. ... Read more...
Swati Dhingra interviewed. Speaking about Brexit and free trade. ... Read more...
18 January 2017
May’s speech suggests the UK is on course to aim for a bilateral agreement. Currently, countries like Switzerland pay around 40% as much as the UK’s contribution for EU membership for access on tho... Read more...
Article by Swati Dhingra No access to EU’s single market and replacement deals potentially decades away heightens uncertainty for UK businesses. Theresa May’s speech on Tuesday was the govern... Read more...
Brexit and the uncertainties surrounding it present an unprecedented challenge, writes Anna Valero In his first Autumn Statement (and last – since he has decided to abolish them in favour of an annua... Read more...
24 November 2016
Dennis Novy was interviewed by BBC Radio Scotland on 22 November 2016 about Donald Trump's policy stance towards the Transpacific Partnership (TPP), a proposed trade deal between the United States and vari... Read more...
22 November 2016
HUGE THREAT TO ECONOMY TO OVERSHADOW TORY BUDGET The Scottish National Party has said that the threat of a hard Brexit will be the ‘elephant in the room’ at the Autumn Statement. “The T... Read more...
20 November 2016
Dr Swati Dhingra interviewed, talking about the potential international implications of a Trump White House as well as initial reactions from (Brexit) UK. The interview was broadcast by CKWX News on the Ne... Read more...
16 November 2016
Dr Swati Dhingra on BBC News (19:35) commenting on PM Theresa May's speech on remaking globalization. [No link available.] ... Read more...
14 November 2016
The meaning of Brexit is yet to become clear. But if Brexit means leaving the customs union of the European Union, Thomas Sampson looks at what it might meant for the UK to pursue its own trade policy for the first time ... Read more...
26 October 2016
The right way to leave the EU Article by Swati Dhingra On June 30, a week after the British public voted to leave the EU, Theresa May gave a speech launching her candidacy for prime minister in which she declared, ''Br... Read more...
21 October 2016
It's beginning to dawn on Brexit voters that leaving the EU will be a disaster for working people. Inflation is back as a direct result of the 18 per cent devaluation of the pound since June 23. The forecast for price ri... Read more...
20 October 2016
The calculations, sent to May's close-knit team of Brexit advisers, which includes Hammond, David Davis, Liam Fox and Boris Johnson, claim the UK economy would be 4.5 percent smaller by 2030 if it leaves the Customs Unio... Read more...
19 October 2016
Chancellor to appear before Treasury select committee after Whitehall estimates show economy could shrink by 4.5% Trade flows and foreign investment would also be hit hard by leaving the customs union, according to figu... Read more...
Cabinet ministers receive stark economic warnings against adopting a 'Norway-style' model The UK could suffer a fall in GDP of 4.5% by 2030 if it leaves the EU customs union. Cabinet ministers were given stark warni... Read more...
Ministers are at loggerheads over whether to quit the European customs union amid warnings it could mean a 4.5 per cent hit to GDP. Papers circulated at a meeting of the Brexit Cabinet committee apparently suggested tha... Read more...
The Economists for Brexit group claim Brexit 5 would deliver a UK growth boom by 2020. But economists at the London School of Economics say this is ideologically driven pseudoscience and that unilateral free trade would,... Read more...
EU trade ministers have had Belgium on their minds today - but rather than tucking into chocolate and waffles they've been dealing with the more unappetizing problem of a regional Belgian parliament that's blocking thei... Read more...
18 October 2016
CEP research article previously published by Vox referenced in article published in PRC: [8]Swati Dhingra, Thomas Sampson: UK-EU relations after Brexit: What is best for the UK economy? This article was published onlin... Read more...
16 October 2016
Economist Thomas Sampson told The Independent: ''It's important to remember that the exit bill would be a one-off payment and in the longer run it is likely to be dwarfed by the broader economic costs resulting from redu... Read more...
14 October 2016
The pound has lost nearly 18 per cent of its value against the dollar since Britain voted Brexit, two per cent more than during the 2008 financial crash. On Thursday it reached its lowest point for 168 years. ''Movements... Read more...
Dennis Novy interviewed. The topic was the leaked Brexit analysis from the Treasury and the economic implications of Brexit, in particular for international trade. This interview was broadcast by Al Jazeera Television ... Read more...
11 October 2016
Brexiteers need to respect gravity models of international trade Furthermore, according to Swati Dhingra of the London School of Economics, gravity models do a good job of predicting actual trading relationships today. ... Read more...
01 October 2016
Truth and myth about the effects of openness to trade In other rich countries, regions or industries with heavy exposure to Chinese imports also suffered material losses in factory jobs. A study of Spain's jobs market b... Read more...
“The government doesn’t have a plan, and until it decides, it’s really hard for anyone to prepare,” said Thomas Sampson, a professor at the London School of Economics. “In the sho... Read more...
30 September 2016
According to estimates by the London School of Economics, Brexit will result in a 22 percent drop in direct investment into the British economy and a 3.4 percent drop in revenues. This article was published online by ... Read more...
27 September 2016
EXCLUSIVE: An analysis by The Independent of official data suggests British exporters would face a cost of at least £4.5bn - and in all likelihood they would take a hit many times larger A separate analysis by th... Read more...
23 September 2016
With a major question mark: foreign groups continue to invest in the country? The Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics estimated that membership of the EU has indeed increased foreign direct ... Read more...
21 September 2016
Dennis Novy interviewed on the state of the British economy after the EU Referendum, and on the prospects for UK international trade negotiation. The interview was recorded by 1 Das Erste (German Public TV Channel) on ... Read more...
11 September 2016
Dennis Novy interviewed. The topic was the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) and the recent political backlash from France and Germany. The interview was broadcast on the BBC Radio 4 The World Ton... Read more...
30 August 2016
Nothing off the table in Brexit negotiations says Centre for Economic Performance's Swati Dhingra. This interview was broadcast by BBC Sheffield (Radio) on August 13, 2016 Link to broadcast here Related publicatio... Read more...
13 August 2016
The reputed Centre for Economic Performance at LSE has long been studying the potential impact of the United Kingdom leaving the European Union, and just this last week it published its latest report. This report focuses... Read more...
05 August 2016
Article by Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson The UK should join the EEA and remain part of the single market, write Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson The UK has voted to leave the EU, but not in favour of any specific a... Read more...
Professor Saul Estrin of the London School of Economics has shown, for example, that an increase in the level of employee participation in the running of an enterprise from zero to full participation increases output by ... Read more...
02 August 2016
The 23 June 2016 Brexit vote saw British voters reject membership in the European Union. This column introduces a new VoxEU eBook containing 19 essays written by leading economists on a wide array of topics and from a br... Read more...
01 August 2016
However, mounting evidence suggests that the gains from free trade are not shared equally. A body of research on the American economy shows that import competition from poor countries can depress the incomes of the low s... Read more...
30 July 2016
What will the arrangement with the EU be? In this video, Swati Dhingra discusses introducing a temporary Norway-like deal. This video is part of the ''Econ after Brexit'' series organised by CEPR and was recorded on 14 J... Read more...
29 July 2016
Professor Curran said said non-tariff barriers could raise costs for NI farmers by between 2% and 4% and a recent study by the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) found that a 2% increase in non-tariff barriers could a... Read more...
27 July 2016
Ethiopia is likely to be one of the fastest growing markets for western exporters in the next five years, while erstwhile emerging market heavyweights Brazil and South Africa offer paltry growth. Perhaps less surprisingl... Read more...
26 July 2016
19 July 2016
The UK Chamber needs to know the details because member shipowners gain their revenue from trade; however, Dr Swati Dhingra, lecturer at the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, brought litt... Read more...
For example, I have obtained an internal Scottish Enterprise document circulated last week among senior managers declaring the consequences of Brexit for the Scottish manufacturing sector ''to be overwhelmingly negative'... Read more...
09 July 2016
Overall, Brexit is likely to have a negative impact on inward FDI. New empirical analysis by Center for Economic Performance implies that leaving the EU will reduce FDI inflows to the UK by around 22 per cent. Such losse... Read more...
03 July 2016
The Society's Annual Conference was held at the University of Sussex, 21-23 March. This report was prepared by Ferdinando Giugliano, focusing on four fields of economic research: development economics; political economy;... Read more...
01 July 2016
UK's EU exit will make transatlantic trade talks even tougher. ''There's every reason to believe that the right-wing lurch of Brexit could turn the U.K. into a paradise for free market capitalism: a TTIP on steroids,'' ... Read more...
28 June 2016
Meanwhile, Director of the Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, John Van Reenen tell Brexit will give a significant impact in the short-term period. ''Impending situation where business refu... Read more...
27 June 2016
John Van Reenen, Professor at the London School of Economics, said on Friday in an interview issued by the American channel CNBC that the companies ''will not want to take investment decisions because they have uncertain... Read more...
26 June 2016
What does the UK's decision to leave the European Union mean for the future of the single market? Economists talk of sustained market turbulence, devaluations and an imminent recession, but will it be Britain or the ... Read more...
Now that the UK has voted to leave the EU, one of the biggest remaining questions is how it will affect the British economy. Hari Sreenivasan sits down with London School of Economics professor Swati Dhingra, who has bee... Read more...
25 June 2016
The decision left the United Kingdom society of the European Union does indeed have fueled new uncertainty. ''Businessmen reluctant to take new decisions or affect investments, because of the uncertainty for the future,'... Read more...
24 June 2016
''You're going to see in increase in consumer prices from Brexit and most of that is going to hit the middle income,'' Swati Dhingra, assistant professor at LSE's Department of Economics and Centre for Economic Performan... Read more...
The world map has been redrawn with the rules of commerce across Europe, the largest marketplace on earth. Britain's vote on Thursday to leave the European Union has set in motion an unprecedented and unpredictable proce... Read more...
Swati Dhingra: ''Europe doesn't matter a good deal with the United Kingdom in the case of Brexit'' The British economy will go down between 1.4% and 2.6% in pessimistic scenario. And life won't be made easier with havin... Read more...
23 June 2016
Few expect that Britain's departure from Europe will set off a full financial crisis like the one seen after the collapse of the investment banking giant Lehman Brothers in 2008. ... If no deal is struck, the rules of t... Read more...
Research by the London School of Economics in the report ''Life After Brexit'' is warning Britain would most likely fall into recession if it leaves, as a myriad of agreements unravel over several years. French launch #O... Read more...
Dennis Novy interviewed on live programme broadcast by Canadian TV news channel, focusing on the economic impact of a Brexit vote. This interview was broadcast by CTV News (Canada) on June 23, 2016 Link to broadcast ... Read more...
Foreign investment brings many benefits to the UK, including higher pay and productivity. But a Brexit vote could end it all, write Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen. First, not being... Read more...
22 June 2016
The UK Treasury's estimate forecasts trade volumes declining by between 14% and 19% by 2030 in comparison to their current trajectory, on the assumption that the UK agrees a bilateral trade deal with the EU similar to th... Read more...
And while some experts argue that FDI is high in the UK due to a favourable business environment, others, such as the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, suggest that ''being fully in the s... Read more...
The Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics finds that EU immigrants to Britain are better educated and more likely to ... This article was published online by The Wall Street Journal on Ju... Read more...
Britain never joined the euro currency union, freeing it of all sorts of complicated policy commitments that the rest of the EU is obliged to abide by. But despite staying on the pound, Britain still has full access to E... Read more...
Dr Swati Dhingra from the Centre for Economic Performance's Trade Programme video on the possible regulatory autonomy and alternatives to EU membership. Filmed as part of a panel discussion - The EU and the UK: 'the wro... Read more...
21 June 2016
The economic impacts of Britain leaving the EU With the referendum fast approaching, Thomas Sampson analyses the economic consequences should Britain vote to leave the European Union. Proponents of Brexit, as leaving ... Read more...
Dennis Novy appeared on a show dealing with the EU and the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), answering questions from members of the public who are worried about TTIP and what it might mean for the N... Read more...
Today Morning Trade talks Brexit and the future of U.K. trade policy with Swati Dhingra, a lecturer in economics at the London School of Economics and a member of the trade research program of the Institutions's Center f... Read more...
According to Thomas Sampson, assistant professor at the Department of Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), an exit scenario would hit the country's economy really hard. Talking to Sputnik, h... Read more...
20 June 2016
The UK is also the top destination for foreign direct investment in Europe and ranked as one of the most attractive FDI markets in the world. But investment would tumble at least 22 per cent over the next decade in the e... Read more...
Thomas Sampson is from the London School Of Economics and has recently authored a paper called, Economists for Brexit: A Critique. He says Britain would be stronger by remaining in the EU. This interview was broadcas... Read more...
19 June 2016
The most serious problem of staying outside any EU trade agreement is the serious impact this might have on foreign direct investment into the UK. Being in the single market makes the UK attractive as a base for exporter... Read more...
Thomas Sampson interviewed on what may happen following a vote for Brexit. The interview was broadcast on the Last Week Tonight with John Oliver show on June 19, 2016 Link to broadcast here [Interview begins at 10:33] ... Read more...
All or nothing at all What sort of deal might that new leader try to get? Some want no deal at all. A group called Economists for Brexit (EFB) suggests simply abolishing all import tariffs. The ensuing rise in trade, ... Read more...
18 June 2016
In addition, ''agreements with third countries would be predictably less beneficial for the United Kingdom if it negotiated them alone rather than as part of the European Union,'' he told Dr Swati Dhingra, Economist at t... Read more...
As June 23 looms closer and closer and Britain makes the ultimate decision whether it should stay in the European Union or go it alone, a recent thorough analysis by Holger Breinlich, Swati Dhingra, Thomas Sampson and Jo... Read more...
17 June 2016
Experts at the Treasury, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), and the London School of Economics have all found that remaining a part of the EEA would pose the least severe economic risk to the... Read more...
11 June 2016
A bad few days for the image of Britain's retail sector PARLIAMENTARY committees are normally sleepy affairs. Backbench MPs get the chance to grill the occasional bigwig. By replying to questions succinctly witnesses ty... Read more...
Economists for Brexit, argues that such an alternative exists. It rejects post-exit deals with the EU and instead recommends unilateral free trade and reliance for market access on the rules of the World Trade Organisati... Read more...
09 June 2016
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance calculates long-term costs to Britain of lower trade with the EU could be as high as 9.5% of GDP. Leave campaign-supporting economists have as yet not done ... Read more...
''There's too much wrong information'' Interview with Swati Dhingra How will the British vote on June 23? Swati Dhingra, lecturer in economics at the London School of Economics, has examined the possible effects of a B... Read more...
07 June 2016
Middle and low income households will be poorer because of Brexit - not just the rich, write Holger Breinlich, Swati Dhingra, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen. This article was published online by the LSE Business Re... Read more...
02 June 2016
Economists for Brexit group claims that downturn would be avoided if Britain removed all trade barriers after leaving EU Economists campaigning for Britain to leave the European Union have accused the Treasury and inter... Read more...
Stop everything! According to the OECD, the forum of economic reflection of developed countries, the United Kingdom would lose 5% of its GDP in the 15 years to come slamming the door of the European Union. Treasury, Brit... Read more...
01 June 2016
Britons would benefit from lower prices if the U.K. left the European Union, according to Patrick Minford, a professor at Cardiff University and co-chairman of Economists for Brexit. According to Minford, t... Read more...
27 May 2016
The possibility of the UK leaving the European Union (EU) has generated an unusual degree of consensus among economists. Acrimony and rancour surrounded debates around austerity and joining the euro, but analysis from th... Read more...
According to Dennis Novy, Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Warwick: ''TTIP has the potential to benefit millions of consumers. It goes far beyond an economic project. Its current timetable seems ambi... Read more...
20 May 2016
''The pro-Brexit argument that Britain will be free of lots of regulations, that there will be a bonfire of red tape that will cause us to grow rapidly and we'll strike lots of new trade deals as this buccaneering new En... Read more...
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance calculates the long-term costs to Britain of lower trade with the EU could be as high as 9.5 per cent of GDP, while the fall in foreign investment could cos... Read more...
17 May 2016
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance calculates that the long-term costs to Britain of lower trade with the EU could be as high as 9.5% of GDP, while the fall in foreign investment could cost 3... Read more...
16 May 2016
According to various studies at the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) of the London School of Economics, Brexit does reduce the fiscal deficit. That would be, according to CEP, the main benefit. The principal cost wo... Read more...
13 May 2016
Article by Cletus C. Coughlin and Dennis Novy Borders impede trade, and a major objective of research in international trade has been to identify by how much. This column argues that bilateral trade data can give a misl... Read more...
08 May 2016
US PRESIDENT Barack Obama is expected to give a major boost to the Remain campaign tomorrow by backing David Cameron's call for Britain to stay in the European Union. Earlier this week the Treasury published analysis su... Read more...
21 April 2016
Britain's postwar record on productivity can be split into two periods: pre and post Margaret Thatcher. Prior to Thatcher, output per hour in Britain was growing more slowly than France, Germany and the US, according to ... Read more...
20 April 2016
Swati Dhingra interviewed about Brexit. The interview was broadcast by BBC Radio 5 Live at 10:30pm on April 19, 2016 [No link available.] Related publications See the complete set of CEP Brexit Analysis research ... Read more...
19 April 2016
A very awkward fact for the Brexit campaign is that in the last quarter of 2015, Britain's current-account deficit hit a record 7 per cent of GDP. That needs to be financed. But the risk of Brexit is already acting like ... Read more...
THERE is much dispute in the Brexit debate over the economic effects of leaving the EU. Even Brexiteers accept that there would be some short-term costs from uncertainty, but they claim that in the long run Britain could... Read more...
18 April 2016
Article by John Van Reenen Many people are considering the personal financial impact of EU membership, and LSE academics have crunched the vital numbers By referendum day on 23 June, all voters will have to weigh up wh... Read more...
Leaving the EU could lead to a fall in inward foreign direct investment of close to a quarter, writes CEP team: Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen. ... Read more...
15 April 2016
Article by John Van Reenen Foreign investors love Britain, but Brexit would kill the vibe. According to new research colleagues and I have conducted at the Centre for Economic Performance, leaving the European Union cou... Read more...
The loss of income per household from reduced trade and lower productivity that would result from the UK voting to leave the European Union could be similar to the decline in UK GDP during the global financial crisis, ac... Read more...
Whether Britain loses access to the single market depends on the terms of any exit. Under the optimistic scenario, Britain would join the European Economic Area as non-member countries like Norway and Switzerland have do... Read more...
Leaving the European Union would reduce flows of foreign direct investment (FDI) into the UK by more than a fifth, damaging productivity and lowering people's incomes, according to new research released today by LSE's Ce... Read more...
…but economists think that leaving would come at some economic cost The FT also reviewed three recently published studies, by the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, Pr... Read more...
13 April 2016
... Do we need a different way to spur innovation and disseminate new technologies quickly around the world? Are patents, which reward inventors by providing them with a government-guaranteed monopoly over their inventio... Read more...
12 April 2016
Brexit will affect British trade and living standards Article by Swati Dhingra, Hanwei Huang, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen Smaller turnover in foreign trade in the wake of weaker integration ... Read more...
Article by Swati Dhingra Last week's Brussels visit by Prime Minister Narendra Modi has started speculations that there will now be a renewed push for talks on the stalled EU-India broad-based trade and investment agree... Read more...
04 April 2016
On 23 June, the UK will decide whether or not to leave the EU. While the general population is divided on the issue, the overall consensus among economists at a session on Brexit at the Royal Economic Society's annual co... Read more...
30 March 2016
CEP's Swati Dhingra among experts weighing up the possible scenarios for a UK shoe company importing from Spain The EU is Britain's largest trade partner. If Britain votes to leave the EU, the government has not clarifi... Read more...
22 March 2016
National income may fall between 1.3% and 2.6%, writes a Centre for Economic Performance team Those who say that leaving the EU is a win-win because Britons will both feel more free and become a lot richer are not being... Read more...
In this extract from the LSE Centre for Economic Performance's second briefing paper on Brexit, Swati Dhingra, John van Reenen, Thomas Sampson and Gianmarco Ottaviano conclude that - in the most optimistic scenario - UK ... Read more...
19 March 2016
A British exit from the European Union would wipe as much as 6,400 pounds ($9,300) from average household incomes in the U.K. as trade deals sour, according to research by the London School of Economics. &ldqu... Read more...
18 March 2016
Looking into FDI (foreign direct investment), the London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance determined that if the UK could reach favorable free trade agreements with the EU after a Brexit, it will lose... Read more...
15 March 2016
WHAT BRITISH THINK ABOUT BREXIT CNC has asked Dr. Swati Dhingra, Assistant Professor at London School of Economics and Political Science, on the benefits and risks of a Brexit for the UK. SOUNDBITE (ENGLISH): Dr. SWA... Read more...
14 March 2016
Although the report also raised as an option Britain signing onto the North American Free Trade Agreement, report co-author Swati Dhingra said she does not envisage that happening. Even if it did, Dhingra said, it would ... Read more...
The London School of Economics' Center for Economic Policy[sic] has calculated that, even if trade barriers with other European countries do not significantly increase, per capita income in Britain will fall by between 1... Read more...
05 March 2016
Article by Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson In June, UK voters will decide whether to remain part of the EU. This column explores the UK's options if a majority votes in favour of Brexit. One possibility is for the UK, ... Read more...
04 March 2016
Dr Swati Dhingra interviewed on freetrade This interview was broadcast by BBC Radio Nottingham on March 3, 2016 Link to broadcast here Also on various other local BBC regional stations Related publications Th... Read more...
03 March 2016
Source: London School of Economics and Political Science Country: World Abstract Does economic activity relocate away from areas that are at high risk of recurring shocks? We examine this question in the context of floo... Read more...
Dr Swati Dhingra discusses the concept of free trade. The interview was broadcast by BBC Radio 5 Live News on March 3, 2016 Link to recorded interview here Also on eight other local BBC radio stations. Related Li... Read more...
Dennis Novy gave a live TV interview with Deutsche Welle TV. The topic was the letter issued by various UK business leaders arguing in favour of Britain remaining a member country of the European Union. Dennis discussed ... Read more...
23 February 2016
Vehicle production "Made in Britain" has reached peaks in 2016, but the uncertainties on the future of the industry with the release of the European Union and the common market. Thomas Sampson, Profe... Read more...
26 January 2016
Dr Thomas Sampson from the Centre for Economic Performance says the EU accounts for about half of all UK trade. This interview was broadcast by Sky News Tonight on January 25, 2016 Link to interview here Related pub... Read more...
25 January 2016
Article by Guy Michaels In a new study published by the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP), we examine why so many people are hit by floods year after year. In particular, we ask whether urban populations respond to ... Read more...
11 January 2016
Guy Michaels discusses his study of the economic impact of floods and likelihood of people moving from flooding areas. The interview was broadcast by BBC Radio 5 Live on January 5, 2016 Link to interview here (43 mins... Read more...
05 January 2016
In December talks in Paris involving more than 200 countries may result in a new agreement aimed at reducing carbon emissions. In the months leading up to the conference, The Economist will be publishing guest columns by... Read more...
11 December 2015
On video: Vince Cable, Diane Coyle, Bronwyn Curtis and Anna Leach, with John Van Reenen and Robin Mansell LSE Business Review's official launch event took place on 2 December. A panel of top UK economists discussed How ... Read more...
07 December 2015
Faced with the dilemma of re-industrialization Valencia Andres Rodriguez-Pose, Professor at the London School of Economics, said for his part, that the Valencian economy is currently ''very weak''. And has highlighted t... Read more...
02 December 2015
The volume of international trade in services has grown rapidly over recent decades and, in fact, has outpaced growth in goods trade. Over the same period many developed countries experienced rapid growth in immigration.... Read more...
21 November 2015
Dennis Novy interviewed about the upcoming negotiations of Prime Minister David Cameron over Britain's EU membership and in particular their implications for international trade. The interview was broadcast by BBC Radio... Read more...
09 November 2015
With the Leave.eu campaign pledging to win back the UK, and with The Britain Stronger in Europe campaign pledging to explain the ''true reality of life'' outside the EU, arguments for and against UK's membership give and... Read more...
23 October 2015
Some experts suggest it is more likely than not the UK will vote to leave. LSE Professor John Van Reenen, director of the Centre for Economic Performance, put the chance of an ''Out'' vote at 54%, with very wide uncertai... Read more...
12 October 2015
THE Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics predicts the range of Brexit economic scenarios from something akin to the global financial crisis (-10 per cent GDP) to a best case scenario of a -2.... Read more...
25 September 2015
Article by Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano As the deadline gets closer, the United Kingdom (UK) public debate is heating up on an event that, one way or another, could change the identity of the European Union (EU) and its e... Read more...
04 September 2015
Dennis Novy interviewed on the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) in the light of households in Kenilworth protesting with the message to protect the NHS from TTIP. This article was published by BBC C... Read more...
12 August 2015
... Top economists echoed the TUC's concerns yesterday ... Growth in recent years has been ''anaemic'', according to University College London's Professor Stephen Machin, and research director at the Centre for Economic ... Read more...
01 August 2015
Yet not only would it take years for the UK to reach new agreements, it is not as likely to strike a good deal. The ''UK's bargaining position would be much weaker as it would be negotiating over access to its own market... Read more...
23 June 2015
WHEN Margaret Thatcher came to power in 1979 she set about bulldozing the trade unions, which had frequently brought Britain grinding to a standstill in the 1970s. On May 27th David Cameron indicated that his Conservativ... Read more...
30 May 2015
Growth, trade, immigration, jobs, diplomacy: what would the impact be if a 2017 referendum pushed UK towards the exit? ...Another analysis by economists at the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP), part of the London Sc... Read more...
14 May 2015
Article by Dennis Novy TTIP could be the most ambitious free trade agreement in history. It has the potential to benefit millions of consumers and might be the last opportunity for individual European countries to set h... Read more...
23 April 2015
According to Bank of England, earnings should be rising by 4 percent a year, but they are struggling to get above 2 percent - it is time the government and employers tilted wages in favour of labour. There was a time, ... Read more...
29 March 2015
The cost of subsidising the construction of more renewable energy won't deter industry from investing in Europe, according to a new study by the London School of Economics. ''Contrary to some claims, rises in energy pr... Read more...
02 March 2015
Researchers says even a 10-fold rise in EU carbon price would lead to a less than 0.5 per cent drop in exports A large rise in energy prices would barely affect exports from European industry and the balance of trade, a... Read more...
Article by Dennis Novy If successfully concluded, the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) would be the most ambitious free trade agreement in history. Dennis Novy writes that while the potential bene... Read more...
28 February 2015
The view on the UK: The biggest challenge of 2015: Can we avoid the rocky road to the Brexit cliff? John van Reenen Brexit will have serious economic consequences. Half of our exports are to the EU, we benefit from lar... Read more...
07 February 2015
''Tsipras's initial decisions, especially his coalition with a nationalist-hooligan party, point toward an exit from the euro,'' Luis Garicano, an economics professor at the London School of Economics, said on Twitter. '... Read more...
27 January 2015
If successfully concluded, the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) would be the most ambitious free trade agreement in history, writes Dennis Novy - and it has the potential to benefit millions of cons... Read more...
23 January 2015
Article by Dennis Novy If you have been following the TTIP negotiations in the press over the past year, you might have been under the impression that TTIP is a corporate sell-out and nothing but a threat for the averag... Read more...
05 October 2014
Speech by Dr Jens Weidmann, President of the Deutsche Bundesbank, to the German-British Chamber of Commerce Annual Dinner 2014, London, 23 July 2014. 2. The benefits of European integration And it seems that Britain, t... Read more...
24 July 2014