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Discussion papers

Findings from CEP's academic research are first published in our open-access discussion paper series.

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Online tutoring works: Experimental evidence from a program with vulnerable children

CEP researchers provide evidence from a randomised controlled trial on the effectiveness of a novel, 100-percent online mathematics tutoring programme, targeted at secondary school students from highly disadvantaged neighbourhoods.Read more...
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Multinationals, robots and the labor share

Without multinationals and robots, the manufacturing labour share would be at its level of two decades ago. This sheds new light on how globalisation and technological change jointly shape the decline in the labour share. Read more...

Latest Discussion papers

CEP discussion paper
Murphy's Law or luck of the Irish? Disparate treatment of the Irish in 19th century courts

Using data on 100 years of 19th century criminal trials at London's Old Bailey, this paper offers clear evidence of disparate treatment of Irish-named defendants and victims by English juries. We measure surname Irishnes...Read more...

Anna Bindler, Randi Hjalmarsson, Stephen Machin and Melissa Rubio

31 March 2023

CEP discussion paper
Modern manufacturing capital, labor demand and product market dynamics: Evidence from France

We use comprehensive micro data in the French manufacturing sector between 1995 and 2017 to document the effects of a fall in the cost of investments in modern manufacturing capital, including modern automation technolog...Read more...

Philippe Aghion, Celine Antonin, Simon Bunel and Xavier Jaravel

29 March 2023

CEP discussion paper
Responsible sourcing? Theory and evidence from Costa Rica

Multinational enterprises (MNEs) increasingly impose "Responsible Sourcing" (RS) standards on their suppliers worldwide, including requirements on worker compensation, benefits and working conditions. Are these policies ...Read more...

Alonso Alfaro-Urena, Benjamin Faber, Cecile Gaubert, Isabela Manelici and Jose P Vasquez

29 March 2023

CEP discussion paper
Online tutoring works: Experimental evidence from a program with vulnerable children

We provide evidence from a randomized controlled trial on the effectiveness of a novel, 100-percent online math tutoring program, targeted at secondary school students from highly disadvantaged neighborhoods. The intensi...Read more...

Lucas Gortazar, Claudia Hupkau and Antonio Roldan

22 March 2023

CEP discussion paper
Pay-as-they-get-in: Attitudes towards migrants and pension systems

We study whether a better knowledge of the functioning of pay-as-you-go pension systems and recent demographic trends in the hosting country affects natives' attitudes towards immigration. In two online experiments in It...Read more...

Tito Boeri, Matteo Gamalerio, Massimo Morelli and Margherita Negri

16 March 2023

CEP discussion paper
Productive robots and industrial employment: The role of national innovation systems

In a model with robots, and automatable and non-automatable human tasks, we examine robot-labour substitutions and show how they are influenced by a country's 'innovation system'. Substitution depends on demand and produ...Read more...

Chrystalla Kapetaniou and Christopher A. Pissarides

15 March 2023

CEP discussion paper
Strapped for cash: The role of financial constraints for innovating firms

This paper makes use of a reform that allowed firms to use patents as stand-alone collateral, to estimate the magnitude of collateral constraints and to quantify the aggregate impact of these constraints on misallocation...Read more...

Esther Ann Boler, Andreas Moxnes and Karen Helene Ulltveit-Moe

14 March 2023

CEP discussion paper
Who stands on the shoulders of Chinese (scientific) giants? Evidence from chemistry

In recent decades, Chinese researchers have become preeminent contributors to the scientific enterprise, as reflected by the number of publications originating from Chinese research institutions. China's rise in science ...Read more...

Pierre Azoulay, Shumin Qiu and Claudia Steinwender

13 March 2023

CEP discussion paper
Environmental citizen complaints

Citizen complaints feature prominently in public oversight contexts. The nature and effects of complaints, however, are poorly understood. Here, we investigate attitudes about citizen complaints using a nationally repres...Read more...

Jonathan Colmer, Mary F. Evans and Jay Shimshack

9 March 2023

CEP discussion paper
Robot adoption, worker-firm sorting and wage inequality: Evidence from administrative panel data

Leveraging the geographic dimension of a large administrative panel on employer-employee contracts, we study the impact of robot adoption on wage inequality through changes in worker-firm assortativity. Using recently de...Read more...

Ester Faia, Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano and Saverio Spinella

10 February 2023

CEP discussion paper
Import competition, trade credit and financial frictions in general equilibrium

We analyze the role of trade credit and financial frictions in the propagation of international trade shocks along the supply chain. First, we show empirically that exposure to import competition from China increased the...Read more...

Federico Esposito and Fadi Hassan

9 February 2023

CEP discussion paper
Multinationals, robots and the labor share

Using a panel of Spanish manufacturing firms covering the 1990-2017 period, I show that firms acquired by multinational enterprises start investing in industrial robots, which leads to a reduction of the labor share at t...Read more...

Fabrizio Leone

6 February 2023

CEP discussion paper
The indirect effect of the Russian-Ukrainian war through international linkages: early evidence from the stock market

We study how firms' international linkages to Russia and Ukraine have affected investors' expectations following the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war. We perform an event study around the Russian invasion into Ukrai...Read more...

Marcus Biermann and Elsa Leromain

26 January 2023

CEP discussion paper
The economics of cities: from theory to data

Economic activity is highly unevenly distributed within cities, as reflected in the concentration of economic functions in specific locations, such as finance in the Square Mile in London. The extent to which this concen...Read more...

Stephen J. Redding

25 January 2023

CEP discussion paper
Criminal charges, risk assessment and violent recidivism in cases of domestic abuse

Domestic abuse is a pervasive global problem. Here we analyze two approaches to reducing violent DA recidivism. One involves charging the perpetrator with a crime; the other provides protective services to the victim on ...Read more...

Dan A. Black, Jeffrey Grogger, Tom Kirchmaier and Koen Sanders

20 January 2023

CEP discussion paper
Do role models matter in large classes? New evidence on gender match effects in higher education

We study whether female students benefit from being taught by female professors, and whether such gender match effects differ by class size. We use administrative records of a German public university, covering all progr...Read more...

Stephan Maurer, Guido Schwerdt and Simon Wiederhold

9 January 2023

CEP discussion paper
Collective bargaining and spillovers in local labor markets

How does collective bargaining affect the broader wage structure? How are such spillovers transmitted? I present a model where firms with wage-setting power that are not covered by collective bargaining agreements, but a...Read more...

Ihsaan Bassier

13 December 2022

CEP discussion paper
(In)convenient stores? What do policies pushing stores to town centres actually do?

England's Town Centre First Policy, introduced in 1996, restricted the opening of new retail and other 'traditional town centre activities' to 'Town Centre' (TC) locations. The aim was to halt the decay of high streets. ...Read more...

Paul C. Cheshire, Christian A. L. Hilber, Piero Montebruno and Rosa Sanchis-Guarner

12 December 2022

CEP discussion paper
The geography of structural transformation: Effects on inequality and mobility

The interplay between structural transformation in the aggregate and local economies is key to understanding spatial inequality and worker mobility. This paper develops a dynamic overlapping generations model of economic...Read more...

Kohei Takeda

12 December 2022

CEP discussion paper
The spillover effect of services offshoring on local labour markets

I provide new empirical evidence on the direct and indirect impact of services off-shoring on local employment and wages, using a unique dataset on firms in the UK for the period 2000-2015. Exploiting variation in firms'...Read more...

Martina Magli

9 December 2022

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