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Discussion papers

Findings from CEP's academic research are first published in our open-access discussion paper series.

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Non-tariff barriers and consumer prices: evidence from Brexit

Researchers find Brexit has cost UK households £5.8 billion in higher food bills. Read more...
Photo of cotton reels in a mill. Credit: Janko Ferlic. Published under CC0 Public Domain. https://unsplash.com/eBtwD6ZG78I
Slavery and the British Industrial Revolution

Research explores the relationship between wealth made through slavery and the adoption of new technology in 19th Century Britain. Read more...

Latest Discussion papers

CEP discussion paper
Non-tariff barriers and consumer prices: evidence from Brexit

Non-Tariff Barriers (NTBs) are the main policy impediment to international trade, yet little is known about their pass-through to prices. This paper exploits the Brexit trade policy shock to quantify how NTBs affect cons...Read more...

Jan David Bakker, Nikhil Datta, Richard Davies and Josh De Lyon

1 December 2022

CEP discussion paper
Families, labor markets and policy

Using comparable data for 24 countries since the 1970s, we document gender convergence in schooling, employment and earnings, marriage delay and the accompanying decline in fertility, and the large remaining gaps in labo...Read more...

Stefania Albanesi, Claudia Olivetti and Barbara Petrongolo

24 November 2022

CEP discussion paper
Sanctions and misallocation. How sanctioned firms won and Russia lost

Using a unique natural experiment of staggered firm-level sanctions against Russia in 2014-2020 and the data on over 900,000 Russian firms, I estimate the effect of sanctions on targeted firms and on the aggregate econom...Read more...

Dzhamilya Nigmatulina

23 November 2022

CEP discussion paper
Who's got the power? Wage determination and its resilience in the Great Recession

Whereas wage inequality has risen markedly in most OECD countries in recent decades, it has fallen in several Southern European economies. To shed light on this phenomenon, we embed sectoral bargaining, which is common i...Read more...

Hugo Reis and Hugo de Almeida Vilares

17 November 2022

CEP discussion paper
Slavery and the British Industrial Revolution

Did overseas slave-holding by Britons accelerate the Industrial Revolution? We provide theory and evidence on the contribution of slave wealth to Britain's growth prior to 1835. We compare areas of Britain with high and ...Read more...

Stephan Heblich, Stephen J. Redding and Hans-Joachim Voth

16 November 2022

CEP discussion paper
The wage elasticity of recruitment

One of the factors affecting the market power of employers is the extent to which higher wages makes recruitment easier. There is very little research on this. This paper presents a methodology for estimating the wage el...Read more...

Boris Hirsch, Elke J. Jahn, Alan Manning and Michael Oberfichtner

8 November 2022

CEP discussion paper
From public labs to private firms: magnitude and channels of R&D spillovers

Introducing a new measure of scientific proximity between private firms and public research groups and exploiting a multi-billion euro financing program of academic clusters in France, we provide causal evidence of spill...Read more...

Antonin Bergeaud, Arthur Guillouzouic, Emeric Henry and Clement Malgouyres

26 October 2022

CEP discussion paper
Patents that match your standards: firm-level evidence on competition and innovation

When a technology becomes the new standard, the firms that are leaders in producing this technology have a competitive advantage. Matching the semantic content of patents to standards and exploiting the exogenous timing ...Read more...

Antonin Bergeaud, Julia Schmidt and Riccardo Zago

24 October 2022

CEP discussion paper
Background matters, but not whether parents are immigrants: outcomes of children born in Denmark

On average, children born in Denmark with immigrant parents (first-generation locals) have lower earnings, higher unemployment, less education, more welfare transfers, and more criminal convictions than children with loc...Read more...

Mathias Fjaellegaard Jensen and Alan Manning

17 October 2022

CEP discussion paper
Sparse production networks

Firm-to-firm connections in domestic and international production networks play a fundamental role in economic outcomes. Firm heterogeneity and the sparse nature of firm-to-firm connections implicitly discipline network ...Read more...

Andrew B. Bernard and Yuan Zi

17 October 2022

CEP discussion paper
Can grit be taught? Lessons from a nationwide field experiment with middle-school students

We study whether a particular socio-emotional skill - grit (the ability to sustain effort and interest towards long-term goals) - can be cultivated through a large-scale program, and how this affects student learning. Us...Read more...

Omar Arias, Pedro Carneiro, Angela Duckworth, Lauren Eskreis-Winkler, Christian Krekel, Ana Maria Munoz Boudet, Violeta Petroska-Beska and Indhira Santos

17 October 2022

CEP discussion paper
Mobile internet and the rise of political tribalism in Europe

We study the political effects of the diffusion of mobile Internet between 2007 and 2017, using data on electoral outcomes and on mobile Internet signal across the 84,564 municipalities of 22 European countries. We find ...Read more...

Marco Manacorda, Guido Tabellini and Andrea Tesei

14 October 2022

CEP discussion paper
The rise of China's technological power: the perspective from frontier technologies

We use patent data to study the contribution of the US, Europe, China and Japan to frontier technology using automated patent landscaping. We find that China's contribution to frontier technology has become quantitativel...Read more...

Antonin Bergeaud and Cyril Verluise

14 October 2022

CEP discussion paper
Labor market insurance policies in the XXI century

The recovery from the Covid-19 crisis will force governments to accelerate transformation in their menu of labor market policy tools. The crisis was a stress test for unemployment insurance schemes as it involved a sudde...Read more...

Tito Boeri and Pierre Cahuc

11 October 2022

CEP discussion paper
Charity in the time of austerity: in search of the 'Big Society'

The years after the election of the UK's coalition government in 2010 saw a decline in central funding to local government and a fall in expenditure on a range of local services, including social services. These cuts wer...Read more...

Stephen Gibbons and Christian Hilber

10 October 2022

CEP discussion paper
Cultural homophily and collaboration in superstar teams

One may reasonably think that cultural preferences affect collaboration in multinational teams in general, but not in superstar teams of professionals at the top of their industry. We reject this hypothesis by creating a...Read more...

Gabor Bekes and Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano

7 October 2022

CEP discussion paper
Firms and inequality when unemployment is high

How important are firms for wage inequality in developing countries where structural unemployment is high? Research focused on contexts close to full employment has suggested a substantial role of firms in labor market i...Read more...

Ihsaan Bassier

7 October 2022

CEP discussion paper
Managerial input and firm performance. Evidence from a policy experiment

We study the effects of a subsidy program designed to boost small and medium enterprises' export capabilities through a Temporary Export Manager (TEM), hired for at least 6 months to provide consulting on how to reach fo...Read more...

Francesco Manaresi, Alessandro Palma, Luca Salvatici and Vincenzo Scrutinio

5 October 2022

CEP discussion paper
The well-being cost of inflation inequalities

In terms of well-being, how costly is inflation? To answer this question, empirical evaluations have typically studied average inflation rates at the national level, thus disregarding the role of inflation inequalities w...Read more...

Alberto Prati

13 September 2022

CEP discussion paper
Company wage policy in a low-wage labor market

The question of how firms set wages for their employees has been of longstanding interest. In this paper, we investigate what models of wage determination are at play in a low-wage labor market. We exploit a sizable and ...Read more...

Giulia Giupponi and Stephen Machin

13 September 2022

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