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Journal articles

Peer-reviewed academic papers by CEP researchers. Where possible, open access to these articles is funded by the Economic and Social Research Council.

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Solo self-employment and alternative work arrangements

Tito Boeri, Giulia Giupponi, Alan B. Krueger and Stephen Machin look at the changing nature of self-employment in the UK, US and Italy, examining the possible impact of legislation on minimum wages and tax treatment. Read more...
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Product mix and firm productivity responses to trade competition

Thierry Mayer, Marc J. Melitz and Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano document how demand shocks in export markets lead French multi-product exporters to re-allocate the mix of products sold in the affected destinations. Read more...

Latest Journal articles

Journal article
:
Forthcoming
Marriage as Insurance: Job Protection and Job Insecurity in France

Job insecurity is one of the risks that workers face on the labour market. As with any risk, individuals can choose to insure against it. We here consider marriage as a way of insuring against labour-market risk. The 199...Read more...

Andrew E. Clark, Conchita D'Ambrosio and Anthony Lepinteur

1 December 2022

Journal article
Ecological Economics:
The environmental cost of the international job market for economists

We provide an estimate of the environmental impact of the recruitment system in the economics profession, known as the "international job market for economists". Each year, most graduating PhDs seeking jobs in academia, ...Read more...

Olivier Chanel, Alberto Prati and Morgan Raux

1 November 2022

Journal article
Journal of Econometrics:
Surveying business uncertainty

We elicit subjective probability distributions from business executives about their own-firm outcomes at a one-year look-ahead horizon. In terms of question design, our key innovation is to let survey respondents freely ...Read more...

David E. Altig, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Brent Meyer and Nicholas Parker

1 November 2022

Journal article
Social Science and Medicine:
Forthcoming
The impact of COVID-19 lockdown stringency on loneliness in five European countries

The coronavirus pandemic has forced governments to implement a variety of different dynamic lockdown-stringency strategies in the last two years. Extensive lockdown periods could have potential unin- tended consequences ...Read more...

Juan Carlos Caro, Andrew E. Clark, Conchita D'Ambrosio and Claus Vogele

30 October 2022

Journal article
Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics:
Forthcoming
Gender, loneliness and happiness during COVID-19

We analyse a measure of loneliness from a representative sample of German individuals interviewed in both 2017 and at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. Both men and women felt lonelier during the COVID-19 p...Read more...

Andrew E. Clark, Conchita D'Ambrosio, Ada Ferrer-i-Carbonell, Anthony Lepinteur, Alan Piper and Carsten Schroder

29 October 2022

Journal article
Journal of Political Economy:
Forthcoming
The Comparative Advantage of Firms

Resource-based theories propose that firms grow by diversifying into products that use common capabilities. We provide evidence for common-input capabilities, using a policy that removed entry barriers in input markets t...Read more...

Johannes Boehm, Swati Dhingra and John Morrow

25 October 2022

Journal article
Psychological Science:
Feeling Good Is Feeling Better

Can people remember their past happiness? We analyzed data from four longitudinal surveys from the United States, France, the United Kingdom, and Germany spanning from the 1970s until the present, in which more than 60,0...Read more...

Alberto Prati and Claudia Senik

7 October 2022

Journal article
The World Economy:
Forthcoming
The electric vehicle revolution: Critical material supply chains, trade and development

The emergence of a mass market for electric vehicles (EVs) offers development opportunities for countries that have abundant resources of cobalt, nickel, lithium, copper, aluminium and manganese. Not surprisingly, develo...Read more...

Robert J.R. Elliott, Benjamin Jones and Viet Nguyen-Tien

6 October 2022

Journal article
Labour Economics:
The gender reveal: The effect of sons on young fathers' criminal behavior and labor market activities

Based on New Zealand's administrative court charges data, we document child gender-specific differences in future criminal behavior of young fathers. The deterrent impact of having a son on the future likelihood of recei...Read more...

Kabir Dasgupta, Andre Diegmann, Tom Kirchmaier and Alexander Plum

1 October 2022

Journal article
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization:
Occupational prestige and life satisfaction in the UK: The Miserable Middle?

We use British panel data to explore the link between occupational status and life satisfaction. We find puzzling evidence for men of a U-shaped relationship in cross-section data: employees in medium-status occupations ...Read more...

Emmanuel Apergis, Andrew E. Clark, Yannis Georgellis and Catherine Robinson

1 October 2022

Journal article
Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists:
Natural disasters and voting behavior: evidence from environmental legislation in the US Senate

This paper investigates whether United States senators are more likely to vote in favour of environmentally friendly legislation following damages caused by climate related natural disasters. We combine senatorial scores...Read more...

Robert Elliott, Viet Nguyen-Tien, Eric Strobl and Thomas Tveit

13 September 2022

Journal article
Oxford Economic Papers:
Economic insecurity and political preferences

Economic insecurity has attracted growing attention, but there is no consensus as to its definition. We characterize a class of individual economic-insecurity measures based on the time profile of economic resources. We ...Read more...

Walter Bossert, Andrew E. Clark, Conchita D'Ambrosio and Anthony Lepinteur

7 September 2022

Journal article
Journal of International Economics:
Intra-bloc tariffs and preferential margins in trade agreements

We study how countries choose intra-bloc tariffs and preferential margins in Preferential Trade Agreements (PTAs). Our model indicates that countries should set systematically lower preferential margins when the bloc tak...Read more...

Emanuel Ornelas and Patricia Tovar

1 September 2022

Journal article
Applied Energy:
Optimising the geospatial configuration of a future lithium-ion battery recycling industry in the transition to electric vehicles and a circular economy

Rapid electrification of the transport system will generate substantial volumes of Lithium-ion-battery (LiB) waste as batteries reach their end-of-life. Much attention focuses on the recycling processes, neglecting a bro...Read more...

Paul A. Anderson, Qiang Dai, Robert J.R. Elliott, Gavin D.J. Harper and Viet Nguyen-Tien

1 September 2022

Journal article
The Review of Economics and Statistics:
Forthcoming
Data-intensive innovation and the state: evidence from AI firms in China

Developing AI technology requires data. In many domains, government data far exceeds in magnitude and scope data collected by the private sector, and AI firms often gain access to such data when providing services to the...Read more...

Martin Beraja, David Y. Yang and Noam Yuchtman

13 August 2022

Journal article
Labour Economics:
How Did Safety-Net Reform Affect the Education of Adolescents from Low-Income Families?

Roughly 25 years ago, the US safety net was substantially reformed. Here we ask how those reforms affected the educational attainment of youths who were teens at the time those reforms took place. We take a difference-in...Read more...

Jacob Bastian, Luorao Bian and Jeffrey Grogger

1 August 2022

Journal article
Annual Review of Economics:
Expecting Brexit

The Brexit vote precipitated the unraveling of the United Kingdom's membership in the world's deepest economic integration agreement. This article reviews evidence on the realized economic effects of Brexit. The 2016 Bre...Read more...

Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson

1 August 2022

Journal article
The Quarterly Journal of Economics:
The Effects of Joining Multinational Supply Chains: New Evidence from Firm-to-Firm Linkages

We study the effects of becoming a supplier to multinational corporations (MNCs) using tax data tracking firm-to-firm transactions in Costa Rica. Event study estimates reveal that domestic firms experience strong and per...Read more...

Alonso Alfaro-Urena, Isabela Manelici and Jose P Vasquez

1 August 2022

Journal article
Journal of Risk and Financial Management:
Pandemic-Era Uncertainty

We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck...Read more...

David E. Altig, Jose Maria Barrero, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, Brent Meyer and Emil Mihaylov

30 July 2022

Journal article
Economic Geography:
Forthcoming
Creative Clusters and Creative Multipliers: Evidence from UK Cities

Economic geographers have paid much attention to the cultural and creative industries, both for their propensity to cluster in urban settings, and their potential to drive urban economic development. However, evidence on...Read more...

Diana Gutierrez-Posada, Tasos Kitsos, Max Nathan and Massimiliano Nuccio

28 July 2022

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