Highlights

Journal article

Social Science and Medicine:

Do people get used to working long hours?

Overemployment - working more hours than desired - affects nearly one-third of European workers, yet its consequences remain understudied. Using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP, 1984-2019, N = 43,570) and...Read more...

Christian Krekel, Tim Kremser and Georgios Melios

1 September 2026

CEP discussion paper

Explaining the predictive performance of police in cases of domestic abuse

Police in England and Wales are asked to predict the likelihood of serious recidivism in domestic abuse cases, with little support beyond a flawed questionnaire. To analyze their decisions, we first develop methods to de...Read more...

Jeffrey Grogger, Andrew Jordan and Tom Kirchmaier

26 August 2026

CEP occasional paper

UK national productivity trends: getting the data right - August 2026 update

We compare standard productivity estimates of UK output per worker derived from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) with newly released estimates based on more reliable "Real Time Information" (RTI) administrative data. LFS-ba...Read more...

Niki Barbas, Anna Valero and John Van Reenen

24 August 2026

CEP discussion paper

Universities, new tasks, and the rise of services

Structural transformation from manufacturing to services varies sharply across US regions. We document that regions with universities, especially highly ranked research institutions, experience faster growth in high-skil...Read more...

Chang Liu and Kohei Takeda

20 August 2026

CEP discussion paper

Geopolitics and export miracles: firm-level evidence from US war procurement in Korea

How did geopolitics shape East Asia's economic development? We find that US military procurement during the Vietnam War - a shock which peaked at nearly 3% of South Korean GDP, rivaling the Marshall Plan - catalyzed Kore...Read more...

Philipp Barteska, Oliver Kim, Nathan Lane and Seung Joo Lee

20 August 2026

Blog

LSE Business Review:

ChatGPT or Zoom - which broke the career ladder?

Entry-level hiring has fallen sharply across white-collar work. An emerging explanation has been that generative AI is to blame. Drawing on their new study of hundreds of millions of hires and job adverts, Peter John Lam...Read more...

Peter Lambert and Yannick Schindler

17 August 2026

Blog

VoxEU:

Firms slice up global production to protect their knowhow

Imitation is a first-order concern for enterprises operating global production processes. Firms routinely source knowledge-intensive inputs from many countries, including those with weak intellectual property laws. This ...Read more...

Peter Eppinger, Bohdan Kukharskyy, Alireza Naghavi and Gianmarco Ottaviano

17 August 2026

CEP discussion paper

Female-targeted hiring subsidies, firm learning, and women?s employment

Women often struggle to re-enter employment after career breaks, possibly because employers are uncertain about their productivity. We study whether hiring subsidies help firms overcome this uncertainty and hire from thi...Read more...

Mimosa Distefano, Lorenzo Incoronato and Anna Raute

12 August 2026

CEP discussion paper

Defense promotion and industrial development

Major economies are rearming, and rearmament is itself industrial policy. I ask whether defense promotion?especially innovation policy?can drive industrial development beyond the defense sector. I synthesize evidence on ...Read more...

Nathan Lane

12 August 2026

CEP discussion paper

Is data privacy a losing game? Evidence from Apple's App Tracking Transparency (ATT) policy

We study the impact of Apple's App Tracking Transparency (ATT) policy, which requires apps to obtain explicit user permission before cross-app tracking, on the mobile gaming industry. Using SensorTower US data on the top...Read more...

Nestor Duch-Brown, Christos Genakos and Blair Yuan Lyu

12 August 2026

CEP discussion paper

Intergenerational income persistence in the Millennial generation

This paper provides new evidence on intergenerational income persistence for a recent UK cohort. Using Next Steps, a longitudinal study of people born in England in 1989-90 linked to administrative education records, we ...Read more...

Paul Gregg, Yuyan Jiang, Lindsey Macmillan, Nikki Shure and Gill Wyness

12 August 2026

CEP discussion paper

Brief yet effective: group counseling and college access for disadvantaged students

Large socioeconomic gaps in higher-education access and completion persist even among similarly talented students with access to generous funding, pointing to an important role for information frictions and unequal suppo...Read more...

Andres Barrios Fernandez, Josefina Eluchans Errazuriz and Fernanda Ramirez-Espinoza

12 August 2026

CEP discussion paper

Teachers' leniency: experimental evidence

Two teachers grading the same student can reach very different conclusions? yet little is known about which teacher characteristics drive such disagreement. We investigate this question through a large-scale online exper...Read more...

Etienne Dagorn, Isaac Parkes and Alberto Prati

12 August 2026

Blog

Promarket:

American Slaveholders Lost Their Wealth but Kept Their Political Power

In new research, Luna Bellani, Anselm Hager, and Stephan Maurer examine how the abolition of slavery after the American Civil War affected the political influence of former slaveholders. Despite the blow to their economi...Read more...

Luna Bellani, Anselm Hager and Stephan Maurer

6 August 2026

Blog

LSE British Politics:

Without radical planning reform, Burnham cannot build the houses he's promising

Governments keep promising to build more houses, and keep failing to do so. Now, Andy Burnham has upped the challenge by promising not just more houses, but specifically more council houses since World War II. Paul Chesh...Read more...

Paul Cheshire

5 August 2026

CEP discussion paper

Dynamic effects of trade

The existence of aggregate welfare gains from trade is one of the classic insights from international economics. However, these conventional welfare gains are static, in the sense that they take existing factor supplies ...Read more...

Benny Kleinman, Ernest Liu and Stephen J. Redding

3 August 2026

Journal article

European Economic Review:

Editorial: Europe in a changing world: resilience, industrial policy, and the political economy of fragmentation

The papers collected in this special issue originate from the 2024 Annual Research Conference (ARC 2024), organized by the European Commission?s Joint Research Centre (JRC) in Ispra, Italy, in collaboration with DG ECFIN...Read more...

Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano

1 August 2026

Journal article

Journal of International Economics:

Endogenous mobility in pandemics: theory and evidence from the United States

We analyze infectious diseases in a general equilibrium model with endogenous mobility, where forward-looking agents weigh disease risks against economic opportunities in cross-regional mobility decisions. This generates...Read more...

Xiao Chen, Hanwei Huang, Jiandong Ju, Ruoyan Sun and Jialiang Zhang

1 August 2026

Journal article

Journal of Environmental Economics and Management:

Trade and the scopes of pollution: evidence from China?s world market integration

Although the environmental impact of trade has been a long-standing concern, there is still scant evidence on the channels through which international market access affects pollution. We exploit the unique episode of Chi...Read more...

Stefano Carattini, Hanwei Huang, Frank Pisch and Tejendra Pratap Singh

1 August 2026

Blog

VoxTalks:

Tariff Confusion (podcast)

If you run a business that exports to the United States, how big is the tariff you have to pay? In 2025 that question was hard to answer. Between February and December, 53 separate announcements introduced, delayed, rein...Read more...

Kalina Manova

31 July 2026

Blog

The Economics Show with Soumaya Keynes (podcast):

Will AI solve the productivity puzzle? With Nick Bloom

Productivity has been a problem for the past 15 years. In developed countries, weak demand, a lack of competition and a paucity of new ideas have all been blamed. Could AI finally reverse that trend? Soumaya speaks to St...Read more...

Nicholas Bloom and Soumaya Keynes

31 July 2026

Blog

Project Syndicate:

Silicon, Not Software, Will Decide the AI Race

The AI race is no longer just about building better models. As competition shifts from scientific discovery to deployment, success increasingly depends on computing power, advanced semiconductors, physical infrastructure...Read more...

Antonin Bergeaud and Robin Rivaton

31 July 2026

CEP discussion paper

Employer market power: models and methods

It is now widely recognized that employers hold some wage-setting power over workers, and several recent reviews cover the resulting surge of research on monopsony. We take a high-level view, introducing the idea of the ...Read more...

Ihsaan Bassier and Alan Manning

30 July 2026

CEP discussion paper

The equilibrium impact of credit frictions: evidence from default risk using firm-level data

This paper examines the impact of credit frictions arising from firm-level default risk on aggregate economic performance. We build a micro-to-macro model with heterogeneous firms and sector-specific production functions...Read more...

Timothy Besley, Peter John Lambert, Isabelle Michalski-Roland and John Van Reenen

29 July 2026

Blog

LSE Management:

How America out-deindustrialised Europe

Despite the prevailing narrative of Western deindustrialisation as one of a rigid Europe and a dynamic America, Richard Baldwin, Saul Estrin, and Bob Hancke argue that the comparison of the EU with the US turns this narr...Read more...

Richard E. Baldwin, Saul Estrin and Bob Hancke

23 July 2026