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LSE Business Review:
The question is not 'if' but 'how much' Brexit would cost the UK

22 March 2016

National income may fall between 1.3% and 2.6%, writes a Centre for Economic Performance team
Those who say that leaving the EU is a win-win because Britons will both feel more free and become a lot richer are not being candid about the evidence. The standard trade models given here, calculations from trade and income differences of being in and out of the EU and also historical assessments show a consistent picture - Brexit will cost. The only question is 'exactly how much'?

This article was published by the LSE Business Review blog on March 22, 2016
Link to article here

Related publications
The consequences of Brexit for UK trade and living standards, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen, CEP Brexit Analysis No.2, March 2016.
Download the accompanying Technical Paper here
See the complete CEP Brexit Analysis Series here

Related links
Swati Dhingra webpage
Gianmarco Ottaviano webpage
Thomas Sampson webpage
John Van Reenen webpage
Trade Programme webpage
Growth Programme here

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