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The Scotsman:
Bill Jamieson: Secret report makes you choke on the canapes

9 July 2016

For example, I have obtained an internal Scottish Enterprise document circulated last week among senior managers declaring the consequences of Brexit for the Scottish manufacturing sector ''to be overwhelmingly negative''. The 15-page analysis, which is not intended for publication, sets out a wide range of political outcomes. It is a deeply depressing document. ...
The SE paper carries an estimate from the Centre for Economic Performance that under the ''optimistic'' Norway model and the ''pessimistic'' WTO, ''trade will be negatively impacted by Brexit in both the short and long term''. It also quotes from a PwC study commissioned by the CBI projecting a decline in GDP per capita of up to 2.7 per cent by 2030.

This article was published by The Scotsman on July 9, 2016
Link to article here

Related publications
The UK Treasury analysis of 'The long-term economic impact of EU membership and the alternatives': CEP Commentary, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen, CEP Brexit Analysis Series No.4, April 2016
See the complete set of CEP Brexit Analysis research papers here

Related links
Swati Dhingra webpage
Holger Breinlich webpage
Hanwei Huang webpage
Gianmarco Ottaviano webpage
Thomas Sampson webpage
John Van Reenen webpage
Trade Programme webpage
Growth Programme webpage

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