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The Guardian:
Brexit - what would happen if Britain left the EU?

14 May 2015

Growth, trade, immigration, jobs, diplomacy: what would the impact be if a 2017 referendum pushed UK towards the exit? ...Another analysis by economists at the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP), part of the London School of Economics, calculated the UK could suffer income falls of between 6.3 percent to 9.5 percent of GDP, similar to the loss resulting from the global financial crisis of 2008-09. That is under the researchers' pessimistic scenario, in which the UK is not able to negotiate favourable trade terms. Under an optimistic scenario, in which the UK continues to have a free trade agreement (FTA) with the EU, losses would be 2.2 percent of GDP.

This article was published by The Guardian on May 14, 2015
Link to article here

Related publications
'Should We Stay or Should We Go? The economic consequences of leaving the EU', Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and Thomas Sampson, CEP 2015 Election Analyses No.22, March 2015 Details
#ElectionEconomics video, 'Britain and Europe'. Interview with Thomas Sampson posted on CEP's 'Economic Performance' YouTube channel.
View Video

Related links
Swati Dhingra webpage
Gianmarco Ottaviano webpage
Thomas Sampson webpage
Globalisation Programme webpage

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