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Another, Swati Dhingra, lecturer in economics at the London School of Economics, said that since the EU referendum, "the number of foreign investments and expansions… are showing disconcerting reductions."... Read more...
23 September 2019
Article by Thomas Sampson. The full economic consequences of Brexit will not be realised for many years. But 21 months after the referendum, we can start to assess how the Brexit vote ha... Read more...
05 April 2018
…Ex-Tory Cabinet Minister Chris Patten said he was a “caricature” with no idea about trade deals. Brexit may cost us £1,700 a year each, says the London School of Economics. ... Read more...
28 March 2018
Opinion – Letters to the Editor: Alastair Hamilton must acknowledge Brexit realities Writing in the Huffington Post Invest NI chief executive Alastair Hamilton has described the concern that Brexit... Read more...
07 March 2018
…nearly six years. The Centre for Economic Performance says that the vote has cost the … ... Read more...
25 January 2018
In a paper title Brexit and the Impact of Immigration on the UK by Jonathan Wadsworth, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen, the writers reveal that European Union (EU) immigration has triple... Read more...
03 December 2017
Tory whip writes to every vice-chancellor to ask for syllabus and any online material Academics are accusing a Tory MP and government whip of “McCarthyite” behaviour, after he wrote to all unive... Read more...
24 October 2017
A major impediment to clarity has been the weight of advice from what Michael Gove calls ‘organisations with acronyms’ suggesting that a ‘no deal’ on trade will greatly damage the... Read more...
13 October 2017
The great majority of the economic forecasts have concluded that Brexit will damage the UK economy. In the case of ‘no deal’ between the UK and the EU, the majority view is that the loss of GDP cou... Read more...
08 September 2017
There has been a veritable flood of studies indicating what an economic disaster awaits us if the government pursue its preferred hard Brexit route. If the government's own studies contain anything to coun... Read more...
24 August 2017
Patick Minford thinks that GDP could increase by 6.8% Mr Minford’s calculations are based on dubious assumptions. He also ignores the “gravity” effect, whereby close neighbours trade more ... Read more...
A leading quartet of economists have taken issue with a report by pro-Brexit counterparts that paints a rosy picture for Britain should the country leave the EU without any trade deals in place. The four ... Read more...
22 August 2017
Here's a piece from LSE debunking Prof Minford's post-Brexit trade theories and a quote from him about industry – see http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/the-britain-alone-scenario-how-econo... Read more...
21 August 2017
The policy, known as ‘Britain Alone’, was savaged by The Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, which suggested Minford’s work disregarded 40 years of established ... Read more...
The views of Economists for Brexit / Free Trade have repeatedly been rebuffed elsewhere, for example in a report by a group of economists at the LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance. They predict a 2.3%... Read more...
The LSE quartet – professors Thomas Sampson, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen – do concede that there is, potentially, a very minor boost to going it alone. Their own model... Read more...
Dr Thomas Sampson of the London School of Economics (LSE) said on Tuesday that the publication of UK government plans for a transition period and regulations after the breit suggests that London wants to speed... Read more...
15 August 2017
The Center for Economic Performance estimated that in the case of such a scenario over the decade, trade would have fallen by 40 percent and average income by 2.6 percent. ... Read more...
14 August 2017
In findings released by think tank Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London School of Economics, the potential impact of either Brexit "type" on major cities in t... Read more...
29 July 2017
Article by Dr Swati Dhingra What form of relationship to have with the EU after Brexit is the key economic policy issue facing the UK. This election was meant to give the prime minister a strong mandate for... Read more...
28 June 2017
Article by Thomas Sampson One year ago, the UK voted to leave the EU. However, voters did not choose what would come after Brexit. Options for “life after Brexit”: One option is to rema... Read more...
But the greatest potential trouble is on Brexit, with the constitutional uncertainty growing and economists laying out this week just what a hard or chaotic Brexit could mean for the economy: the pound droppin... Read more...
21 June 2017
Demography and education are a much better explanation of the ‘Leave’ vote in the June 2016 Brexit referendum than the decline in public services or recent immigration. These are the conclusions of... Read more...
06 June 2017
Brexit In fact is a trauma that breaks the vertical chain of production of the value that ties the United Kingdom to the EU, with consequences not apparent immediately. Quantifying these costs is therefore a d... Read more...
05 June 2017
The assumptions of the Economists for Brexit group – now rebranded as Economists for Free Trade - were previously criticised as grossly unrealistic on other grounds, including ignoring the fact that coun... Read more...
19 April 2017
Brexit, national income per capita in the UK to drop On June 23, a referendum MIT faculty member, Professor John Van Reenen advocated keeping Britain in the EU. ... Read more...
08 February 2017
"Trade agreements are based on have something to give to receive something in return. No one is making charity here", explains Swati Dhingra, academic center of economic behaviour of the LSE. ... Read more...
19 January 2017
Swati Dhingra interviewed. Speaking about Brexit and free trade. ... Read more...
18 January 2017
With popular google search results ranging from “What is the EU” to “What will happen if we leave the EU” from Britain hours after the referendum, it is clear that Brexit was an unknowl... Read more...
11 January 2017
Four in ten leading economists are more pessimistic about Britain's future after Brexit, despite the buoyant economy since the vote, according to a new FT poll. While many are looking to 2017 for a spot of... Read more...
03 January 2017
HUGE THREAT TO ECONOMY TO OVERSHADOW TORY BUDGET The Scottish National Party has said that the threat of a hard Brexit will be the ‘elephant in the room’ at the Autumn Statement. “The T... Read more...
20 November 2016
The impact on productivity is as bad. The LSE (Centre for Economic Performance) suggests reduced trade will reduce productivity amounting to between 6.3 per cent and 9.5 per cent of GDP. This article was pu... Read more...
The commonly held belief that immigrants hold down the wages of native workers is also doubtful. The economic literature is mixed although a paper by Marco Manacorda, Alan Manning and Jonathan Wadsworth of the... Read more...
17 November 2016
We have gone back to the post-Brexit growth forecasts made earlier this year by six organisations – the NIESR, the Treasury, the OECD, the London School of Economics, the Confederation for British Indust... Read more...
07 November 2016
The right way to leave the EU Article by Swati Dhingra On June 30, a week after the British public voted to leave the EU, Theresa May gave a speech launching her candidacy for prime minister in which she declared, ''Br... Read more...
21 October 2016
It's beginning to dawn on Brexit voters that leaving the EU will be a disaster for working people. Inflation is back as a direct result of the 18 per cent devaluation of the pound since June 23. The forecast for price ri... Read more...
20 October 2016
Prime Minister Theresa May is in Brussels for her first EU summit as UK leader, in the same week as cabinet ministers were presented with a paper warning that Britain pulling out of the EU customs union could lead to a 4... Read more...
The calculations, sent to May's close-knit team of Brexit advisers, which includes Hammond, David Davis, Liam Fox and Boris Johnson, claim the UK economy would be 4.5 percent smaller by 2030 if it leaves the Customs Unio... Read more...
19 October 2016
Cabinet ministers receive stark economic warnings against adopting a 'Norway-style' model The UK could suffer a fall in GDP of 4.5% by 2030 if it leaves the EU customs union. Cabinet ministers were given stark warni... Read more...
Ministers are at loggerheads over whether to quit the European customs union amid warnings it could mean a 4.5 per cent hit to GDP. Papers circulated at a meeting of the Brexit Cabinet committee apparently suggested tha... Read more...
Article by Barbara Petrongolo In the wake of Britains vote to leave the EU, the big debate has switched to what relationship the two should have post-Brexit. Top of the agenda is access to the single market and freedom ... Read more...
18 October 2016
Dennis Novy interviewed live around 8.15pm. The topic analysing the Brexit referendum that was held in June 2016. The interview was about how the Brexit vote outcomes across voting areas in the UK were linked to immigrat... Read more...
The studies, by the Treasury, the thinktank NIESR and the Centre for Economic Performance and London School of Economics, predicted the effect on the British economy if the UK was to opt for a Norway-style model. That wo... Read more...
Foreign direct investment is also much more economically potent than the domestic variety. It brings with it new technological and managerial knowhow that can dramatically boost productivity, according to London School o... Read more...
17 October 2016
CEP research article previously published by Vox referenced in article published in PRC: [8]Swati Dhingra, Thomas Sampson: UK-EU relations after Brexit: What is best for the UK economy? This article was published onlin... Read more...
16 October 2016
Economist Thomas Sampson told The Independent: ''It's important to remember that the exit bill would be a one-off payment and in the longer run it is likely to be dwarfed by the broader economic costs resulting from redu... Read more...
14 October 2016
Fear of an economic meltdown was the biggest weapon in the campaign to stop Britain from leaving the European Union. Ten weeks after the vote, though, some say the fearmongering was overdone. Although the pound has fall... Read more...
18 September 2016
Dennis Novy was interviewed live on LBC radio with Nick Ferrari on 24 August 2016. The topic was Brexit and whether we should have a second referendum. The background was Owen Smith's announcement of having a second refe... Read more...
24 August 2016
Even after the Brexit, Britain will seek economic ties to the EU. But what options are there? What are the costs? And how likely they are? The economists Swati Dinghra and Thomas Sampson of the London School of Economic... Read more...
23 August 2016
Nothing off the table in Brexit negotiations says Centre for Economic Performance's Swati Dhingra. This interview was broadcast by BBC Sheffield (Radio) on August 13, 2016 Link to broadcast here Related publicatio... Read more...
13 August 2016
Throughout the referendum campaign, experts raised serious, well-founded concerns about the potential for Brexit to cause serious economic harm. These went unanswered, because the Leave camp had no answers to offer. Inst... Read more...
10 August 2016
The IFS estimate that single market membership could be worth 4 per cent of GDP by 2030 - or £75bn in today's money But the IFS estimates that retaining single market membership could be potentially worth 4 per ce... Read more...
09 August 2016
The reputed Centre for Economic Performance at LSE has long been studying the potential impact of the United Kingdom leaving the European Union, and just this last week it published its latest report. This report focuses... Read more...
05 August 2016
Article by Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson The UK should join the EEA and remain part of the single market, write Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson The UK has voted to leave the EU, but not in favour of any specific a... Read more...
John Van Reenen of the London School of Econimics forecast costs of Brexit before vote was held One of the UK's top economists has issued a stark warning about the possible economic and social implications of Brexit for... Read more...
04 August 2016
John Van Reenen was disappointed but not surprised by the UK's vote to Leave the EU. Whilst his own research predicts serious economic and political damage in the case of Brexit, he thought a Leave vote was a real possib... Read more...
03 August 2016
02 August 2016
The June 2016 Brexit referendum saw British voters reject membership of the European Union. Now that a decision has been made, it is time to look forward and find the best solutions for the future of both the UK and the ... Read more...
01 August 2016
The 23 June 2016 Brexit vote saw British voters reject membership in the European Union. This column introduces a new VoxEU eBook containing 19 essays written by leading economists on a wide array of topics and from a br... Read more...
What will the arrangement with the EU be? In this video, Swati Dhingra discusses introducing a temporary Norway-like deal. This video is part of the ''Econ after Brexit'' series organised by CEPR and was recorded on 14 J... Read more...
29 July 2016
Swati Dhingra quoted on the impact of Brexit and likely effect on migration. This interview was broadcast on BBC Asian Network on July 27, 2016 Link to broadcast here Related publications Brexit and the Impact of... Read more...
27 July 2016
Professor Curran said said non-tariff barriers could raise costs for NI farmers by between 2% and 4% and a recent study by the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) found that a 2% increase in non-tariff barriers could a... Read more...
Interview with Swati Dhingra on the economic impact of Brexit. The interview was broadcast on BBC Radio 5 Live on July 27, 2016 Link to the programme here Related publications See the complete CEP Brexit Analysis Ser... Read more...
There could be a spike in UK migration ahead of Britain's withdrawal from the European Union and the possible end to free movement rights, MPs have warned. Dr Swati Dhingra, from the London School of Economics, told B... Read more...
When politicians speak of a need to 'control' EU immigration, we should be asking why. The evidence shows that free movement of people is working for all of us. But the available evidence suggests the overall impact of ... Read more...
24 July 2016
Britain's decision to leave the European Union (EU) has prompted international conversation about the economic implications. But widespread interest doesn't mean widespread expertise. Economists tell i about some of th... Read more...
21 July 2016
''Brexit makes the UK a less attractive environment for investment, in particular for businesses that rely on the British approach to the single market,'' said economist Thomas Sampson for Mashable. ''Some companies are... Read more...
20 July 2016
A couple of thoughtful pieces to throw into the melee post-referendum. First Tim Harford in today's FT And to the idea that economists don't know what they are talking about (a new broadly held myth scaled up by the fac... Read more...
Finally, there is the low reputation of economists, the result of a global financial crisis that only a few in the profession warned us against. But the institutes that analysed the risks and rewards of Brexit can hardly... Read more...
The UK Chamber needs to know the details because member shipowners gain their revenue from trade; however, Dr Swati Dhingra, lecturer at the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, brought litt... Read more...
19 July 2016
The dominant narrative suggests it was a 'howl of pain' about immigration, stagnant wages and an out-of-control housing market - but figures suggest that's not really true Statistical work by the labour economists Brian... Read more...
17 July 2016
Wage inequality was partly behind the vote for Brexit. In this video, Brian Bell argues that the consequences of Brexit should be evaluated across the income distribution. This video is part of the ''Econ after Brexit'' ... Read more...
14 July 2016
Immigration was at the heart of the Brexit debate. In this video, Barbara Petrongolo discusses different policies the UK could implement in terms of immigration. This video is part of the ''Econ after Brexit'' series org... Read more...
Various analysis have shown that Brexit will adversely affect Britain's economy. According to the Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, Britain's economy will decrease by 1.3 per cent to 2.6 per cent without considering ... Read more...
12 July 2016
You may have heard the jokes about economists equivocating and squabbling. Ronald Reagan had the best one, about an edition of Trivial Pursuit designed for economists: ''There are 100 questions, 3,000 answers.'' John V... Read more...
Two weeks ago, UK voters took the most important economic decision in a generation. The factual basis for this decision was - to say the least - not quite up to the nation's highest standards of evidence. ... The fragme... Read more...
For example, I have obtained an internal Scottish Enterprise document circulated last week among senior managers declaring the consequences of Brexit for the Scottish manufacturing sector ''to be overwhelmingly negative'... Read more...
09 July 2016
Article by Monica Langella and Alan Manning This article reports the result of an exercise in which the vote share for Leave in the 380 areas of England, Wales and Scotland are regressed on a variety of area characteris... Read more...
07 July 2016
Confusion reigns ... belonging to Europe forced Britain to accept internal migratory movements, students, workers, entrepreneurs, family. Between 1995 and 2015, the number of foreigners from other EU countries increase... Read more...
06 July 2016
Individual demographics had a huge effect in determining the outcome of the referendum, but the characteristics of local areas mattered as well, explain Monica Langella and Alan Manning. Immigration, the decline in manuf... Read more...
Overall, Brexit is likely to have a negative impact on inward FDI. New empirical analysis by Center for Economic Performance implies that leaving the EU will reduce FDI inflows to the UK by around 22 per cent. Such losse... Read more...
03 July 2016
The Society's Annual Conference was held at the University of Sussex, 21-23 March. This report was prepared by Ferdinando Giugliano, focusing on four fields of economic research: development economics; political economy;... Read more...
01 July 2016
For many it is a windfall: according to the research of the Centre for Economic Performance, a research centre, EU migrants are more likely, compared to the local population, to have received a university education or to... Read more...
John Van Reenen, head of the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, said that Britain's Brexit decision will have both short-term and long-term consequences. ''There is a lot of uncertainty ab... Read more...
Economists and political analysts have debated over the long-term effects of the vote on the future of the British economy. Prior to the referendum many warned that Brexit could have dire consequences for Britain, includ... Read more...
30 June 2016
Customs return seems unlikely, according to a recent study (November 2015) of the Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics who bet on the establishment of a free trade agreement. ''However, an in... Read more...
29 June 2016
But the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics sees lasting consequences: the separation of the United Kingdom would without a doubt have a negative impact on foreign direct investment, who the... Read more...
Less than a week after Briton's voted to exit the EU, the worlds second largest telecom company [Vodafone] has announced it is considering moving its headquarters from London to mainland Europe. Vodafone's warning could... Read more...
Top-Okonomen wie John Van Reenen (London School of Economics) erwarten allein durch die Unsicherheit eine sofortige Abkuhlung des Wachstums. Top economists such as John van Reenen (London School of Economics) expect an ... Read more...
28 June 2016
...resultatet av folkomrostningen. Gianluca Benigno, ekonomiprofessor vid London School of Economics, sager att han forst... ...the result of the referendum. Gianluca Benigno, economics professor at the London School ... Read more...
... We could look at the superb work of John Van Reenen and colleagues at the London School of Economics(LSE), of Nick ... This article was published online by The Times on June 28, 2016 Link to article here Related... Read more...
UK's EU exit will make transatlantic trade talks even tougher. ''There's every reason to believe that the right-wing lurch of Brexit could turn the U.K. into a paradise for free market capitalism: a TTIP on steroids,'' ... Read more...
The Prime Minister must now be regretting including the in/out referendum in his earlier election manifesto pledges to win over the far-right votes. Not taking lessons from the close call in the Scottish referendum, he g... Read more...
British unemployment shows the transition graph of the influx immigrants. 2005-2010 immigrant unemployment rate is rapidly increased rather than fell. ©Jonathan Wadsworth, Center for Economic Performance. [Text wit... Read more...
27 June 2016
In the months leading up to Britain's referendum on whether to leave the European Union, many economists warned over and over again that a ''Brexit'' could have awful ripple effects: Britain could lose its favorable acce... Read more...
Meanwhile, Director of the Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, John Van Reenen tell Brexit will give a significant impact in the short-term period. ''Impending situation where business refu... Read more...
FRIDAY was the day when international markets absorbed the shock of the British vote to leave the European Union; a vote that few investors had anticipated. But today, market focus shifted back to the places where the vo... Read more...
Parecidos resultados obtiene para los mismos escenarios el informe del Centre for Economic Performance de la London School of Economics In the three cases the fall of GDP in per cent, following the same order, would be ... Read more...
- Lehman-kraschen kom fran ingenstans, sager John Van Reenen, London School of Economics till New York Times. Det har ar som en tagolycka dar du kan se tagen komma mot varandra pa avstand men hoppas att de ska kunna sty... Read more...
To some Professor Luis Garicano of the London School of Economics is a leading expert in the fields of productivity and industrial organisation, but to many he's the man Queen Elizabeth asked: ''Why did no one see it com... Read more...
We were told that the consensus of economic experts were overwhelmingly opposed to a Brexit. Lauded institutions - from the IMF, OECD to the Treasury and London School of Economics - produced damning forecasts that ran... Read more...
Millions of words on the topic - including economists' majority view that leaving the bloc will slow growth and the Leave campaign's counterarguments that Britain will prosper - could be replaced by seven charts. The... Read more...
''IMMIGRATION, immigration, immigration'', shouted a headline in the Sun, a right-wing tabloid newspaper, the week that Britain voted to leave the European Union. It followed weeks of campaigning from the Leave side assu... Read more...
John Van Reenen, Professor at the London School of Economics, said on Friday in an interview issued by the American channel CNBC that the companies ''will not want to take investment decisions because they have uncertain... Read more...
26 June 2016
Why did so many millions of people vote to leave the European Union? ... Some new research by the labour market economists Brian Bell and Stephen Machin, seen by The Independent, suggests the Leave vote tended to be big... Read more...
What does the UK's decision to leave the European Union mean for the future of the single market? Economists talk of sustained market turbulence, devaluations and an imminent recession, but will it be Britain or the ... Read more...
According to John Van Reenen, Director of the Center for Economic Performance who said: "the same phenomenon will occur as being ''dubious'' in a period when businesses don't like to take new decisions or new invest... Read more...
25 June 2016
In an interview to CNBC, John Van Reenen, director of the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics said the short-term impacts would be painful: ''You get a rabbit-in-the-headlights phenomenon wh... Read more...
Now that the UK has voted to leave the EU, one of the biggest remaining questions is how it will affect the British economy. Hari Sreenivasan sits down with London School of Economics professor Swati Dhingra, who has bee... Read more...
Last night, as it became clear that Britain had voted to exit the European Union, Google Trends reported a 250 percent spike in searches for ''what happens if we leave the EU?'' Markets are crashing around the world, Pr... Read more...
24 June 2016
According to an analysis, Brexit and the impact on immigration, published by the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, EU immigrants are ''more educated, younger, more likely to be in work an... Read more...
The decision left the United Kingdom society of the European Union does indeed have fueled new uncertainty. ''Businessmen reluctant to take new decisions or affect investments, because of the uncertainty for the future,'... Read more...
First views on the global economic impact of such episode refer to one (even minor) world growth rate. Thus for example claimed John Van Reenen of the London School of Economics, who said the effect ''disincentive'' to i... Read more...
In crudest outlines, the panic that followed Britain's vote to quit the European Union traced the 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers, an event that turned an unfolding financial crisis into the bleakest economic downturn s... Read more...
The parallels between Brexit backers and Trumps supporters is clear. Trump's campaign targets manufacturing towns across America, frequently expressing the need to reject globalism and put ''America first''. In Britain, ... Read more...
''You're going to see in increase in consumer prices from Brexit and most of that is going to hit the middle income,'' Swati Dhingra, assistant professor at LSE's Department of Economics and Centre for Economic Performan... Read more...
Thomas Sampson, economiste a la London School of Economics, est coauteur d'une etude sur le cout du Brexit pour les menages britanniques. Thomas Sampson answers questions on the possible consequences of a vote for Brex... Read more...
Minford said that the economy would be more dynamic and more efficient now that we're out of the EU. Swati Dhingra disagreed, saying that the economy would suffer because of a shallower pool of talent from other EU co... Read more...
So we've decided to take a leap and vote to leave the EU. What is it going to mean for you and your money? We've voted. The decision has been made. We're out of the European Union, in a move that has triggered the Pri... Read more...
The world map has been redrawn with the rules of commerce across Europe, the largest marketplace on earth. Britain's vote on Thursday to leave the European Union has set in motion an unprecedented and unpredictable proce... Read more...
Dennis Novy interviewed by Turkish TV News Channel, discussing the economic impact for the UK of the Brexit vote. This interview was broadcast by TRT World (Turkey) TV on June 24, 2016 Link to the broadcast here S... Read more...
Swati Dhingra: ''Europe doesn't matter a good deal with the United Kingdom in the case of Brexit'' The British economy will go down between 1.4% and 2.6% in pessimistic scenario. And life won't be made easier with havin... Read more...
23 June 2016
Brexit: whatever happens, uncertainty is the only certainty Il LSE Centre for Economic Performance ha esaminato l'analisi economica del prof. Patrick Minford, celebre economista pro-Brexit, e l'ha bocciata senza appello... Read more...
Few expect that Britain's departure from Europe will set off a full financial crisis like the one seen after the collapse of the investment banking giant Lehman Brothers in 2008. ... If no deal is struck, the rules of t... Read more...
Paul Henry talks with Adam Drummond, Opinium research manager, followed by Swati Dhingra, lecturer at the London School of Economics, on the Brexit. How are the polls looking, and what economical fallout could face the U... Read more...
Research by the London School of Economics in the report ''Life After Brexit'' is warning Britain would most likely fall into recession if it leaves, as a myriad of agreements unravel over several years. French launch #O... Read more...
By the end of the campaign, the heads of Britain's most respected economic think-tanks issued a joint statement, so worried were they that the message had failed to connect. Paul Johnson, head of the Institute for Fiscal... Read more...
A feeling of anger and frustration with the European Union is strongest in areas of Britain that have seen wages stagnate in recent years, according to research commissioned by the Financial Times. Two leading labour... Read more...
The whole world is eager to know the result of Brexit poll on Thursday. The result could have far economic consequences for the EU and the rest of the world. The greater consequences are more subtle, gradual, and global.... Read more...
Dennis Novy interviewed on live programme broadcast by Canadian TV news channel, focusing on the economic impact of a Brexit vote. This interview was broadcast by CTV News (Canada) on June 23, 2016 Link to broadcast ... Read more...
Meanwhile, the Institute for Fiscal Studies, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research and the Centre for Economic Performance issued a final joint warning that Britain will ''almost certainly'' be worse off... Read more...
22 June 2016
If Brexit passes, Britain will change considerably: border controls may be enacted for Northern Ireland for the first time in nearly a century, immigration to the UK would be sharply curtailed, and Britain's economic str... Read more...
Foreign investment brings many benefits to the UK, including higher pay and productivity. But a Brexit vote could end it all, write Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen. First, not being... Read more...
There is little evidence to support the former. Roughly 2.2 million EU nationals work in the UK, comprising 6.6% of the workforce, according to the FT report. Another report from the London School of Economics and Centre... Read more...
The UK Treasury's estimate forecasts trade volumes declining by between 14% and 19% by 2030 in comparison to their current trajectory, on the assumption that the UK agrees a bilateral trade deal with the EU similar to th... Read more...
And while some experts argue that FDI is high in the UK due to a favourable business environment, others, such as the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, suggest that ''being fully in the s... Read more...
The Institute for Fiscal Studies, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research and the Centre for Economic Performance have all predicted lower real wages in the event of Brexit, higher prices for goods and ser... Read more...
A Leave vote in tomorrow's referendum would ''almost certainly make us financially worse off'' and could cut the UKs GDP by up to 8% - equivalent to £5,760 for every household in the country - a group of respecte... Read more...
In a dramatic escalation of Tory infighting earlier, Mr Cameron told Sky News: 'To hear the Leave campaign today sort of comparing independent experts and economists to Nazi sympathisers - I think they have rather lost ... Read more...
Professor John Van Reenen, Director of the Centre for Economic Performance on panel discussing the economics of Brexit. The discussion was broadcast by Sky News at 10pm on June 22, 2016 Link to broadcast here Relate... Read more...
The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) and Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) ... This article was published online by Juice Brighton (Radio) on June 22, ... Read more...
Facts appear not to be a major priority for many Leave voters. That is clear when you look at science. In a ComRes poll of 1,616 prospective voters, Leave supporters were revealed to be much more likely to question scien... Read more...
The Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics finds that EU immigrants to Britain are better educated and more likely to ... This article was published online by The Wall Street Journal on Ju... Read more...
Britain never joined the euro currency union, freeing it of all sorts of complicated policy commitments that the rest of the EU is obliged to abide by. But despite staying on the pound, Britain still has full access to E... Read more...
Three leading economic institutes have made a joint statement about what they think will happen if we leave the EU. We have published what they said below. Here's what the IFS, NIESR, and the Centre for... Read more...
21 June 2016
The heads of three leading economic think-tanks warned of the dire consequences of leaving the EU. The analysis by National Institute of Economic and Social Research, Institute for Fiscal Studies and Centre for Economic ... Read more...
Three UK economic think tanks issued their final warning about the countrys post-Brexit future just days before the referendum on EU membership, local media reported Tuesday. MOSCOW (Sputnik) - The think tanks includ... Read more...
The economic impacts of Britain leaving the EU With the referendum fast approaching, Thomas Sampson analyses the economic consequences should Britain vote to leave the European Union. Proponents of Brexit, as leaving ... Read more...
As the rival campaigns entered the final straight, independent economists from three of Britain's leading institutions issued a final warning that a vote for Brexit would hit wages and lead to higher retail prices and bo... Read more...
Today Morning Trade talks Brexit and the future of U.K. trade policy with Swati Dhingra, a lecturer in economics at the London School of Economics and a member of the trade research program of the Institutions's Center f... Read more...
The economic consequences of leaving the EU have been a central focus of the referendum campaign. As June 23 draws near, Jagjit Chadha, Paul Johnson and John Van Reenen bring together the conclusions from their research ... Read more...
We are economists who care about Britain and its future. We feel compelled to speak out on the risks of Leaving and opportunities from Remaining in the EU. If Britain votes to Leave we believe that: • A recessio... Read more...
According to Thomas Sampson, assistant professor at the Department of Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), an exit scenario would hit the country's economy really hard. Talking to Sputnik, h... Read more...
20 June 2016
The UK is also the top destination for foreign direct investment in Europe and ranked as one of the most attractive FDI markets in the world. But investment would tumble at least 22 per cent over the next decade in the e... Read more...
The IMF, the Bank of England, the Treasury, the OECD, the London School of Economics and many more are... (no link available) This article was published by the Western Daily Press on June 20, 2016 [No link available] ... Read more...
Three leading British economists have warned that leaving the EU would 'almost certainly' damage the UK's economic prospects. The trio, Jagjit Chadha, the director of the National Institute of Economic and Social Resear... Read more...
Thomas Sampson is from the London School Of Economics and has recently authored a paper called, Economists for Brexit: A Critique. He says Britain would be stronger by remaining in the EU. This interview was broadcas... Read more...
19 June 2016
The most serious problem of staying outside any EU trade agreement is the serious impact this might have on foreign direct investment into the UK. Being in the single market makes the UK attractive as a base for exporter... Read more...
Thomas Sampson interviewed on what may happen following a vote for Brexit. The interview was broadcast on the Last Week Tonight with John Oliver show on June 19, 2016 Link to broadcast here [Interview begins at 10:33] ... Read more...
All or nothing at all What sort of deal might that new leader try to get? Some want no deal at all. A group called Economists for Brexit (EFB) suggests simply abolishing all import tariffs. The ensuing rise in trade, ... Read more...
18 June 2016
In addition, ''agreements with third countries would be predictably less beneficial for the United Kingdom if it negotiated them alone rather than as part of the European Union,'' he told Dr Swati Dhingra, Economist at t... Read more...
Then there is the question of the effect on Britain's trade with other regions if it is no longer governed by agreements negotiated by the European Union. Eurosceptics assume those agreements dilute Britain's interests b... Read more...
17 June 2016
As June 23 looms closer and closer and Britain makes the ultimate decision whether it should stay in the European Union or go it alone, a recent thorough analysis by Holger Breinlich, Swati Dhingra, Thomas Sampson and Jo... Read more...
A different approach is to estimate how prices for different things would be affected, and then compare this to spending patterns across different income brackets and household types. Using this approach, the ... Read more...
16 June 2016
Things to read about Brexit Below is a selection of informative things to read about Brexit that can help you decide. Please suggest your own in comments, but you cannot post links there. You can send links to editor... Read more...
The failure to make a case for the E.U. had left a big opportunity for Johnson and Nigel Farage, the head of the U.K. Independence Party, to argue that Britain doesn't get anything out of its membership except bureaucrat... Read more...
Last year, a report from the Bank of England supported his comment, suggesting that the wages of low-paid employees in catering, hospitality and care have been driven down by increased competition from EU workers. How... Read more...
15 June 2016
The thinking behind the predictions about Britain's future outside the EU Very costly in all scenarios: Centre for Economic Performance The prediction: A hit to trade in all likely scenarios will bring GDP 6.3-9.5 ... Read more...
Relevant studies, among other things by the Bertelsmann Foundation in collaboration with the Ifo Institute, the Center for economic performance at the London School of Economics and the rating agency Standard & Poor's, c... Read more...
14 June 2016
Experts at the Treasury, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), and the London School of Economics have all found that remaining a part of the EEA would pose the least severe economic risk to the... Read more...
11 June 2016
Study after study confirms that EU migrants have an overwhelmingly positive effect on the British economy. They have a higher employment rate (78.2%) than people born in the UK (72.5%), those from Poland and other A8 acc... Read more...
10 June 2016
What consequences will Britain's EU referendum have for both the UK and the rest of Europe? In a series of papers published as a collaboration between EUROPP and CIDOB (the Barcelona Centre for International Affairs), LS... Read more...
09 June 2016
Pro-EU forces have warned that if Britain votes to exit the union on June 23, the country could lose almost a million jobs. Recruiters say the damage has already begun. ''Companies are pushing the pause button,'' said Ki... Read more...
Economists for Brexit, argues that such an alternative exists. It rejects post-exit deals with the EU and instead recommends unilateral free trade and reliance for market access on the rules of the World Trade Organisati... Read more...
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance calculates long-term costs to Britain of lower trade with the EU could be as high as 9.5% of GDP. Leave campaign-supporting economists have as yet not done ... Read more...
''There's too much wrong information'' Interview with Swati Dhingra How will the British vote on June 23? Swati Dhingra, lecturer in economics at the London School of Economics, has examined the possible effects of a B... Read more...
07 June 2016
In this week's EU referendum Q&A our panel discuss how a Brexit could affect the costs facing UK businesses: Would UK businesses be more or less competitive in the global market if we choose to leave? Swati Dhingra ... Read more...
Numbers are being thrown around by the Vote Leave and Vote Remain campaigns like they're going out of fashion - but what do the experts say and can we trust them? Six out of seven reports predict a Brexit will hurt us ... Read more...
06 June 2016
That leaving the EU would damage the overall economy is now being treated as more of a fact than a speculation. But those for Brexit argue that the rich will be negatively affected while the poor will benefit. This is no... Read more...
03 June 2016
Even aside from the economic consequences of a Leave vote (and read this LSE demolition of the Brexit case), the immediate future for Britain could be very ugly indeed. This article was published by The Economist on... Read more...
Middle and low income households will be poorer because of Brexit - not just the rich, write Holger Breinlich, Swati Dhingra, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen. This article was published online by the LSE Business Re... Read more...
02 June 2016
Myth: EU immigrants are taking Brits' jobs InFact: Researchers at Oxford, the LSE and NIESR agree; immigration doesn't affect British employment. Meanwhile, Brexit would hit jobs. Intuitively, if immigrants are takin... Read more...
01 June 2016
Stop everything! According to the OECD, the forum of economic reflection of developed countries, the United Kingdom would lose 5% of its GDP in the 15 years to come slamming the door of the European Union. Treasury, Brit... Read more...
Also in the programme, just three weeks from the British referendum on leaving the European Union, we bring together two leading economists, Roger Bootle of Capital Economics, and Professor John Van Reenan from the Londo... Read more...
Economics experts have blasted key assumptions underpinning the Brexit campaign's financial arguments in favour of leaving the EU. The report by the London School of Economics and Political Science's Centre for Econ... Read more...
The LSE's Centre for Economic Performance said earlier this month that a reduction in immigration into the U.K. if the country votes for a Brexit wouldn't lead to any improvement in living standards for those born in Bri... Read more...
31 May 2016
The EU referendum debate has started to focus on the economic fallout of a leave vote for the UK - and also for Europe. Research from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) released in April su... Read more...
30 May 2016
...financial arguments in favour of leaving the EU. The report by the London School of Economics and Political... This article was published by the Lancashire Evening Post on May 30, 2016 (no link available) Relat... Read more...
What issues have the greatest negative impact on UK businesses? Both sides of the debate have argued that there is either too much or very little EU red tape. These confusing arguments haven't helped to clarify the ... Read more...
Britons would benefit from lower prices if the U.K. left the European Union, according to Patrick Minford, a professor at Cardiff University and co-chairman of Economists for Brexit. According to Minford, t... Read more...
27 May 2016
The possibility of the UK leaving the European Union (EU) has generated an unusual degree of consensus among economists. Acrimony and rancour surrounded debates around austerity and joining the euro, but analysis from th... Read more...
Claim Being in Europe means lower prices in UK shops, saving the average UK household over £350 a year. If we left Europe, your weekly shop could cost more. Conclusion This isn’t the impact of b... Read more...
23 May 2016
Claim Leaving the EU would cost the average UK household at least £850 a year, and potentially as much as £1,700, according to research released by the London School of Economics. Conclusion The... Read more...
Responding to Hilton’s article, Javid said: “Steve is entitled to his view … the central issue here is that economically, we are far better off being part of this single market … Now you have the Bank of England, the IMF... Read more...
According to Dennis Novy, Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Warwick: ''TTIP has the potential to benefit millions of consumers. It goes far beyond an economic project. Its current timetable seems ambi... Read more...
20 May 2016
''The pro-Brexit argument that Britain will be free of lots of regulations, that there will be a bonfire of red tape that will cause us to grow rapidly and we'll strike lots of new trade deals as this buccaneering new En... Read more...
The most recent research from the centre for economic performance at the London School of Economics says ''the areas of the UK with large increases in EU immigration did not suffer greater falls in the jobs and pay of UK... Read more...
Jane Collins, employment spokesman for the pro-Brexit United Kingdom Independence party, said the 2.1m EU nationals working in Britain were ''a huge boon to multinational companies who can exploit the oversupply of labou... Read more...
18 May 2016
As the EU referendum draws closer, our expert panel answers a question from one of our readers about the potential effect on small businesses' intellectual property. What would Brexit mean for my business's intellectual... Read more...
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance calculates the long-term costs to Britain of lower trade with the EU could be as high as 9.5 per cent of GDP, while the fall in foreign investment could cos... Read more...
17 May 2016
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance calculates that the long-term costs to Britain of lower trade with the EU could be as high as 9.5% of GDP, while the fall in foreign investment could cost 3... Read more...
16 May 2016
With so many heavyweights, from Barack Obama to Mark Carney, saying that we will be worse off with Brexit, why are the polls still neck and neck? There seem to me two reasonable explanations: that the tabloid media have ... Read more...
...of England, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, London School of Economics and Confederation of ... This broadcast was made by Wessex FM on May 14, 2016 (no link available) Related publ... Read more...
14 May 2016
The prime minister, campaigning in his Oxfordshire constituency, said people had 40 days to make up their minds about which side to take in what would be ''the choice of a generation''. Urging people to take on board war... Read more...
A major argument of the Leave campaign is that Brexit would give the UK more control over the flow of EU immigrants, who have supposedly hurt the jobs and pay of British workers. Research by Jonathan Wadsworth, Swati Dhi... Read more...
13 May 2016
According to various studies at the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) of the London School of Economics, Brexit does reduce the fiscal deficit. That would be, according to CEP, the main benefit. The principal cost wo... Read more...
Brexit uncertainty ''would tend to push up risk premia'', as InFacts has already pointed out. Funding costs for banks could go up, as would borrowing costs for homeowners and consumers. The UK's current account deficit i... Read more...
12 May 2016
There is little evidence that more migrants push wages down or unemployment up. Economists from the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics say that when they look at the areas with the largest ... Read more...
I've become extremely pessimistic about the Leave campaign lately as it has latched on to Faragist arguments about immigration as a major reason to get out of the EU. This is not just naive liberalism - on virtually eve... Read more...
Article by Jonathan Wadsworth, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen Many people believe immigration wave has hurt UK workers and think that leaving the EU would make things better. To investigate this ... Read more...
11 May 2016
In another development, the London School of Economic said a reduction in immigration if the country votes to leave wouldn't lead to any improvement in living standards for those born in Britain. ''Cuts in EU immigration... Read more...
Research blames 2008 recession for lower real salaries rather than rise in foreign workers, adding they paid more into UK economy than they took out The rapid increase in migration from other EU countries has not had an... Read more...
Contrary to what some believe, inequality, wages and job opportunities for British-born citizens have not been negatively impacted by the recent surge in migrants from the EU, a new study suggests. Published by the... Read more...
Article by Jonathan Wadsworth, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen A major argument of the campaign to leave the EU is that Brexit would give the UK more control over the flow of immigrants from acros... Read more...
State of Working Britain blog, article posted by Jonathan Wadsworth Immigration has for some years been the uppermost worry among the issues thought to be facing Britain in many opinion polls so it - or rather people's... Read more...
A reduction in immigration into the U.K. if the country votes to leave the European Union next month wouldn't lead to any improvement in living standards for those born in Britain, according to research from the London S... Read more...
Dennis Novy interviewed, speaking about the true cost of Brexit - how British expats are divided over Brexit. The interview was recorded and broadcast by DW Business News on May 5, 2016 Link to broadcast here [intervi... Read more...
05 May 2016
As an economist, diplomat and secretary-general of the OECD, you might expect Angel Gurria to offer a dry, academic assessment of global issues. Not when it comes to Britain leaving the European Union. On Wednesday, ... Read more...
28 April 2016
A UK exit from the EU would immediately hit confidence and raise uncertainty which would result in GDP being 3% lower by 2020, which equates to GBP 2200 per household. An OECD report released this morning states that suc... Read more...
A group of eight well known economists have released a report under the banner of Economists for Brexit, explaining how they think leaving the EU would be good for the UK economy. They predict that, in 2020, the UK ec... Read more...
Today eight economists have struck out against much mainstream economic thinking and suggested that the UK economy would flourish outside the European Union. They are up against formidable opposition - what those who su... Read more...
The consensus among economists that Britain's departure from the EU would damage its economy was broken on Thursday with the publication of a pamphlet from Economists for Brexit. This rejected the ''economic nonsense'' o... Read more...
''Leaving the EU would impose a Brexit tax on generations to come,'' says OECD Secretary-General Angel Gurria. ''Instead of funding public services, this tax would be a pure deadweight loss, with no economic benefit.'' ... Read more...
The OECD published a report analysing the economic consequences of a UK exit from the EU. Presenting the findings of the report at the London School of Economics this morning, Gurria described the impact of leaving the E... Read more...
27 April 2016
Mention of OECD Brexit event hosted by CEP. The news item was broadcast by Channel 4 News on April 27, 2016 Link to news broadcast here See also BBC Radio 4 Today Angel Gurria (OECD) interviewed. [Link no longe... Read more...
The UK will pay a heavy price if it votes to leave the EU on June 23, the OECD, an economic forum of mainly rich countries, said on Wednesday. ''Our conclusion is unequivocal. The UK is much stronger as a part of Europe,... Read more...
Less than two months before Britain's historic vote over whether to remain in the European Union, voters remain deeply divided over the decision. But among economists, there is little question that a so-called Brexit wou... Read more...
Thinktank predicts leaving EU would lead to damaging trade barriers and immigration slowdown, with limited economic benefits Angel Gurria, secretary-general of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, ... Read more...
There is a long-running joke that if you laid all the world's economists end to end they would never reach a conclusion. But the debate over whether the UK should leave the EU is generating more consensus in the dismal... Read more...
US PRESIDENT Barack Obama is expected to give a major boost to the Remain campaign tomorrow by backing David Cameron's call for Britain to stay in the European Union. Earlier this week the Treasury published analysis su... Read more...
21 April 2016
Britain's postwar record on productivity can be split into two periods: pre and post Margaret Thatcher. Prior to Thatcher, output per hour in Britain was growing more slowly than France, Germany and the US, according to ... Read more...
20 April 2016
Swati Dhingra interviewed about Brexit. The interview was broadcast by BBC Radio 5 Live at 10:30pm on April 19, 2016 [No link available.] Related publications See the complete set of CEP Brexit Analysis research ... Read more...
19 April 2016
A report from the London School of Economics on April 15 estimated that foreign investment in the UK could fall 22% over the next decade. It is of course feasible that business and investment will later return to Britain... Read more...
A very awkward fact for the Brexit campaign is that in the last quarter of 2015, Britain's current-account deficit hit a record 7 per cent of GDP. That needs to be financed. But the risk of Brexit is already acting like ... Read more...
You can quibble with the numbers. You always can. But the impact of leaving the European Union is clear: it would make Britain poorer. You don't need to take the Treasury's word for it. (And no, they didn't support ... Read more...
How does the Treasury estimate for “losses” compare with other economists’? Many independent economists have suggests some reduction in GDP growth from Brexit, and a few have suggested po... Read more...
18 April 2016
John Van Reenen interviewed about Brexit. The interview was broadcast by BBC 1 News at 6pm and again at 10pm on April 18, 2016 (no link available) Related publications See the complete set of CEP Brexit Analysi... Read more...
John Van Reenen, director of the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, defended the Treasury analysis as a ''serious piece of work'', which was in line with other independent studies. ''The T... Read more...
British finance minister George Osborne said on Monday that a vote to leave the European Union could cost each household 4,300 pounds ($6,100) a year by the early 2030s. Following is a look at how he reached this conc... Read more...
THERE is much dispute in the Brexit debate over the economic effects of leaving the EU. Even Brexiteers accept that there would be some short-term costs from uncertainty, but they claim that in the long run Britain could... Read more...
The Treasury's 200-page Brexit analysis was published on April 17, 2016. The analysis referred to the Centre for Economic Performance's Brexit Analysis Series. A recent study by the London School of Economics (LSE) Cent... Read more...
Article by John Van Reenen Many people are considering the personal financial impact of EU membership, and LSE academics have crunched the vital numbers By referendum day on 23 June, all voters will have to weigh up wh... Read more...
The Treasury will publish details of its long-term economic assessment of EU membership on Britain's economy and prosperity on Monday, but the approach the Treasury has taken is clear from a George Osborne article in the... Read more...
17 April 2016
Leaving the EU could lead to a fall in inward foreign direct investment of close to a quarter, writes CEP team: Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen. ... Read more...
15 April 2016
Article by John Van Reenen Foreign investors love Britain, but Brexit would kill the vibe. According to new research colleagues and I have conducted at the Centre for Economic Performance, leaving the European Union cou... Read more...
The loss of income per household from reduced trade and lower productivity that would result from the UK voting to leave the European Union could be similar to the decline in UK GDP during the global financial crisis, ac... Read more...
Whether Britain loses access to the single market depends on the terms of any exit. Under the optimistic scenario, Britain would join the European Economic Area as non-member countries like Norway and Switzerland have do... Read more...
Leaving the European Union would reduce flows of foreign direct investment (FDI) into the UK by more than a fifth, damaging productivity and lowering people's incomes, according to new research released today by LSE's Ce... Read more...
…but economists think that leaving would come at some economic cost The FT also reviewed three recently published studies, by the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, Pr... Read more...
13 April 2016
A leaflet being sent out by Britain Stronger in Europe says: ''Jobs at risk, higher prices and your family worse off by at least £850 a year if we leave Europe.'' Is that figure true? The £850 per household ... Read more...
Article by Swati Dhingra Like the Out campaigners of the 1970s, Brexit supporters believe EU membership is bad for British workers and the British economy but the data tells another story This article was published onl... Read more...
12 April 2016
Brexit will affect British trade and living standards Article by Swati Dhingra, Hanwei Huang, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen Smaller turnover in foreign trade in the wake of weaker integration ... Read more...
There is a wide consensus that leaving the EU would come at some economic cost. For example, every year the Financial Times surveys a group of over 100 economists. Similarly, a recent gathering of economists at the Royal... Read more...
11 April 2016
Article by Swati, Dhingra, Hanwei Huang, Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen The economic consequences of leaving the EU are at the heart of the Brexit debate. This column studies how changes in... Read more...
04 April 2016
The Center for Economic Performance, at the London School of Economics, which sees itself neutral, says the worst-case scenario in the event of a vote to leave the bloc is a 6.3 percent to 9.5 percent reduction in G.D.P.... Read more...
02 April 2016
The Center for Economic Performance, at the London School of Economics, which sees itself neutral, says the worst-case scenario in the event of a vote to leave the bloc is a 6.3 percent to 9.5 percent reduction in GDP, '... Read more...
A vote to leave the European Union in the June 23 referendum could hamper efforts to make it easier and cheaper to do business in the bloc, potentially costing service providers billions of pounds, analysts and trade exp... Read more...
01 April 2016
David Cameron has mocked eurosceptics for failing to work together as a new report claims each British family pays £200 a year less thanks to the European Union. ... Meanwhile a report produced by the Centre for E... Read more...
31 March 2016
On 23 June, the UK will decide whether or not to leave the EU. While the general population is divided on the issue, the overall consensus among economists at a session on Brexit at the Royal Economic Society's annual co... Read more...
30 March 2016
UK's exit from the European Union (EU) - the Brexit - could cost the UK economy £100 billion and 950,000 jobs by 2020, pointed out a PwC-made report commissioned by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) whose... Read more...
29 March 2016
Hunt argues that, with the NHS budget already under huge pressure, funding levels can only be maintained if the British economy remains strong. He cites a series of economic surveys, including from the CBI, the London Sc... Read more...
26 March 2016
The Centre for Economic Performance at LSE released a report last week that also states that British living standards and trade will be damaged if an ''out'' vote wins the referendum. In their research, the body states t... Read more...
22 March 2016
Is Britain better off outside the EU? Over the past four days, three economic research groups have attempted to answer that question. All recognise the question is difficult because no one knows what relationship the UK ... Read more...
CEP's Swati Dhingra among experts weighing up the possible scenarios for a UK shoe company importing from Spain The EU is Britain's largest trade partner. If Britain votes to leave the EU, the government has not clarifi... Read more...
National income may fall between 1.3% and 2.6%, writes a Centre for Economic Performance team Those who say that leaving the EU is a win-win because Britons will both feel more free and become a lot richer are not being... Read more...
How do we tally the economic consequences of Brexit? ... What matters is the quality of the jobs that Britons will work in outside versus inside the EU. For material well-being, that depends largely on whether the UK's ... Read more...
For over two years, a research team at the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) has been studying the likely impact of the UK leaving the European Union. Their latest report focuses on the impact of 'Brexit' through cha... Read more...
21 March 2016
The CBI also said savings from reduced contributions to the EU's budget and regulation would be greatly outweighed by the negative impact on trade and investment. Last week a report by the Centre for Economic Performance... Read more...
In this extract from the LSE Centre for Economic Performance's second briefing paper on Brexit, Swati Dhingra, John van Reenen, Thomas Sampson and Gianmarco Ottaviano conclude that - in the most optimistic scenario - UK ... Read more...
19 March 2016
A British exit from the European Union would wipe as much as 6,400 pounds ($9,300) from average household incomes in the U.K. as trade deals sour, according to research by the London School of Economics. &ldqu... Read more...
18 March 2016
Leaving the EU would cost UK households at least £850 a year each, according to research that prompted a furious response from Brexit supporters on Friday. The economists at the Centre for Economic Performance at t... Read more...
A vote to leave the European Union would spark a 'constitutional crisis' that could put the future of the UK at risk, according to the Welsh First Minister. In an exclusive interview with The Independent, Welsh leader Ca... Read more...
The UK leaving the European Union would knock £850 off the average UK household's income, according to a report from the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London School of Economics. And that's its concl... Read more...
'We are required to help refugees despite costs' De opvang van de vluchtelingen zal de Europese welvaartsstaten niet onder druk zetten. Dat stellen twee topprofessoren in het onderzoek naar migratie, Klaus Zimmermann en... Read more...
15 March 2016
Looking into FDI (foreign direct investment), the London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance determined that if the UK could reach favorable free trade agreements with the EU after a Brexit, it will lose... Read more...
In the run up to the vote on June 23 we'll be putting a selection of your questions to our panel, which includes business groups, academics, trade experts and journalists. The panel includes: Swati Dhingra is an assista... Read more...
WHAT BRITISH THINK ABOUT BREXIT CNC has asked Dr. Swati Dhingra, Assistant Professor at London School of Economics and Political Science, on the benefits and risks of a Brexit for the UK. SOUNDBITE (ENGLISH): Dr. SWA... Read more...
14 March 2016
Although the report also raised as an option Britain signing onto the North American Free Trade Agreement, report co-author Swati Dhingra said she does not envisage that happening. Even if it did, Dhingra said, it would ... Read more...
A separate report by the London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance has called on parties and politicians to publish their plans for a post-Brexit world, as well as their policy manifestos, ahead of the ... Read more...
11 March 2016
With both campaigns heating up ahead of June's referendum on EU membership, Reuters Jacob Greaves has spoken to a leading economist - CEP's Thomas Sampson - about the truth behind some political claims. This video i... Read more...
10 March 2016
London is not representative of the entire economy of Britain, however; leaving the European Union would cause a large economic shock. The Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics predicted a 6.3... Read more...
07 March 2016
The London School of Economics' Center for Economic Policy[sic] has calculated that, even if trade barriers with other European countries do not significantly increase, per capita income in Britain will fall by between 1... Read more...
05 March 2016
Article by Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson All scenarios embody very different visions of the country's future place in the world, write Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson. To make an informed decision on the merits of l... Read more...
Article by Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson In June, UK voters will decide whether to remain part of the EU. This column explores the UK's options if a majority votes in favour of Brexit. One possibility is for the UK, ... Read more...
04 March 2016
Dr Swati Dhingra interviewed on freetrade This interview was broadcast by BBC Radio Nottingham on March 3, 2016 Link to broadcast here Also on various other local BBC regional stations Related publications Th... Read more...
03 March 2016
Dr Swati Dhingra discusses the concept of free trade. The interview was broadcast by BBC Radio 5 Live News on March 3, 2016 Link to recorded interview here Also on eight other local BBC radio stations. Related Li... Read more...
Listen to CEP's Dr Swati Dhingra speaking on the EU's role in the UK economy. This interview was broadcast on BBC 5 Live - Up All Night programme on March 3, 2016 Link to broadcast here (from 17m02s) Related link... Read more...
For sceptics and fans of Europe alike, 2016 promises to be the year of reckoning for Britain's position in (or out) of the EU. But now the options of membership have been put before the electorate - following David Came... Read more...
26 February 2016
Analysis by the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics has also dismissed the Leave campaign analysis that the UK economy would be unaffected. It considered an ''optimistic scenario'' with sma... Read more...
25 February 2016
''London is going to be worse hit than other places,'' said Swati Dhingra, an economist specializing in trade at the London School of Economics, describing the city's deep connections with European trading partners and f... Read more...
22 February 2016
Article by Swati Dhingra During the run up to this referendum, much has been said about the political consequences of leaving the EU (so-called 'Brexit'). But less attention is given to the economic consequences of Brex... Read more...
09 February 2016
Dr Thomas Sampson from the Centre for Economic Performance says the EU accounts for about half of all UK trade. This interview was broadcast by Sky News Tonight on January 25, 2016 Link to interview here Related pub... Read more...
25 January 2016
The CBI estimates that leaving the EU would, ''conservatively'' have a significant net negative impact on the UK economy of £78bn annually, or about 4-5 percent of GDP. However, others have made more dire predictio... Read more...
21 January 2016
John Van Reenen interviewed by ITN A group of economists from the LSE have tried to model the effect Brexit would have on trade. Interestingly, they concluded that even in the best-case scenario Britain would face subst... Read more...
17 December 2015
Some experts suggest it is more likely than not the UK will vote to leave. LSE Professor John Van Reenen, director of the Centre for Economic Performance, put the chance of an ''Out'' vote at 54%, with very wide uncertai... Read more...
12 October 2015
The Centre of Economic Performance (known as the CEP) claim that Britain could have its GDP fall by 8%. In essence, the CEP claim that in a worst case scenario Britain could face loses similar to the ones that were exper... Read more...
09 July 2015
In the following op-ed, 13 prominent economists from around the world call on Greece to sign a credible agreement with the Europeans immediately. CEP's Professor Christopher Pissarides, Nobel Laureate, London School of ... Read more...
29 June 2015
Dennis Novy gave a live interview, commenting on the dramatic developments on Greece and the Eurozone crisis. The interview was broadcast by Al Jazeera on their ''Newshour'' Programme Link to the interview here [Star... Read more...
28 June 2015
''I don't understand what kind of economics they have in their minds, or who is deciding that this is economics,'' said Christopher Pissarides, a Nobel prizewinner at the London School of Economics. ''Who is going to inv... Read more...
Yet not only would it take years for the UK to reach new agreements, it is not as likely to strike a good deal. The ''UK's bargaining position would be much weaker as it would be negotiating over access to its own market... Read more...
23 June 2015
Deutsche Bank has been the first one to fire a warning shot over the UK vote to leave the EU, but others are certainly already preparing too, says Dr. Dennis Novy, associate professor in the department of Economics at th... Read more...
16 June 2015
One of the main arguments employed by those in favour of remaining in the EU is simply how difficult it would prove to leave. We are deeply integrated with our European allies - economically, militarily and culturally. ... Read more...
19 April 2015
En el otro lado, el economista Luis Garicano, tambien de la London School of Economics, advirtio de los ''brutales costes de un divorcio a las bravas'', pero dejo tambien un duro ataque a la actitud del Ejecutivo de Mari... Read more...
02 September 2014