Skip to main content
Boris Johnson’s Brexit plan would leave knock up to £50bn off the economy and leave everyone in the UK £2,000 worse off, new analysis has found. The Academic think-tank The UK in a Changing Europe sa... Read more...
13 October 2019
Brexit, national income per capita in the UK to drop On June 23, a referendum MIT faculty member, Professor John Van Reenen advocated keeping Britain in the EU. ... Read more...
08 February 2017
May’s speech suggests the UK is on course to aim for a bilateral agreement. Currently, countries like Switzerland pay around 40% as much as the UK’s contribution for EU membership for access on tho... Read more...
18 January 2017
Further reading A derided expert speaks John Van Reenen, the outgoing director of the LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance takes no prisoners in a hard-hitting review of Brexit. Among ... Read more...
03 January 2017
“The more likely a hard Brexit becomes, the bigger I think the business response will be in terms of reducing investment and firms relocating activity out of the U.K.,” said Thomas Sampson, a profe... Read more...
22 December 2016
HUGE THREAT TO ECONOMY TO OVERSHADOW TORY BUDGET The Scottish National Party has said that the threat of a hard Brexit will be the ‘elephant in the room’ at the Autumn Statement. “The T... Read more...
20 November 2016
The right way to leave the EU Article by Swati Dhingra On June 30, a week after the British public voted to leave the EU, Theresa May gave a speech launching her candidacy for prime minister in which she declared, ''Br... Read more...
21 October 2016
Prime Minister Theresa May is in Brussels for her first EU summit as UK leader, in the same week as cabinet ministers were presented with a paper warning that Britain pulling out of the EU customs union could lead to a 4... Read more...
20 October 2016
The calculations, sent to May's close-knit team of Brexit advisers, which includes Hammond, David Davis, Liam Fox and Boris Johnson, claim the UK economy would be 4.5 percent smaller by 2030 if it leaves the Customs Unio... Read more...
19 October 2016
Chancellor to appear before Treasury select committee after Whitehall estimates show economy could shrink by 4.5% Trade flows and foreign investment would also be hit hard by leaving the customs union, according to figu... Read more...
Cabinet ministers receive stark economic warnings against adopting a 'Norway-style' model The UK could suffer a fall in GDP of 4.5% by 2030 if it leaves the EU customs union. Cabinet ministers were given stark warni... Read more...
Ministers are at loggerheads over whether to quit the European customs union amid warnings it could mean a 4.5 per cent hit to GDP. Papers circulated at a meeting of the Brexit Cabinet committee apparently suggested tha... Read more...
Foreign direct investment is also much more economically potent than the domestic variety. It brings with it new technological and managerial knowhow that can dramatically boost productivity, according to London School o... Read more...
17 October 2016
CEP research article previously published by Vox referenced in article published in PRC: [8]Swati Dhingra, Thomas Sampson: UK-EU relations after Brexit: What is best for the UK economy? This article was published onlin... Read more...
16 October 2016
Caller mentions research by the Centre for Economic Performance at around 01:11:05 Caller: ... not in many cases a cynical attempt on the part of employers to simply cheat workers by paying them the lowest wages that th... Read more...
09 October 2016
Following the referendum vote to leave the European Union, the UK faces a trade-off between retaining access to the Single Market and restricting free movement of labour. Barbara Petrongolo considers the likely impact of... Read more...
08 October 2016
Academic studies also find little link between migration and unemployment. Economists from the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics say that when they look at the areas with the largest incre... Read more...
05 October 2016
“The government doesn’t have a plan, and until it decides, it’s really hard for anyone to prepare,” said Thomas Sampson, a professor at the London School of Economics. “In the sho... Read more...
30 September 2016
Swati Dhingra, one of those who forecast severe damage to the economy, says the danger hasn't past. Warnings about the impact of Brexit were focused on what might happen when Britain leaves the EU, and that won't happen ... Read more...
07 September 2016
Throughout the referendum campaign, experts raised serious, well-founded concerns about the potential for Brexit to cause serious economic harm. These went unanswered, because the Leave camp had no answers to offer. Inst... Read more...
10 August 2016
The IFS estimate that single market membership could be worth 4 per cent of GDP by 2030 - or £75bn in today's money But the IFS estimates that retaining single market membership could be potentially worth 4 per ce... Read more...
09 August 2016
John Van Reenen was disappointed but not surprised by the UK's vote to Leave the EU. Whilst his own research predicts serious economic and political damage in the case of Brexit, he thought a Leave vote was a real possib... Read more...
02 August 2016
What will the arrangement with the EU be? In this video, Swati Dhingra discusses introducing a temporary Norway-like deal. This video is part of the ''Econ after Brexit'' series organised by CEPR and was recorded on 14 J... Read more...
29 July 2016
Professor Curran said said non-tariff barriers could raise costs for NI farmers by between 2% and 4% and a recent study by the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) found that a 2% increase in non-tariff barriers could a... Read more...
27 July 2016
Professor Michael Curran, an economist at Villanova University in Pennsylvania, said that while the UK's decision to leave the EU was ''unambiguously bad'' for Ireland and the UK as a whole, Northern Ireland would be har... Read more...
There could be a spike in UK migration ahead of Britain's withdrawal from the European Union and the possible end to free movement rights, MPs have warned. Dr Swati Dhingra, from the London School of Economics, told B... Read more...
When politicians speak of a need to 'control' EU immigration, we should be asking why. The evidence shows that free movement of people is working for all of us. But the available evidence suggests the overall impact of ... Read more...
24 July 2016
Britain's decision to leave the European Union (EU) has prompted international conversation about the economic implications. But widespread interest doesn't mean widespread expertise. Economists tell i about some of th... Read more...
21 July 2016
''Brexit makes the UK a less attractive environment for investment, in particular for businesses that rely on the British approach to the single market,'' said economist Thomas Sampson for Mashable. ''Some companies are... Read more...
20 July 2016
Ahead of the Brexit vote, the great transnational institutions that have come to, if not govern, then certainly guide the post-World War Two order were all out talking apocalypse. Britain will ''almost certainly... Read more...
Finally, there is the low reputation of economists, the result of a global financial crisis that only a few in the profession warned us against. But the institutes that analysed the risks and rewards of Brexit can hardly... Read more...
The UK Chamber needs to know the details because member shipowners gain their revenue from trade; however, Dr Swati Dhingra, lecturer at the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, brought litt... Read more...
19 July 2016
Various analysis have shown that Brexit will adversely affect Britain's economy. According to the Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, Britain's economy will decrease by 1.3 per cent to 2.6 per cent without considering ... Read more...
12 July 2016
You may have heard the jokes about economists equivocating and squabbling. Ronald Reagan had the best one, about an edition of Trivial Pursuit designed for economists: ''There are 100 questions, 3,000 answers.'' John V... Read more...
Two weeks ago, UK voters took the most important economic decision in a generation. The factual basis for this decision was - to say the least - not quite up to the nation's highest standards of evidence. ... The fragme... Read more...
Confusion reigns ... belonging to Europe forced Britain to accept internal migratory movements, students, workers, entrepreneurs, family. Between 1995 and 2015, the number of foreigners from other EU countries increase... Read more...
06 July 2016
Overall, Brexit is likely to have a negative impact on inward FDI. New empirical analysis by Center for Economic Performance implies that leaving the EU will reduce FDI inflows to the UK by around 22 per cent. Such losse... Read more...
03 July 2016
The Society's Annual Conference was held at the University of Sussex, 21-23 March. This report was prepared by Ferdinando Giugliano, focusing on four fields of economic research: development economics; political economy;... Read more...
01 July 2016
John Van Reenen, head of the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, said that Britain's Brexit decision will have both short-term and long-term consequences. ''There is a lot of uncertainty ab... Read more...
Customs return seems unlikely, according to a recent study (November 2015) of the Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics who bet on the establishment of a free trade agreement. ''However, an in... Read more...
29 June 2016
Less than a week after Briton's voted to exit the EU, the worlds second largest telecom company [Vodafone] has announced it is considering moving its headquarters from London to mainland Europe. Vodafone's warning could... Read more...
Top-Okonomen wie John Van Reenen (London School of Economics) erwarten allein durch die Unsicherheit eine sofortige Abkuhlung des Wachstums. Top economists such as John van Reenen (London School of Economics) expect an ... Read more...
28 June 2016
...resultatet av folkomrostningen. Gianluca Benigno, ekonomiprofessor vid London School of Economics, sager att han forst... ...the result of the referendum. Gianluca Benigno, economics professor at the London School ... Read more...
UK's EU exit will make transatlantic trade talks even tougher. ''There's every reason to believe that the right-wing lurch of Brexit could turn the U.K. into a paradise for free market capitalism: a TTIP on steroids,'' ... Read more...
The Prime Minister must now be regretting including the in/out referendum in his earlier election manifesto pledges to win over the far-right votes. Not taking lessons from the close call in the Scottish referendum, he g... Read more...
British unemployment shows the transition graph of the influx immigrants. 2005-2010 immigrant unemployment rate is rapidly increased rather than fell. ©Jonathan Wadsworth, Center for Economic Performance. [Text wit... Read more...
27 June 2016
Parecidos resultados obtiene para los mismos escenarios el informe del Centre for Economic Performance de la London School of Economics In the three cases the fall of GDP in per cent, following the same order, would be ... Read more...
We were told that the consensus of economic experts were overwhelmingly opposed to a Brexit. Lauded institutions - from the IMF, OECD to the Treasury and London School of Economics - produced damning forecasts that ran... Read more...
Millions of words on the topic - including economists' majority view that leaving the bloc will slow growth and the Leave campaign's counterarguments that Britain will prosper - could be replaced by seven charts. The... Read more...
''IMMIGRATION, immigration, immigration'', shouted a headline in the Sun, a right-wing tabloid newspaper, the week that Britain voted to leave the European Union. It followed weeks of campaigning from the Leave side assu... Read more...
What does the UK's decision to leave the European Union mean for the future of the single market? Economists talk of sustained market turbulence, devaluations and an imminent recession, but will it be Britain or the ... Read more...
26 June 2016
Now that the UK has voted to leave the EU, one of the biggest remaining questions is how it will affect the British economy. Hari Sreenivasan sits down with London School of Economics professor Swati Dhingra, who has bee... Read more...
25 June 2016
Labour MPs now walk around saying that immigration reduces domestic wages, that the rich man has got a cheaper plumber, but the indigenous plumber has had to reduce his fees. Usually this argument is framed as an assault... Read more...
''You're going to see in increase in consumer prices from Brexit and most of that is going to hit the middle income,'' Swati Dhingra, assistant professor at LSE's Department of Economics and Centre for Economic Performan... Read more...
24 June 2016
Whenever share prices fall significantly investors should ask: is this because future dividends will be lower, or is it because risk aversion has increased? ... So, which of these explanations applies to the post-Brexi... Read more...
Thomas Sampson, economiste a la London School of Economics, est coauteur d'une etude sur le cout du Brexit pour les menages britanniques. Thomas Sampson answers questions on the possible consequences of a vote for Brex... Read more...
Minford said that the economy would be more dynamic and more efficient now that we're out of the EU. Swati Dhingra disagreed, saying that the economy would suffer because of a shallower pool of talent from other EU co... Read more...
The world map has been redrawn with the rules of commerce across Europe, the largest marketplace on earth. Britain's vote on Thursday to leave the European Union has set in motion an unprecedented and unpredictable proce... Read more...
Dennis Novy interviewed by Turkish TV News Channel, discussing the economic impact for the UK of the Brexit vote. This interview was broadcast by TRT World (Turkey) TV on June 24, 2016 Link to the broadcast here S... Read more...
Brexit: whatever happens, uncertainty is the only certainty Il LSE Centre for Economic Performance ha esaminato l'analisi economica del prof. Patrick Minford, celebre economista pro-Brexit, e l'ha bocciata senza appello... Read more...
23 June 2016
Paul Henry talks with Adam Drummond, Opinium research manager, followed by Swati Dhingra, lecturer at the London School of Economics, on the Brexit. How are the polls looking, and what economical fallout could face the U... Read more...
By the end of the campaign, the heads of Britain's most respected economic think-tanks issued a joint statement, so worried were they that the message had failed to connect. Paul Johnson, head of the Institute for Fiscal... Read more...
A feeling of anger and frustration with the European Union is strongest in areas of Britain that have seen wages stagnate in recent years, according to research commissioned by the Financial Times. Two leading labour... Read more...
The whole world is eager to know the result of Brexit poll on Thursday. The result could have far economic consequences for the EU and the rest of the world. The greater consequences are more subtle, gradual, and global.... Read more...
Dennis Novy interviewed on live programme broadcast by Canadian TV news channel, focusing on the economic impact of a Brexit vote. This interview was broadcast by CTV News (Canada) on June 23, 2016 Link to broadcast ... Read more...
Meanwhile, the Institute for Fiscal Studies, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research and the Centre for Economic Performance issued a final joint warning that Britain will ''almost certainly'' be worse off... Read more...
22 June 2016
If Brexit passes, Britain will change considerably: border controls may be enacted for Northern Ireland for the first time in nearly a century, immigration to the UK would be sharply curtailed, and Britain's economic str... Read more...
Foreign investment brings many benefits to the UK, including higher pay and productivity. But a Brexit vote could end it all, write Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen. First, not being... Read more...
There is little evidence to support the former. Roughly 2.2 million EU nationals work in the UK, comprising 6.6% of the workforce, according to the FT report. Another report from the London School of Economics and Centre... Read more...
The UK Treasury's estimate forecasts trade volumes declining by between 14% and 19% by 2030 in comparison to their current trajectory, on the assumption that the UK agrees a bilateral trade deal with the EU similar to th... Read more...
A Leave vote in tomorrow's referendum would ''almost certainly make us financially worse off'' and could cut the UKs GDP by up to 8% - equivalent to £5,760 for every household in the country - a group of respecte... Read more...
In a dramatic escalation of Tory infighting earlier, Mr Cameron told Sky News: 'To hear the Leave campaign today sort of comparing independent experts and economists to Nazi sympathisers - I think they have rather lost ... Read more...
Professor John Van Reenen, Director of the Centre for Economic Performance on panel discussing the economics of Brexit. The discussion was broadcast by Sky News at 10pm on June 22, 2016 Link to broadcast here Relate... Read more...
The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) and Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) ... This article was published online by Juice Brighton (Radio) on June 22, ... Read more...
Facts appear not to be a major priority for many Leave voters. That is clear when you look at science. In a ComRes poll of 1,616 prospective voters, Leave supporters were revealed to be much more likely to question scien... Read more...
Britain never joined the euro currency union, freeing it of all sorts of complicated policy commitments that the rest of the EU is obliged to abide by. But despite staying on the pound, Britain still has full access to E... Read more...
Three leading economic institutes have made a joint statement about what they think will happen if we leave the EU. We have published what they said below. Here's what the IFS, NIESR, and the Centre for... Read more...
21 June 2016
Dr Swati Dhingra from the Centre for Economic Performance's Trade Programme video on the possible regulatory autonomy and alternatives to EU membership. Filmed as part of a panel discussion - The EU and the UK: 'the wro... Read more...
The heads of three leading economic think-tanks warned of the dire consequences of leaving the EU. The analysis by National Institute of Economic and Social Research, Institute for Fiscal Studies and Centre for Economic ... Read more...
Three UK economic think tanks issued their final warning about the countrys post-Brexit future just days before the referendum on EU membership, local media reported Tuesday. MOSCOW (Sputnik) - The think tanks includ... Read more...
The economic impacts of Britain leaving the EU With the referendum fast approaching, Thomas Sampson analyses the economic consequences should Britain vote to leave the European Union. Proponents of Brexit, as leaving ... Read more...
As the rival campaigns entered the final straight, independent economists from three of Britain's leading institutions issued a final warning that a vote for Brexit would hit wages and lead to higher retail prices and bo... Read more...
We are economists who care about Britain and its future. We feel compelled to speak out on the risks of Leaving and opportunities from Remaining in the EU. If Britain votes to Leave we believe that: • A recessio... Read more...
According to Thomas Sampson, assistant professor at the Department of Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), an exit scenario would hit the country's economy really hard. Talking to Sputnik, h... Read more...
20 June 2016
The IMF, the Bank of England, the Treasury, the OECD, the London School of Economics and many more are... (no link available) This article was published by the Western Daily Press on June 20, 2016 [No link available] ... Read more...
The most serious problem of staying outside any EU trade agreement is the serious impact this might have on foreign direct investment into the UK. Being in the single market makes the UK attractive as a base for exporter... Read more...
19 June 2016
Thomas Sampson interviewed on what may happen following a vote for Brexit. The interview was broadcast on the Last Week Tonight with John Oliver show on June 19, 2016 Link to broadcast here [Interview begins at 10:33] ... Read more...
All or nothing at all What sort of deal might that new leader try to get? Some want no deal at all. A group called Economists for Brexit (EFB) suggests simply abolishing all import tariffs. The ensuing rise in trade, ... Read more...
18 June 2016
...leaving the EU would damage the UK economy and says Swati Dhingra of the London school of economics that's true even if we accept Patrick ... This interview was broadcast by BBC Radio 4 on the More or Less program... Read more...
In addition, ''agreements with third countries would be predictably less beneficial for the United Kingdom if it negotiated them alone rather than as part of the European Union,'' he told Dr Swati Dhingra, Economist at t... Read more...
Then there is the question of the effect on Britain's trade with other regions if it is no longer governed by agreements negotiated by the European Union. Eurosceptics assume those agreements dilute Britain's interests b... Read more...
17 June 2016
As June 23 looms closer and closer and Britain makes the ultimate decision whether it should stay in the European Union or go it alone, a recent thorough analysis by Holger Breinlich, Swati Dhingra, Thomas Sampson and Jo... Read more...
A different approach is to estimate how prices for different things would be affected, and then compare this to spending patterns across different income brackets and household types. Using this approach, the ... Read more...
16 June 2016
Things to read about Brexit Below is a selection of informative things to read about Brexit that can help you decide. Please suggest your own in comments, but you cannot post links there. You can send links to editor... Read more...
The failure to make a case for the E.U. had left a big opportunity for Johnson and Nigel Farage, the head of the U.K. Independence Party, to argue that Britain doesn't get anything out of its membership except bureaucrat... Read more...
Last year, a report from the Bank of England supported his comment, suggesting that the wages of low-paid employees in catering, hospitality and care have been driven down by increased competition from EU workers. How... Read more...
15 June 2016
The thinking behind the predictions about Britain's future outside the EU Very costly in all scenarios: Centre for Economic Performance The prediction: A hit to trade in all likely scenarios will bring GDP 6.3-9.5 ... Read more...
Experts at the Treasury, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), and the London School of Economics have all found that remaining a part of the EEA would pose the least severe economic risk to the... Read more...
11 June 2016
Study after study confirms that EU migrants have an overwhelmingly positive effect on the British economy. They have a higher employment rate (78.2%) than people born in the UK (72.5%), those from Poland and other A8 acc... Read more...
10 June 2016
What consequences will Britain's EU referendum have for both the UK and the rest of Europe? In a series of papers published as a collaboration between EUROPP and CIDOB (the Barcelona Centre for International Affairs), LS... Read more...
09 June 2016
Pro-EU forces have warned that if Britain votes to exit the union on June 23, the country could lose almost a million jobs. Recruiters say the damage has already begun. ''Companies are pushing the pause button,'' said Ki... Read more...
Economists for Brexit, argues that such an alternative exists. It rejects post-exit deals with the EU and instead recommends unilateral free trade and reliance for market access on the rules of the World Trade Organisati... Read more...
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance calculates long-term costs to Britain of lower trade with the EU could be as high as 9.5% of GDP. Leave campaign-supporting economists have as yet not done ... Read more...
In this week's EU referendum Q&A our panel discuss how a Brexit could affect the costs facing UK businesses: Would UK businesses be more or less competitive in the global market if we choose to leave? Swati Dhingra ... Read more...
07 June 2016
Numbers are being thrown around by the Vote Leave and Vote Remain campaigns like they're going out of fashion - but what do the experts say and can we trust them? Six out of seven reports predict a Brexit will hurt us ... Read more...
06 June 2016
That leaving the EU would damage the overall economy is now being treated as more of a fact than a speculation. But those for Brexit argue that the rich will be negatively affected while the poor will benefit. This is no... Read more...
03 June 2016
Even aside from the economic consequences of a Leave vote (and read this LSE demolition of the Brexit case), the immediate future for Britain could be very ugly indeed. This article was published by The Economist on... Read more...
Economists for Brexit group claims that downturn would be avoided if Britain removed all trade barriers after leaving EU Economists campaigning for Britain to leave the European Union have accused the Treasury and inter... Read more...
02 June 2016
Stop everything! According to the OECD, the forum of economic reflection of developed countries, the United Kingdom would lose 5% of its GDP in the 15 years to come slamming the door of the European Union. Treasury, Brit... Read more...
01 June 2016
Also in the programme, just three weeks from the British referendum on leaving the European Union, we bring together two leading economists, Roger Bootle of Capital Economics, and Professor John Van Reenan from the Londo... Read more...
The claim: Trade union umbrella body the TUC says leaving the EU would cut average earnings by £38 per week by 2030. Reality Check verdict: The TUC has taken other bodies' forecasts that leaving the EU would lea... Read more...
Economics experts have blasted key assumptions underpinning the Brexit campaign's financial arguments in favour of leaving the EU. The report by the London School of Economics and Political Science's Centre for Econ... Read more...
The LSE's Centre for Economic Performance said earlier this month that a reduction in immigration into the U.K. if the country votes for a Brexit wouldn't lead to any improvement in living standards for those born in Bri... Read more...
31 May 2016
The EU referendum debate has started to focus on the economic fallout of a leave vote for the UK - and also for Europe. Research from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) released in April su... Read more...
30 May 2016
...financial arguments in favour of leaving the EU. The report by the London School of Economics and Political... This article was published by the Lancashire Evening Post on May 30, 2016 (no link available) Relat... Read more...
What issues have the greatest negative impact on UK businesses? Both sides of the debate have argued that there is either too much or very little EU red tape. These confusing arguments haven't helped to clarify the ... Read more...
Britons would benefit from lower prices if the U.K. left the European Union, according to Patrick Minford, a professor at Cardiff University and co-chairman of Economists for Brexit. According to Minford, t... Read more...
27 May 2016
The possibility of the UK leaving the European Union (EU) has generated an unusual degree of consensus among economists. Acrimony and rancour surrounded debates around austerity and joining the euro, but analysis from th... Read more...
Claim Being in Europe means lower prices in UK shops, saving the average UK household over £350 a year. If we left Europe, your weekly shop could cost more. Conclusion This isn’t the impact of b... Read more...
23 May 2016
Claim Leaving the EU would cost the average UK household at least £850 a year, and potentially as much as £1,700, according to research released by the London School of Economics. Conclusion The... Read more...
Responding to Hilton’s article, Javid said: “Steve is entitled to his view … the central issue here is that economically, we are far better off being part of this single market … Now you have the Bank of England, the IMF... Read more...
''The pro-Brexit argument that Britain will be free of lots of regulations, that there will be a bonfire of red tape that will cause us to grow rapidly and we'll strike lots of new trade deals as this buccaneering new En... Read more...
20 May 2016
The most recent research from the centre for economic performance at the London School of Economics says ''the areas of the UK with large increases in EU immigration did not suffer greater falls in the jobs and pay of UK... Read more...
Prof John Van Reenen, director at the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, says that while it may be tempting to assume that Europeans are taking jobs that might otherwise go to British work... Read more...
19 May 2016
Jane Collins, employment spokesman for the pro-Brexit United Kingdom Independence party, said the 2.1m EU nationals working in Britain were ''a huge boon to multinational companies who can exploit the oversupply of labou... Read more...
18 May 2016
As the EU referendum draws closer, our expert panel answers a question from one of our readers about the potential effect on small businesses' intellectual property. What would Brexit mean for my business's intellectual... Read more...
Two issues dominate the EU referendum debate: economics and immigration. When it comes to my field of economics, polling evidence suggests that if people became convinced that they would be worse off by leaving, even if ... Read more...
17 May 2016
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance calculates the long-term costs to Britain of lower trade with the EU could be as high as 9.5 per cent of GDP, while the fall in foreign investment could cos... Read more...
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance calculates that the long-term costs to Britain of lower trade with the EU could be as high as 9.5% of GDP, while the fall in foreign investment could cost 3... Read more...
16 May 2016
With so many heavyweights, from Barack Obama to Mark Carney, saying that we will be worse off with Brexit, why are the polls still neck and neck? There seem to me two reasonable explanations: that the tabloid media have ... Read more...
...of England, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, London School of Economics and Confederation of ... This broadcast was made by Wessex FM on May 14, 2016 (no link available) Related publ... Read more...
14 May 2016
The prime minister, campaigning in his Oxfordshire constituency, said people had 40 days to make up their minds about which side to take in what would be ''the choice of a generation''. Urging people to take on board war... Read more...
A major argument of the Leave campaign is that Brexit would give the UK more control over the flow of EU immigrants, who have supposedly hurt the jobs and pay of British workers. Research by Jonathan Wadsworth, Swati Dhi... Read more...
13 May 2016
According to various studies at the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) of the London School of Economics, Brexit does reduce the fiscal deficit. That would be, according to CEP, the main benefit. The principal cost wo... Read more...
EU immigration to the UK has not harmed British peoples' access to jobs, public services or incomes, a major study has concluded. The report, by the London School of Economics, has dispelled a number of 'myths' or miscon... Read more...
12 May 2016
Brexit uncertainty ''would tend to push up risk premia'', as InFacts has already pointed out. Funding costs for banks could go up, as would borrowing costs for homeowners and consumers. The UK's current account deficit i... Read more...
There is little evidence that more migrants push wages down or unemployment up. Economists from the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics say that when they look at the areas with the largest ... Read more...
Article by Jonathan Wadsworth, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen This morning's national insurance figures have further stoked the debate about immigration, and the extent to which leaving the EU wo... Read more...
Article by Jonathan Wadsworth, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen Many people believe immigration wave has hurt UK workers and think that leaving the EU would make things better. To investigate this ... Read more...
11 May 2016
In another development, the London School of Economic said a reduction in immigration if the country votes to leave wouldn't lead to any improvement in living standards for those born in Britain. ''Cuts in EU immigration... Read more...
Research blames 2008 recession for lower real salaries rather than rise in foreign workers, adding they paid more into UK economy than they took out The rapid increase in migration from other EU countries has not had an... Read more...
Contrary to what some believe, inequality, wages and job opportunities for British-born citizens have not been negatively impacted by the recent surge in migrants from the EU, a new study suggests. Published by the... Read more...
Article by Jonathan Wadsworth, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen A major argument of the campaign to leave the EU is that Brexit would give the UK more control over the flow of immigrants from acros... Read more...
A reduction in immigration into the U.K. if the country votes to leave the European Union next month wouldn't lead to any improvement in living standards for those born in Britain, according to research from the London S... Read more...
As an economist, diplomat and secretary-general of the OECD, you might expect Angel Gurria to offer a dry, academic assessment of global issues. Not when it comes to Britain leaving the European Union. On Wednesday, ... Read more...
28 April 2016
A UK exit from the EU would immediately hit confidence and raise uncertainty which would result in GDP being 3% lower by 2020, which equates to GBP 2200 per household. An OECD report released this morning states that suc... Read more...
A group of eight well known economists have released a report under the banner of Economists for Brexit, explaining how they think leaving the EU would be good for the UK economy. They predict that, in 2020, the UK ec... Read more...
The consensus among economists that Britain's departure from the EU would damage its economy was broken on Thursday with the publication of a pamphlet from Economists for Brexit. This rejected the ''economic nonsense'' o... Read more...
The OECD published a report analysing the economic consequences of a UK exit from the EU. Presenting the findings of the report at the London School of Economics this morning, Gurria described the impact of leaving the E... Read more...
27 April 2016
Mention of OECD Brexit event hosted by CEP. The news item was broadcast by Channel 4 News on April 27, 2016 Link to news broadcast here See also BBC Radio 4 Today Angel Gurria (OECD) interviewed. [Link no longe... Read more...
Britain's postwar record on productivity can be split into two periods: pre and post Margaret Thatcher. Prior to Thatcher, output per hour in Britain was growing more slowly than France, Germany and the US, according to ... Read more...
20 April 2016
Swati Dhingra interviewed about Brexit. The interview was broadcast by BBC Radio 5 Live at 10:30pm on April 19, 2016 [No link available.] Related publications See the complete set of CEP Brexit Analysis research ... Read more...
19 April 2016
A report from the London School of Economics on April 15 estimated that foreign investment in the UK could fall 22% over the next decade. It is of course feasible that business and investment will later return to Britain... Read more...
A very awkward fact for the Brexit campaign is that in the last quarter of 2015, Britain's current-account deficit hit a record 7 per cent of GDP. That needs to be financed. But the risk of Brexit is already acting like ... Read more...
How does the Treasury estimate for “losses” compare with other economists’? Many independent economists have suggests some reduction in GDP growth from Brexit, and a few have suggested po... Read more...
18 April 2016
John Van Reenen interviewed about Brexit. The interview was broadcast by BBC 1 News at 6pm and again at 10pm on April 18, 2016 (no link available) Related publications See the complete set of CEP Brexit Analysi... Read more...
John Van Reenen, director of the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, defended the Treasury analysis as a ''serious piece of work'', which was in line with other independent studies. ''The T... Read more...
Leaving the EU would cause Britain's economy to shrink and tax receipts to plummet, and cost the average household thousands of pounds a year, an official analysis from the UK treasury has warned. The treasury assess... Read more...
Article by John Van Reenen Foreign investors love Britain, but Brexit would kill the vibe. According to new research colleagues and I have conducted at the Centre for Economic Performance, leaving the European Union cou... Read more...
15 April 2016
The loss of income per household from reduced trade and lower productivity that would result from the UK voting to leave the European Union could be similar to the decline in UK GDP during the global financial crisis, ac... Read more...
Whether Britain loses access to the single market depends on the terms of any exit. Under the optimistic scenario, Britain would join the European Economic Area as non-member countries like Norway and Switzerland have do... Read more...
The Center for Economic Performance, at the London School of Economics, which sees itself neutral, says the worst-case scenario in the event of a vote to leave the bloc is a 6.3 percent to 9.5 percent reduction in G.D.P.... Read more...
02 April 2016
A vote to leave the European Union in the June 23 referendum could hamper efforts to make it easier and cheaper to do business in the bloc, potentially costing service providers billions of pounds, analysts an... Read more...
31 March 2016
In phase three, after the negotiated settlement, the economic effects are the subject of wide and varying analysis and speculation, based largely on the eventual outcome of the settlement. Put simply, there are two mai... Read more...
UK's exit from the European Union (EU) - the Brexit - could cost the UK economy £100 billion and 950,000 jobs by 2020, pointed out a PwC-made report commissioned by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) whose... Read more...
29 March 2016
The Centre for Economic Performance at LSE released a report last week that also states that British living standards and trade will be damaged if an ''out'' vote wins the referendum. In their research, the body states t... Read more...
22 March 2016
For over two years, a research team at the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) has been studying the likely impact of the UK leaving the European Union. Their latest report focuses on the impact of 'Brexit' through cha... Read more...
21 March 2016
A British exit from the European Union would wipe as much as 6,400 pounds ($9,300) from average household incomes in the U.K. as trade deals sour, according to research by the London School of Economics. &ldqu... Read more...
18 March 2016
A separate report by the London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance has called on parties and politicians to publish their plans for a post-Brexit world, as well as their policy manifestos, ahead of the ... Read more...
11 March 2016
London is not representative of the entire economy of Britain, however; leaving the European Union would cause a large economic shock. The Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics predicted a 6.3... Read more...
07 March 2016
Article by Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson In June, UK voters will decide whether to remain part of the EU. This column explores the UK's options if a majority votes in favour of Brexit. One possibility is for the UK, ... Read more...
04 March 2016
Dr Swati Dhingra interviewed on freetrade This interview was broadcast by BBC Radio Nottingham on March 3, 2016 Link to broadcast here Also on various other local BBC regional stations Related publications Th... Read more...
03 March 2016