Professor Michael Curran, an economist at Villanova University in Pennsylvania, said that while the UK's decision to leave the EU was ''unambiguously bad'' for Ireland and the UK as a whole, Northern Ireland would be hardest hit. ... Prof Curran also warned that the potential reintroduction of border and custom controls would significantly dent Northern Ireland's GDP: ''Some research has shown... that just these non-tariff barriers could raise costs for NI farmers by between 2% and 4% and a recent study by the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) found that a 2% increase in non-tariff barriers could actually reduce [the North's] GDP by 1.4% in the long-run.''
This article was published online by The Irish Examiner on July 27, 2016
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The complete series of Brexit Papers are available online here
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Holger Breinlich webpage
Swati Dhingra webpage
Hanwei Huang webpage
Gianmarco Ottaviano webpage
Thomas Sampson webpage
John Van Reenen webpage
Trade Programme webpage
Growth Programme webpage
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