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Measuring systematic gaps in teacher judgement: a new approach

Oliver Cassagneau-Francis, Lindsey Macmillan, Richard Murphy and Gill Wyness


We propose a new approach to test for systematic biases in subjective evaluations. We exploit a setting where teachers were required to assign students both grades and rankings within each grade. Comparing students immediately adjacent to grade boundaries, we apply a local randomization approach to estimate imbalance in student characteristics. Our findings reveal systematic bias favoring female and white students. These grading decisions carry real consequences: students just above the grade threshold are significantly more likely to attend university. Our approach can be applied whenever there is a system with many thresholds and subjective rankings.


13 May 2026     Paper Number CEPDP2178

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This CEP discussion paper is published under the centre's Education programme.

This publication comes under the following theme: Determinants of school performance: Resources, pedagogy, workforce and peers