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Britain's cost of living crisis is being made worse by Brexit dragging down the country's growth potential and costing workers hundreds of pounds a year in lost pay, say researchers. The Resolution Foundation thinktank a... Read more...
22 June 2022
Britain’s departure from the EU has damaged its competitiveness and will cut productivity and wages over the next ten years. Instead of the expected effect of narrowly reducing exports to the EU, Brexit has “... Read more...
Restarting the Future, a new book by Jonathan Haskel and Stian Westlake, presents the idea that intangible assets, though hard to see and measure, are critically important to foster. ... Read more...
19 May 2022
Jonathan Haskel and Stian Westlake argue that capitalism can be revitalised by promoting ‘further investment’ in what they call ‘intangible capital’. ... Read more...
11 April 2022
Jonathan Haskel and Stain Westlake explain why the UK government's focus on funding overlooks many levers for innovation policy. ... Read more...
30 March 2022
Joint research from the Centre for Economic Performance and the Resolution Foundation suggests that financial officers expect the amount of workers moving from shrinking to growing companies will spe... Read more...
20 November 2021
Findings from the Resolution Foundation and the Centre for Economic Performance challenge the government’s view that levelling up poorly performing companies or poorer regions will raise productivit... Read more...
15 November 2021
Another, Swati Dhingra, lecturer in economics at the London School of Economics, said that since the EU referendum, "the number of foreign investments and expansions… are showing disconcerting reductions."... Read more...
23 September 2019
On Brexit and the potential future trading options for the UK and the EU27. This interview was part of a larger piece for the 6 o'clock news programme. ... Read more...
17 September 2019
A no-deal Brexit means that Britain will revert to WTO rules to trade with the EU and the rest of the world. This means import duties and various controls on trade, which economists at LSE's Centre for Economic Performan... Read more...
12 September 2019
There is an almost complete pass-through of tariffs into prices paid by US importers; consumers pick up the tab, write Mary Amiti, Stephen Redding and David E. Weinstein.... Read more...
24 July 2019
Write David Jacks, Dennis Novy Against the backdrop of new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration and retaliation from targeted countries, notably China, the trade wars of the 1930s have received renewed attention... Read more...
23 July 2019
Described as a "game-changing event" by London School of Economics Dr. Richard Layard, New Zealand's budget has set a new standard for progressive policy "no other major country that has so explicitly adopted well-being ... Read more...
11 July 2019
Reaffirming this idea, John Van Reenen, economist at MIT, explained that this division could point to a scenario in which the only one harmed is the global economy. "Given the assault of Trump and the growing band of 'st... Read more...
28 June 2019
"One thing is really clear: There has got to be a reset in the world trading system," said Swati Dhingra, an economist at the London School of Economics. "It's all breaking at the seams at this point."... Read more...
21 June 2019
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20 June 2019
The achievements of the Chinese and Vietnamese economies lead to a debate on state capitalism as a viable model of further development. Economists Leonardo Baccini, Giammario Impullitti and Edmund Malesky present on VoxE... Read more...
19 June 2019
In a fascinating new paper, economists David Jacks and Dennis Novy argue that today's contentious trade disputes recall what happened during the Great Depression of the 1930s. Led by Great Britain and Germany, competing ... Read more...
06 June 2019
"At the moment, we have not witnessed a wholesale collapse of the modern trading system. This is partially for the fact that policymakers seem to have learned some of the lessons of interwar history by not responding in ... Read more...
Who compromises most in such cases? Generally, size matters: big trading economies are usually in a position to dictate terms to smaller partners. In the words of professor Dennis Novy of the University of Warwick: "Th... Read more...
05 June 2019
04 June 2019
03 June 2019
To help us sort out the prospects of a bilateral trade deal between the U.S. and the U.K. and to look at the historical context, we're joined by Professor Dennis Novy. He's an economist at the University of Warwick. Welc... Read more...
The economic losses from Trump's trade war compound that burden. A study by researchers at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Columbia University and Princeton University found that trade warfare was costing Americans... Read more...
17 May 2019
15 May 2019
Research from Mary Amiti of the New York Fed, Stephen Redding of Princeton University and David Weinstein of Columbia University in March found that the "full incidence" of the tariffs has fallen on domestic consumers so... Read more...
14 May 2019
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10 May 2019
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19 April 2019
17 April 2019
Less efficiency and lower profitability for firms carry lessons for Britain and the US, write Kilian Huber, Volker Lindenthal and Fabian Waldinger. Talented individuals are often excluded from leadership positions if th... Read more...
16 April 2019
05 April 2019
04 April 2019
Figure of the week - $1.4bn a month. The hit to US prices and welfare produced by Mr Trump's trade policies in 2018, according to research by Mary Amiti of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Stephen Redding of Princet... Read more...
27 March 2019
From Dr Guy Michaels, London School of Economics, UK Joseph Cotterill, in "Aid groups battle to reach cyclone survivors" (March 21), describes the terrible devastation that recent floods have wreaked in Mozambique and n... Read more...
26 March 2019
A new analysis suggests a trajectory and policy recommendations, write Adeline Pelletier, Susanna Khavul and Saul Estrin. In the past decade, mobile payment systems (MPS) have rapidly emerged in many developing economies... Read more...
25 March 2019
"It's important to remember that China started with a much more broad-based and educated workforce when it embarked on its economic transition," says Swati Dhingra, from the London School of Economics. "India has seen m... Read more...
13 March 2019
Bans on mobile phones significantly increases student performance in high-stakes exams, according to a 2015 London School of Economics and Political Science paper.... Read more...
12 March 2019
...which are designed to create positive learning environments." They note that many school boards have policies that allow students to bring their own devices into the classroom for educational purposes. A 2015 London S... Read more...
The Toronto District School Board dropped its ban in 2011, and last summer, it also lifted its ban on Snapchat, Instagram and Netflix. A 2015 London School of Economics study found that ... ... Read more...
06 March 2019
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02 March 2019
The referendum result led to a 12 percent increase in foreign direct investment transactions from Britain into the EU between mid-2016 and September 2018, researchers from the London School of Economics' Centre for Econo... Read more...
12 February 2019
Media reports suggest that some UK firms have started to move production abroad in anticipation of Brexit. Using data on announcements of new foreign investment transactions, this column reports evidence that the Brexit ... Read more...
Dennis Novy, one of the report's authors, told CNBC: "The economic risk of Brexit is larger on the UK side of the Channel.... Read more...
A study published this morning by the Centre for Economic Performance at the LSE dissects how foreign investment has changed behaviour since the referendum. According to the LSE researchers, UK firms appear to have star... Read more...
Are firms moving investment abroad because of Brexit? Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson (LSE) use a 'doppelganger method' to estimate how foreign direct investment would have evolved without... Read more...
11 February 2019
A study conducted by academics from the London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) looked into how the vote to leave the EU has affected outward investment by U.K. companies. ... Read more...
Mention of CEP report showing British firms investing outside of the UK because of Brexit. ... Read more...
Klaus Desmet, David Krisztian Nagy, Dzhamilya Nigmatulina, Nathaniel Young The economic geography of transition economies has changed dramatically over the last quarter century, with large urban areas growing fast and ... Read more...
04 February 2019
Long term is worse. "Our best estimate is that GDP per capita will be 6.3 to 9.5 per cent per year lower than it would be if we were to remain in the EU," wrote John Van Reenen, today an economics professor at MIT. "At t... Read more...
18 January 2019
The OECD estimated before the referendum that a WTO Brexit could cost the UK up to 5.1 percent of GDP over 15 years. A study by the London School of Economics estimated a 9.5 per cent hit. ... Read more...
20 July 2018
Opinion – Letters to the Editor: Alastair Hamilton must acknowledge Brexit realities Writing in the Huffington Post Invest NI chief executive Alastair Hamilton has described the concern that Brexit... Read more...
07 March 2018
Findings suggest that a mother’s personality has a big impact on the academic performance of teenagers, regardless of other factors. Academics assessed women’s “internal locus of control&rdqu... Read more...
08 February 2018
Related publications Locus of Control and its Intergenerational Implications for Early Childhood Skill Formation (pages 298-329) The Economic Journal Volume 128, Issue 608, February 2018 Warn N. Lekf... Read more...
05 February 2018
…nearly six years. The Centre for Economic Performance says that the vote has cost the … ... Read more...
25 January 2018
With the UK due to leave the EU at 11pm on 29 March 2019, countries on both sides of the channel are figuring out what Brexit will mean for their economies. We speak to Panmure Gordon’s David B... Read more...
19 January 2018
Swati Dhingra of the Center for Economic Performance at London School of Economics (LSE) said "Inflation data provides the most useful information." She said the overall impact of uncertainty is more... Read more...
20 December 2017
Article by Henry Overman: With Brexit looming, we’ve been running a series of workshops with local areas to think about different policy responses and consider what the evidence says on effectiveness. On... Read more...
13 November 2017
“The inflation figures are the most informative,” says Swati Dhingra, at the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics. She says the impact of broad uncertainty has been har... Read more...
Tory whip writes to every vice-chancellor to ask for syllabus and any online material Academics are accusing a Tory MP and government whip of “McCarthyite” behaviour, after he wrote to all unive... Read more...
24 October 2017
A major impediment to clarity has been the weight of advice from what Michael Gove calls ‘organisations with acronyms’ suggesting that a ‘no deal’ on trade will greatly damage the... Read more...
13 October 2017
Too many economists have refused to take seriously the idea that Brexit has the potential to provide economic benefits to the UK. Before the referendum, Treasury economists assured the public that a vote to le... Read more...
28 September 2017
Professor of Finance and Economics, Kevin Dowd (Durham University), Professor David Paton (Nottingham University) and Professor David Blake (University of London) discuss how the UK can benefit from a free tra... Read more...
20 September 2017
Article by Nikhil Datta and Swati Dhingra: About half of Britain’s trade and investment is with the EU, and currently, as members, we implement almost the same standards for products and services. One of... Read more...
13 September 2017
The great majority of the economic forecasts have concluded that Brexit will damage the UK economy. In the case of ‘no deal’ between the UK and the EU, the majority view is that the loss of GDP cou... Read more...
08 September 2017
The government has commissioned independent advisers on migration (the Migration Advisory Committee) to complete a detailed assessment of the social and economic impact of international students... Read more...
04 September 2017
Research shows that policy uncertainty can drive down business investment by six to 10.5 per cent. To see how the election created uncertainty in B.C., the Fraser Institute created a proxy measure using newspa... Read more...
31 August 2017
The LSE quartet – professors Thomas Sampson, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen – do concede that there is, potentially, a very minor boost to going it alone. Their own model... Read more...
21 August 2017
The Center for Economic Performance estimated that in the case of such a scenario over the decade, trade would have fallen by 40 percent and average income by 2.6 percent. ... Read more...
14 August 2017
A new study forthcoming in the journal Economic Policy, based on a trove of data from 33 OECD countries over a 12-year period (2002-2014), finds that prices paid by consumers are higher in more concentrated ma... Read more...
08 August 2017
Research from the Bonn-based Institute of Labor Economics shows that the differences in individual workers’ pay since the 1970s is associated with pay differences between — not within — compa... Read more...
06 August 2017
06 July 2017
But the greatest potential trouble is on Brexit, with the constitutional uncertainty growing and economists laying out this week just what a hard or chaotic Brexit could mean for the economy: the pound droppin... Read more...
21 June 2017
Yatang Lin, a researcher from the Centre for Economic Performance of the London School of Economics, enthused that "there were ambitions to get everything done pretty quickly. Of course, there were politi... Read more...
04 March 2017
Not surprisingly, when an index for global political uncertainty, compiled records so unsafe level, inter alia by the Stanford economist Nicholas Bloom, on a high, (Stanford). And Austria's foreign trade m... Read more...
27 January 2017
Growth will slow, incomes will be squeezed and investment delayed, FT survey finds Question: ‘How much, if at all, do you expect UK economic growth to slow in 2017?’ Stephen Machin, professor... Read more...
02 January 2017
Ministers are at loggerheads over whether to quit the European customs union amid warnings it could mean a 4.5 per cent hit to GDP. Papers circulated at a meeting of the Brexit Cabinet committee apparently suggested tha... Read more...
19 October 2016
Foreign direct investment is also much more economically potent than the domestic variety. It brings with it new technological and managerial knowhow that can dramatically boost productivity, according to London School o... Read more...
17 October 2016
CEP research article previously published by Vox referenced in article published in PRC: [8]Swati Dhingra, Thomas Sampson: UK-EU relations after Brexit: What is best for the UK economy? This article was published onlin... Read more...
16 October 2016
The rate of growth in technological innovations in China has increased significantly in the past two decades (see Figure 1). What's more, it is widely believed that the ability to learn from foreign technology and chase ... Read more...
13 October 2016
According to estimates by the London School of Economics, Brexit will result in a 22 percent drop in direct investment into the British economy and a 3.4 percent drop in revenues. This article was published online by ... Read more...
27 September 2016
EXCLUSIVE: An analysis by The Independent of official data suggests British exporters would face a cost of at least £4.5bn - and in all likelihood they would take a hit many times larger A separate analysis by th... Read more...
23 September 2016
With a major question mark: foreign groups continue to invest in the country? The Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics estimated that membership of the EU has indeed increased foreign direct ... Read more...
21 September 2016
Dennis Novy interviewed. The topic was the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) and the recent political backlash from France and Germany. The interview was broadcast on the BBC Radio 4 The World Ton... Read more...
30 August 2016
The 23 June 2016 Brexit vote saw British voters reject membership in the European Union. This column introduces a new VoxEU eBook containing 19 essays written by leading economists on a wide array of topics and from a br... Read more...
01 August 2016
However, mounting evidence suggests that the gains from free trade are not shared equally. A body of research on the American economy shows that import competition from poor countries can depress the incomes of the low s... Read more...
30 July 2016
A feedback cycle has businesses cautious on investment and consumers unwilling to spend In a 2015 working paper, the economists Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, and Steven J. Davis constructed Economic Policy Uncertainty... Read more...
21 July 2016
The evidence is that foreign managers improve the companies they acquire A paper by Nick Bloom of Stanford University and others shows that the David Brents can learn from the Jack Welches: when they take over British f... Read more...
20 July 2016
Ahead of the Brexit vote, the great transnational institutions that have come to, if not govern, then certainly guide the post-World War Two order were all out talking apocalypse. Britain will ''almost certainly... Read more...
John Van Reenen, head of the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, said that Britain's Brexit decision will have both short-term and long-term consequences. ''There is a lot of uncertainty ab... Read more...
01 July 2016
Less than a week after Briton's voted to exit the EU, the worlds second largest telecom company [Vodafone] has announced it is considering moving its headquarters from London to mainland Europe. Vodafone's warning could... Read more...
29 June 2016
Millions of words on the topic - including economists' majority view that leaving the bloc will slow growth and the Leave campaign's counterarguments that Britain will prosper - could be replaced by seven charts. The... Read more...
27 June 2016
First views on the global economic impact of such episode refer to one (even minor) world growth rate. Thus for example claimed John Van Reenen of the London School of Economics, who said the effect ''disincentive'' to i... Read more...
24 June 2016
Whenever share prices fall significantly investors should ask: is this because future dividends will be lower, or is it because risk aversion has increased? ... So, which of these explanations applies to the post-Brexi... Read more...
So we've decided to take a leap and vote to leave the EU. What is it going to mean for you and your money? We've voted. The decision has been made. We're out of the European Union, in a move that has triggered the Pri... Read more...
The world map has been redrawn with the rules of commerce across Europe, the largest marketplace on earth. Britain's vote on Thursday to leave the European Union has set in motion an unprecedented and unpredictable proce... Read more...
Research by the London School of Economics in the report ''Life After Brexit'' is warning Britain would most likely fall into recession if it leaves, as a myriad of agreements unravel over several years. French launch #O... Read more...
23 June 2016
Foreign investment brings many benefits to the UK, including higher pay and productivity. But a Brexit vote could end it all, write Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen. First, not being... Read more...
22 June 2016
And while some experts argue that FDI is high in the UK due to a favourable business environment, others, such as the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, suggest that ''being fully in the s... Read more...
According to Dennis Novy, Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Warwick: ''TTIP has the potential to benefit millions of consumers. It goes far beyond an economic project. Its current timetable seems ambi... Read more...
20 May 2016
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance calculates the long-term costs to Britain of lower trade with the EU could be as high as 9.5 per cent of GDP, while the fall in foreign investment could cos... Read more...
17 May 2016
Brexit uncertainty ''would tend to push up risk premia'', as InFacts has already pointed out. Funding costs for banks could go up, as would borrowing costs for homeowners and consumers. The UK's current account deficit i... Read more...
12 May 2016
A very awkward fact for the Brexit campaign is that in the last quarter of 2015, Britain's current-account deficit hit a record 7 per cent of GDP. That needs to be financed. But the risk of Brexit is already acting like ... Read more...
19 April 2016
Leaving the EU could lead to a fall in inward foreign direct investment of close to a quarter, writes CEP team: Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen. ... Read more...
15 April 2016
Article by John Van Reenen Foreign investors love Britain, but Brexit would kill the vibe. According to new research colleagues and I have conducted at the Centre for Economic Performance, leaving the European Union cou... Read more...
Whether Britain loses access to the single market depends on the terms of any exit. Under the optimistic scenario, Britain would join the European Economic Area as non-member countries like Norway and Switzerland have do... Read more...
…but economists think that leaving would come at some economic cost The FT also reviewed three recently published studies, by the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, Pr... Read more...
13 April 2016
Article by Swati Dhingra Last week's Brussels visit by Prime Minister Narendra Modi has started speculations that there will now be a renewed push for talks on the stalled EU-India broad-based trade and investment agree... Read more...
04 April 2016
A new CERRE report highlights the relationship between prices, investments, and market structure. It is co-authored by Tommaso Valletti, a Joint Academic Director of CERRE and Professor of Economics at Imperial College L... Read more...
07 October 2015
Dennis Novy interviewed on the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) in the light of households in Kenilworth protesting with the message to protect the NHS from TTIP. This article was published by BBC C... Read more...
12 August 2015
Article by Bill Gates Last month, during a trip to Europe, I mentioned that I plan to invest $1 billion in clean energy technology over the next five years. This will be a fairly big increase over the investments I am a... Read more...
03 August 2015
Article by Dennis Novy If successfully concluded, the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) would be the most ambitious free trade agreement in history. Dennis Novy writes that while the potential bene... Read more...
28 February 2015
Blog article by David Metcalf Wealthy foreigners looking for a quick way to get permanent residence in the UK can take the 'investor route'. David Metcalf explains how simple reforms to the system, including visa auctio... Read more...
03 November 2014
Tiger mothers predestine their children to do well at school even before they are born, research has suggested. Babies born to highly competitive women who believe that they have the power to shape their children's prosp... Read more...
19 August 2014
Babies born to mothers who hold a stronger belief that their fate is in their own hands and not down to luck tend to perform better in their GCSE exams 16 years later. That is the central finding of new research by the C... Read more...
18 August 2014
Professor John Van Reenen, Department of Economics and Centre for Economic Performance, has been awarded the European Investment Bank Institute's 2014 'Outstanding Contribution Award'. The accolade, jointly awarded to Pr... Read more...
28 July 2014
Highams Park was not mentioned in material promoting business in Waltham Forest on the advice of London School of Economics (LSE) research, the council has said. There has been outcry after the area, long recognised as a... Read more...
20 July 2014
Professor Martin Knapp, lead researcher of the study, believes that the discrepancy is caused mainly by a lack of awareness about how the money is spent. ''It's partly because the prevalence and impacts of the disease ha... Read more...
10 June 2014