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Gangs of London and public housing

Richard Disney, Tom Kirchmaier, Stephen Machin and Carmen Villa


Novel spatial data on London street gangs between 1990 and 2015 are combined with local housing characteristics to produce a newly constructed data source that shows how social housing and its architectural design relates to gang presence and neighbourhood crime. High-rise public housing estates built in the post-World War II era are much more likely to host gangs than areas without social housing. To address concerns that social housing was built in already high-crime areas, localised high-rise construction is shown to be predicted from spatial patterns of WWII bomb damage that occurred in the 1940-41 Blitz. Bomb-induced high-rise construction significantly raises gang presence and criminality, with there being especially high juvenile crime rates in gang areas.


28 January 2026     Paper Number CEPDP2147

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This CEP discussion paper is published under the centre's Neighbourhoods programme, Crime programme.

This publication comes under the following theme: Causes of crime