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Planning ahead for better beighborhoods: long-run evidence from Tanzania

Neeraj Baruah, Amanda Dahlstrand, Guy Michaels, Dzhamilya Nigmatulina, Ferdinand Rauch and Tanner Regan


Africa?s demand for urban housing is soaring, even as it faces a proliferation of slums. In this setting, can modest infrastructure investments in greenfield areas where people subsequently build their own houses facilitate long-run neighborhood development? We study Sites and Services projects implemented in seven Tanzanian cities during the 1970s and 1980s, and we use a spatial regression discontinuity design to compare greenfield areas that were treated (de novo) with nearby greenfield areas that were not. We find that by the 2010s, de novo areas developed into neighborhoods with larger, more regularly laid-out buildings and better-quality housing.


1 July 2021


Journal of Political Economy 129(7) , pp.2112-2156, 2021


DOI: 10.1086/714119

https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/pdf/10.1086/714119

This Journal article is published under the centre's Labour programme, Urban programme, Neighbourhoods programme.