Political forecasting is a thankless task, especially so in today's Britain. Even still, it's worth looking at what may improve a particular party's chances in the 12 December election. One factor to consider is rising economic insecurity. A recent paper published by the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics and Political Science defines it as anxiety about future income. The authors find that economic insecurity is associated with both greater political participation - for example, the intention to vote - and "notably" more support for right-leaning parties, while enthusiasm for left-leaning parties falls.

Read more... 05/11/2019