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Congratulations to Dennis Novy, professor of economics at the University of Warwick and research associate in CEP's trade programme, who has been appointed as chief economist and director of analysis at the Foreign, Comm... Read more...
03 October 2025
A guest post by Fadi Hassan, a research associate at the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics and Ugo Panizza, a professor of economics and the Pitchet chair in finance and development at the... Read more...
20 December 2019
Some commentators argue that globalisation is systematically connected to the real-wage and productivity stagnation seen across the developed world. This column analyses the relationship between international trade and w... Read more...
01 October 2019
The winners of the 2019 WTO Essay Award for Young Economists are Jan Bakker of Oxford University and Federico Huneeus of Princeton University, who were ranked in equal first place by the Selection Panel. They will share ... Read more...
12 September 2019
Lord Layard comments on the funding of the NHS. ... Read more...
26 March 2018
Business groups rule the global economy. Data show that about 70% of the global international trade is linked to multinational groups and about a third is linked to companies belonging to the same multinationa... Read more...
09 February 2018
CVER's Hilary Steedman and colleagues have been looking at training in one area of the automotive sector. Car Service is central to the supply chain of the wider automotive sector, identified as a le... Read more...
05 December 2017
Article by Thomas Sampson While we can estimate the economic impact of Brexit, we do not yet understand what made people vote for it. This column argues that political pro-Brexit rhetoric conflates two dist... Read more...
19 October 2017
The 25th Arrow Award for the best paper in health economics is awarded to Martin Gaynor, Carol Propper, and [CEP Alumni] Stephan Seiler for their paper “Free to choose? Reform, choice and considera... Read more...
27 June 2017
The interview was about the negotiations on international trade between the UK and the EU that will follow once Article 50 has been triggered. In particular, the interview covered the strengths and weakne... Read more...
07 March 2017
Dennis Novy gave a live TV interview to Al Jazeera. The topic was the confirmation of Steven Mnuchin as the new U.S. Treasury Secretary. The interview covered the proposed U.S. tax reforms and how changes to f... Read more...
14 February 2017
Britain's economy made a decision after the brexit-lock braking. One-third of the companies that froze investment plans as a result of a decision. The collapse of the value of the pound sterling told the c... Read more...
26 January 2017
El predominio de las firmas de menos de 10 empeados es in obstaculo para la productividad e internacionalizacion Article by Luis Garicano, Claire LeLarge and John Van Reenen The prevalence of firms of le... Read more...
22 January 2017
"Trade agreements are based on have something to give to receive something in return. No one is making charity here", explains Swati Dhingra, academic center of economic behaviour of the LSE. ... Read more...
19 January 2017
HUGE THREAT TO ECONOMY TO OVERSHADOW TORY BUDGET The Scottish National Party has said that the threat of a hard Brexit will be the ‘elephant in the room’ at the Autumn Statement. “The T... Read more...
20 November 2016
Dr Swati Dhingra interviewed, talking about the potential international implications of a Trump White House as well as initial reactions from (Brexit) UK. The interview was broadcast by CKWX News on the Ne... Read more...
16 November 2016
Dr Swati Dhingra on BBC News (19:35) commenting on PM Theresa May's speech on remaking globalization. [No link available.] ... Read more...
14 November 2016
The right way to leave the EU Article by Swati Dhingra On June 30, a week after the British public voted to leave the EU, Theresa May gave a speech launching her candidacy for prime minister in which she declared, ''Br... Read more...
21 October 2016
Ministers are at loggerheads over whether to quit the European customs union amid warnings it could mean a 4.5 per cent hit to GDP. Papers circulated at a meeting of the Brexit Cabinet committee apparently suggested tha... Read more...
19 October 2016
EU trade ministers have had Belgium on their minds today - but rather than tucking into chocolate and waffles they've been dealing with the more unappetizing problem of a regional Belgian parliament that's blocking thei... Read more...
18 October 2016
Dennis Novy interviewed. The topic was the leaked Brexit analysis from the Treasury and the economic implications of Brexit, in particular for international trade. This interview was broadcast by Al Jazeera Television ... Read more...
11 October 2016
Brexiteers need to respect gravity models of international trade Furthermore, according to Swati Dhingra of the London School of Economics, gravity models do a good job of predicting actual trading relationships today. ... Read more...
01 October 2016
3. Immigrants have not depressed the wages of UK workers A report by the London School of Economics this year showed that there was no correlation between an increase in immigration and the recent dip in wages. While ... Read more...
28 September 2016
According to estimates by the London School of Economics, Brexit will result in a 22 percent drop in direct investment into the British economy and a 3.4 percent drop in revenues. This article was published online by ... Read more...
27 September 2016
EXCLUSIVE: An analysis by The Independent of official data suggests British exporters would face a cost of at least £4.5bn - and in all likelihood they would take a hit many times larger A separate analysis by th... Read more...
23 September 2016
Fear of an economic meltdown was the biggest weapon in the campaign to stop Britain from leaving the European Union. Ten weeks after the vote, though, some say the fearmongering was overdone. Although the pound has fall... Read more...
18 September 2016
Dennis Novy interviewed on the state of the British economy after the EU Referendum, and on the prospects for UK international trade negotiation. The interview was recorded by 1 Das Erste (German Public TV Channel) on ... Read more...
11 September 2016
Swati Dhingra, one of those who forecast severe damage to the economy, says the danger hasn't past. Warnings about the impact of Brexit were focused on what might happen when Britain leaves the EU, and that won't happen ... Read more...
07 September 2016
Britain's statistics office has recruited a group of economic heavyweights to boost its ability to crunch numbers on the health of the economy. ... Three economics professor have also been recruited to the working group... Read more...
18 August 2016
Data to calculate Gross National Happiness (GNH) includes asking respondents to measure their perceived quality of life on a scale of 0 to 10, with 0 representing the worst and 10 the best possible outcome. The latest r... Read more...
06 August 2016
The reputed Centre for Economic Performance at LSE has long been studying the potential impact of the United Kingdom leaving the European Union, and just this last week it published its latest report. This report focuses... Read more...
05 August 2016
Article by Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson The UK should join the EEA and remain part of the single market, write Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson The UK has voted to leave the EU, but not in favour of any specific a... Read more...
The 23 June 2016 Brexit vote saw British voters reject membership in the European Union. This column introduces a new VoxEU eBook containing 19 essays written by leading economists on a wide array of topics and from a br... Read more...
01 August 2016
Overall, Brexit is likely to have a negative impact on inward FDI. New empirical analysis by Center for Economic Performance implies that leaving the EU will reduce FDI inflows to the UK by around 22 per cent. Such losse... Read more...
03 July 2016
Meanwhile, Director of the Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, John Van Reenen tell Brexit will give a significant impact in the short-term period. ''Impending situation where business refu... Read more...
27 June 2016
- Lehman-kraschen kom fran ingenstans, sager John Van Reenen, London School of Economics till New York Times. Det har ar som en tagolycka dar du kan se tagen komma mot varandra pa avstand men hoppas att de ska kunna sty... Read more...
John Van Reenen, Professor at the London School of Economics, said on Friday in an interview issued by the American channel CNBC that the companies ''will not want to take investment decisions because they have uncertain... Read more...
26 June 2016
The decision left the United Kingdom society of the European Union does indeed have fueled new uncertainty. ''Businessmen reluctant to take new decisions or affect investments, because of the uncertainty for the future,'... Read more...
24 June 2016
First views on the global economic impact of such episode refer to one (even minor) world growth rate. Thus for example claimed John Van Reenen of the London School of Economics, who said the effect ''disincentive'' to i... Read more...
Swati Dhingra: ''Europe doesn't matter a good deal with the United Kingdom in the case of Brexit'' The British economy will go down between 1.4% and 2.6% in pessimistic scenario. And life won't be made easier with havin... Read more...
23 June 2016
Few expect that Britain's departure from Europe will set off a full financial crisis like the one seen after the collapse of the investment banking giant Lehman Brothers in 2008. ... If no deal is struck, the rules of t... Read more...
The economic impacts of Britain leaving the EU With the referendum fast approaching, Thomas Sampson analyses the economic consequences should Britain vote to leave the European Union. Proponents of Brexit, as leaving ... Read more...
21 June 2016
According to Thomas Sampson, assistant professor at the Department of Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), an exit scenario would hit the country's economy really hard. Talking to Sputnik, h... Read more...
20 June 2016
The UK is also the top destination for foreign direct investment in Europe and ranked as one of the most attractive FDI markets in the world. But investment would tumble at least 22 per cent over the next decade in the e... Read more...
Thomas Sampson is from the London School Of Economics and has recently authored a paper called, Economists for Brexit: A Critique. He says Britain would be stronger by remaining in the EU. This interview was broadcas... Read more...
19 June 2016
The most serious problem of staying outside any EU trade agreement is the serious impact this might have on foreign direct investment into the UK. Being in the single market makes the UK attractive as a base for exporter... Read more...
Experts at the Treasury, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), and the London School of Economics have all found that remaining a part of the EEA would pose the least severe economic risk to the... Read more...
11 June 2016
A bad few days for the image of Britain's retail sector PARLIAMENTARY committees are normally sleepy affairs. Backbench MPs get the chance to grill the occasional bigwig. By replying to questions succinctly witnesses ty... Read more...
Economists care a great deal about the minimum wage because it is a policy prescription that increasingly affects a large portion of the workforce and because it is a clear case of government intervention, imposing a flo... Read more...
09 June 2016
''There's too much wrong information'' Interview with Swati Dhingra How will the British vote on June 23? Swati Dhingra, lecturer in economics at the London School of Economics, has examined the possible effects of a B... Read more...
07 June 2016
Stop everything! According to the OECD, the forum of economic reflection of developed countries, the United Kingdom would lose 5% of its GDP in the 15 years to come slamming the door of the European Union. Treasury, Brit... Read more...
01 June 2016
What issues have the greatest negative impact on UK businesses? Both sides of the debate have argued that there is either too much or very little EU red tape. These confusing arguments haven't helped to clarify the ... Read more...
30 May 2016
''The pro-Brexit argument that Britain will be free of lots of regulations, that there will be a bonfire of red tape that will cause us to grow rapidly and we'll strike lots of new trade deals as this buccaneering new En... Read more...
20 May 2016
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance calculates the long-term costs to Britain of lower trade with the EU could be as high as 9.5 per cent of GDP, while the fall in foreign investment could cos... Read more...
17 May 2016
Em uma entrevista ao jornal Financial Times, o professor Alan Manning, da London School of Economics, diz que em sua visao sobre a historia dos salarios minimos, ele sempre se surpreendeu com como e possivel aumenta-lo s... Read more...
16 May 2016
According to various studies at the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) of the London School of Economics, Brexit does reduce the fiscal deficit. That would be, according to CEP, the main benefit. The principal cost wo... Read more...
13 May 2016
Today eight economists have struck out against much mainstream economic thinking and suggested that the UK economy would flourish outside the European Union. They are up against formidable opposition - what those who su... Read more...
28 April 2016
Swati Dhingra interviewed about Brexit. The interview was broadcast by BBC Radio 5 Live at 10:30pm on April 19, 2016 [No link available.] Related publications See the complete set of CEP Brexit Analysis research ... Read more...
19 April 2016
Investors who strongly favour green energy make less thorough location searches, writes Yatang Lin Wind power is becoming an increasingly important part of the US energy mix, taking up more than four per cent of the tot... Read more...
Hunt argues that, with the NHS budget already under huge pressure, funding levels can only be maintained if the British economy remains strong. He cites a series of economic surveys, including from the CBI, the London Sc... Read more...
26 March 2016
The size of the current account deficit and the UK's reliance on household consumption are among the main worries for Britain's leading economists. John van Reenen, Director, Centre for Economic Performance: First... Read more...
03 January 2016
Article by Gianluca Benigno, Nathan Converse and Luca Fornaro In the aftermath of the Global Crisis, policymakers have adopted policies to limit, or at least manage, capital inflows. This column explores episodes of cap... Read more...
11 October 2015
Ever since Thatcher's Teesside stroll, breathing life into blighted areas has met with mixed success. Understanding what might work is a step in the right direction. Professor Alan Manning of the London School of Econ... Read more...
03 October 2015
Christopher Pissarides interviewed about closure of Greek banks. The interview was broadcast on BBC Radio 4 News on June 29, 2015 [No link available] Related links Christopher Pissarides webpage Macro Programme webp... Read more...
29 June 2015
Unemployment stands at more than 25%. ''People will be much worse off,'' said Christopher Pissarides, a Nobel prizewinner based at the London School of Economics. Investors are braced for a slump on global stock markets ... Read more...
28 June 2015
The story of the first coalition government in Britain since the second world war is the story of austerity and thwarted deficit reduction plans. It is the story of a delayed economic recovery. It is the story of falling... Read more...
15 March 2015
According to the new Greek government, Germany has an enormous unpaid account in Greece. The Germans never paid anything for the murdering and plundering in the Second World War. The 'Zwangsanleihe', an extorted loan of ... Read more...
09 February 2015
Greek officials are seeking support for a new debt agreement. ... The Germans are conveniently ignoring is their own record as one of history's biggest deadbeats. In the 1920s, according to a prominent German economic hi... Read more...
08 February 2015
ESRC-funded research provided crucial evidence for the introduction of a UK National Minimum Wage in 1999, encompassing 1.3 million workers in 2013. The research was cited prior to minimum wage legislation in Hong Kong i... Read more...
19 January 2015
The UK government's goal of cutting public spending so public finances are back in the black by 2018-19 with a large annual surplus by the end of the next parliament will not be delivered, most economists believe. How... Read more...
01 January 2015
Blog article posted by John Van Reenen George Osborne's Autumn Statement was a reminder of the government's missed targets and missed opportunities, writes John Van Reenen. The Chancellor's promise to eliminate the stru... Read more...
03 December 2014
The chancellor of the exchequer, George Osborne, has delivered the financial package he hopes will convince voters to deliver a Conservative majority in May 2015. Here, a team of academic experts [that includes the Centr... Read more...
And over the past 20 years, academic economists have done many empirical studies showing that's not how minimum wages work in practice. They've also developed more sophisticated theories that better fit the empirical fac... Read more...
11 July 2014
Article by Alan Manning Why this widespread enthusiasm for the minimum wage? There is both economics and politics at play. This article was published online by CNN on May 22, 2014 Link to article here Also in ... Read more...
22 May 2014
Article by Alan Manning Alan Manning takes a close look at the economics and the evidence of these claims, finding that one of their basic assumptions, that labor markets are highly competitive, does not hold. The ar... Read more...
27 January 2014
An increase in the minimum wage is not yet a done deal in Britain, with an independent panel that plays a critical role in the process expected to weigh in next month. But analysts say it's overwhelmingly likely now that... Read more...
In a recent research paper, Professor Alan Manning of the London School of Economics, who supports a higher minimum wage, wrote that the evidence suggests ''substantial increases, even if pursued over a few years, would ... Read more...
07 January 2014
Perhaps we simply assume that technological progress will always create more jobs than it destroys. It would seem reasonable to do so - after all, 2013 was the year when the number of people in work reached thirty milli... Read more...
02 January 2014
Even if the employer decided not to cut back on jobs or hours in the event of a living wage imposition, would this be such a benevolent economic outcome? The other alternatives in the event of unchanged productivity are ... Read more...
08 November 2013
''Investment banks [key early adopters of the wage] don't have that many minimum wage employee''s, says Alan Manning, professor of economics at the London School of Economics. ''The cost of complying is just a rather goo... Read more...
25 October 2013
Professor Sir George Bain, who was the first chair of the Low Pay Commission, will oversee a wide-reaching analysis of the wage, sponsored by the Resolution Foundation, the think-tank set up by Clive Cowdery, the insuran... Read more...
21 June 2013
'An Anatomy of Economic Inequality in the UK' - the Report of the National Equality Panel - was launched on Wednesday 27 January 2010. The independent National Equality Panel was set up at the invitation of the Gove... Read more...
27 January 2010