Skip to main content
House prices could fall when the stamp duty holiday comes to a close. London is particularly vulnerable because the price of houses rose particularly sharply over 2020, while the population of the capital... Read more...
30 March 2021
LSE study says there has been little exodus to rural areas in past year but buyers have sought space, with detached houses close to the centre of London seeing the biggest price increases over the past year. ... Read more...
Read more...
19 August 2019
The German bombing offensive brings lessons about worker density and zoning restrictions in London - and perhaps New York and Tokyo, write Gerard Dericks and Hans Koster. ... Read more...
25 June 2018
Bloomberg News asked six market commentators to predict what they see happening next in London’s 1.8 trillion-pound ($2.4 trillion) housing market:… Rippling Out: Paul Cheshire, professor... Read more...
23 May 2018
The rate of UK house-building has fallen well behind our demographic requirements, driven by natural population growth and net immigration. “We’ve not built nearly enough homes since the Sixties &n... Read more...
19 May 2018
This is hardly a fringe view. Economists Christian Hilber and Wouter Vermeulen point out that house prices would be 35 per cent lower if the most restrictive parts of the country (the South-East) were merely a... Read more...
08 May 2018
Researchers at the ESRC Centre for Economic Performance have explored the impact of stamp duty on different types of mobility, by comparing mobility rates of otherwise similar homeowners with self-assessed hou... Read more...
01 February 2018
The cut in stamp duty for first-time buyers was good news but more needs to be done to help overcome the housing crisis, according to the chief executive of the Family Building Society, Mark Bogard. It foll... Read more...
10 January 2018
In 2008, the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London School of Economics published research for England showing high performing (academically) schools can have an impact between 3% and 12% on prope... Read more...
09 December 2017
CFM-CEPR expert survey explores two aspects of recent developments in UK house prices Question 2: Do you agree that a more widespread weakening of the UK housing market will slow UK GDP growth significantly... Read more...
08 December 2017
Right now, the British people are already paying money. Every time they go shopping, because prices have gone up, they actually can buy less with their money said Dennis Novy, research fellow at the Center for... Read more...
24 November 2017
Dennis Novy interviewed by Chinese television on CEP Brexit analysis research into how much Brexit is already costing UK households. ... Read more...
23 November 2017
A report from the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) says the average household is paying £404-a-year extra on food and household items due to rising prices. After the EU referendum vote, the falling ... Read more...
20 November 2017
Earlier this year, a report by the London School of Economics and the VATT Institute for Economic Research said the rate of home moving would be 27 per cent higher without stamp duty. Related publications ... Read more...
30 October 2017
It seems things are slowing down. And two distinct camps are emerging: the “priced out” generation, who are hoping a crash will lead to house prices they can afford, and the “propertied&rdquo... Read more...
09 October 2017
Paul Cheshire, professor of economic geography and the London School of Economics, said: ‘The term “millionaire” has long been reserved for those considered to have extreme wealth. A distant ... Read more...
05 September 2017
Paul Cheshire, professor of economic geography and the London School of Economics, said: "The term "millionaire" has long been reserved for those considered to have extreme wealth. A distant asp... Read more...
Stamp duty is making the housing crisis worse because it is deterring older homeowners from downsizing, it has been claimed. A report by the London School of Economics and the VATT Institute for Economic Resea... Read more...
16 August 2017
A recent paper by Christian Hilber of the London School of Economics suggests that stamp duty reduces the rate of home moving by about a fifth. Related publications ‘Transfer Taxes and Household Mo... Read more...
14 August 2017
Academics have claimed that the housing market is being adversely affected by stamp duty. According to research from the London School of Economics and the VATT Institute for Economic Research, the duty is det... Read more...
Professor Christian Hilber, who co-authored the report, said: "Stamp duty discourages young expanding families from moving to more adequate, larger housing and it discourages the elderly from downsizing. ... Read more...
11 August 2017
Current stamp duty rates are deterring older buyers from downsizing and therefore freeing up homes for those further down the housing ladder, but the research from the London School of Economics and the VATT I... Read more...
Present rates of Stamp Duty are putting older buyers off downsizing and stopping more homes coming onto the market for those at the bottom of the housing ladder. Research from the London School of Economics an... Read more...
By raising the costs of moving home, stamp duty is likely to have “very substantial detrimental effects” on the property market, according to research released this week by academics from the Londo... Read more...
Snippet: ... A report by the London School of Economics also claimed that stamp duty is making the housing crisis worse because it is deterring older homeowners from downsizing. Related publications ... Read more...
10 August 2017
Snippet: ... "The important message for our paper is that the taxation has significantly hurt the liquidity," said Professor Christian Hilber, co-author of the report. Related publications &lsq... Read more...
Co-author of the report, Professor Christian Hilber, said: “The key message of our paper is that stamp duty hampers mobility significantly’… Related publications ‘Transfer Taxes ... Read more...
The tax is stopping young families from moving to a larger home, a report says, and deterring older people from downsizing. Snippet: ...Professor Christian Hilber, who co-authored the report, said: "Th... Read more...
"The important message of our paper is that the taxation is significantly damaging to liquidity," said Professor Christian Hilber, co-author of the report. "" If a young family adds a filia... Read more...
09 August 2017
A cabinet minister, who apparently wishes to remain anonymous, has told the Daily Telegraph that stamp duty must be reformed as it is exacerbating the housing crisis, stopping older homeowners from downsizing.... Read more...
A study by the London School of Economics and the VATT Institute for Economic Research found Stamp Duty, or property transfer taxes, were making households less likely to move, particularly over shorter distan... Read more...
Snippet: ... Prof Christian Hilber, of the London School of Economics, tells the paper the key message from the research is that stamp duty hampers mobility significantly. Related publications ‘Tra... Read more...
Snippet: ... Prof Christian Hilber, who co-authored the report, said: “The key message of our paper is that stamp duty hampers mobility significantly. Related publications ‘Transfer Taxes and... Read more...
Snippet: ... Professor Christian Hilber, who co-authored the report told the Daily Telegraph: “The key message of our paper is that stamp duty hampers mobility significantly. Related publications &... Read more...
Snippet: ... Co-author of the report, Professor Christian Hilber, said: “The key message of our paper is that stamp duty hampers mobility significantly. Related publications ‘Transfer Taxes a... Read more...
Snippet: ... LSE Professor Christian Hilber said: "If you are a young family and you have an additional child, you'll need an additional room, but the stamp duty is discouraging this kind of move beca... Read more...
The academic paper, published jointly by the London School of Economics and the VATT Institute for Economic Research, estimates the level of home moving would increase by 27 per cent if the levy was abolished ... Read more...
However, research from the LSE and the VATT Institute for Economic Research suggests the human cost of stamp duty is even higher. It artificially reduces the rate at which people move by nearly one-third, it s... Read more...
08 August 2017
Snippet: ... A report from academics said stamp duty reduces the rate of home moving by nearly a third and meant that large homes were not being freed up for young, growing families. Related publications ... Read more...
in the last decade, the average amount of stamp duty charged per residential transaction has risen by 30% in real terms (though recent changes have lightened the load slightly for some). The need to pay thousa... Read more...
05 August 2017
A little-noticed change in Britain’s housing market spells trouble for everybody Snippet: ...n has risen by 30% in real terms (though recent changes have lightened the load slightly). The need to pay ... Read more...
To the outsider (that is, the consumer), the property market is issuing mixed messages. In fact these are simply differences of opinion. Take, for instance, Professor Paul Cheshire at the London School of E... Read more...
28 July 2017
Paul Cheshire, Professor of Economic Geography at the LSE, says house prices could crash by 40 percent. His colleague Christian Hilber explains: ‘If Brexit leads to a recession and/or sluggish growth for... Read more...
26 July 2017
Reference to Paul Cheshire on possible house price collapse. Click to open ... Read more...
19 July 2017
Bloomberg News asked seven market commentators to predict what they expected next in London’s £1.6-trillion housing market. Paul Cheshire, professor of economic geography at the London School of... Read more...
Brexit and higher tax has had a particularly negative impact on the market in well-heeled inner London areas, some of which have seen prices fall sharply over the past 18 months or so, as they absorb the stamp... Read more...
14 July 2017
People may be paying too high a price to extend the leases on their homes according to new research from the LSE. The research, forthcoming in The Economic Journal(1), suggests that current leasehold extension... Read more...
11 July 2017
Snippet: ... signs of faltering market with a slight drop in house prices month on month quarter-on-quarter but they're still up on a year ago a man quoted in many areas house prices crash stories was Prof... Read more...
09 July 2017
Professor Paul Cheshire, who has advised the Government on housing policy, said: 'We are due a significant correction in house prices. I think we are beginning to see signs that correction may be star... Read more...
Speaking last week, Paul Cheshire, a former government housing adviser, also warned that the property market could tumble. ‘We are due a significant correction in house prices. I think we are beginning t... Read more...
Paul Cheshire, professor of Economic Geography at the London School of Economics, said: “We are due a significant correction in house prices. “I think we are beginning to see signs that correcti... Read more...
Paul Cheshire, professor of economic geography at the London School of Economics, made headlines last weekend by warning that house prices could be heading for “a significant correction” — of... Read more...
House price data has so far suggested a softening in the market rather than a crash. However, The Mail on Sunday last weekend reported that Britain could be on the brink of a major 1990s-style house price coll... Read more...
Paul Cheshire, emeritus professor of economic geography at the London School of Economics, told Building: “There’s likely to be a downward correction of house prices, primarily because of decl... Read more...
07 July 2017
Simon French of Panmure Gordon told the newspaper: “These prices are only sustainable in a world of permanently low interest rates and low unemployment. Any sharp correction in either the credit or the l... Read more...
06 July 2017
Earlier this week Paul Cheshire, a professor of economic geography at the London School of Economics, gave a starker warning. He said: “We are due a significant correction in house prices. I think ... Read more...
05 July 2017
Construction of McMansions has also increased but people who have smaller homes near where McMansions are built are much, much unhappier with their homes, according to a paper published in the spring by r... Read more...
HOUSE prices in Britain are close to a crash that could be as bad as the bust of the early 1990s, according to warnings from a leading economics expert Paul Cheshire, Professor of Economic Geography at the ... Read more...
9 o'clock if you have a health read then you can call us now and takes more calls as well on this issue of people fleeing the NHS but before that Sir rumours are continuing to circulate of the cra... Read more...
04 July 2017
Two leading economics professors have warned that the UK housing market is on the brink of a 40% collapse, echoing the early 1990s property crisis. “We are due a significant correction in house pric... Read more...
Professor Paul Cheshire predicts London property is long overdue a price correction. But could values really fall 40 per cent and bring about the return of 1990s scale negative equity? ... Read more...
Two leading economics professors have warned that the UK housing market is on the brink of a 40% collapse, echoing the early 1990s property crisis. "We are due a significant correction in house price... Read more...
Construction of McMansions has also increased but people who have smaller homes near where McMansions are built are much, much unhappier with their homes, according to a paper published in the spring by resear... Read more...
Homeowners could see a sharp drop in the value of their houses because of Brexit paired with the wage drop, a London School of Economics professor predicts. Prices could fall almost 40 per cent and even put ho... Read more...
03 July 2017
Snippet: there are already warning signs that prices are heading toward a near 40% plunge Paul Cheshire Professor of economic geography at the London school of economics while here to debunk... Click to open ... Read more...
02 July 2017
Leading economists have warned that the UK is heading for a collapse in house prices not seen since the early 90s which risks plunging homeowners into negative equity. "We are due a significant correction... Read more...
House prices could plummet by almost 40 per cent as Britain faces a crash similar to that in the 1990s, a leading professor at the London School of Economics has warned. A possible Brexit -sparked recession co... Read more...
House prices are teetering on the brink of a crash that could be as bad as the bust of the early 1990s, a leading expert has warned. There are already warning signs that prices are heading towards a near 40 pe... Read more...
01 July 2017
Britons' incomes could be slashed by as much as 9.5 percent once the U.K. formally leaves the European Union, a new study released today by MIT economics professor John Van Reenen has claimed. The repor... Read more...
08 February 2017
Trump’s true legacy will be that of rural vandalism on a colossal scale. A unique wilderness at Menie destroyed for a golf course. This was a site of Special Scientific Interest, the highest environmenta... Read more...
01 November 2016
Two years ago, the London School of Economics delivered bad news to the renewables industry. It published a research paper that showed that house price appreciation was significantly reduced by being near wind farms in E... Read more...
19 October 2016
However, land regulation may play a bigger role. According to a recent paper by Christian Hilber and Wouter Vermeulen of the London School of Economics, alongside Greater London, scarcity of open, developable land is gre... Read more...
24 September 2016
There is another house price bubble under way in the Dublin area. Notwithstanding the efforts by the Central Bank to keep mortgage credit under control, some extraordinary prices have been quoted recently for the small p... Read more...
07 July 2016
Labour MPs now walk around saying that immigration reduces domestic wages, that the rich man has got a cheaper plumber, but the indigenous plumber has had to reduce his fees. Usually this argument is framed as an assault... Read more...
25 June 2016
The parallels between Brexit backers and Trumps supporters is clear. Trump's campaign targets manufacturing towns across America, frequently expressing the need to reject globalism and put ''America first''. In Britain, ... Read more...
24 June 2016
Claim Being in Europe means lower prices in UK shops, saving the average UK household over £350 a year. If we left Europe, your weekly shop could cost more. Conclusion This isn’t the impact of b... Read more...
23 May 2016
Claim Leaving the EU would cost the average UK household at least £850 a year, and potentially as much as £1,700, according to research released by the London School of Economics. Conclusion The... Read more...
New research by London school of economics Professor Christian Hilber and Wouter Vermeulen of the Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis provides strength and evidence of the connection between high housing pr... Read more...
12 April 2016
It costs a relatively large amount of money to buy a house in the UK - something readers from the UK will almost certainly agree with. But economists differ over why this is. This column argues that strict planning regul... Read more...
10 April 2016
Article by Guy Michaels In a new study published by the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP), we examine why so many people are hit by floods year after year. In particular, we ask whether urban populations respond to ... Read more...
11 January 2016
Climate change experts have backed calls for tighter planning restrictions to prevent new building on flood plains after the worst national flooding crisis in a generation. After a major study of city floods around the w... Read more...
07 January 2016
Government initiatives to support home ownership and build new houses will fail to have any real impact in 2016, with UK property prices expected to keep climbing. John Van Reenen, Director, Centre for Economic Performa... Read more...
03 January 2016
It's a well-known fact that Essex is blessed with an excellent choice of schools, in both the public and private sectors. And thanks to some research published a couple of years ago by the Centre for Economic Performance... Read more...
12 August 2015
Partly as a result London house prices per square foot are now the second highest in the world after Monaco, according to the London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance. The problem is acute: the average... Read more...
02 June 2015
A steep reduction in UK emissions over the last two decades disguises a number of ineffective government policies, argues a new report from the London School of Economics. In a briefing on the key environmental policy is... Read more...
30 April 2015
Building an economy upon a massive and growing distortion in the market for land is foolish In a recent paper, Christian Hilber of the London School of Economics and Wouter Vermeulen of the Netherlands bureau for econom... Read more...
05 February 2015
Consider the example of planning policy. On one side of the barricades, there are those opposed to new development - perhaps not in general, but certainly when it comes to any specific attempt to build much-needed new h... Read more...
21 January 2015
Wind turbines are generally popular as a source of green energy but face considerable opposition from the people who have to live near them. Steve Gibbons uses local property markets as a way to value the visual impact o... Read more...
20 October 2014
In translation: The London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE) along with the Imperial College Business School have conducted a curious study that analyzed the evolution of the price of more than one millio... Read more...
05 August 2014
House prices have grown faster in England since late 1973 than almost all other European countries. So what is going on? The problem is clearly that there is too little supply, given the demand and the growing population... Read more...
Article by Henry Overman Our latest evidence review on the economic impact of cultural and sport projects might make for uncomfortable reading for some local decision makers. We looked at these programmes' effects on wa... Read more...
16 July 2014
Only 10 per cent of the value of land in expensive cities is due to its natural scarcity. The rest is planning restrictions. Paul Cheshire and Christian Hilber at the London School of Economics applied the same trick to ... Read more...
Presenter quotes an earlier appearance by Paul Cheshire on the BBC's 'Sunday Politics Show' discussing the use of the green belt for new housing sites. This mention was on the BBC Radio Bristol News on July 11, 2014... Read more...
11 July 2014
The Northern Futures project is a new approach to policymaking which means that rather than decisions being made by politicians and civil servants in Whitehall, the power is given to the people who live and work there. .... Read more...
04 July 2014
A wind farm developer has agreed to stop distributing a booklet which was given to residents in the parish of St Enoder after a complaint was made to the Advertising Standard Authority (ASA). The complaint to ASA argued ... Read more...
02 July 2014
According to Professor Paul Cheshire, you could build 1.6 million homes at average densities if just a fraction of that greenbelt space, much of it riding schools and golf courses, were reclassified. This article was... Read more...
16 June 2014
THE UK housing market needs Help to Supply, not Help to Buy. The government's housing scheme has helped first-time buyers get a leg-up onto the property ladder, but that privilege has come at a price - with house prices... Read more...
21 May 2014
Paul Cheshire discusses need for more housing on greenbelts. This interview was broadcast by BBC Berkshire on May 14, 2014 No link available. Related publications Turning houses into gold: the failure of Britis... Read more...
14 May 2014
In the long run, the answer to Britain's out-of-kilter housing market is an increase in the supply of homes. Paul Cheshire, an academic at the London School of Economics, says there has been a slowdown in the number of n... Read more...
11 May 2014
Nipping it in the bud too soon, despite justifiable concerns about house prices in some areas, could backfire. Professor Paul Cheshire, in a spirited piece for the London School of Economics' CentrePiece magazine, estima... Read more...
Green belt polices that aim to keep ''the urban unwashed out of the Home Counties'' are causing a housing affordability crisis, according to a London School of Economics (LSE) professor. Britain's booming house prices ha... Read more...
02 May 2014
Large windfarms can knock as much as 12 percent off the values of homes within a 2km radius, and reduce property prices as far as 14km away, according to research by the London School of Economics. The findings contrast ... Read more...
08 April 2014
Earlier this week Paul Cheshire, a professor of economic geography at the London School of Economics, gave a starker warning. He said: “We are due a significant correction in house prices. I think we are... Read more...
05 July 2005