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East-side story: historical pollution and persistent neighborhood sorting

Stephan Heblich, Alex Trew and Yanos Zylberberg


Why are the east sides of formerly industrial cities more deprived? To answer this question, we use individual-level census data and create historical pollution patterns derived from the locations of 5,000 industrial chimneys and an atmospheric model. We show that this observation results from path-dependent neighborhood sorting that began during the Industrial Revolution, as prevailing winds blew pollution eastward. Past pollution explains up to 20% of observed neighborhood segregation in 2011, even though coal pollution stopped in the 1970s. We develop a quantitative model to identify the role of neighborhood effects and relocation rigidities underlying this persistence. ? 2021 by The University of Chicago. All rights reserved.


1 May 2021


Journal of Political Economy 129(5) , pp.1508-1552, 2021


DOI: 10.1086/713101

https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/full/10.1086/713101

This Journal article is published under the centre's Urban programme.