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Gravity and heterogeneous trade cost elasticities

Natalie Chen and Dennis Novy


How do trade costs affect international trade? This paper offers a new approach. We rely on a flexible gravity equation that predicts variable trade cost elasticities, both across and within country pairs. We apply this framework to popular trade cost variables such as currency unions, trade agreements and World Trade Organization membership. While we estimate that these variables are associated with increased bilateral trade on average, we find substantial heterogeneity. Consistent with the predictions of our framework, trade cost effects are strong for `thin? bilateral relationships characterised by small import shares, and weak or even zero for `thick? relationships.


1 May 2022


The Economic Journal 132(644) , pp.1349-1377, 2022


DOI: 10.1093/ej/ueab067

https://academic.oup.com/ej/article/132/644/1349/6364355

This Journal article is published under the centre's Trade programme.