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Why inflation may respond faster to big shocks: The rise of state-dependent pricing

Nicholas Bloom, Philip Bunn, Craig Menzies, Paul Mizen, Gregory Thwaites and Ivan Yotzov


Macroeconomic models distinguish time-dependent pricing, where firms change prices at fixed intervals, from state-dependent pricing, where firms change prices in response to changing demand or costs. This column presents new evidence on how firms set prices using direct questions from a large, economy-wide survey of UK firms. State-dependent pricing has increased since 2019 and is more common in smaller firms, those with higher non-labour costs, and those reporting higher uncertainty. Furthermore, empirical work shows that state-dependent firms respond faster to cost shocks, with larger differences for bigger shocks, consistent with theoretical predictions.


6 February 2026


VoxEU


https://cepr.org/voxeu/columns/why-inflation-may-respond-faster-big-shocks-rise-state-dependent-pricing

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