The role of human capital for AI adoption: evidence from French firms
Flavio Calvino, Chiara Criscuolo, Luca Fontanelli, Lionel Nesta and Elena Verdolini
We leverage a uniquely comprehensive combination of data sources to explore the enabling role of human capital in fostering the adoption of predictive AI systems in French firms. Using a causal estimation approach, we show that ICT engineers play a key role for AI adoption by firms. Our estimates indicate that raising the current average share of ICT engineers in firms not using AI (1.66%) to the level of AI users (6.7%) would increase their probability to adopt AI by 0.81 percentage points - equivalent to an 8.43 percent growth. However, this would imply substantial investments to fill the existing gap in ICT human capital, amounting to around 450.000 additional ICT engineers. We also explore potential mechanisms, showing that the relevance of ICT engineers for predictive AI is driven by the innovative nature of its use, make-vs-buy choices, large availability of data, ICT and R&D intensity.
18 November 2024 Paper Number CEPDP2055
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This CEP discussion paper is published under the centre's Growth programme.