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The dynamics of the debate about gay rights: evidence from US newspapers

Alan Manning and Paolo Masella


Changing attitudes are the result of a battle for hearts and minds in which agents for and against change try to persuade others. We know very little about this process. We develop a methodology for measuring the intensity and the contents of media coverage for and against an idea which we apply to attitudes to gay rights. We uncover several stylized facts: First, the diffusion process of both pro- and anti-gay rights language in the US newspapers follow an S-shaped pattern, characteristic of diffusion processes. Anti-gay rights coverage starts its diffusion process later but then catches up. Second, in the year gay marriages are introduced, we observe a dramatic increase in coverage of both pro- and anti-gay rights language; the increase in the latter is larger. The rise in coverage is still present in the 3 years after the institutional change. Third, there is substantial spatial autocorrelation in media coverage.


1 July 2023


The Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization 39(2) , pp.456-492, 2023


DOI: 10.1093/jleo/ewab043

https://academic.oup.com/jleo/article/39/2/456/6511916

This Journal article is published under the centre's Community Wellbeing programme.