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The UK's great demand and supply recession

Nick Jacob and Giordano Mion


We revisit the weak productivity performance of the UK since the Great Recession by means of both a suitable theoretical framework and firm-level price and quantity data for detailed products, allowing us to measure both demand and its changes over time and distinguish between quantity total factor productivity and revenue total factor productivity. This in turn allows us to measure how changes in quantity TFP, demand and markups ultimately affected revenue TFP, as well as labour productivity, over the Great Recession. Our findings suggest that the weak productivity performance of UK firms post-recession is due to both weakening demand and decreasing quantity TFP pushing down sales, markups, revenue TFP and labour productivity.


29 November 2022


Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 85(5) , pp.993-1022, 2022


DOI: 10.1111/obes.12533

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/obes.12533

This Journal article is published under the centre's Trade programme.