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CEP Election Analysis Papers

Objective, brief and non-technical, CEP Election Analysis is a series of background briefings on the UK government's record since 1997.

This series discusses the research evidence on some of the UK's key policy battlegrounds including macroeconomic policy, immigration, health, education, crime, poverty and inequality, labour market policy, regional policy, energy and the environment, financial regulation and bankers' bonuses, foreign aid, and most recently, an analysis of the Scottish Referendum.

These analyses are provided by some of our expert researchers and draw on some of our past and current research.

See also:
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#ElectionEconomics: The Research Evidence on Key Issues for Voters in the 2015 UK General Election Ghazala Azmat, Brian Bell, Jonathan Colmer, Antoine Dechezleprêtre, Swati Dhingra, Christian Hilber, Stephen Machin, Alan Manning, Ralf Martin, Alistair McGuire, Sandra McNally, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Henry Overman, Isabelle Roland, Thomas Sampson, Anna Valero, John Van Reenen, Jonathan Wadsworth, Gill Wyness and Gabriel Zucman April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA034:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | Executive_summary (pdf)

Tags: 2015 uk general election; government policy; austerity; productivity; health; nhs; education; higher education; immigration; brexit; eu; inequality; real wages; unemployment; gender; management; productivity; uk housing; environment; climate change; uk cities; infrastructure; taxation

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Energy and the Environment: a cold climate for climate change policies? Jonathan Colmer, Antoine Dechezleprêtre and Ralf Martin April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA032:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | View Video (pdf)

Tags: energy; climate change; environment; #electioneconomics

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Top Rate of Income Tax Alan Manning
April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA029:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | View Video (pdf)

Tags: top rate of income tax

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Should We Stay or Should We Go? The economic consequences of leaving the EU Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano and Thomas Sampson March 2015
Paper No' CEPEA022:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | View Video (pdf)

JEL Classification: F13;F17;F60


Tags: trade; european union; welfare; brexit; #electioneconomics; government policy; 2015 general election

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Inequality: Still Higher, But Labour's Policies Kept it Down Stephen Machin and John Van Reenen
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA015:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: inequality


Read Main Summary Points
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Jobs and Youth Unemployment: It's bad, but not as bad as you might think Barbara Petrongolo and John Van Reenen
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA012:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: jobs; unemployment; youth


Read Main Summary Points
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Bankers' Bonuses Brian Bell
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA010:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: banks; bonuses; credit crunch


Read Main Summary Points
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Immigration: The Evidence from Economic Research Jonathan Wadsworth
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA005:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: immigration

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Macroeconomic Assessment: Interest Rates, Taxes and Spending Christopher Crowe
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA003:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: monetary policy; taxes

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Reducing Crime: More Police, More Prisons or More Pay? Olivier Marie
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA002:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: crime; police; prisons

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Health Care: Evidence on the Impact of Increased Spending and Patient Choice Alistair McGuire and John Van Reenen
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA001:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: healthcare; patient choice; nhs

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Welfare to Work: The Evidence on Labour’s New Deal Policies John Van Reenen
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA000:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: new deal; welfare