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CEP Election Analysis Papers

Objective, brief and non-technical, CEP Election Analysis is a series of background briefings on the UK government's record since 1997.

This series discusses the research evidence on some of the UK's key policy battlegrounds including macroeconomic policy, immigration, health, education, crime, poverty and inequality, labour market policy, regional policy, energy and the environment, financial regulation and bankers' bonuses, foreign aid, and most recently, an analysis of the Scottish Referendum.

These analyses are provided by some of our expert researchers and draw on some of our past and current research.

See also:
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CEP Election Analysis
A New Priority for Mental Health Richard Layard
May 2015
Paper No' CEPEA035:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | View Video (pdf)

Tags: mental health; nhs; government policy

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CEP Election Analysis
#ElectionEconomics: The Research Evidence on Key Issues for Voters in the 2015 UK General Election Ghazala Azmat, Brian Bell, Jonathan Colmer, Antoine Dechezleprêtre, Swati Dhingra, Christian Hilber, Stephen Machin, Alan Manning, Ralf Martin, Alistair McGuire, Sandra McNally, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Henry Overman, Isabelle Roland, Thomas Sampson, Anna Valero, John Van Reenen, Jonathan Wadsworth, Gill Wyness and Gabriel Zucman April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA034:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | Executive Summary (pdf)

Tags: 2015 uk general election; government policy; austerity; productivity; health; nhs; education; higher education; immigration; brexit; eu; inequality; real wages; unemployment; gender; management; productivity; uk housing; environment; climate change; uk cities; infrastructure; taxation

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CEP Election Analysis
Energy and the Environment: a cold climate for climate change policies? Jonathan Colmer, Antoine Dechezleprêtre and Ralf Martin April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA032:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | View Video (pdf)

Tags: energy; climate change; environment; #electioneconomics

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CEP Election Analysis
Fighting Crime: Can the Police do more with less? Brian Bell
April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA031:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: crime; police; #electioneconomics

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CEP Election Analysis
Inequality: Are we really 'all in this together'? Gabriel Zucman
April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA030:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: inequality; wages; wealth; taxes; #electioneconomics

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CEP Election Analysis
Top Rate of Income Tax Alan Manning
April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA029:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | View Video (pdf)

Tags: top rate of income tax

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CEP Election Analysis
Health: How Will the NHS Fare in a Cold Climate? Alistair McGuire and John Van Reenen
April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA028:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: hospital competition; market structure; 2015 general election; government policy; nhs

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CEP Election Analysis
Should We Stay or Should We Go? The economic consequences of leaving the EU Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano and Thomas Sampson March 2015
Paper No' CEPEA022:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | View Video (pdf)

JEL Classification: F13;F17;F60


Tags: trade; european union; welfare; brexit; #electioneconomics; government policy; 2015 general election

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CEP Election Analysis
Immigration and the UK Labour Market Jonathan Wadsworth
February 2015
Paper No' CEPEA019:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: immigration; european union; uk; government policy; education; labour market; jobs; wages

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CEP Election Analysis
The Scottish Referendum: Breaking Up is Hard – and expensive - to Do John Van Reenen
September 2014
Paper No' CEPEA018:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: scottish referendum; uk economy

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CEP Election Analysis
Inequality: Still Higher, But Labour's Policies Kept it Down Stephen Machin and John Van Reenen
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA015:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: inequality


Read Main Summary Points
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CEP Election Analysis
Macroeconomics and Public Finances: The worst is yet to come Tom Cunningham and Ethan Ilzetzki
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA013:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: macroeconomics; public finances


Read Main Summary Points
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CEP Election Analysis
Jobs and Youth Unemployment: It's bad, but not as bad as you might think Barbara Petrongolo and John Van Reenen
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA012:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: jobs; unemployment; youth


Read Main Summary Points
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CEP Election Analysis
Bankers' Bonuses Brian Bell
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA010:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: banks; bonuses; credit crunch


Read Main Summary Points
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CEP Election Analysis
Health: Higher Spending has Improved Quality, But Productivity Must Increase Zack Cooper and Alistair McGuire
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA009:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: health; productivity; uk


Read Main Summary Points
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CEP Election Analysis
Reducing Crime: More Police, More Prisons or More Pay? Olivier Marie
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA007:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: crime; police; prisons; uk


Read Main Summary Points
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CEP Election Analysis
Immigration: The Evidence from Economic Research Jonathan Wadsworth
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA005:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: immigration

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CEP Election Analysis
Macroeconomic Assessment: Interest Rates, Taxes and Spending Christopher Crowe
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA003:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: monetary policy; taxes

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CEP Election Analysis
Reducing Crime: More Police, More Prisons or More Pay? Olivier Marie
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA002:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: crime; police; prisons

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CEP Election Analysis
Health Care: Evidence on the Impact of Increased Spending and Patient Choice Alistair McGuire and John Van Reenen
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA001:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: healthcare; patient choice; nhs

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CEP Election Analysis
Welfare to Work: The Evidence on Labour’s New Deal Policies John Van Reenen
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA000:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: new deal; welfare