CEP LSE RSS Contact Us YouTube Facebook Twitter

All Briefings and Analyses

Our series of background analyses on key UK and US policy issues raised in the news are objective, brief and non-technical.

We look at the research evidence on key policy battlegrounds including macroeconomic policy, immigration, health, education, crime, poverty and inequality, labour market policy, regional policy, energy and the environment, financial regulation and bankers' bonuses, foreign aid, an analysis of the Scottish Referendum and most recently the UK 2015 election.

These analyses are provided by some of our expert researchers and draw on some of our past and current research.

Listed below are ALL our briefings and analyses but you can view each individual series:
  • BREXIT 2016 - background briefings examining the policy issues surrounding the BREXIT vote.

  • Election 2015 - background briefings examining the policy issues in the May 2015 UK General Election.

  • Real Wages Updates - why have real wages fallen in the UK, how does the UK compare with the US experience and what are the prospects for recovering lost wage gains?

  • All UK Election Analyses - assessing the policy themes in the 2015, 2010, and 2005 UK General Elections.

  • US Election Analyses - looking at the main economic questions that faced the American electorate in 2012.

  • Policy Analyses - examining key topics in the news, most recently, potential trade and welfare effects of leaving the EU.

cover
CEP BREXIT Analysis
Four principles for the UK's Brexit trade negotiations Thomas Sampson
October 2016
Paper No' CEPBREXIT09:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)
cover
CEP BREXIT Analysis
BREXIT 2016: Policy Analysis from the Centre for Economic Performance Holger Breinlich, Swati Dhingra, Saul Estrin, Hanwei Huang, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson, John Van Reenen and Jonathan Wadsworth June 2016
Paper No' CEPBREXIT08:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: brexit; eu referendum; uk economy; uk politics; trade; foreign investment; growth; productivity; immigration; wages; labour

cover
CEP BREXIT Analysis
Who Bears the Pain? How the costs of Brexit would be distributed across income groups Holger Breinlich, Swati Dhingra, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen June 2016
Paper No' CEPBREXIT07:
Press Release | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: brexit; referendum

cover
CEP BREXIT Analysis
‘ECONOMISTS FOR BREXIT’: A critique Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen
May 2016
Paper No' CEPBREXIT06:
Press Release | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: brexit; referendum

cover
CEP BREXIT Analysis
Brexit and the Impact of Immigration on the UK Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, John Van Reenen and Jonathan Wadsworth
May 2016
Paper No' CEPBREXIT05:
Read Abstract | Press Release | Full Paper (pdf) | Technical Paper (pdf)

Tags: brexit; immigration; uk government policy; uk economy; wages; employment; eu referendum

cover
CEP BREXIT Analysis
The UK Treasury analysis of 'The long-term economic impact of EU membership and the alternatives': CEP Commentary Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen April 2016
Paper No' CEPBREXIT04:
Read Abstract | Press Release | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: brexit; hm treasury; eu referendum; uk politics; uk economy; europe; trade; canada

cover
CEP BREXIT Analysis
The impact of Brexit on foreign investment in the UK Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen
April 2016
Paper No' CEPBREXIT03:
Read Abstract | Press Release | Full Paper (pdf) | Technical Paper (pdf)

Tags: #cepbrexit; foreign direct investment; manufacturing; european single market; brexit; eu; trade

cover
CEP BREXIT Analysis
The consequences of Brexit for UK trade and living standards Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen March 2016
Paper No' CEPBREXIT02:
Read Abstract | Press Release | Full Paper (pdf) | Technical Paper (pdf)

Tags: #cepbrexit; trade; brexit; eu; european union; welfare

cover
CEP Real Wages Update
The Current 2% UK Wage Growth Norm David Blanchflower and Stephen Machin
March 2016
Paper No' CEPRWU005:
Full Paper (pdf)
cover
CEP BREXIT Analysis
Life after Brexit : What are the UK’s options outside the European Union? Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson
February 2016
Paper No' CEPBREXIT01:
Read Abstract | Press Release | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: brexit; trade; european union; welfare; eu; #cepbrexit

cover
CEP Real Wages Update
Slowing UK Wage Growth David Blanchflower and Stephen Machin
February 2016
Paper No' CEPRWU004:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: uk wage growth; labour market; government policy; average weekly earnings (awe); inflation; unemployment

cover
CEP Real Wages Update
UK real wages: a long way to go David Blanchflower and Stephen Machin
December 2014
Paper No' CEPRWU003:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: real wages; wages; growth

cover
CEP Real Wages Update
Real wages continue to fall in the UK David Blanchflower and Stephen Machin
September 2014
Paper No' CEPRWU001:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: real wages; wages

cover
CEP Election Analysis
A New Priority for Mental Health Richard Layard
May 2015
Paper No' CEPEA035:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | View Video (pdf)

Tags: mental health; nhs; government policy

cover
CEP Election Analysis
#ElectionEconomics: The Research Evidence on Key Issues for Voters in the 2015 UK General Election Ghazala Azmat, Brian Bell, Jonathan Colmer, Antoine Dechezleprêtre, Swati Dhingra, Christian Hilber, Stephen Machin, Alan Manning, Ralf Martin, Alistair McGuire, Sandra McNally, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Henry Overman, Isabelle Roland, Thomas Sampson, Anna Valero, John Van Reenen, Jonathan Wadsworth, Gill Wyness and Gabriel Zucman April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA034:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | Executive Summary (pdf)

Tags: 2015 uk general election; government policy; austerity; productivity; health; nhs; education; higher education; immigration; brexit; eu; inequality; real wages; unemployment; gender; management; productivity; uk housing; environment; climate change; uk cities; infrastructure; taxation

cover
CEP Election Analysis
Energy and the Environment: a cold climate for climate change policies? Jonathan Colmer, Antoine Dechezleprêtre and Ralf Martin April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA032:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | View Video (pdf)

Tags: energy; climate change; environment; #electioneconomics

cover
CEP Election Analysis
Fighting Crime: Can the Police do more with less? Brian Bell
April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA031:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: crime; police; #electioneconomics

cover
CEP Election Analysis
Inequality: Are we really 'all in this together'? Gabriel Zucman
April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA030:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: inequality; wages; wealth; taxes; #electioneconomics

cover
CEP Election Analysis
Top Rate of Income Tax Alan Manning
April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA029:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | View Video (pdf)

Tags: top rate of income tax

cover
CEP Election Analysis
Health: How Will the NHS Fare in a Cold Climate? Alistair McGuire and John Van Reenen
April 2015
Paper No' CEPEA028:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: hospital competition; market structure; 2015 general election; government policy; nhs

cover
CEP Election Analysis
Should We Stay or Should We Go? The economic consequences of leaving the EU Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco I. P. Ottaviano and Thomas Sampson March 2015
Paper No' CEPEA022:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf) | View Video (pdf)

JEL Classification: F13;F17;F60


Tags: trade; european union; welfare; brexit; #electioneconomics; government policy; 2015 general election

cover
CEP Election Analysis
Immigration and the UK Labour Market Jonathan Wadsworth
February 2015
Paper No' CEPEA019:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: immigration; european union; uk; government policy; education; labour market; jobs; wages

cover
CEP Election Analysis
The Scottish Referendum: Breaking Up is Hard – and expensive - to Do John Van Reenen
September 2014
Paper No' CEPEA018:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: scottish referendum; uk economy

cover
CEP US Election Analysis
Economic Recovery and Policy Uncertainty Scott R. Baker, Nick Bloom, Steven J. Davis and John Van Reenen
October 2012
Paper No' CEPUSA002:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: us elections; uncertainty; recession


One page summary (available in Adobe PDF)
cover
CEP Policy Analysis
Reducing Crime: More Police, More Prisons or More Pay? Olivier Marie
July 2010
Paper No' CEPPA012:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: crime; police; prisons; uk


Read Main Summary Points
cover
CEP Policy Analysis
A Note on Academy School Policy Stephen Machin and James Vernoit
July 2010
Paper No' CEPPA011:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: schools; education; academies

cover
CEP Election Analysis
Inequality: Still Higher, But Labour's Policies Kept it Down Stephen Machin and John Van Reenen
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA015:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: inequality


Read Main Summary Points
cover
CEP Election Analysis
Macroeconomics and Public Finances: The worst is yet to come Tom Cunningham and Ethan Ilzetzki
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA013:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: macroeconomics; public finances


Read Main Summary Points
cover
CEP Election Analysis
Jobs and Youth Unemployment: It's bad, but not as bad as you might think Barbara Petrongolo and John Van Reenen
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA012:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: jobs; unemployment; youth


Read Main Summary Points
cover
CEP Election Analysis
Bankers' Bonuses Brian Bell
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA010:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: banks; bonuses; credit crunch


Read Main Summary Points
cover
CEP Election Analysis
Health: Higher Spending has Improved Quality, But Productivity Must Increase Zack Cooper and Alistair McGuire
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA009:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: health; productivity; uk


Read Main Summary Points
cover
CEP Election Analysis
Reducing Crime: More Police, More Prisons or More Pay? Olivier Marie
April 2010
Paper No' CEPEA007:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: crime; police; prisons; uk


Read Main Summary Points
cover
CEP Policy Analysis
The Doha Round: Freer and Fairer Trade?
July 2008
Paper No' CEPPA001:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)
cover
CEP Policy Analysis
UK Productivity During The Blair Era
June 2007
Paper No' CEPPA009:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)
cover
CEP Policy Analysis
Fighting over Peanuts? The European Union Budget
December 2005
Paper No' CEPPA002:
Read Abstract | Full Paper (pdf)
cover
CEP Election Analysis
Immigration: The Evidence from Economic Research Jonathan Wadsworth
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA005:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: immigration

cover
CEP Election Analysis
Macroeconomic Assessment: Interest Rates, Taxes and Spending Christopher Crowe
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA003:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: monetary policy; taxes

cover
CEP Election Analysis
Reducing Crime: More Police, More Prisons or More Pay? Olivier Marie
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA002:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: crime; police; prisons

cover
CEP Election Analysis
Health Care: Evidence on the Impact of Increased Spending and Patient Choice Alistair McGuire and John Van Reenen
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA001:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: healthcare; patient choice; nhs

cover
CEP Election Analysis
Welfare to Work: The Evidence on Labour’s New Deal Policies John Van Reenen
April 2005
Paper No' CEPEA000:
Full Paper (pdf)

Tags: new deal; welfare