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CEP discussion paper
Damned by dams? Infrastructure and conflict

This study investigates the impact of dams on local conflict across the world with georeferenced location information on dams and conflict events for the years 1989 to 2016. The identification strategy exploits exogenous...Read more...

Ulrich J. Eberle

28 May 2020

CEP discussion paper
Who's paying for the U.S. tariffs? A longer-term perspective

Using data from 2018, a number of studies have found that recent U.S tariffs have been passed on entirely to U.S. importers and consumers. These results are surprising given that trade theory has long stressed that tarif...Read more...

Mary Amiti, Stephen J. Redding and David E. Weinstein

3 February 2020

CentrePiece article
The impact of the 2018 trade war on US prices and welfare

What has been happening to the US economy as a result of the Trump administration's 2018 round of import tariffs? Research by Mary Amiti, Stephen Redding and David Weinstein estimates the effects of this change in US tra...Read more...

Mary Amiti, Stephen Redding and David Weinstein

1 July 2019

CEP discussion paper
The impact of the 2018 trade war on U.S. prices and welfare

This paper explores the impacts of the Trump administration’s trade policy on prices and welfare. Over the course of 2018, the U.S. experienced substantial increases in the prices of intermediates and final goods, dramat...Read more...

Mary Amiti, Stephen J. Redding and David Weinstein

5 March 2019

CEP discussion paper
The Geography of Inter-State Resource Wars

We establish a theoretical as well as empirical framework to assess the role of resource endowments and their geographic location for inter-State conflict. The main predictions of the theory are that conflict tends to be...Read more...

Francesco Caselli, Massimo Morelli and Dominic Rohner

9 May 2013

CentrePiece article
Giant oilfields and civil conflict

We use new data to examine the effects of giant oilfield discoveries around the world since 1946. On average, these discoveries increase per capita oil production and oil exports by up to 50 percent. But these giant oilf...Read more...

Yu-Hsiang Lei and Guy Michaels

21 May 2012

CEP discussion paper
Do Giant Oilfield Discoveries Fuel Internal Armed Conflicts?

We use new data to examine the effects of giant oilfield discoveries around the world since 1946. On average, these discoveries increase per capita oil production and oil exports by up to 50 percent. But these giant oilf...Read more...

Yu-Hsiang Lei and Guy Michaels

8 November 2011

CEP discussion paper
The Impact of Asymmetric Information Among Competing Insurgent Groups: Estimating an 'Emboldenment' Effect

This paper uses asymmetric access to information to test if an insurgency is factionalized. If it is factionalized, regional variation in information should influence attack levels as groups use violence to compete over ...Read more...

Radha Iyengar

October 2010

CEP discussion paper
Co-Opetition and Prelaunch in Standard-Setting for Developing Technologies

Firms faced with the decision of whether to standardize or not prior to introducing a new network technology face a tradeoff: Compatibility improves the technology’s chances of consumer acceptance, but it also means havi...Read more...

Tobias Kretschmer and Katrin Muehlfeld

August 2006