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Latest Research Papers

Discussion and Occasional papers feature our first draft of research, written for a more technical academic audience.
CEP Discussion Paper
Does Homeownership Reduce Crime? A Radical Housing Reform in Britain Richard Disney, John Gathergood, Stephen Machin and Matteo Sandi March 2020
Paper No' CEPDP1685:
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JEL Classification: H44; K14; R31


Tags: crime; homeownership; public housing

CEP Discussion Paper
Environmental Preferences and Technological Choices: Is Market Competition Clean or Dirty? Phillipe Aghion, Roland Bénabou, Ralf Martin and Alexandra Roulet March 2020
Paper No' CEPDP1684:
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Tags: environment; product market competition; innovation

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CEP Discussion Paper
Labor Demand in the Past, Present and Future Georg Graetz
March 2020
Paper No' CEPDP1683:
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JEL Classification: J23; O33


Tags: automation; labor demand; labor share; technology; wages

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CEP Discussion Paper
Rising Protectionism and Global Value Chains: Quantifying the General Equilibrium Effects Rita Cappariello, Sebastian Franco-Bedoya, Vanessa Gunnella and Gianmarco Ottaviano March 2020
Paper No' CEPDP1682:
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JEL Classification: F13; F15; F40; F60


Tags: trade model; supply chains; trade policy shocks; brexit

CVER Research Paper
Gender and Socio-Economic Differences in STEM Uptake and Attainment Emily McDool and Damon Morris
March 2020
Paper No' CVERDP029:
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JEL Classification: I24; J16; I21


Tags: vocational education; stem; gender

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CEP Discussion Paper
On the Economic Impacts of Mortgage Credit Expansion Policies: Evidence from Help to Buy Felipe Carozzi, Christian Hilber and Xiaolun Yu March 2020
Paper No' CEPDP1681:
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JEL Classification: G28; H24; H81; R21; R28; R31; R38


Tags: help to buy; house prices; construction; housing supply; land use regulation

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CEP Discussion Paper
Machiavelli Versus Concave Utility Functions: Should Bads Be Spread Out Or Concentrated? Paul Frijters, Christian Krekel and Aydogan Ulker March 2020
Paper No' CEPDP1680:
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JEL Classification: I31; D1; P35


Tags: wellbeing; mental health; life events; non-linearities; hedonic adaptation; welfare analysis

CVER Research Paper
The long-term impact of improving non-cognitive skills of adolescents: Evidence from an English remediation programme Vahé Nafilyan, Stefan Speckesser and Augustin de Coulon March 2020
Paper No' CVERDP028:
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CVER Research Paper
Employee Training and Firm Performance:Quasi-experimental evidence from the European Social Fund Pedro Martins
March 2020
Paper No' CVERDP027:
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JEL Classification: J24; H43; M53


Tags: training subsidies; productivity; counterfactual evaluation

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CentrePiece Article
In brief...Pupil exclusion in academy schools Stephen Machin and Matteo Sandi ask whether stricter disciplinary measures are intended more to improve educational results than to tackle bad behaviour Stephen Machin and Matteo Sandi
March 2020
Paper No' CEPCP575:
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CentrePiece 25 (1) Spring 2020


JEL Classification: I20; I21; I28


Tags: academies; discipline; exclusion


This article summarises 'Autonomous Schools and Strategic Pupil Exclusion' by Stephen Machin and Matteo Sandi, published in the Economic Journal in January 2020 earlier version available as CEP Discussion Paper No. 1527
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CentrePiece Article
TV superstars: how a new technology disrupted the entertainment industry Felix Koenig explains how the rollout of TV in mid-twentieth century America benefited a handful of superstars but few other entertainers. Felix Koenig
March 2020
Paper No' CEPCP574:
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CentrePiece 25 (1) Spring 2020


JEL Classification: J31; J23; O33; D31


Tags: superstar effect; inequality; top incomes; technical change


This article summarises 'Technical Change and Superstar Effects: Evidence from the Roll-out of Television' by Felix Koenig, CEP Discussion Paper No. 1663
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CentrePiece Article
In brief...Mismatched students and universities Gill Wyness and colleagues find that many disadvantaged students attend less academically prestigious courses than their A-level attainment merits. Gill Wyness
March 2020
Paper No' CEPCP573:
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CentrePiece 25 (1) Spring 2020


JEL Classification: I22; I23; I28


Tags: higher education; educational economics; college choice; mismatch; undermatch


This article summarises 'Inequalities in Student to Course Match: Evidence from Linked Administrative Data' by Stuart Campbell, Lindsey Macmillan, Richard Murphy and Gill Wyness, CEP Discussion Paper No. 1647
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CentrePiece Article
The cost of being young: measuring intergenerational consumer prices Rahat Siddique explores an important aspect of the economic landscape facing the UK's young adults the 'millennial' generation. Rahat Siddique
March 2020
Paper No' CEPCP572:
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CentrePiece 25 (1) Spring 2020


Tags: real wages; intergenerational consumer prices; consumer price index; cpi

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CentrePiece Article
In brief...Swings and silicon roundabouts: does cluster policy work? Max Nathan evaluates a flagship programme set up a decade ago to accelerate the growth of East London's Tech City. Max Nathan
March 2020
Paper No' CEPCP571:
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CentrePiece 25 (1) Spring 2020


JEL Classification: L53; L86; O31; R30; R50


Tags: cities; clusters; technology; economic development; synthetic controls


This article summarises 'Does Light Touch Cluster Policy Work? Evaluating the Tech City Programme' by Max Nathan, CEP Discussion Paper No. 1648
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CentrePiece Article
People, places and politics: the challenge of 'levelling up' the UK Henry Overman assesses policies to address the wide disparities in economic performance between towns, cities and regions. Henry Overman
March 2020
Paper No' CEPCP570:
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CentrePiece 25 (1) Spring 2020


Tags: spatial disparities; skills; cities; left-behind places; 2019 general election


An earlier version of this article appeared in CEP's 2019 Election Analysis series as 'People, Places and Politics: Policy Challenges of the UK's Uneven Economic Geography'
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CentrePiece Article
The UK's self-employed workers: who they are and what they need Jack Blundell is developing a typology of self-employed workers, in part to identify vulnerable groups who may benefit from policy support. Jack Blundell
March 2020
Paper No' CEPCP569:
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CentrePiece 25 (1) Spring 2020


Tags: self-employment; gig economy; worker characteristics


This article summarises 'Clusters in UK Self-Employment' by Jack Blundell, CEP Occasional Paper 48. The work was funded by the Turing-HSBC-ONS Economic Data Science Award.
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CentrePiece Article
Can we be happier? Richard Layard and George Ward outline how we can boost wellbeing, both through public policy and in our jobs and private lives. Richard Layard and George Ward
March 2020
Paper No' CEPCP568:
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CentrePiece 25 (1) Spring 2020


Tags: wellbeing; happiness


This article draws on Can We Be Happier? Evidence and Ethics by Richard Layard with George Ward, published in January 2020 by Pelican.
CEP Occasional Paper
Clusters in UK Self-Employment Jack Blundell
February 2020
Paper No' CEPOP048:
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Tags: self-employment; gig economy; worker characteristics

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CEP Discussion Paper
Automating Labor: Evidence from Firm-Level Patent Data Antoine Dechezleprêtre, David Hémous, Morten Olsen and Carlo Zanella
February 2020
Paper No' CEPDP1679.PDF:
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JEL Classification: O31; O33; J20


Tags: automation; innovation; patents; income inequality

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CEP Discussion Paper
The Contribution of Immigration to Local Labor Market Adjustment Michael Amior
February 2020
Paper No' CEPDP1678:
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JEL Classification: J61; J64; R23


Tags: immigration; geographical mobility; local labor markets; employment

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