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Journal article

Is modern technology responsible for jobless recoveries?

Since the early 1990s, recoveries from recessions in the US have been plagued by weak employment growth. We investigate whether a similar problem afflicts other developed economies, and whether technology is a culprit. We study recoveries from 71 recessions in 28 industries and 17 countries from 1970-2011. We find that though GDP recovered more slowly after recent recessions, employment did not. Industries that used more routine tasks, and those more exposed to robotization, did not recently experience slower employment recoveries. Finally, middle-skill employment did not recover more slowly after recent recessions, and this pattern was no different in routine-intensive industries.

Georg Graetz and Guy Michaels

1 May 2017

American Economic Review 107(5) , pp.168-173, 2017

DOI: 10.1257/aer.p20171100

This Journal article is published under the centre's Labour markets programme.

This publication comes under the following theme: Unemployment and job search