The Housing Market Impacts of Constraining Second Home Investments
We investigate how political backlash against wealthy second home investors in high-amenity places – tourist areas or superstar cities – affects local residents. We develop a general equilibrium model and exploit a quasi-natural experiment –the ‘Swiss Second Home Initiative’ (SHI) –to test the key predictions of the model. Consistent with theory, we find that the SHI, which banned the construction of new second homes in desirable tourist locations, lowered transaction prices of primary homes in affected areas by around 12 percent but did not adversely affect prices of second homes. Our findings suggest that the negative effect on local economies dominated positive amenity-preservation effects. We conclude that constraining second home investments may reinforce rather than reduce wealth inequality.
15 August 2016 Paper Number SERCDP0204
This SERC/Urban and Spatial Programme Discussion Paper is published under the centre's Urban programme.