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Researchers from the London School of Economics’ Centre for Economic Performance find that a “clear and robust impact of Brexit-induced trade frictions” had led to an increase in prices. ... Read more...
27 April 2022
LSE finds one-third decline in trading relationships under Boris Johnson’s deal – which has hit small firms hardest. ... Read more...
26 April 2022
Findings from the LSE's Centre for Economic Performance chime with warnings from business groups: that smaller firms have struggled to absorb customs controls, VAT and regulatory red tape, with many quitting exporting al... Read more...
Lee Elliot Major talks about the implementation of the National Tutoring Programme and the need to support disadvantaged children in post-pandemic recovery plans. ... Read more...
06 October 2021
In a context made even more complicated by the situation in Ireland, the economists of the Center for Economic Performance of the LSE underline that the Brexiters also neglect the economic benefits of integration in the ... Read more...
25 September 2019
Another, Swati Dhingra, lecturer in economics at the London School of Economics, said that since the EU referendum, "the number of foreign investments and expansions… are showing disconcerting reductions."... Read more...
23 September 2019
A no-deal Brexit means that Britain will revert to WTO rules to trade with the EU and the rest of the world. This means import duties and various controls on trade, which economists at LSE's Centre for Economic Performan... Read more...
12 September 2019
Dr Thomas Sampson explains what the immediate impacts of a no-deal will have on UK trade. Professor Thomas Sampson from @CEP_LSE explains what the immediate impacts of a #nodeal will have on UK trade.#Nodealexplain... Read more...
05 September 2019
Although the short-term impact of a no-deal Brexit could be relatively benign, leaving without a deal would prove costly in the long term, a new paper by the UK in a Changing Europe and the London School of Economics' Ce... Read more...
04 September 2019
Research published by the London School of Economics estimated that the spike in inflation that followed the 2016 referendum was costing the average household £7.74 a week - a figure equivalent to £404 a year... Read more...
03 September 2019
LONDON (MNI) - The Bank of England risks substantially underestimating the upward inflationary pressure from sterling's depreciation due its practice of using trade weights to assess the impact of currency movements, a s... Read more...
30 August 2019
QUEST: John Van Reenen is professor of economics at MIT, he says a no-deal Brexit is a battle for the soul of Britain. Why? JOHN VAN REENEN, PROFESSOR OF ECONOMICS, MIT: It's about the soul of Britain. I think today, Bo... Read more...
28 August 2019
A report commissioned by dairy giant Arla and published last year by the London School of Economics makes for sobering reading. In a press release accompanying the release of the report, the MD of the company that commis... Read more...
16 August 2019
As Brexit nears (again), are British firms choosing to invest in the UK or in other European markets? Are European firms investing in the UK to preserve access to its markets? And has "global Britain" got off the drawing... Read more...
The research by Nick Powdthavee, of Warwick Business School, Anke Plagnol, of City University London, Andrew Clark, of Paris School of Economics, and Paul Frijters, of the London School of Economics, also found that repo... Read more...
01 August 2019
"But all UK households lose from a depreciation that pushes up the cost of imported goods, raising prices in the shops and eroding the real value of their earnings and savings. Research published by the London School of ... Read more...
30 July 2019
Write David Jacks, Dennis Novy Against the backdrop of new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration and retaliation from targeted countries, notably China, the trade wars of the 1930s have received renewed attention... Read more...
23 July 2019
CEPR Fellow Swati Dhingra, LSE, looks at what Brexit tells us about the contribution of globalisation to the productivity and wage stagnation we see across the developed world. Following the Brexit vote, sterling suffere... Read more...
09 July 2019
By Gianmarco Ottaviano, Professor of Economics, Bocconi University. Originally published at VoxEU... Read more...
03 July 2019
By Gianmarco Ottaviano Economic geography strikes back. After a couple of decades of easy talk about the 'death of distance' in the age of globalisation, the promise of a world of rising living standards for all is inc... Read more...
Thirdly, it is exporters who are being especially hard hit by Brexit uncertainty and it is these who tend to be more efficient than the average company. Brute maths, says Stanford University's Nick Bloom, means that this... Read more...
27 June 2019
The slide in sterling since the referendum has pushed up prices without doing much to boost UK exports, while wage growth has lagged behind inflation, the analysis has found. Authors cite estimates by the London School o... Read more...
25 June 2019
3) In the Fall 2017 issue of the Journal of Economic Perspectives, and Thomas Sampson sums up the research on what is known and what might come next in "Brexit: The Economics of International Disintegration," In turn, I... Read more...
23 June 2019
MAC chairman Professor Alan Manning said: "Today's labour market is very different to the one we reviewed when the last SOL was published in 2013. "Unemployment is lower and employers in various industries are facing di... Read more...
14 June 2019
In sectors where import prices rose because of the drop in sterling, training and wages for workers fell, the paper said. That could have negative long-term implications for productivity, skills and living standards, iss... Read more...
11 June 2019
UK workers took a hit from the Brexit-related depreciation in the pound in the form of lower wages and training, according to an academic paper. In sectors where import prices rose because of the drop in sterling, train... Read more...
10 June 2019
It is harder to quantify the emotional impact of losing a plant where generations of the same families had worked for a century. From the beach, the idle works hulk over the skyline. Research by Sascha Becker, Thiemo Fet... Read more...
06 June 2019
The US and the EU may be threatening each other with tariffs, but experts say the trade relationship is balanced. "I find it difficult to understand exactly what the basis is for the US administration's complaints on th... Read more...
05 June 2019
The unexpected result of the Brexit referendum, working through the rapid depreciation of sterling, has hurt British workers. Rui Costa, Swati Dhingra and Stephen Machin (LSE) show that the big drop in the value of the p... Read more...
04 June 2019
Populism has been used by right-wing forces as a lever to undermine the ruling elite, exploiting discontent. The solution? "The European Union now has the task of working on a new idea of sovereignty, which goes beyond n... Read more...
03 June 2019
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John van Reenen, a professor of economics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, told the Caijing reporter that economically, the rationality of the euro has never been proven. In response to the negative impact, ... Read more...
In the letter to MAC chair Professor Alan Manning he makes clear he now wants the Committee "involved in the process". He says: "The Government is committed to engaging extensively over the course of this year before co... Read more...
21 May 2019
Distance matters, big time. Moreover, it matters more now than it did a century ago. Thus, another study reveals that the negative effect of distance was larger between 1950 and 2000 than it had been between 1870 and 191... Read more...
16 May 2019
09 May 2019
A comprehensive study undertaken by the Bertelmann Stiftung and University of Sussex examines the real impact of the EU Single Market on incomes. Economists Giordano Mion (University of Sussex) and Dominic Ponattu (Bert... Read more...
Since the referendum, self-reported British subjective wellbeing has stagnated, finds a study led by Georgios Kavetsos of Queen Mary University of London. Pro-Europeans are predictably upset, but even anti-Europeans saw ... Read more...
Brexit affects domestic firms, too. In January Barclays bank received legal approval to move €190bn ($213bn) of assets to Dublin, fearing no-deal. The London School of Economics recently found the Brexit vote had ca... Read more...
08 May 2019
07 May 2019
...roposed extensions to the official date for leaving Europe, the deadline is creeping closer.In this article, we take a look at how Brexit could impact your weekly shop. Less cheese (Image: Sunday Mirror) A report by ... Read more...
08 April 2019
"How unequal power relations can be, is shown by the example of Turkey, whose customs union with the EU has hitherto been limited to industrial products. If the EU lowers the industrial tariffs for a particular trading p... Read more...
04 April 2019
The value of the British pound is ten percent lower than in 2016. A study by the Center for Economic Performance estimated that increased inflation had cost an average household an estimated weekly wage all the first yea... Read more...
How has voting to leave the EU affected the UK's economy? The difficulty in answering this question is that we do not know what would have happened to the economy if Remain had won. Consequently, researchers look for way... Read more...
02 April 2019
Snippet: ...according to a study by the London School of Economics British companies have delivered almost 11 billion dollars worth of new investment away from Britain through the EU since the Brexit vote so UK firms hik... Read more...
01 April 2019
And the mood of the British is deeply affected. "The level of post-referendum satisfaction has deteriorated significantly in the UK compared to other EU countries," Georgios Kavetsos, a professor of behavioral science at... Read more...
Snippet: ...A fall in the pound increases the costs of UK imports, and in the year after the vote consumer prices rose rapidly. Analysis from 2017 by researchers at the Centre for Economic Performance estimated that the ... Read more...
Snippet: ... so what does the investment picture look like in the UK since the referendum in June 20 16th government figures show that last year business investment fell slightly by 0.4% to around 247 billion dollars acc... Read more...
Snippet: ...know that element happens to be one OK that's enough Fabio 10 M&S group protection to keep control all leading Britain's conversation LBC with was speaking to Dr Thomas Sampson associate Professor of economic... Read more...
Secondly, workers are not being displaced by new technology. Business investment has fallen since 2016. There are countless reasons for this, many of them longstanding structural ones. One, which might have become more i... Read more...
29 March 2019
...13, Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics.... Read more...
27 March 2019
The report was authored by Giordano Mion, a professor of economy at the University of Sussex, and Dominic Ponattu, a researcher at the Bertelsmann Foundation in Germany.... Read more...
21 March 2019
Evidence of the UK's economic performance since the EU Referendum is clear: GDP growth has slowed down, productivity has suffered, the pound has depreciated and purchasing power has gone down, and investments have declin... Read more...
Despite calls to 'take back control' the economic reality is that tariffs will be determined by the 'bound rates' that the UK already has in place under the WTO and, ultimately, no tariff regime will make up for loss of ... Read more...
20 March 2019
Jonathan Haskel worried by falling business investment driven by uncertainty.... Read more...
14 March 2019
A few days before the vote, three of the UK's most reputable economic institutions - the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, the Institute for Fiscal Studies and the Centre for Economic Performance at the... Read more...
If, in spite of all this, the government manages to negotiate a trade agreement with the EU, what will be the economic and political consequences for the UK? Will it all be worthwhile in the end? A good guide to the econ... Read more...
12 March 2019
Bank of England policy maker Jonathan Haskel warned that the UK may not see a material pickup in investment growth even if the government secures an exit deal with the European Union this month. Haskel, in his first spe... Read more...
11 March 2019
What we're reading Political Quarterly is continuing its excellent series on Britain and Brexit. This week Swati Dhingra examined what a post-Brexit trade policy could look like while Duncan Weldon asked if Brexit really... Read more...
10 March 2019
Ben Chu, Economics Editor of BBC Newsnight, showed a graph on FDI outflows from the UK (actual vs. expected) on BBC2 Newsnight on 07 March 2019. This graph is taken from CEP Brexit Analysis No. 13, Figure 2. 19:20min ... Read more...
07 March 2019
The United Kingdom is one of the most open economies in the world. Its exports and imports were over £600 billion (30 per cent of UK GDP) each last year. It is 'extremely open' from an investment perspective, both its o... Read more...
05 March 2019
Economists like David Blanchflower, John Van Reenen and I set out just how bad UK economic performance had been over the previous five years, but once again expertise was ignored. As far as the media were concerned, redu... Read more...
26 February 2019
"Moving companies to Dublin does not turn Dublin into London," says Swati Dhingra, an economist at the London School of Economics. "The dispersal—to Paris, Munich, wherever—means that nobody will inherit the conglome... Read more...
21 February 2019
UK companies have increased their investments into the EU by $10.73bn due to Brexit uncertainty diverting investment from the domestic market, says a recent study from the London School of Economics' (LSE) Centre for Eco... Read more...
According to the Centre for Economic Performance, a research institute, a no-deal Brexit would lower Britain's trade with the EU by two-fifths over ten years. BREXIT Papers & Analyses from the CEP.... Read more...
17 February 2019
The increase in outward investments is entirely driven by the services sector, as Brexit negotiations have prioritised manufacturing - by Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson. ... Read more...
16 February 2019
The UK government's lead adviser on migration has claimed that the Home Office's net migration target no longer drives policy. Alan Manning, professor of economics at the London School of Economics and chair of the Migra... Read more...
14 February 2019
The referendum result led to a 12 percent increase in foreign direct investment transactions from Britain into the EU between mid-2016 and September 2018, researchers from the London School of Economics' Centre for Econo... Read more...
12 February 2019
Media reports suggest that some UK firms have started to move production abroad in anticipation of Brexit. Using data on announcements of new foreign investment transactions, this column reports evidence that the Brexit ... Read more...
Dennis Novy, one of the report's authors, told CNBC: "The economic risk of Brexit is larger on the UK side of the Channel.... Read more...
A study published this morning by the Centre for Economic Performance at the LSE dissects how foreign investment has changed behaviour since the referendum. According to the LSE researchers, UK firms appear to have star... Read more...
Are firms moving investment abroad because of Brexit? Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson (LSE) use a 'doppelganger method' to estimate how foreign direct investment would have evolved without... Read more...
11 February 2019
A study conducted by academics from the London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) looked into how the vote to leave the EU has affected outward investment by U.K. companies. ... Read more...
Mention of CEP report showing British firms investing outside of the UK because of Brexit. ... Read more...
The average worker has had to spend more than £404, equivalent to more than a week's wages, in the first year after the Brexit vote, according to a report by the Centre for Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (C... Read more...
08 February 2019
MGI was putting its finishing touches on the report in early 2016, but held its publication for the Brexit vote in March. "We weren't surprised by the outcome," Manyika told me. "We had been sitting on this research show... Read more...
07 February 2019
The UK needs a new era of policy activism with a 'future of good work' focus, write Christopher Pissarides, Anna Thomas and Josh De Lyon.... Read more...
06 February 2019
Snippet: ...ther revolutionary thing called Brexit the EU has always been a unique experiment and shared sovereignty and no-one has ever tried to leave before well apart from Greenland sort of in 1985 Professor Swati Dhi... Read more...
04 February 2019
The Centre for Economic Performance estimates that the long-term impact of no deal on Ireland is almost as bad as for the UK. But, locked inside the EU, it cannot subsidise industries or change tariff schedules and its c... Read more...
Ireland has a more intractable problem, however. The Centre for Economic Performance estimates that the long-term impact of no deal on Ireland is almost as bad as for the UK. But, locked inside the EU, it cannot subsidis... Read more...
02 February 2019
There are significant parallels between voting patterns for and against Brexit and the patterns in the 2016 and 2018 elections in this country. In a separate 2017 paper, "Who Voted For Brexit", Fetzer and two fellow ... Read more...
30 January 2019
A special report on Brexit and Pendle published by the London School of Economics this week reveals: "There is a clear consensus that if there was a second referendum held today, Pendle's vote would be the same or even m... Read more...
21 January 2019
But economists at the LSE argue that Mr Minford made no allowance for differences in quality among the manufactured goods being considered (Economists for Brexit: A Critique, Thomas Sampson, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Otta... Read more...
18 January 2019
Claiming that manufacturing is protected in the EU is far more contentious. Mr Minford makes his case by taking an OECD databank of the prices of manufactured products around the world. He adjusts them for transport and ... Read more...
17 January 2019
Thomas Sampson, a London School of Economics scholar, detects a wider global meaning in Brexit. "The period since world war II has been marked by growing economic and cultural globalisation and, in Europe, increasing pol... Read more...
08 January 2019
Recent political developments in the US and Europe have led to renewed interest in the large and persistent regional disparities which plague our societies. These disparities have been partly driven by a secular decline ... Read more...
11 December 2018
"Macron has acknowledged his past behavioural mistakes," said Philippe Aghion, an economist who advised him during his campaign but has judged him ... ... Read more...
"We are in the transition period and the government has run into political economic problems," said Philippe Aghion, an economist at the prestigious College de France who advised Mr. Macron during his presidential campai... Read more...
07 December 2018
Parliament should vote down Theresa May's Brexit deal on Tuesday. John Van Reenen (MIT/LSE) writes that while the argument for remaining in the EU is fundamentally moral and political, and not economic, it is important f... Read more...
For any Brexiters holding out the hope the EU would come to the UK's rescue because it too has much to lose from not reaching a deal, an analysis this week from the Center for Economic Performance offers l... Read more...
03 December 2018
Swati Dhingra discusses trade policy and Brexit. ... Read more...
30 November 2018
Both the deal on offer and trading on WTO terms would reduce UK living standards compared to staying in the EU, write Thomas Sampson and Swati Dhingra.... Read more...
29 November 2018
What will the economic impact of Theresa May's deal be? And how does it compare to the no-deal scenario?The LSE's Centre for Economic Performance, in association with The UK in a Changing Europe, has modelled both scenar... Read more...
We at The UK in a Changing Europe, working with the Centre for Economic Performance at the LSE and the Institute for Fiscal Studies, have reached similar findings, modelling specifically for how the prime minister's Brex... Read more...
You wait for months for an analysis of the economic impacts of Brexit, and then three come along at once. But, in contrast to the public perception that economists can't agree on even the most basic questions, like wheth... Read more...
28 November 2018
Experts at the Centre for Economic Performance at LSE, King's College London and the IFS also released research today on the economic and fiscal consequences of Brexit. They estimate that the Brexit deal negotiated by th... Read more...
27 November 2018
Research by the London School of Economics Centre for Economic Performance, King's College London and the Institute for Fiscal Studies added a no-deal Brexit could hit GDP by as much as 8.7%. ... Read more...
The economic consequences of the Brexit deal New research by experts at the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, King's College London and the Institute for Fiscal Studies has modelled the e... Read more...
The economic modelling in the report covers trade and migration. For trade, researchers at LSE's entre for Economic Performance used a state-of-the-art model of global trade. They assumed that the deal means that the UK ... Read more...
Undertaken by a consortium of academics and think-tanks, from King's College London, the Centre for Economic Performance and the Institute for Fiscal Studies, the study was funded by the government's Economic and Social ... Read more...
The PM's Brexit deal could leave the economy as much as 5.5% smaller in a decade's time than it would be if the UK stayed in the EU, a study has said. And the cost to the public finances could be as much as 1.8% of GDP,... Read more...
The Brexit deal could leave the economy up to 5.5 per cent smaller in ten ... per cent, says the London School of Economics entre for Economic Performance, … ... Read more...
26 November 2018
Savings on the U.K.'s contributions to the EU budget would make up only a fraction of the potential damage to the economy, according to the joint paper by the Centre for Economic Performance and academic think tank The U... Read more...
The report, The economic consquences for the Brexit deal, was carried out by the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, Kings College London and the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS). This co... Read more...
The second Fama Prize has been awarded to Joshua Angrist (Massachusetts Institute of Technology) and Jörn-Steffen (Steve) Pischke (London School of Economics) for their book Mostly Harmless Econometrics: ... Read more...
26 September 2018
The OECD estimated before the referendum that a WTO Brexit could cost the UK up to 5.1 percent of GDP over 15 years. A study by the London School of Economics estimated a 9.5 per cent hit. ... Read more...
20 July 2018
A detailed assessment of what the government must address in its Brexit white paper has been carried out by academic think tank The UK in a Changing Europe. The report – The Brexit w... Read more...
09 July 2018
2 years on from the UK’s referendum vote to leave the EU, substantial questions about the path to Brexit remain. In this special edition of Vox Talks, Tim Phillips talks to Swati Dhingra, Karl Whelan, an... Read more...
29 June 2018
Many businesses “are going to think very hard before choosing the U.K. if they don’t know whether it will be part of the integrated market” of the European Union, said Thomas Sampson, a lectu... Read more...
22 June 2018
Dennis Novy gave a live TV interview o n Al Jazeera on the latest US/China/EU trade disputes. Dennis discussed the economic effects of tariffs on consumers, as well as the potential consequences for the i... Read more...
03 June 2018
Addressing hardships requires both redistribution and regulation, writes Swati Dhingra of the London School of Economics Workers remain exposed to hardship from changes in their economic environment. Man... Read more...
28 May 2018
THE LUDICROUS customs partnership arrangement preferred by Remainers as a solution to the Ireland border post-Brexit has been torn apart by a London based think thank who have argued the plan is almo... Read more...
27 May 2018
A conference at Cambridge Judge marked the 25th anniversary of the European Union’s single market, in advance of a special issue of the Review of Industrial Organisation journal. There has been much prog... Read more...
03 May 2018
Article by Giuseppe Berlingieri, Sara Calligaris, Stefano Costa e Chiara Criscuolo. In Italy, medium-large and large companies are productive and competitive. The problem is that they are few compared to... Read more...
10 April 2018
Article by Thomas Sampson. The full economic consequences of Brexit will not be realised for many years. But 21 months after the referendum, we can start to assess how the Brexit vote ha... Read more...
05 April 2018
…Ex-Tory Cabinet Minister Chris Patten said he was a “caricature” with no idea about trade deals. Brexit may cost us £1,700 a year each, says the London School of Economics. ... Read more...
28 March 2018
British businesses want unrestricted access to European workers to continue after Brexit, describing them as better qualified and more motivated than their UK counterparts. The findings came in an interim repo... Read more...
27 March 2018
Opinion – Letters to the Editor: Alastair Hamilton must acknowledge Brexit realities Writing in the Huffington Post Invest NI chief executive Alastair Hamilton has described the concern that Brexit... Read more...
07 March 2018
Theresa May and her senior ministers try to come to an agreement over the government's approach to Brexit, in the latest of a series of meetings on the UK’s future relationship with the EU. As part o... Read more...
19 February 2018
Jonathan Wadsworth CEP research on immigration mentioned in the weeks news via BBC's 'The Mash Report'. ... Read more...
15 February 2018
Swati Dhingra has been awared a European Research Council Starting Grant for the BIGlobal project, which will examine the sources of firm growth and market power to provide new insights into welfare and policy... Read more...
01 February 2018
"Migrants are more likely, on average, to be self-employed and to start up companies." Max Nathan of CEP's Urban Programme interviewed for the documentary made by Wired in partnership with the Mu... Read more...
31 January 2018
…nearly six years. The Centre for Economic Performance says that the vote has cost the … ... Read more...
25 January 2018
With the UK due to leave the EU at 11pm on 29 March 2019, countries on both sides of the channel are figuring out what Brexit will mean for their economies. We speak to Panmure Gordon’s David B... Read more...
19 January 2018
The average British household is already worse off than it was before the Brexit vote. Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson discuss how much of the rise in inflation is due to Brexit. Higher prices are costing the a... Read more...
08 January 2018
According to the calculations of the Center for Economic Performance (CEP), Brexit will significantly affect inflation, the national currency rate, as well as the income level of the British and the overall qu... Read more...
07 January 2018
AREPORT written by a Welsh political consultant for a thinktank set up by Tony Blair paints a bleak picture of a post-Brexit future. Dafydd Rees, who has held senior positions with the BBC, Sky and Bloomberg, ... Read more...
05 January 2018
Executive summary: This document sets out some of the key things we have learnt since the referendum. These include: The Office for Budget Responsibility has downgraded UK growth expectations for the ... Read more...
04 January 2018
The following information was released by the Office of Tony Blair: Executive summary The Centre for Economic Performance says that the Brexit vote has cost the average household 404 a year. ... Read more...
03 January 2018
The latest forecasts from major London economic research houses seem to provoke pensive respondents. The renowned London Economics University, a study by the London School of Economics (CEP), has shown that th... Read more...
01 January 2018
The London School of Economics has estimated that failing to agree a trade deal could cost the UK economy up to £430 billion over five years. ... Read more...
Large London think tanks have also drawn attention to the real wage erosion in Great Britain. The recent London-based Economics Research Center (CEP), the London-based Economics University of London, has shown... Read more...
29 December 2017
The recent study of the London School of Economics (CEP) in London has demonstrated with various model calculations that the unexpected market and real economy shock of a British EU member, who won a narrow ma... Read more...
A study published by the Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics says the happiest age in human life, statistically, is 23 and 69 years. Based on data from 23,161 people aged 17 and 8... Read more...
28 December 2017
Brexit analysis from the Centre for Economic Performance recently found that the living standard of every income group in the UK would decrease after Brexit, with those on middle incomes suffering slightly mor... Read more...
22 December 2017
According to a study by the Financial Times, which analyzed a wide range of estimates and predictions, output in the UK is about 0.9% below the potential for remaining in the single market. In a complementary ... Read more...
20 December 2017
Swati Dhingra of the Center for Economic Performance at London School of Economics (LSE) said "Inflation data provides the most useful information." She said the overall impact of uncertainty is more... Read more...
As the portal iz.ru wrote, according to calculations for the Center for Economic Performance, each British family will lose up to £404 per year because of Brexit. This is due to rising prices for consume... Read more...
19 December 2017
The possible options for the long-term economic partnership range along a wide spectrum – from a European Economic Area-type broad-based single market access, through a Canada-type free trade agreement, ... Read more...
Everything paletti thus? Not quite. There is a loser, and that means Great Britain. It is becoming increasingly clear that Brexit was not a good idea, at least economically. Thomas Sampson and his colleagues f... Read more...
18 December 2017
Thomas Sampson and colleagues at the London School of Economics have examined the direct effect of sterling’s depreciation since the EU referendum on prices and living standards. With the pound falling a... Read more...
Business investment grew by 1.3 per cent in the third quarter of 2017, this is down almost five-fold against official forecasts for growth drawn up in 2016. This economic downturn after Brexit has already cost... Read more...
FT research shows that the weekly hit to the British economy could be the same £350m that Leave campaigners promised to claw back Thomas Sampson and colleagues at the London School of Economics have e... Read more...
In June 2016, a referendum was held in Britain and the result was to withdraw from the EU. This opens the door to an experiment: what happens when an economy wants to reduce its globalization and lift its ties... Read more...
15 December 2017
Holger Breinlich, one of the UK's leading international economics experts, a lecturer at the London School of Economics and the University of Nottingham, comments on the start of phase two of the EU-UK neg... Read more...
In a study of the English Center for Economic Performance, published in late autumn, it is reported that only the fact of voting for England's withdrawal from the European Union has resulted in serious los... Read more...
11 December 2017
Thus, the report for the Center for Economic Performance shows that voting for exit from the EU "was an unforeseen shock for the UK economy," the researchers conclude. "Our results provide convi... Read more...
10 December 2017
Pro-Brexit Cabinet Minister Liam Fox faced embarrassment last night after it was revealed that he commissioned and endorsed a new book which warns of the damaging effects of a 'hard' Brexit. The Intern... Read more...
09 December 2017
Article by Thomas Sampson, Dennis Novy, Holger Breinlich and Elsa Leromain Most economists believe that Brexit will be bad for the UK economy in the long-run. But what about the short-term? How ha... Read more...
04 December 2017
In a paper title Brexit and the Impact of Immigration on the UK by Jonathan Wadsworth, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen, the writers reveal that European Union (EU) immigration has triple... Read more...
03 December 2017
A report by the London School of Economics’ Centre for Economics Performance earlier this month estimated that the Brexit-related spike in inflation in the UK had already cost the average UK household ar... Read more...
29 November 2017
Alison Thewliss MP (SNP), Shadow SNP spokesman for Cities and Treasury referred to the recent CEP report The Brexit Vote, Inflation and UK Living Standards estimate "that the average household has... Read more...
27 November 2017
Article by Thomas Sampson et al Most economists believe that Brexit will be bad for the UK economy in the long-run. But what about the short-term? How has the referendum affected households in the first yea... Read more...
The latest work by economists at the London School of Economics estimates that, if the UK crashes out of the EU with no deal, the impact will be far more severe than the projections in the budget suggested. Th... Read more...
26 November 2017
… Dr Thomas Sampson, who co-authored the Centre for Economic Performance research, said: "Even before Brexit occurs, the increase in inflation caused by the Leave vote has already hurt UK household... Read more...
25 November 2017
Government sources said ministers would this week release sections of assessments into the potential economic impact of Brexit carried out across Whitehall, which until recently they had tried to keep secret. ... Read more...
According to the Center for Economic Performance Research Center (CEP), one of the main consequences of the vote on leaving the European Union was a marked decrease in the quality of life of British subjects. ... Read more...
24 November 2017
... according to new analysis from the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London ... ... Read more...
In the first detailed statistical analysis of how the referendum outcome has affected UK inflation, wages and living standards Thomas Sampson and his team show UK households are paying a high economic price fo... Read more...
The danger is not making a real difference to productivity when the country needs it the most, writes Anna Valero. Budget 2017 began with a bleak assessment of the UK’s growth prospects. For those of us ... Read more...
In support of this statement we can mention a recent investigation by a team of economists from the London School of Economics, directed by Richard Layard. The researchers analyzed data from surveys conducted ... Read more...
23 November 2017
In the referendum on British EU membership last June, a small, 51.9 percent majority of the participants voted out. The study, published on Monday by the prestigious London Economics University at London Schoo... Read more...
A statistical analysis on the consequences of the Brexit vote in the United Kingdom was released on Monday, showing how the referendum outcome has affected inflation and living standards of people across the c... Read more...
Recently, the Center for Economic Performance (CEP), a local research center, recently released a survey according to which every British family, on average, loses 400 pounds sterling per year due to Brexit. ... Read more...
22 November 2017
“One of the guys who pays my wages has decided he’s pulling investment from the UK,” my private fund manager mate tells me on Sunday as we stand on the touchline, watching our kids play rugby... Read more...
Meanwhile, on the home front consumers have been fighting raging price increases thanks to the collapse in the value of the pound. The average household has lost £404 last year according to the Centre fo... Read more...
On 23 June 2016, the UK voted to leave the EU. As soon as the result became clear, sterling depreciated sharply and, since the vote, UK inflation has dramatically increased. How much of the rise in inflat... Read more...
Dr Thomas Sampson, who co-authored the Centre for Economic Performance research, said: “Even before Brexit occurs, the increase in inflation caused by the Leave vote has already hurt UK households. &ldqu... Read more...
20 November 2017
According to research conducted by the UK-based Centre for Economic Performance "By June 2017, the Brexit vote was costing the average household £7.74 per week through ... Read more...
Article by Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson. On 23 June 2016, the UK voted to leave the EU. As soon as the result became clear, sterling depreciated sharply and, since the vote, ... Read more...
The first detailed statistical analysis of how the referendum outcome has affected UK inflation, wages and living standards shows UK households are paying a high economic price for the vote to leave the Europe... Read more...
Tory whip writes to every vice-chancellor to ask for syllabus and any online material Academics are accusing a Tory MP and government whip of “McCarthyite” behaviour, after he wrote to all unive... Read more...
24 October 2017
Article by Thomas Sampson It is too soon to know whether Brexit will be merely a diversion on the path to greater integration, a sign globalisation has reached its limits, or the start of a new era of prote... Read more...
20 October 2017
Article by Thomas Sampson While we can estimate the economic impact of Brexit, we do not yet understand what made people vote for it. This column argues that political pro-Brexit rhetoric conflates two dist... Read more...
19 October 2017
Article by John Van Reenen: ... “An argument that was made in favor of Brexit was that by restricting Europeans coming into Britain, it would create an economic boon,” said MIT Sloan professo... Read more...
18 October 2017
A major impediment to clarity has been the weight of advice from what Michael Gove calls ‘organisations with acronyms’ suggesting that a ‘no deal’ on trade will greatly damage the... Read more...
13 October 2017
Awarded an European Research Council Proof of Concept Grant for the NCore project, which aims to develop a mobile app which facilitates access to mental health services and treatments for young peopl... Read more...
12 October 2017
Article by Paul Frijters Taxation is the potential downfall of the EU as an institution. The reason is that within the EU, several member states are making money from the tax evasion in other member states,... Read more...
11 October 2017
"Wheat and bread isn't analogous to workers coming to the country and that being the cause of the depreciation of wages. "The Economic Centre at LSE's Centre of Policy and Research [sic], hav... Read more...
30 September 2017
Article by Swati Dhingra and Josh De Lyon. On trade, the PM reiterated that the UK would be outside the Single Market and the Customs Union after Brexit. The UK would not pursue off-the-shelf arrangements, lik... Read more...
27 September 2017
A study by economists at the London School of Economics has estimated the damage could be as great as 9.5 per cent of GDP if the UK leaves the EU without a free trade deal. Related article ‘Th... Read more...
26 September 2017
Theresa May stepped in to lead the discussion on what the UK hopes to achieve from its Brexit negotiations with the EU. Swati Dhingra and Josh De Lyon (CEP, LSE) argue that her Fl... Read more...
25 September 2017
And if your boss is on the fence, here’s a compelling case study — from economics professor Nicholas Bloom — to show her. Imagine a person working from home. If you pictured somebody in pajam... Read more...
20 September 2017
Professor of Finance and Economics, Kevin Dowd (Durham University), Professor David Paton (Nottingham University) and Professor David Blake (University of London) discuss how the UK can benefit from a free tra... Read more...
Article by Nikhil Datta and Swati Dhingra: About half of Britain’s trade and investment is with the EU, and currently, as members, we implement almost the same standards for products and services. One of... Read more...
13 September 2017
Last year before the Brexit referendum, the Center for Economic Performance (CEP) produced a study on the economic impacts of Eastern European immigrants. The London School of Economics, a research institute f... Read more...
The great majority of the economic forecasts have concluded that Brexit will damage the UK economy. In the case of ‘no deal’ between the UK and the EU, the majority view is that the loss of GDP cou... Read more...
08 September 2017
Snippet...”Mostly, the economists gathered here expressed hope that people would embrace the broader benefits of trade rather than focusing on the narrow costs. “All I can hope is that we are ha... Read more...
25 August 2017
The fact that the EU's eastern enlargement to the EU in 2004 was a win-win for the "old" 15 Member States of the Union as well as for the newcomers in Central and Eastern Europe is clear in view ... Read more...
21 August 2017
The LSE quartet – professors Thomas Sampson, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen – do concede that there is, potentially, a very minor boost to going it alone. Their own model... Read more...
Dr Thomas Sampson of the London School of Economics (LSE) said on Tuesday that the publication of UK government plans for a transition period and regulations after the breit suggests that London wants to speed... Read more...
15 August 2017
The Center for Economic Performance estimated that in the case of such a scenario over the decade, trade would have fallen by 40 percent and average income by 2.6 percent. ... Read more...
14 August 2017
In findings released by think tank Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London School of Economics, the potential impact of either Brexit "type" on major cities in t... Read more...
29 July 2017
27 July 2017
The home secretary, Amber Rudd, is to commission the independent Migration Advisory Committee to carry out a detailed analysis of the economic and social contributions and costs of EU citizens in Britain. The ... Read more...
While the Prime Minister seems to understand that trade with the European Union is sizeable, she also seems to be under the illusion that Britain can pick and choose during the Brexit negotiations. L... Read more...
26 July 2017
The consequences of the UK failing to reach a deal with the EU will be “widespread, damaging and pervasive”, according to a new report featuring LSE experts. Related publications ‘The C... Read more...
21 July 2017
The consequences of the UK failing to reach a deal with the EU will be “widespread, damaging and pervasive”, according to a new report featuring LSE experts. ... Read more...
20 July 2017
Brexiteers rejected the Treasury’s projections for the cost of Brexit last year as “project fear”. But the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics has remodelled the... Read more...
In research appearing this week in Nature Human Behaviour, Kirk Bansak, Jens Hainmueller and Dominik Hangartner of Stanford’s Immigration Policy Lab asked 18,000 European citizens their opinions on the i... Read more...
28 June 2017
Article by Dr Swati Dhingra What form of relationship to have with the EU after Brexit is the key economic policy issue facing the UK. This election was meant to give the prime minister a strong mandate for... Read more...
Article by Thomas Sampson One year ago, the UK voted to leave the EU. However, voters did not choose what would come after Brexit. Options for “life after Brexit”: One option is to rema... Read more...
Under May's argument, Britain would drop out of the EU, immediately reverting to unfavourable WTO trade terms, if the country's negotiators failed to get an agreement seen as having favourable terms fo... Read more...
27 June 2017
Businesses that rely on low-skilled EU labour may face hiring difficulties, writes Jonathan Wadsworth Had things gone as most commentators expected, the UK would now be entering hard Brexit talks with the n... Read more...
“We asked people what kind of asylum system they want and what kind of asylum system they believe is fair, because back then [in 2016 when the survey was conducted], and still now, it is obvious that the... Read more...
26 June 2017
“There will be a lot of political pressure to get as much of the finance industry moved to the EU as possible,” said Tom Kirchmaier, a fellow in the financial-markets group at the London School of ... Read more...
23 June 2017
Swati Dhingra, of the LSE, said: “There is near consensus among economists that the hard – or chaotic – form of Brexit…would hurt the UK economy. Although there was little immediate ec... Read more...
22 June 2017
But the greatest potential trouble is on Brexit, with the constitutional uncertainty growing and economists laying out this week just what a hard or chaotic Brexit could mean for the economy: the pound droppin... Read more...
21 June 2017
Many commentators are throwing out numbers about the negative impact of Brexit on GDP growth and income across Europe. The Center for Economic Performance has concluded that every EU member will lose income af... Read more...
20 June 2017
BrexitAlors que les négociations sur le Brexit s'ouvrent lundi, quel sort attend les plus de 3,6 millions d'Européens au Royaume-Uni?/ BrexitAlors that the negotiations on the Brexit open... Read more...
19 June 2017
Some also accuse European immigrants of having contributed to lowering wages. But according to Jonathan Wadsworth, author of a report on the subject for the London School of Economics, "All studies show t... Read more...
18 June 2017
Another recurring argument is that immigrants lower wages, a thesis that resists analyses. "All studies show that immigration has no impact on the wage level, or has it in a very marginal way," insis... Read more...
17 June 2017
Some also accuse the European immigrants have contributed to depress wages. But according to Jonathan Wadsworth, author of a report on the subject for the London School of Economics, "all the studies show... Read more...
Brexit supporters replicate that immigrants ' additional pressure on housing, schools and hospitals is not considered. Another recurring argument is that immigrants lower wages, a thesis that resists analy... Read more...
11 June 2017
According to Dennis Novy, Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Warwick: “TTIP has the potential to benefit millions of consumers. It goes far beyond an economic project. Its current time... Read more...
07 June 2017
“Just as the US military has become more decentralized, letting soldiers on the ground in Afghanistan and Iraq make more decisions than they would have in Korea or in Vietnam, so are the best firms decen... Read more...
SOME time ago Paxman's questions to Mrs May exposed effectively how ineffective she had been at the Home Office in dealing with immigration. She could not explain how Conservative policy has completely fai... Read more...
Article by Swati Dhingra Unlike some other countries – the US and France spring to mind – trade has not been a major issue in recent UK elections. This reflected both EU membership and a broad p... Read more...
06 June 2017
This collection of 18 essays by leading economists highlights many of the most pressing domestic and international economic policy issues on the Trump docket. Many chapters are sharply critical of the Tr... Read more...
05 June 2017
The LSE's Centre for Economic Performance said that returning to World Trade Organization rules would reduce the UK's trade with the EU by 40% over 10 years. Related publications CEP Election Ana... Read more...
Firstly, there is simply no evidence that EU immigration has impacted negatively on the living standards of UK workers. A new study by the London School of Economics (LSE) has shown that there is no apparent l... Read more...
04 June 2017
The election uncertainty will give way to new uncertainties. Two new reports from the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London School of Economics highlight some of the dangers. On immigration, the ... Read more...
Most independent experts predict long-term harm as well. According to the most recent estimates from the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, a hard Brexit would reduce GDP per he... Read more...
03 June 2017
A recent study by the London School of Economics has blown apart a number of key myths around migration, saying: “Immigrants pay more in taxes than they take out in welfare and use of public services. UK... Read more...
02 June 2017
Article by Luis Garicano DONALD TRUMP and Theresa May may have done more to push Europeans together, and open up an opportunity for reform of its institutions, than any pro-European American president or Br... Read more...
Leaving the European Union with no deal in place for future trading arrangements would be the worst-case Brexit scenario for the UK economy. What’s more, just because GDP growth has not declined since la... Read more...
So the prime minister may have to choose between risking the economy (immigrants keep living standards up and the deficit down according to the London School of Economics) or missing her target. ... Read more...
01 June 2017
BREXIT has already started to make UK citizens poorer and more pain is likely in the months and years to come, a new study has warned. Although last year’s vote to quit the European Union has had “... Read more...
Although last year’s vote to quit the European Union has had “no obvious effect” on GDP growth, the collapse in the value of the pound – down 13 per cent against the US dollar and nine ... Read more...
A report by the LSE's Centre for Economic Performance said that returning to World Trade Organization rules would reduce the UK's trade with the EU by 40% over 10 years…Report authors Swati Ding... Read more...
Although last year's vote to quit the EU has had "no obvious effect" on GDP growth, the collapse in the value of the pound - down 13% against the US dollar and 9% against the euro by the end of l... Read more...
31 May 2017
Further reading Brexit and the UK Economy There are many ways to leave and the referendum did not allow voters to choose between them — Brexit does not simply mean Brexit. (LSE Centre for Economic Per... Read more...
May’s insistence that “no deal is better than a bad deal” is wrong, according to a report by the Centre for Economic Performance…. “In practice the no-deal outcome, where the ... Read more...
According to the Centre for Economic Performance, leaving the European Union with no pact in place would have twice the negative economic impact as remaining in the single market. That’s at odds with Pri... Read more...
Although last year’s vote to quit the EU has had “no obvious effect” on GDP growth, the collapse in the value of the pound – down 13% against the US dollar and 9% against the euro by th... Read more...
Jonathan Wadsworth and colleagues at the London School of Economics showed convincingly that across UK local authorities from 2008-15, EU immigrants had no statistically significant impact on the rea... Read more...
26 May 2017
Recommends: Jobless recoveries: Exploring technology’s role – Georg Graetz, Guy Michaels - 13 mei Recoveries from recessions in the US used to involve rapid job generation, but job growth has... Read more...
14 May 2017
The assumptions of the Economists for Brexit group – now rebranded as Economists for Free Trade - were previously criticised as grossly unrealistic on other grounds, including ignoring the fact that coun... Read more...
19 April 2017
Article by Patrick Stewart. A recent report on the likely impact of Brexit from the London School of Economics has found that all EU countries will lose income after Brexit. The overall GDP fall in the U... Read more...
19 March 2017
Economists from the London School of Economics have estimated that the WTO route would cause an almost 10 per cent hit to UK GDP by 2030. Also in: The i Paper Failure to secure trade deal 'would o... Read more...
02 March 2017
Brexit, national income per capita in the UK to drop On June 23, a referendum MIT faculty member, Professor John Van Reenen advocated keeping Britain in the EU. ... Read more...
08 February 2017
Economists point to three factors to explain how population is distributed: geographical characteristics, agglomeration, and history. This column, taken from a new Vox eBook, examines ... Read more...
31 January 2017
A study of three researchers Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom and Steven j. Davis has revealed that the current economic uncertainty is still higher than during times of 9 / 11 or the Lehman collapse. The expert... Read more...
Britain's economy made a decision after the brexit-lock braking. One-third of the companies that froze investment plans as a result of a decision. The collapse of the value of the pound sterling told the c... Read more...
26 January 2017
"Trade agreements are based on have something to give to receive something in return. "Nobody is doing charity here", explains Swati Dhingra, academic at the center of economic performance&... Read more...
20 January 2017
"Trade agreements are based on have something to give to receive something in return. No one is making charity here", explains Swati Dhingra, academic center of economic behaviour of the LSE. ... Read more...
19 January 2017
Swati Dhingra interviewed. Speaking about Brexit and free trade. ... Read more...
18 January 2017
With popular google search results ranging from “What is the EU” to “What will happen if we leave the EU” from Britain hours after the referendum, it is clear that Brexit was an unknowl... Read more...
11 January 2017
Four in ten leading economists are more pessimistic about Britain's future after Brexit, despite the buoyant economy since the vote, according to a new FT poll. While many are looking to 2017 for a spot of... Read more...
03 January 2017
El comercio mundial patas arriba Swati Dhingra, especialista de comercio de la London School of Economics, pone el acento en otro peligro. "Lo más grave sería una guerra comercial de E... Read more...
An economist claimed Messi would be in prison now in the United States Economist Luis Garicano was recently elected by the Ciudadanos to take over one of the vice presidencies of the Party of the Alliance o... Read more...
20 December 2016
Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy’s decision to replace a party loyalist with an independent expert at the head of the markets regulator will help Spain lure companies seeking a new base after Britain le... Read more...
16 December 2016
Dennis Novy was interviewed by BBC Radio Scotland on 22 November 2016 about Donald Trump's policy stance towards the Transpacific Partnership (TPP), a proposed trade deal between the United States and vari... Read more...
22 November 2016
“I’m pretty skeptical Trump’s policies will reverse this process,” said John Van Reenen, a professor of economics at MIT who studies how technology and innovation affect profits and wag... Read more...
20 November 2016
HUGE THREAT TO ECONOMY TO OVERSHADOW TORY BUDGET The Scottish National Party has said that the threat of a hard Brexit will be the ‘elephant in the room’ at the Autumn Statement. “The T... Read more...
The impact on productivity is as bad. The LSE (Centre for Economic Performance) suggests reduced trade will reduce productivity amounting to between 6.3 per cent and 9.5 per cent of GDP. This article was pu... Read more...
We have gone back to the post-Brexit growth forecasts made earlier this year by six organisations – the NIESR, the Treasury, the OECD, the London School of Economics, the Confederation for British Indust... Read more...
07 November 2016
The meaning of Brexit is yet to become clear. But if Brexit means leaving the customs union of the European Union, Thomas Sampson looks at what it might meant for the UK to pursue its own trade policy for the first time ... Read more...
26 October 2016
The right way to leave the EU Article by Swati Dhingra On June 30, a week after the British public voted to leave the EU, Theresa May gave a speech launching her candidacy for prime minister in which she declared, ''Br... Read more...
21 October 2016
It's beginning to dawn on Brexit voters that leaving the EU will be a disaster for working people. Inflation is back as a direct result of the 18 per cent devaluation of the pound since June 23. The forecast for price ri... Read more...
20 October 2016
Prime Minister Theresa May is in Brussels for her first EU summit as UK leader, in the same week as cabinet ministers were presented with a paper warning that Britain pulling out of the EU customs union could lead to a 4... Read more...
The calculations, sent to May's close-knit team of Brexit advisers, which includes Hammond, David Davis, Liam Fox and Boris Johnson, claim the UK economy would be 4.5 percent smaller by 2030 if it leaves the Customs Unio... Read more...
19 October 2016
Chancellor to appear before Treasury select committee after Whitehall estimates show economy could shrink by 4.5% Trade flows and foreign investment would also be hit hard by leaving the customs union, according to figu... Read more...
Cabinet ministers receive stark economic warnings against adopting a 'Norway-style' model The UK could suffer a fall in GDP of 4.5% by 2030 if it leaves the EU customs union. Cabinet ministers were given stark warni... Read more...
Ministers are at loggerheads over whether to quit the European customs union amid warnings it could mean a 4.5 per cent hit to GDP. Papers circulated at a meeting of the Brexit Cabinet committee apparently suggested tha... Read more...
The Economists for Brexit group claim Brexit 5 would deliver a UK growth boom by 2020. But economists at the London School of Economics say this is ideologically driven pseudoscience and that unilateral free trade would,... Read more...
Article by Barbara Petrongolo In the wake of Britains vote to leave the EU, the big debate has switched to what relationship the two should have post-Brexit. Top of the agenda is access to the single market and freedom ... Read more...
18 October 2016
Dennis Novy interviewed live around 8.15pm. The topic analysing the Brexit referendum that was held in June 2016. The interview was about how the Brexit vote outcomes across voting areas in the UK were linked to immigrat... Read more...
EU trade ministers have had Belgium on their minds today - but rather than tucking into chocolate and waffles they've been dealing with the more unappetizing problem of a regional Belgian parliament that's blocking thei... Read more...
The studies, by the Treasury, the thinktank NIESR and the Centre for Economic Performance and London School of Economics, predicted the effect on the British economy if the UK was to opt for a Norway-style model. That wo... Read more...
Economist Thomas Sampson told The Independent: ''It's important to remember that the exit bill would be a one-off payment and in the longer run it is likely to be dwarfed by the broader economic costs resulting from redu... Read more...
14 October 2016
Fear of an economic meltdown was the biggest weapon in the campaign to stop Britain from leaving the European Union. Ten weeks after the vote, though, some say the fearmongering was overdone. Although the pound has fall... Read more...
18 September 2016
Dennis Novy interviewed. The topic was the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) and the recent political backlash from France and Germany. The interview was broadcast on the BBC Radio 4 The World Ton... Read more...
30 August 2016
Dennis Novy was interviewed live on LBC radio with Nick Ferrari on 24 August 2016. The topic was Brexit and whether we should have a second referendum. The background was Owen Smith's announcement of having a second refe... Read more...
24 August 2016
Even after the Brexit, Britain will seek economic ties to the EU. But what options are there? What are the costs? And how likely they are? The economists Swati Dinghra and Thomas Sampson of the London School of Economic... Read more...
23 August 2016
Article by Brian Bell and Stephen Machin Wage inequality was partly behind the vote for Brexit. This column shows how areas with relatively low median wages were substantially more likely to vote ‘Lea... Read more...
16 August 2016
Nothing off the table in Brexit negotiations says Centre for Economic Performance's Swati Dhingra. This interview was broadcast by BBC Sheffield (Radio) on August 13, 2016 Link to broadcast here Related publicatio... Read more...
13 August 2016
Throughout the referendum campaign, experts raised serious, well-founded concerns about the potential for Brexit to cause serious economic harm. These went unanswered, because the Leave camp had no answers to offer. Inst... Read more...
10 August 2016
The IFS estimate that single market membership could be worth 4 per cent of GDP by 2030 - or £75bn in today's money But the IFS estimates that retaining single market membership could be potentially worth 4 per ce... Read more...
09 August 2016
The reputed Centre for Economic Performance at LSE has long been studying the potential impact of the United Kingdom leaving the European Union, and just this last week it published its latest report. This report focuses... Read more...
05 August 2016
Article by Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson The UK should join the EEA and remain part of the single market, write Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson The UK has voted to leave the EU, but not in favour of any specific a... Read more...
John Van Reenen of the London School of Econimics forecast costs of Brexit before vote was held One of the UK's top economists has issued a stark warning about the possible economic and social implications of Brexit for... Read more...
04 August 2016
John Van Reenen was disappointed but not surprised by the UK's vote to Leave the EU. Whilst his own research predicts serious economic and political damage in the case of Brexit, he thought a Leave vote was a real possib... Read more...
03 August 2016
02 August 2016
The June 2016 Brexit referendum saw British voters reject membership of the European Union. Now that a decision has been made, it is time to look forward and find the best solutions for the future of both the UK and the ... Read more...
01 August 2016
The 23 June 2016 Brexit vote saw British voters reject membership in the European Union. This column introduces a new VoxEU eBook containing 19 essays written by leading economists on a wide array of topics and from a br... Read more...
What will the arrangement with the EU be? In this video, Swati Dhingra discusses introducing a temporary Norway-like deal. This video is part of the ''Econ after Brexit'' series organised by CEPR and was recorded on 14 J... Read more...
29 July 2016
Swati Dhingra quoted on the impact of Brexit and likely effect on migration. This interview was broadcast on BBC Asian Network on July 27, 2016 Link to broadcast here Related publications Brexit and the Impact of... Read more...
27 July 2016
Professor Curran said said non-tariff barriers could raise costs for NI farmers by between 2% and 4% and a recent study by the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) found that a 2% increase in non-tariff barriers could a... Read more...
Interview with Swati Dhingra on the economic impact of Brexit. The interview was broadcast on BBC Radio 5 Live on July 27, 2016 Link to the programme here Related publications See the complete CEP Brexit Analysis Ser... Read more...
Professor Michael Curran, an economist at Villanova University in Pennsylvania, said that while the UK's decision to leave the EU was ''unambiguously bad'' for Ireland and the UK as a whole, Northern Ireland would be har... Read more...
There could be a spike in UK migration ahead of Britain's withdrawal from the European Union and the possible end to free movement rights, MPs have warned. Dr Swati Dhingra, from the London School of Economics, told B... Read more...
Before Britons voted to leave the European Union, Swati Dhingra, an assistant professor of economics at the London School of Economics, wrote a series of papers with her colleagues trying to convince them otherwise by po... Read more...
26 July 2016
When politicians speak of a need to 'control' EU immigration, we should be asking why. The evidence shows that free movement of people is working for all of us. But the available evidence suggests the overall impact of ... Read more...
24 July 2016
Britain's decision to leave the European Union (EU) has prompted international conversation about the economic implications. But widespread interest doesn't mean widespread expertise. Economists tell i about some of th... Read more...
21 July 2016
''Brexit makes the UK a less attractive environment for investment, in particular for businesses that rely on the British approach to the single market,'' said economist Thomas Sampson for Mashable. ''Some companies are... Read more...
20 July 2016
A couple of thoughtful pieces to throw into the melee post-referendum. First Tim Harford in today's FT And to the idea that economists don't know what they are talking about (a new broadly held myth scaled up by the fac... Read more...
The evidence is that foreign managers improve the companies they acquire A paper by Nick Bloom of Stanford University and others shows that the David Brents can learn from the Jack Welches: when they take over British f... Read more...
Finally, there is the low reputation of economists, the result of a global financial crisis that only a few in the profession warned us against. But the institutes that analysed the risks and rewards of Brexit can hardly... Read more...
The UK Chamber needs to know the details because member shipowners gain their revenue from trade; however, Dr Swati Dhingra, lecturer at the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, brought litt... Read more...
19 July 2016
The dominant narrative suggests it was a 'howl of pain' about immigration, stagnant wages and an out-of-control housing market - but figures suggest that's not really true Statistical work by the labour economists Brian... Read more...
17 July 2016
Wage inequality was partly behind the vote for Brexit. In this video, Brian Bell argues that the consequences of Brexit should be evaluated across the income distribution. This video is part of the ''Econ after Brexit'' ... Read more...
14 July 2016
Immigration was at the heart of the Brexit debate. In this video, Barbara Petrongolo discusses different policies the UK could implement in terms of immigration. This video is part of the ''Econ after Brexit'' series org... Read more...
Various analysis have shown that Brexit will adversely affect Britain's economy. According to the Centre for Economic Performance, LSE, Britain's economy will decrease by 1.3 per cent to 2.6 per cent without considering ... Read more...
12 July 2016
You may have heard the jokes about economists equivocating and squabbling. Ronald Reagan had the best one, about an edition of Trivial Pursuit designed for economists: ''There are 100 questions, 3,000 answers.'' John V... Read more...
Two weeks ago, UK voters took the most important economic decision in a generation. The factual basis for this decision was - to say the least - not quite up to the nation's highest standards of evidence. ... The fragme... Read more...
For example, I have obtained an internal Scottish Enterprise document circulated last week among senior managers declaring the consequences of Brexit for the Scottish manufacturing sector ''to be overwhelmingly negative'... Read more...
09 July 2016
Article by Monica Langella and Alan Manning This article reports the result of an exercise in which the vote share for Leave in the 380 areas of England, Wales and Scotland are regressed on a variety of area characteris... Read more...
07 July 2016
Confusion reigns ... belonging to Europe forced Britain to accept internal migratory movements, students, workers, entrepreneurs, family. Between 1995 and 2015, the number of foreigners from other EU countries increase... Read more...
06 July 2016
Individual demographics had a huge effect in determining the outcome of the referendum, but the characteristics of local areas mattered as well, explain Monica Langella and Alan Manning. Immigration, the decline in manuf... Read more...
Overall, Brexit is likely to have a negative impact on inward FDI. New empirical analysis by Center for Economic Performance implies that leaving the EU will reduce FDI inflows to the UK by around 22 per cent. Such losse... Read more...
03 July 2016
The Society's Annual Conference was held at the University of Sussex, 21-23 March. This report was prepared by Ferdinando Giugliano, focusing on four fields of economic research: development economics; political economy;... Read more...
01 July 2016
For many it is a windfall: according to the research of the Centre for Economic Performance, a research centre, EU migrants are more likely, compared to the local population, to have received a university education or to... Read more...
John Van Reenen, head of the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, said that Britain's Brexit decision will have both short-term and long-term consequences. ''There is a lot of uncertainty ab... Read more...
Economists and political analysts have debated over the long-term effects of the vote on the future of the British economy. Prior to the referendum many warned that Brexit could have dire consequences for Britain, includ... Read more...
30 June 2016
Customs return seems unlikely, according to a recent study (November 2015) of the Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics who bet on the establishment of a free trade agreement. ''However, an in... Read more...
29 June 2016
But the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics sees lasting consequences: the separation of the United Kingdom would without a doubt have a negative impact on foreign direct investment, who the... Read more...
Less than a week after Briton's voted to exit the EU, the worlds second largest telecom company [Vodafone] has announced it is considering moving its headquarters from London to mainland Europe. Vodafone's warning could... Read more...
Top-Okonomen wie John Van Reenen (London School of Economics) erwarten allein durch die Unsicherheit eine sofortige Abkuhlung des Wachstums. Top economists such as John van Reenen (London School of Economics) expect an ... Read more...
28 June 2016
...resultatet av folkomrostningen. Gianluca Benigno, ekonomiprofessor vid London School of Economics, sager att han forst... ...the result of the referendum. Gianluca Benigno, economics professor at the London School ... Read more...
... We could look at the superb work of John Van Reenen and colleagues at the London School of Economics(LSE), of Nick ... This article was published online by The Times on June 28, 2016 Link to article here Related... Read more...
UK's EU exit will make transatlantic trade talks even tougher. ''There's every reason to believe that the right-wing lurch of Brexit could turn the U.K. into a paradise for free market capitalism: a TTIP on steroids,'' ... Read more...
The Prime Minister must now be regretting including the in/out referendum in his earlier election manifesto pledges to win over the far-right votes. Not taking lessons from the close call in the Scottish referendum, he g... Read more...
British unemployment shows the transition graph of the influx immigrants. 2005-2010 immigrant unemployment rate is rapidly increased rather than fell. ©Jonathan Wadsworth, Center for Economic Performance. [Text wit... Read more...
27 June 2016
In the months leading up to Britain's referendum on whether to leave the European Union, many economists warned over and over again that a ''Brexit'' could have awful ripple effects: Britain could lose its favorable acce... Read more...
Meanwhile, Director of the Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, John Van Reenen tell Brexit will give a significant impact in the short-term period. ''Impending situation where business refu... Read more...
FRIDAY was the day when international markets absorbed the shock of the British vote to leave the European Union; a vote that few investors had anticipated. But today, market focus shifted back to the places where the vo... Read more...
Parecidos resultados obtiene para los mismos escenarios el informe del Centre for Economic Performance de la London School of Economics In the three cases the fall of GDP in per cent, following the same order, would be ... Read more...
- Lehman-kraschen kom fran ingenstans, sager John Van Reenen, London School of Economics till New York Times. Det har ar som en tagolycka dar du kan se tagen komma mot varandra pa avstand men hoppas att de ska kunna sty... Read more...
To some Professor Luis Garicano of the London School of Economics is a leading expert in the fields of productivity and industrial organisation, but to many he's the man Queen Elizabeth asked: ''Why did no one see it com... Read more...
We were told that the consensus of economic experts were overwhelmingly opposed to a Brexit. Lauded institutions - from the IMF, OECD to the Treasury and London School of Economics - produced damning forecasts that ran... Read more...
Millions of words on the topic - including economists' majority view that leaving the bloc will slow growth and the Leave campaign's counterarguments that Britain will prosper - could be replaced by seven charts. The... Read more...
''IMMIGRATION, immigration, immigration'', shouted a headline in the Sun, a right-wing tabloid newspaper, the week that Britain voted to leave the European Union. It followed weeks of campaigning from the Leave side assu... Read more...
John Van Reenen, Professor at the London School of Economics, said on Friday in an interview issued by the American channel CNBC that the companies ''will not want to take investment decisions because they have uncertain... Read more...
26 June 2016
Why did so many millions of people vote to leave the European Union? ... Some new research by the labour market economists Brian Bell and Stephen Machin, seen by The Independent, suggests the Leave vote tended to be big... Read more...
What does the UK's decision to leave the European Union mean for the future of the single market? Economists talk of sustained market turbulence, devaluations and an imminent recession, but will it be Britain or the ... Read more...
According to John Van Reenen, Director of the Center for Economic Performance who said: "the same phenomenon will occur as being ''dubious'' in a period when businesses don't like to take new decisions or new invest... Read more...
25 June 2016
In an interview to CNBC, John Van Reenen, director of the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics said the short-term impacts would be painful: ''You get a rabbit-in-the-headlights phenomenon wh... Read more...
Now that the UK has voted to leave the EU, one of the biggest remaining questions is how it will affect the British economy. Hari Sreenivasan sits down with London School of Economics professor Swati Dhingra, who has bee... Read more...
Last night, as it became clear that Britain had voted to exit the European Union, Google Trends reported a 250 percent spike in searches for ''what happens if we leave the EU?'' Markets are crashing around the world, Pr... Read more...
24 June 2016
According to an analysis, Brexit and the impact on immigration, published by the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, EU immigrants are ''more educated, younger, more likely to be in work an... Read more...
The decision left the United Kingdom society of the European Union does indeed have fueled new uncertainty. ''Businessmen reluctant to take new decisions or affect investments, because of the uncertainty for the future,'... Read more...
First views on the global economic impact of such episode refer to one (even minor) world growth rate. Thus for example claimed John Van Reenen of the London School of Economics, who said the effect ''disincentive'' to i... Read more...
In crudest outlines, the panic that followed Britain's vote to quit the European Union traced the 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers, an event that turned an unfolding financial crisis into the bleakest economic downturn s... Read more...
The parallels between Brexit backers and Trumps supporters is clear. Trump's campaign targets manufacturing towns across America, frequently expressing the need to reject globalism and put ''America first''. In Britain, ... Read more...
''You're going to see in increase in consumer prices from Brexit and most of that is going to hit the middle income,'' Swati Dhingra, assistant professor at LSE's Department of Economics and Centre for Economic Performan... Read more...
Thomas Sampson, economiste a la London School of Economics, est coauteur d'une etude sur le cout du Brexit pour les menages britanniques. Thomas Sampson answers questions on the possible consequences of a vote for Brex... Read more...
Minford said that the economy would be more dynamic and more efficient now that we're out of the EU. Swati Dhingra disagreed, saying that the economy would suffer because of a shallower pool of talent from other EU co... Read more...
So we've decided to take a leap and vote to leave the EU. What is it going to mean for you and your money? We've voted. The decision has been made. We're out of the European Union, in a move that has triggered the Pri... Read more...
The world map has been redrawn with the rules of commerce across Europe, the largest marketplace on earth. Britain's vote on Thursday to leave the European Union has set in motion an unprecedented and unpredictable proce... Read more...
Dennis Novy interviewed by Turkish TV News Channel, discussing the economic impact for the UK of the Brexit vote. This interview was broadcast by TRT World (Turkey) TV on June 24, 2016 Link to the broadcast here S... Read more...
Swati Dhingra: ''Europe doesn't matter a good deal with the United Kingdom in the case of Brexit'' The British economy will go down between 1.4% and 2.6% in pessimistic scenario. And life won't be made easier with havin... Read more...
23 June 2016
Brexit: whatever happens, uncertainty is the only certainty Il LSE Centre for Economic Performance ha esaminato l'analisi economica del prof. Patrick Minford, celebre economista pro-Brexit, e l'ha bocciata senza appello... Read more...
Few expect that Britain's departure from Europe will set off a full financial crisis like the one seen after the collapse of the investment banking giant Lehman Brothers in 2008. ... If no deal is struck, the rules of t... Read more...
Paul Henry talks with Adam Drummond, Opinium research manager, followed by Swati Dhingra, lecturer at the London School of Economics, on the Brexit. How are the polls looking, and what economical fallout could face the U... Read more...
Research by the London School of Economics in the report ''Life After Brexit'' is warning Britain would most likely fall into recession if it leaves, as a myriad of agreements unravel over several years. French launch #O... Read more...
By the end of the campaign, the heads of Britain's most respected economic think-tanks issued a joint statement, so worried were they that the message had failed to connect. Paul Johnson, head of the Institute for Fiscal... Read more...
A feeling of anger and frustration with the European Union is strongest in areas of Britain that have seen wages stagnate in recent years, according to research commissioned by the Financial Times. Two leading labour... Read more...
The whole world is eager to know the result of Brexit poll on Thursday. The result could have far economic consequences for the EU and the rest of the world. The greater consequences are more subtle, gradual, and global.... Read more...
Dennis Novy interviewed on live programme broadcast by Canadian TV news channel, focusing on the economic impact of a Brexit vote. This interview was broadcast by CTV News (Canada) on June 23, 2016 Link to broadcast ... Read more...
Meanwhile, the Institute for Fiscal Studies, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research and the Centre for Economic Performance issued a final joint warning that Britain will ''almost certainly'' be worse off... Read more...
22 June 2016
If Brexit passes, Britain will change considerably: border controls may be enacted for Northern Ireland for the first time in nearly a century, immigration to the UK would be sharply curtailed, and Britain's economic str... Read more...
Foreign investment brings many benefits to the UK, including higher pay and productivity. But a Brexit vote could end it all, write Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen. First, not being... Read more...
There is little evidence to support the former. Roughly 2.2 million EU nationals work in the UK, comprising 6.6% of the workforce, according to the FT report. Another report from the London School of Economics and Centre... Read more...
The UK Treasury's estimate forecasts trade volumes declining by between 14% and 19% by 2030 in comparison to their current trajectory, on the assumption that the UK agrees a bilateral trade deal with the EU similar to th... Read more...
And while some experts argue that FDI is high in the UK due to a favourable business environment, others, such as the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, suggest that ''being fully in the s... Read more...
The Institute for Fiscal Studies, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research and the Centre for Economic Performance have all predicted lower real wages in the event of Brexit, higher prices for goods and ser... Read more...
A Leave vote in tomorrow's referendum would ''almost certainly make us financially worse off'' and could cut the UKs GDP by up to 8% - equivalent to £5,760 for every household in the country - a group of respecte... Read more...
In a dramatic escalation of Tory infighting earlier, Mr Cameron told Sky News: 'To hear the Leave campaign today sort of comparing independent experts and economists to Nazi sympathisers - I think they have rather lost ... Read more...
Professor John Van Reenen, Director of the Centre for Economic Performance on panel discussing the economics of Brexit. The discussion was broadcast by Sky News at 10pm on June 22, 2016 Link to broadcast here Relate... Read more...
The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS), National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) and Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) ... This article was published online by Juice Brighton (Radio) on June 22, ... Read more...
Facts appear not to be a major priority for many Leave voters. That is clear when you look at science. In a ComRes poll of 1,616 prospective voters, Leave supporters were revealed to be much more likely to question scien... Read more...
The Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics finds that EU immigrants to Britain are better educated and more likely to ... This article was published online by The Wall Street Journal on Ju... Read more...
Britain never joined the euro currency union, freeing it of all sorts of complicated policy commitments that the rest of the EU is obliged to abide by. But despite staying on the pound, Britain still has full access to E... Read more...
Three leading economic institutes have made a joint statement about what they think will happen if we leave the EU. We have published what they said below. Here's what the IFS, NIESR, and the Centre for... Read more...
21 June 2016
Dr Swati Dhingra from the Centre for Economic Performance's Trade Programme video on the possible regulatory autonomy and alternatives to EU membership. Filmed as part of a panel discussion - The EU and the UK: 'the wro... Read more...
The heads of three leading economic think-tanks warned of the dire consequences of leaving the EU. The analysis by National Institute of Economic and Social Research, Institute for Fiscal Studies and Centre for Economic ... Read more...
Three UK economic think tanks issued their final warning about the countrys post-Brexit future just days before the referendum on EU membership, local media reported Tuesday. MOSCOW (Sputnik) - The think tanks includ... Read more...
The economic impacts of Britain leaving the EU With the referendum fast approaching, Thomas Sampson analyses the economic consequences should Britain vote to leave the European Union. Proponents of Brexit, as leaving ... Read more...
As the rival campaigns entered the final straight, independent economists from three of Britain's leading institutions issued a final warning that a vote for Brexit would hit wages and lead to higher retail prices and bo... Read more...
Dennis Novy appeared on a show dealing with the EU and the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP), answering questions from members of the public who are worried about TTIP and what it might mean for the N... Read more...
Today Morning Trade talks Brexit and the future of U.K. trade policy with Swati Dhingra, a lecturer in economics at the London School of Economics and a member of the trade research program of the Institutions's Center f... Read more...
The economic consequences of leaving the EU have been a central focus of the referendum campaign. As June 23 draws near, Jagjit Chadha, Paul Johnson and John Van Reenen bring together the conclusions from their research ... Read more...
We are economists who care about Britain and its future. We feel compelled to speak out on the risks of Leaving and opportunities from Remaining in the EU. If Britain votes to Leave we believe that: • A recessio... Read more...
According to Thomas Sampson, assistant professor at the Department of Economics, London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE), an exit scenario would hit the country's economy really hard. Talking to Sputnik, h... Read more...
20 June 2016
The UK is also the top destination for foreign direct investment in Europe and ranked as one of the most attractive FDI markets in the world. But investment would tumble at least 22 per cent over the next decade in the e... Read more...
The IMF, the Bank of England, the Treasury, the OECD, the London School of Economics and many more are... (no link available) This article was published by the Western Daily Press on June 20, 2016 [No link available] ... Read more...
Three leading British economists have warned that leaving the EU would 'almost certainly' damage the UK's economic prospects. The trio, Jagjit Chadha, the director of the National Institute of Economic and Social Resear... Read more...
Thomas Sampson is from the London School Of Economics and has recently authored a paper called, Economists for Brexit: A Critique. He says Britain would be stronger by remaining in the EU. This interview was broadcas... Read more...
19 June 2016
The most serious problem of staying outside any EU trade agreement is the serious impact this might have on foreign direct investment into the UK. Being in the single market makes the UK attractive as a base for exporter... Read more...
Thomas Sampson interviewed on what may happen following a vote for Brexit. The interview was broadcast on the Last Week Tonight with John Oliver show on June 19, 2016 Link to broadcast here [Interview begins at 10:33] ... Read more...
All or nothing at all What sort of deal might that new leader try to get? Some want no deal at all. A group called Economists for Brexit (EFB) suggests simply abolishing all import tariffs. The ensuing rise in trade, ... Read more...
18 June 2016
In addition, ''agreements with third countries would be predictably less beneficial for the United Kingdom if it negotiated them alone rather than as part of the European Union,'' he told Dr Swati Dhingra, Economist at t... Read more...
Then there is the question of the effect on Britain's trade with other regions if it is no longer governed by agreements negotiated by the European Union. Eurosceptics assume those agreements dilute Britain's interests b... Read more...
17 June 2016
As June 23 looms closer and closer and Britain makes the ultimate decision whether it should stay in the European Union or go it alone, a recent thorough analysis by Holger Breinlich, Swati Dhingra, Thomas Sampson and Jo... Read more...
A different approach is to estimate how prices for different things would be affected, and then compare this to spending patterns across different income brackets and household types. Using this approach, the ... Read more...
16 June 2016
Things to read about Brexit Below is a selection of informative things to read about Brexit that can help you decide. Please suggest your own in comments, but you cannot post links there. You can send links to editor... Read more...
The failure to make a case for the E.U. had left a big opportunity for Johnson and Nigel Farage, the head of the U.K. Independence Party, to argue that Britain doesn't get anything out of its membership except bureaucrat... Read more...
Last year, a report from the Bank of England supported his comment, suggesting that the wages of low-paid employees in catering, hospitality and care have been driven down by increased competition from EU workers. How... Read more...
15 June 2016
The thinking behind the predictions about Britain's future outside the EU Very costly in all scenarios: Centre for Economic Performance The prediction: A hit to trade in all likely scenarios will bring GDP 6.3-9.5 ... Read more...
Relevant studies, among other things by the Bertelsmann Foundation in collaboration with the Ifo Institute, the Center for economic performance at the London School of Economics and the rating agency Standard & Poor's, c... Read more...
14 June 2016
Experts at the Treasury, the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR), and the London School of Economics have all found that remaining a part of the EEA would pose the least severe economic risk to the... Read more...
11 June 2016
Study after study confirms that EU migrants have an overwhelmingly positive effect on the British economy. They have a higher employment rate (78.2%) than people born in the UK (72.5%), those from Poland and other A8 acc... Read more...
10 June 2016
What consequences will Britain's EU referendum have for both the UK and the rest of Europe? In a series of papers published as a collaboration between EUROPP and CIDOB (the Barcelona Centre for International Affairs), LS... Read more...
09 June 2016
Pro-EU forces have warned that if Britain votes to exit the union on June 23, the country could lose almost a million jobs. Recruiters say the damage has already begun. ''Companies are pushing the pause button,'' said Ki... Read more...
Economists for Brexit, argues that such an alternative exists. It rejects post-exit deals with the EU and instead recommends unilateral free trade and reliance for market access on the rules of the World Trade Organisati... Read more...
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance calculates long-term costs to Britain of lower trade with the EU could be as high as 9.5% of GDP. Leave campaign-supporting economists have as yet not done ... Read more...
''There's too much wrong information'' Interview with Swati Dhingra How will the British vote on June 23? Swati Dhingra, lecturer in economics at the London School of Economics, has examined the possible effects of a B... Read more...
07 June 2016
In this week's EU referendum Q&A our panel discuss how a Brexit could affect the costs facing UK businesses: Would UK businesses be more or less competitive in the global market if we choose to leave? Swati Dhingra ... Read more...
Numbers are being thrown around by the Vote Leave and Vote Remain campaigns like they're going out of fashion - but what do the experts say and can we trust them? Six out of seven reports predict a Brexit will hurt us ... Read more...
06 June 2016
That leaving the EU would damage the overall economy is now being treated as more of a fact than a speculation. But those for Brexit argue that the rich will be negatively affected while the poor will benefit. This is no... Read more...
03 June 2016
Even aside from the economic consequences of a Leave vote (and read this LSE demolition of the Brexit case), the immediate future for Britain could be very ugly indeed. This article was published by The Economist on... Read more...
Middle and low income households will be poorer because of Brexit - not just the rich, write Holger Breinlich, Swati Dhingra, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen. This article was published online by the LSE Business Re... Read more...
02 June 2016
Myth: EU immigrants are taking Brits' jobs InFact: Researchers at Oxford, the LSE and NIESR agree; immigration doesn't affect British employment. Meanwhile, Brexit would hit jobs. Intuitively, if immigrants are takin... Read more...
01 June 2016
Stop everything! According to the OECD, the forum of economic reflection of developed countries, the United Kingdom would lose 5% of its GDP in the 15 years to come slamming the door of the European Union. Treasury, Brit... Read more...
Also in the programme, just three weeks from the British referendum on leaving the European Union, we bring together two leading economists, Roger Bootle of Capital Economics, and Professor John Van Reenan from the Londo... Read more...
Economics experts have blasted key assumptions underpinning the Brexit campaign's financial arguments in favour of leaving the EU. The report by the London School of Economics and Political Science's Centre for Econ... Read more...
The LSE's Centre for Economic Performance said earlier this month that a reduction in immigration into the U.K. if the country votes for a Brexit wouldn't lead to any improvement in living standards for those born in Bri... Read more...
31 May 2016
The EU referendum debate has started to focus on the economic fallout of a leave vote for the UK - and also for Europe. Research from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) released in April su... Read more...
30 May 2016
...financial arguments in favour of leaving the EU. The report by the London School of Economics and Political... This article was published by the Lancashire Evening Post on May 30, 2016 (no link available) Relat... Read more...
What issues have the greatest negative impact on UK businesses? Both sides of the debate have argued that there is either too much or very little EU red tape. These confusing arguments haven't helped to clarify the ... Read more...
Britons would benefit from lower prices if the U.K. left the European Union, according to Patrick Minford, a professor at Cardiff University and co-chairman of Economists for Brexit. According to Minford, t... Read more...
27 May 2016
The possibility of the UK leaving the European Union (EU) has generated an unusual degree of consensus among economists. Acrimony and rancour surrounded debates around austerity and joining the euro, but analysis from th... Read more...
Claim Being in Europe means lower prices in UK shops, saving the average UK household over £350 a year. If we left Europe, your weekly shop could cost more. Conclusion This isn’t the impact of b... Read more...
23 May 2016
Claim Leaving the EU would cost the average UK household at least £850 a year, and potentially as much as £1,700, according to research released by the London School of Economics. Conclusion The... Read more...
Responding to Hilton’s article, Javid said: “Steve is entitled to his view … the central issue here is that economically, we are far better off being part of this single market … Now you have the Bank of England, the IMF... Read more...
According to Dennis Novy, Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Warwick: ''TTIP has the potential to benefit millions of consumers. It goes far beyond an economic project. Its current timetable seems ambi... Read more...
20 May 2016
''The pro-Brexit argument that Britain will be free of lots of regulations, that there will be a bonfire of red tape that will cause us to grow rapidly and we'll strike lots of new trade deals as this buccaneering new En... Read more...
The most recent research from the centre for economic performance at the London School of Economics says ''the areas of the UK with large increases in EU immigration did not suffer greater falls in the jobs and pay of UK... Read more...
Jane Collins, employment spokesman for the pro-Brexit United Kingdom Independence party, said the 2.1m EU nationals working in Britain were ''a huge boon to multinational companies who can exploit the oversupply of labou... Read more...
18 May 2016
As the EU referendum draws closer, our expert panel answers a question from one of our readers about the potential effect on small businesses' intellectual property. What would Brexit mean for my business's intellectual... Read more...
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance calculates the long-term costs to Britain of lower trade with the EU could be as high as 9.5 per cent of GDP, while the fall in foreign investment could cos... Read more...
17 May 2016
The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance calculates that the long-term costs to Britain of lower trade with the EU could be as high as 9.5% of GDP, while the fall in foreign investment could cost 3... Read more...
16 May 2016
With so many heavyweights, from Barack Obama to Mark Carney, saying that we will be worse off with Brexit, why are the polls still neck and neck? There seem to me two reasonable explanations: that the tabloid media have ... Read more...
...of England, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, London School of Economics and Confederation of ... This broadcast was made by Wessex FM on May 14, 2016 (no link available) Related publ... Read more...
14 May 2016
The prime minister, campaigning in his Oxfordshire constituency, said people had 40 days to make up their minds about which side to take in what would be ''the choice of a generation''. Urging people to take on board war... Read more...
A major argument of the Leave campaign is that Brexit would give the UK more control over the flow of EU immigrants, who have supposedly hurt the jobs and pay of British workers. Research by Jonathan Wadsworth, Swati Dhi... Read more...
13 May 2016
According to various studies at the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) of the London School of Economics, Brexit does reduce the fiscal deficit. That would be, according to CEP, the main benefit. The principal cost wo... Read more...
Brexit uncertainty ''would tend to push up risk premia'', as InFacts has already pointed out. Funding costs for banks could go up, as would borrowing costs for homeowners and consumers. The UK's current account deficit i... Read more...
12 May 2016
There is little evidence that more migrants push wages down or unemployment up. Economists from the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics say that when they look at the areas with the largest ... Read more...
I've become extremely pessimistic about the Leave campaign lately as it has latched on to Faragist arguments about immigration as a major reason to get out of the EU. This is not just naive liberalism - on virtually eve... Read more...
Article by Jonathan Wadsworth, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen Many people believe immigration wave has hurt UK workers and think that leaving the EU would make things better. To investigate this ... Read more...
11 May 2016
In another development, the London School of Economic said a reduction in immigration if the country votes to leave wouldn't lead to any improvement in living standards for those born in Britain. ''Cuts in EU immigration... Read more...
Research blames 2008 recession for lower real salaries rather than rise in foreign workers, adding they paid more into UK economy than they took out The rapid increase in migration from other EU countries has not had an... Read more...
Contrary to what some believe, inequality, wages and job opportunities for British-born citizens have not been negatively impacted by the recent surge in migrants from the EU, a new study suggests. Published by the... Read more...
Article by Jonathan Wadsworth, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen A major argument of the campaign to leave the EU is that Brexit would give the UK more control over the flow of immigrants from acros... Read more...
State of Working Britain blog, article posted by Jonathan Wadsworth Immigration has for some years been the uppermost worry among the issues thought to be facing Britain in many opinion polls so it - or rather people's... Read more...
A reduction in immigration into the U.K. if the country votes to leave the European Union next month wouldn't lead to any improvement in living standards for those born in Britain, according to research from the London S... Read more...
Dennis Novy interviewed, speaking about the true cost of Brexit - how British expats are divided over Brexit. The interview was recorded and broadcast by DW Business News on May 5, 2016 Link to broadcast here [intervi... Read more...
05 May 2016
As an economist, diplomat and secretary-general of the OECD, you might expect Angel Gurria to offer a dry, academic assessment of global issues. Not when it comes to Britain leaving the European Union. On Wednesday, ... Read more...
28 April 2016
A UK exit from the EU would immediately hit confidence and raise uncertainty which would result in GDP being 3% lower by 2020, which equates to GBP 2200 per household. An OECD report released this morning states that suc... Read more...
A group of eight well known economists have released a report under the banner of Economists for Brexit, explaining how they think leaving the EU would be good for the UK economy. They predict that, in 2020, the UK ec... Read more...
Today eight economists have struck out against much mainstream economic thinking and suggested that the UK economy would flourish outside the European Union. They are up against formidable opposition - what those who su... Read more...
The consensus among economists that Britain's departure from the EU would damage its economy was broken on Thursday with the publication of a pamphlet from Economists for Brexit. This rejected the ''economic nonsense'' o... Read more...
''Leaving the EU would impose a Brexit tax on generations to come,'' says OECD Secretary-General Angel Gurria. ''Instead of funding public services, this tax would be a pure deadweight loss, with no economic benefit.'' ... Read more...
The OECD published a report analysing the economic consequences of a UK exit from the EU. Presenting the findings of the report at the London School of Economics this morning, Gurria described the impact of leaving the E... Read more...
27 April 2016
Mention of OECD Brexit event hosted by CEP. The news item was broadcast by Channel 4 News on April 27, 2016 Link to news broadcast here See also BBC Radio 4 Today Angel Gurria (OECD) interviewed. [Link no longe... Read more...
The UK will pay a heavy price if it votes to leave the EU on June 23, the OECD, an economic forum of mainly rich countries, said on Wednesday. ''Our conclusion is unequivocal. The UK is much stronger as a part of Europe,... Read more...
Less than two months before Britain's historic vote over whether to remain in the European Union, voters remain deeply divided over the decision. But among economists, there is little question that a so-called Brexit wou... Read more...
The head of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development said on Wednesday that he saw no potential benefits for the British economy if voters decide to leave the European Union at a referendum in June. ... Read more...
Thinktank predicts leaving EU would lead to damaging trade barriers and immigration slowdown, with limited economic benefits Angel Gurria, secretary-general of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, ... Read more...
There is a long-running joke that if you laid all the world's economists end to end they would never reach a conclusion. But the debate over whether the UK should leave the EU is generating more consensus in the dismal... Read more...
US PRESIDENT Barack Obama is expected to give a major boost to the Remain campaign tomorrow by backing David Cameron's call for Britain to stay in the European Union. Earlier this week the Treasury published analysis su... Read more...
21 April 2016
Britain's postwar record on productivity can be split into two periods: pre and post Margaret Thatcher. Prior to Thatcher, output per hour in Britain was growing more slowly than France, Germany and the US, according to ... Read more...
20 April 2016
Swati Dhingra interviewed about Brexit. The interview was broadcast by BBC Radio 5 Live at 10:30pm on April 19, 2016 [No link available.] Related publications See the complete set of CEP Brexit Analysis research ... Read more...
19 April 2016
A report from the London School of Economics on April 15 estimated that foreign investment in the UK could fall 22% over the next decade. It is of course feasible that business and investment will later return to Britain... Read more...
A very awkward fact for the Brexit campaign is that in the last quarter of 2015, Britain's current-account deficit hit a record 7 per cent of GDP. That needs to be financed. But the risk of Brexit is already acting like ... Read more...
You can quibble with the numbers. You always can. But the impact of leaving the European Union is clear: it would make Britain poorer. You don't need to take the Treasury's word for it. (And no, they didn't support ... Read more...
How does the Treasury estimate for “losses” compare with other economists’? Many independent economists have suggests some reduction in GDP growth from Brexit, and a few have suggested po... Read more...
18 April 2016
John Van Reenen interviewed about Brexit. The interview was broadcast by BBC 1 News at 6pm and again at 10pm on April 18, 2016 (no link available) Related publications See the complete set of CEP Brexit Analysi... Read more...
John Van Reenen, director of the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, defended the Treasury analysis as a ''serious piece of work'', which was in line with other independent studies. ''The T... Read more...
British finance minister George Osborne said on Monday that a vote to leave the European Union could cost each household 4,300 pounds ($6,100) a year by the early 2030s. Following is a look at how he reached this conc... Read more...
THERE is much dispute in the Brexit debate over the economic effects of leaving the EU. Even Brexiteers accept that there would be some short-term costs from uncertainty, but they claim that in the long run Britain could... Read more...
The Treasury's 200-page Brexit analysis was published on April 17, 2016. The analysis referred to the Centre for Economic Performance's Brexit Analysis Series. A recent study by the London School of Economics (LSE) Cent... Read more...
Article by John Van Reenen Many people are considering the personal financial impact of EU membership, and LSE academics have crunched the vital numbers By referendum day on 23 June, all voters will have to weigh up wh... Read more...
The Treasury will publish details of its long-term economic assessment of EU membership on Britain's economy and prosperity on Monday, but the approach the Treasury has taken is clear from a George Osborne article in the... Read more...
17 April 2016
Leaving the EU could lead to a fall in inward foreign direct investment of close to a quarter, writes CEP team: Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen. ... Read more...
15 April 2016
Article by John Van Reenen Foreign investors love Britain, but Brexit would kill the vibe. According to new research colleagues and I have conducted at the Centre for Economic Performance, leaving the European Union cou... Read more...
The loss of income per household from reduced trade and lower productivity that would result from the UK voting to leave the European Union could be similar to the decline in UK GDP during the global financial crisis, ac... Read more...
Whether Britain loses access to the single market depends on the terms of any exit. Under the optimistic scenario, Britain would join the European Economic Area as non-member countries like Norway and Switzerland have do... Read more...
Leaving the European Union would reduce flows of foreign direct investment (FDI) into the UK by more than a fifth, damaging productivity and lowering people's incomes, according to new research released today by LSE's Ce... Read more...
…but economists think that leaving would come at some economic cost The FT also reviewed three recently published studies, by the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, Pr... Read more...
13 April 2016
A leaflet being sent out by Britain Stronger in Europe says: ''Jobs at risk, higher prices and your family worse off by at least £850 a year if we leave Europe.'' Is that figure true? The £850 per household ... Read more...
... Do we need a different way to spur innovation and disseminate new technologies quickly around the world? Are patents, which reward inventors by providing them with a government-guaranteed monopoly over their inventio... Read more...
12 April 2016
Article by Swati Dhingra Like the Out campaigners of the 1970s, Brexit supporters believe EU membership is bad for British workers and the British economy but the data tells another story This article was published onl... Read more...
Brexit will affect British trade and living standards Article by Swati Dhingra, Hanwei Huang, Gianmarco Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen Smaller turnover in foreign trade in the wake of weaker integration ... Read more...
There is a wide consensus that leaving the EU would come at some economic cost. For example, every year the Financial Times surveys a group of over 100 economists. Similarly, a recent gathering of economists at the Royal... Read more...
11 April 2016
Article by Swati, Dhingra, Hanwei Huang, Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano, Thomas Sampson and John Van Reenen The economic consequences of leaving the EU are at the heart of the Brexit debate. This column studies how changes in... Read more...
04 April 2016
Article by Swati Dhingra Last week's Brussels visit by Prime Minister Narendra Modi has started speculations that there will now be a renewed push for talks on the stalled EU-India broad-based trade and investment agree... Read more...
The Center for Economic Performance, at the London School of Economics, which sees itself neutral, says the worst-case scenario in the event of a vote to leave the bloc is a 6.3 percent to 9.5 percent reduction in G.D.P.... Read more...
02 April 2016
The Center for Economic Performance, at the London School of Economics, which sees itself neutral, says the worst-case scenario in the event of a vote to leave the bloc is a 6.3 percent to 9.5 percent reduction in GDP, '... Read more...
A vote to leave the European Union in the June 23 referendum could hamper efforts to make it easier and cheaper to do business in the bloc, potentially costing service providers billions of pounds, analysts and trade exp... Read more...
01 April 2016
David Cameron has mocked eurosceptics for failing to work together as a new report claims each British family pays £200 a year less thanks to the European Union. ... Meanwhile a report produced by the Centre for E... Read more...
31 March 2016
On 23 June, the UK will decide whether or not to leave the EU. While the general population is divided on the issue, the overall consensus among economists at a session on Brexit at the Royal Economic Society's annual co... Read more...
30 March 2016
Susanna Khavul and Saul Estrin of the Centre for Economic Performance argue that crowdfunding engages a wider pool of entrepreneurs and investors than traditional venture capital markets did. This article was published ... Read more...
UK's exit from the European Union (EU) - the Brexit - could cost the UK economy £100 billion and 950,000 jobs by 2020, pointed out a PwC-made report commissioned by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) whose... Read more...
29 March 2016
Hunt argues that, with the NHS budget already under huge pressure, funding levels can only be maintained if the British economy remains strong. He cites a series of economic surveys, including from the CBI, the London Sc... Read more...
26 March 2016
The Centre for Economic Performance at LSE released a report last week that also states that British living standards and trade will be damaged if an ''out'' vote wins the referendum. In their research, the body states t... Read more...
22 March 2016
Is Britain better off outside the EU? Over the past four days, three economic research groups have attempted to answer that question. All recognise the question is difficult because no one knows what relationship the UK ... Read more...
CEP's Swati Dhingra among experts weighing up the possible scenarios for a UK shoe company importing from Spain The EU is Britain's largest trade partner. If Britain votes to leave the EU, the government has not clarifi... Read more...
National income may fall between 1.3% and 2.6%, writes a Centre for Economic Performance team Those who say that leaving the EU is a win-win because Britons will both feel more free and become a lot richer are not being... Read more...
How do we tally the economic consequences of Brexit? ... What matters is the quality of the jobs that Britons will work in outside versus inside the EU. For material well-being, that depends largely on whether the UK's ... Read more...
For over two years, a research team at the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) has been studying the likely impact of the UK leaving the European Union. Their latest report focuses on the impact of 'Brexit' through cha... Read more...
21 March 2016
The CBI also said savings from reduced contributions to the EU's budget and regulation would be greatly outweighed by the negative impact on trade and investment. Last week a report by the Centre for Economic Performance... Read more...
In this extract from the LSE Centre for Economic Performance's second briefing paper on Brexit, Swati Dhingra, John van Reenen, Thomas Sampson and Gianmarco Ottaviano conclude that - in the most optimistic scenario - UK ... Read more...
19 March 2016
A British exit from the European Union would wipe as much as 6,400 pounds ($9,300) from average household incomes in the U.K. as trade deals sour, according to research by the London School of Economics. &ldqu... Read more...
18 March 2016
Leaving the EU would cost UK households at least £850 a year each, according to research that prompted a furious response from Brexit supporters on Friday. The economists at the Centre for Economic Performance at t... Read more...
A vote to leave the European Union would spark a 'constitutional crisis' that could put the future of the UK at risk, according to the Welsh First Minister. In an exclusive interview with The Independent, Welsh leader Ca... Read more...
The UK leaving the European Union would knock £850 off the average UK household's income, according to a report from the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London School of Economics. And that's its concl... Read more...
'We are required to help refugees despite costs' De opvang van de vluchtelingen zal de Europese welvaartsstaten niet onder druk zetten. Dat stellen twee topprofessoren in het onderzoek naar migratie, Klaus Zimmermann en... Read more...
15 March 2016
Looking into FDI (foreign direct investment), the London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance determined that if the UK could reach favorable free trade agreements with the EU after a Brexit, it will lose... Read more...
In the run up to the vote on June 23 we'll be putting a selection of your questions to our panel, which includes business groups, academics, trade experts and journalists. The panel includes: Swati Dhingra is an assista... Read more...
WHAT BRITISH THINK ABOUT BREXIT CNC has asked Dr. Swati Dhingra, Assistant Professor at London School of Economics and Political Science, on the benefits and risks of a Brexit for the UK. SOUNDBITE (ENGLISH): Dr. SWA... Read more...
14 March 2016
Although the report also raised as an option Britain signing onto the North American Free Trade Agreement, report co-author Swati Dhingra said she does not envisage that happening. Even if it did, Dhingra said, it would ... Read more...
A separate report by the London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance has called on parties and politicians to publish their plans for a post-Brexit world, as well as their policy manifestos, ahead of the ... Read more...
11 March 2016
Mention of 2014 CEP research on immigration and the labour market. The programme was broadcast by Sky News on March 11, 2016 Link to broadcast here Related Publications Immigration, the European Union and the UK La... Read more...
With both campaigns heating up ahead of June's referendum on EU membership, Reuters Jacob Greaves has spoken to a leading economist - CEP's Thomas Sampson - about the truth behind some political claims. This video i... Read more...
10 March 2016
London is not representative of the entire economy of Britain, however; leaving the European Union would cause a large economic shock. The Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics predicted a 6.3... Read more...
07 March 2016
The London School of Economics' Center for Economic Policy[sic] has calculated that, even if trade barriers with other European countries do not significantly increase, per capita income in Britain will fall by between 1... Read more...
05 March 2016
Article by Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson All scenarios embody very different visions of the country's future place in the world, write Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson. To make an informed decision on the merits of l... Read more...
Article by Swati Dhingra and Thomas Sampson In June, UK voters will decide whether to remain part of the EU. This column explores the UK's options if a majority votes in favour of Brexit. One possibility is for the UK, ... Read more...
04 March 2016
Dr Swati Dhingra interviewed on freetrade This interview was broadcast by BBC Radio Nottingham on March 3, 2016 Link to broadcast here Also on various other local BBC regional stations Related publications Th... Read more...
03 March 2016
Dr Swati Dhingra discusses the concept of free trade. The interview was broadcast by BBC Radio 5 Live News on March 3, 2016 Link to recorded interview here Also on eight other local BBC radio stations. Related Li... Read more...
Listen to CEP's Dr Swati Dhingra speaking on the EU's role in the UK economy. This interview was broadcast on BBC 5 Live - Up All Night programme on March 3, 2016 Link to broadcast here (from 17m02s) Related link... Read more...
For sceptics and fans of Europe alike, 2016 promises to be the year of reckoning for Britain's position in (or out) of the EU. But now the options of membership have been put before the electorate - following David Came... Read more...
26 February 2016
Analysis by the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics has also dismissed the Leave campaign analysis that the UK economy would be unaffected. It considered an ''optimistic scenario'' with sma... Read more...
25 February 2016
Dennis Novy gave a live TV interview with Deutsche Welle TV. The topic was the letter issued by various UK business leaders arguing in favour of Britain remaining a member country of the European Union. Dennis discussed ... Read more...
23 February 2016
''London is going to be worse hit than other places,'' said Swati Dhingra, an economist specializing in trade at the London School of Economics, describing the city's deep connections with European trading partners and f... Read more...
22 February 2016
According to CEP's researchers writing in the latest issue of CentrePiece, its departmental magazine, crowdfunding ''serves as a robust source of alternative entrepreneurial finance which has operated in a stable and pre... Read more...
18 February 2016
Article by Swati Dhingra During the run up to this referendum, much has been said about the political consequences of leaving the EU (so-called 'Brexit'). But less attention is given to the economic consequences of Brex... Read more...
09 February 2016
Vehicle production "Made in Britain" has reached peaks in 2016, but the uncertainties on the future of the industry with the release of the European Union and the common market. Thomas Sampson, Profe... Read more...
26 January 2016
Dr Thomas Sampson from the Centre for Economic Performance says the EU accounts for about half of all UK trade. This interview was broadcast by Sky News Tonight on January 25, 2016 Link to interview here Related pub... Read more...
25 January 2016
The CBI estimates that leaving the EU would, ''conservatively'' have a significant net negative impact on the UK economy of £78bn annually, or about 4-5 percent of GDP. However, others have made more dire predictio... Read more...
21 January 2016
Brexit would be a catastrophe for the British economy: leaving the European Union would mean sacrificing the prosperity and the future security of the United Kingdom, according to a survey among experts. None of the more... Read more...
05 January 2016
The biggest issue for 2016...is the same as it was for 2015: the possibility of Brexit Section by John Van Reenen Being part of the world's largest economic trading block benefits the UK through more trade and foreign ... Read more...
31 December 2015
Dennis Novy believes Chinese investors would no longer take the UK seriously if the country left the EU. ''It would be one-sided deterioration'', argues the associate professor of economics at the University of Warwick,... Read more...
18 December 2015
John Van Reenen interviewed by ITN A group of economists from the LSE have tried to model the effect Brexit would have on trade. Interestingly, they concluded that even in the best-case scenario Britain would face subst... Read more...
17 December 2015
In December talks in Paris involving more than 200 countries may result in a new agreement aimed at reducing carbon emissions. In the months leading up to the conference, The Economist will be publishing guest columns by... Read more...
11 December 2015
Analysts already point to Ciudadanos as the likely kingmaker after the December 20 election. The party is expected to command a parliamentary group so large that it would be impossible for others to rule without it. Ciud... Read more...
08 December 2015
Faced with the dilemma of re-industrialization Valencia Andres Rodriguez-Pose, Professor at the London School of Economics, said for his part, that the Valencian economy is currently ''very weak''. And has highlighted t... Read more...
02 December 2015
It turns out that whether in another hemisphere or right in our own backyard, entrepreneurial traits are strikingly similar ... being smart is only a start. Researchers at UC Berkeley's Haas School of Business and the L... Read more...
23 November 2015
Dennis Novy interviewed about the upcoming negotiations of Prime Minister David Cameron over Britain's EU membership and in particular their implications for international trade. The interview was broadcast by BBC Radio... Read more...
09 November 2015
Dennis Novy gave a radio interview for the Drive programme with Lorna Bailey. The topic was the upcoming negotiations of Prime Minister David Cameron over Britain's EU membership and in particular their implications for ... Read more...
With the Leave.eu campaign pledging to win back the UK, and with The Britain Stronger in Europe campaign pledging to explain the ''true reality of life'' outside the EU, arguments for and against UK's membership give and... Read more...
23 October 2015
Some experts suggest it is more likely than not the UK will vote to leave. LSE Professor John Van Reenen, director of the Centre for Economic Performance, put the chance of an ''Out'' vote at 54%, with very wide uncertai... Read more...
12 October 2015
A new CERRE report highlights the relationship between prices, investments, and market structure. It is co-authored by Tommaso Valletti, a Joint Academic Director of CERRE and Professor of Economics at Imperial College L... Read more...
07 October 2015
Henry Overman interviewed by Philip Salter It's easy to make policy, but it's hard to make the right ones. These are the sorts of questions the excellent What Works Centre for Local Economic Growth looks at. It recently... Read more...
25 September 2015
THE Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics predicts the range of Brexit economic scenarios from something akin to the global financial crisis (-10 per cent GDP) to a best case scenario of a -2.... Read more...
Primary colours But, when it comes to the truth, Sala i Martin has refused to discuss publicly with Luis Garicano, another heavyweight, Professor at the London School of Economics. The worst has been disappointing argum... Read more...
21 September 2015
The Coordinator of the economic program and citizens Social (C's), Luis Garicano, has invited the Economist Xavier Sala-i-Martin, favourable to the independence of Catalonia, to discuss the economic implications of that ... Read more...
16 September 2015
However, other studies show that the influx of immigrants has negative effects on the median salary (but not on employment) natives working in low-skilled sectors such as the building and public works, so on the remunera... Read more...
14 September 2015
Christopher Pissarides, London School of Economics, the winner of a Nobel Prize, said that Greece still has structural problems such as low productivity and lack of competitiveness. Greece is likely to need international... Read more...
11 September 2015
Rivera sees 25,400 million gap in the budget approved by the PP for 2016 Albert Rivera, President and the economic team of the party have denounced the General State budgets drawn up by the people's Party for 2016 to hi... Read more...
10 September 2015
Nobel Prize winning economist Christopher Pissarides of the London School of Economics said Greece still ... This article was published online by The National Herald on September 10, 2015 Link to article here [subsc... Read more...
Garicano: ''budgets will be 25,000 million'' The leaders of citizens believe that the General State budgets drawn up by the people's Party for 2016 hides a hole of more than 25,000 million. So Luis Garicano, Francisco d... Read more...
09 September 2015
Article by Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano As the deadline gets closer, the United Kingdom (UK) public debate is heating up on an event that, one way or another, could change the identity of the European Union (EU) and its e... Read more...
04 September 2015
... Tambien lo estudio el historiador Albrecht Ritschl, de la London School of Economices (LSE). En medio de la Guerra Fria, los... Germany suffers from amnesia Also studied it the historian Albrecht Ritschl, of the Lo... Read more...
03 September 2015
Dennis Novy interviewed. The topic was the resignation statement of the Greek prime minister Alexis Tsipras, and what it means for the bailout programme and the Greek economy. The interview was broadcast by Al Jazeera ... Read more...
20 August 2015
Article by Dennis Novy Alexis Tsipras will be able to survive, for one simple reason: there’s no better alternative. The Greeks don’t want to leave the Eurozone. The last months have shown that the government's prev... Read more...
17 August 2015
Dennis Novy interviewed lived on BBC World on Grexit, discussing the Greek bailout and long-term issues re huge imbalances in the Eurozone. This interview was broadcast by the BBC World Service on August 11, 2015 [ No ... Read more...
11 August 2015
Consider a paper presented at the Summer Session of the National Bureau of Economic Research by Raj Chetty, Bloomberg Professor of Economics at Harvard University, ''Innovation Policy and the Lifecycle of Inventors.'' (T... Read more...
10 August 2015
Albrecht Ritschl is interviewed on market crashes and China. The interview was broadcast by CNN International Europe - The Business View News on July 9, 2015 [No link available] Related publications 'Reparations, Def... Read more...
09 July 2015
The Centre of Economic Performance (known as the CEP) claim that Britain could have its GDP fall by 8%. In essence, the CEP claim that in a worst case scenario Britain could face loses similar to the ones that were exper... Read more...
... creditors, in exchange for pro-market reforms'', said Professor Albrecht Ritschl of the London School of Economics. West Germany was able to borrow on international markets again, and, free ... This article was publ... Read more...
Leading academics from the London School of Economics have called on both Greece and its international creditors to adopt a more responsible approach. This article was published online by Business Reporter on July 9, 20... Read more...
Twenty-six members of the faculty at the London School of Economics (LSE) have called for Greece's creditors to ease the austerity measures they have imposed over the last five years. In an open letter, the professors wr... Read more...
Dennis Novy live interview, commenting on the dramatic developments on Greece and the Eurozone crisis. This interview was broadcast by Sky News on June 29, 2015 Link to interview here [Starts at 9.40am] Related links... Read more...
29 June 2015
Christopher Pissarides interviewed about closure of Greek banks. The interview was broadcast on BBC Radio 4 News on June 29, 2015 [No link available] Related links Christopher Pissarides webpage Macro Programme webp... Read more...
In the following op-ed, 13 prominent economists from around the world call on Greece to sign a credible agreement with the Europeans immediately. CEP's Professor Christopher Pissarides, Nobel Laureate, London School of ... Read more...
Nobel Prize-winning economist Christopher Pissarides tells DW why he is deeply disappointed with the Greek government's mismanagement of the debt crisis. He also explains what Germany could have done better. This articl... Read more...
Dennis Novy gave a live interview, commenting on the dramatic developments on Greece and the Eurozone crisis. The interview was broadcast by Al Jazeera on their ''Newshour'' Programme Link to the interview here [Star... Read more...
28 June 2015
Unemployment stands at more than 25%. ''People will be much worse off,'' said Christopher Pissarides, a Nobel prizewinner based at the London School of Economics. Investors are braced for a slump on global stock markets ... Read more...
''I don't understand what kind of economics they have in their minds, or who is deciding that this is economics,'' said Christopher Pissarides, a Nobel prizewinner at the London School of Economics. ''Who is going to inv... Read more...
Interview with LSE Professor and Economics Nobel Prize winner Christopher Pissarides on proposed austerity measures in Greece. The interview was broadcast by BBC News on June 25, 2015 [No link available] Related link... Read more...
25 June 2015
Follow-up interview, Dennis Novy on latest Greece negotiations. This interview was broadcast by Voice of America on June 23, 2015 Link to interview here Related links Dennis Novy webpage Globalisation Programme w... Read more...
23 June 2015
Dennis Novy interviewed, speaking about latest Greece negotiations. This interview was broadcast on the BBC World Service World Update programme on June 23, 2015 Link to interview here [Ca. 32min 35sec into the progra... Read more...
Dennis Novy on the latest Greece negotiations. This interview was broadcast by Sky News on June 23, 2015 Related links Dennis Novy webpage Globalisation Programme webpage Dennis Novy CEP publications webpage ... Read more...
Yet not only would it take years for the UK to reach new agreements, it is not as likely to strike a good deal. The ''UK's bargaining position would be much weaker as it would be negotiating over access to its own market... Read more...
8.50am: live radio interview Dennis Novy interviewed, speaking about Greece and the looming IMF deadline. The interview was broadcast by BBC Coventry and Warwickshire on the Shane O'Connor Breakfast Show on June 22, ... Read more...
22 June 2015
See: Comment by georgep76 3dago - below the cartoon Germany has been described as the biggest ''debt transgressor'' of the 20th Century, with restructurings in 1924, 1929, 1932 and 1953. Total debt forgiveness for Germ... Read more...
21 June 2015
Dennis Novy interviewed, speaking about Greece and the looming IMF deadline. This interview was broadcast by BBC News on June 21, 2015 [No link available] Related links Dennis Novy webpage Globalisation Programm... Read more...
But Associate Professor of Economics at Britain's University of Warwick, Dennis Novy, expects neither success nor disaster at Monday's summit. ... Novy says default would not immediately create a crisis because key cred... Read more...
19 June 2015
A look back: national bankruptcies are not so rare The economic historian Albrecht Ritschl called Germany the most wayward of the 20th century: ''The Federal Republic owes your today's financial stability and its status... Read more...
18 June 2015
Deutsche Bank has been the first one to fire a warning shot over the UK vote to leave the EU, but others are certainly already preparing too, says Dr. Dennis Novy, associate professor in the department of Economics at th... Read more...
16 June 2015
The democratic nature of this debate is a helpful reminder as to why history matters. If Britain does withdraw from the European Union, the cost for families and the national economy will be immense. As reported in the G... Read more...
14 June 2015
Dennis Novy did an interview with Radio Sputnik, a Russian radio station. The topic was Greece and the Eurozone crisis. The interview was broadcast by Radio Sputnik (Russia) on June 12, 2015 Link to interview here ... Read more...
12 June 2015
Dennis Novy (CEP) interviewed on the comment by Lord Bamford, Chairman of JCB, that leaving the EU would not necessarily be a big problem for British business. This interview was broadcast by BBC Radio Coventry &... Read more...
18 May 2015
Growth, trade, immigration, jobs, diplomacy: what would the impact be if a 2017 referendum pushed UK towards the exit? ...Another analysis by economists at the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP), part of the London Sc... Read more...
14 May 2015
Article by Dennis Novy TTIP could be the most ambitious free trade agreement in history. It has the potential to benefit millions of consumers and might be the last opportunity for individual European countries to set h... Read more...
23 April 2015
One of the main arguments employed by those in favour of remaining in the EU is simply how difficult it would prove to leave. We are deeply integrated with our European allies - economically, militarily and culturally. ... Read more...
19 April 2015
A recent study from the Centre for Economic Performance has measured the impact on the UK economy of leaving the EU, which as the second chart shows is still the UK’s biggest trading partner. The study conclu... Read more...
Lower trade with the EU would knock British economic output down by between 1.1 and 3.1 percentage points, according to a study by the London School of Economics. Foreign investment would surely drop and new roadblocks t... Read more...
31 March 2015
An even more dramatic example is provided by Germany itself. Historically, Germany has been described as the biggest ''debt transgressor'' of the 20th Century, with restructurings in 1924, 1929, 1932 and 1953. Total debt... Read more...
18 March 2015
Article by Dennis Novy If successfully concluded, the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) would be the most ambitious free trade agreement in history. Dennis Novy writes that while the potential bene... Read more...
28 February 2015
London School of Economics Professor of Economics and Strategy Luis Garicano discusses the rise of anti-austerity in Europe, the upcoming election in Spain and the state of Spain's economy with Bloomberg's Mark Barton, A... Read more...
25 February 2015
According to the new Greek government, Germany has an enormous unpaid account in Greece. The Germans never paid anything for the murdering and plundering in the Second World War. The 'Zwangsanleihe', an extorted loan of ... Read more...
09 February 2015
Greek officials are seeking support for a new debt agreement. ... The Germans are conveniently ignoring is their own record as one of history's biggest deadbeats. In the 1920s, according to a prominent German economic hi... Read more...
08 February 2015
The economic historian Albrecht Ritschl of the London School of Economics comes to the conclusion that: ''Germany is the biggest debt sinner of the 20th Century''. This article was published by Spiegel online on Feb... Read more...
02 February 2015
''Germany's resurgence has only been possible through waiving extensive debt payments and stopping reparations to its World War II victims'', economic historian Albrecht Ritschl told Der Spiegel in 2011, describing Germa... Read more...
30 January 2015
Dr Dennis Novy talking about Europe's economy if Syriza win the Greek election. The interview was broadcast by Sky News on January 28, 2015 Link to broadcast here Related links Dennis Novy webpage Globalisatio... Read more...
28 January 2015
''Tsipras's initial decisions, especially his coalition with a nationalist-hooligan party, point toward an exit from the euro,'' Luis Garicano, an economics professor at the London School of Economics, said on Twitter. '... Read more...
27 January 2015
If successfully concluded, the Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) would be the most ambitious free trade agreement in history, writes Dennis Novy - and it has the potential to benefit millions of cons... Read more...
23 January 2015
Switzerland's central bank piled fresh pressure on the euro last week when it removed its peg with the franc - a move thought to have been triggered by the prospect of QE by the ECB. Sir Christopher Pissarides, the Cypri... Read more...
20 January 2015
Most economists believe that calling a referendum on Britain's membership of the EU would hurt the economy because it would cause sharp falls in investor confidence and business investment. Q: If Britain was to call ... Read more...
01 January 2015
Article by Iain M. Cockburn, Jean O. Lanjouw and Mark Schankerman Patented pharmaceuticals diffuse across international borders slowly, and sometimes not at all. This column analyses the effect of patent protection and ... Read more...
26 November 2014
22 November 2014
Article by Joan Costa-i-Font and Valentina Zigante Several countries across Europe have attempted to reform their health systems by allowing patients more choice over their healthcare provider. The typical rationale for... Read more...
21 November 2014
Europe is facing a problem of long-term stagnation Europe and Spain within it, has ''a problem of long-term economic stagnation'' because of their limited level of labor productivity to the aging demographic prospects, ... Read more...
20 November 2014
Last week, Luis Garicano, a professor at the London School of Economics, and Lucrezia Reichlin, a former head of research at the European Central Bank and now a professor at the London Business School, published a propos... Read more...
17 November 2014
Article by Luis Garicano with Lucrezia Reichlin The ECB seems to be edging towards QE, but faces a quandary on what to buy. This proposal suggests that the ECB buy 'Safe Market Bonds'. These would be synthetic bonds for... Read more...
15 November 2014
Article by Dennis Novy If you have been following the TTIP negotiations in the press over the past year, you might have been under the impression that TTIP is a corporate sell-out and nothing but a threat for the averag... Read more...
05 October 2014
En el otro lado, el economista Luis Garicano, tambien de la London School of Economics, advirtio de los ''brutales costes de un divorcio a las bravas'', pero dejo tambien un duro ataque a la actitud del Ejecutivo de Mari... Read more...
02 September 2014
Draghi: an offer you should not refuse Article by Luis Garicano The Spanish and European economic course opens with the bad news of growth in real GDP and prices in the euro area in the second quarter and the response ... Read more...
30 August 2014
Eine Analyse des Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) an der London School of Economics kommt zu dem Ergebnis: Die Isolation von Europa konnte GroBbritannien harter treffen als die Finanzkrise 2007. An analysis of the ... Read more...
19 August 2014
Indem sie ihren Kindern finanziell unter die Arme greifen, haben die Eltern auch unabsichtlich den offentlichen Druck entscharft, die Beschäftigungs-und Renten so zu andern, dass ihre Kinder einen leichteren Start ins B... Read more...
18 August 2014
Professor John Van Reenen, Department of Economics and Centre for Economic Performance, has been awarded the European Investment Bank Institute's 2014 'Outstanding Contribution Award'. The accolade, jointly awarded to Pr... Read more...
28 July 2014
Speech by Dr Jens Weidmann, President of the Deutsche Bundesbank, to the German-British Chamber of Commerce Annual Dinner 2014, London, 23 July 2014. 2. The benefits of European integration And it seems that Britain, t... Read more...
24 July 2014
What's the best way to measure Europe's youth unemployment problem? ''Long-term unemployment and youth unemployment are the two [issues] that need more targeting, but we should especially try to avoid the combination of ... Read more...
16 July 2014
This article was first published on January 28, 2013 and has been republished after Germany beat Brazil 7-1 in the World Cup semi-final Second, it is the view of most economists that Germany has been the biggest winner ... Read more...
09 July 2014
Article by Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Luis Garicano and Tano Santos By the end of the 1990s, under the incentive of Eurozone entry, most peripheral European countries were busy undertaking structural reforms and puttin... Read more...
30 April 2013
Today, many French and German banks have cut the amount of debt they hold from troubled euro zone countries by half. And practically the only buyers of Spanish debt are Spanish banks. Ditto for Italy. Not only does th... Read more...
02 October 2012
…el punto muerto: la senda hacia la salida de la crisis. Entre los españoles figuran Luis Garicano, del London School of Economics, o Guillermo de la Dehesa. También suscriben el documento los alemanes Lars... Expe... Read more...
25 July 2012
Euro doomed, say experts The euro has broken down and faces collapse with 'incalculable economic losses and human suffering', according to an extraordinary warning from a group of leading economists. The experts include... Read more...
Prime Minister David Cameron's decision to distance Britain from European efforts to save the euro isn't likely to make the U.K. more independent of the bloc. "Politically the U.K. has lost power and credibility, and its... Read more...
14 December 2011
Professor Albrecht Ritschl of the London School of Economics says the Germans face a stark choice. Albrecht Ritschl:They will indeed have to be the decision between accepting a probably softer eurozone, or thinki... Read more...
05 December 2011
Of course, if the eurozone turned itself into a real fiscal union with all the member states guaranteeing each other's debt, that would stop the crisis in its tracks. But Tim Leunig of the London School of Economics s... Read more...
04 December 2011
Albrecht Ritschl: Now it turns out that the whole debt burden of southern Europe combined is quite a bit too big to be shouldered by the Germans. This article appeared in Marketplace on December 3, 2011 Link to ar... Read more...
03 December 2011
Many experts believe that if the eurozone were to break apart it would be because richer members leave it rather than continue to try to bail out poorer ones. In fact, there are already some signs that the richer countr... Read more...
02 December 2011
Germany's hardline attitude is making the situation in Europe worse Economics professor at the LSE, Albrecht Ritschl, comments on Germany's reaction to the worsening euro crisis. This article appeared in The Guardi... Read more...
08 November 2011