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CEP Announcement

Funding for Centre for Economic Performance to boost economic growth

The UKRI Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) has awarded the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) £9.2mn for its five-year programme of work from 2025. This renewed funding will enable CEP to co... Read more...

The Times

UK exporters suffer £27bn hit from Brexit

Research from the Centre for Economic Performance, a think tank based at the London School of Economics, said Brexit led to a 6.4 per cent drop in the UK's global exports.  ... Read more...

Financial Times

Brexit hit to UK trade less than predicted, says study

Brexit has hit UK trade less than many forecasters predicted thanks to larger companies adapting to red tape at the border, according to research by the London School of Economics. Researchers estimated UK worldwide good... Read more...

The Guardian

Brexit cost UK £27bn in lost trade in first two years, review finds

The damage from Brexit to trade links with the EU cost the UK £27bn in the first two years, but the overall impact was more limited than forecasters first estimated, according to the most comprehensive review of th... Read more...

Financial Times

Four years on and Brexit still isn’t 'done'

Thomas Sampson discusses how UK growth in goods exports and imports has been "the weakest in the G7", which has "contributed to the ongoing stagnation of the UK economy".  ... Read more...

Bloomberg

Brexit Caused a Third of UK Food Price Inflation, LSE Paper Says

Researchers from the Centre for Economic Performance show that Brexit is responsible for a third of UK food price inflation since 2019 - regulatory, sanitary and other border checks added almost £7 billion to total... Read more...

The Guardian

Brexit food trade barriers have cost UK households #7bn, report finds

Researchers from the Centre for Economic Performance, from the London School of Economics, estimate that extra barriers on EU food imports have pushed up bills by £250 on average since Brexit.  ... Read more...

Financial Times

Alan Manning: 'Achieving growth by just having more people is not what we should aim for'

Alan Manning, the UK government's former immigration advisor, considers whether Britain's post-Brexit migrant strategy has worked. ... Read more...

The Guardian

Swati Dhingra of the Bank of England: 'Are we going to end up deepening the recession?'

Richard Partington interviews Swati Dhingra on the future of Britain's economy, as she elaborates on the lengthy and painful recession facing the UK.  ... Read more...

The Independent

Brexit has added more than £200 to UK household food bills, study finds

Brexit has cost UK households more than £5.8bn in higher food bills, according to new research linking Britain’s exit from the EU to soaring inflation. Leaving the bloc has added an average of £210 to B... Read more...

The Guardian

Brexit added nearly £6bn to UK food bills in two years, research finds

Brexit added almost £6bn to UK food bills in the two years to the end of 2021, affecting poorest households the most, research from the London School of Economics (LSE) found.  ... Read more...

BBC News

Brexit added £210 to household food bills, LSE says

Researchers at the LSE's Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) looked at data tracking the flow of trade and prices of food products between the UK and the European Union (EU) to work out how shoppers were being affected... Read more...

Financial Times

Brexit and the economy: the hit has been ‘substantially negative’

The UK debate around Brexit is shifting in light of new data showing the consequences of leaving the EU. Economists have reached a consensus: Brexit has significantly worsened the country’s economic performance. In... Read more...

Independent

Shoppers face £454 increase in annual grocery bill as food inflation soars

Economists from the LSE Centre for Economic Performance found that the UK’s departure from the EU caused a 6 per cent increase in British food prices. ... Read more...

Die Welt (German)

'Toxic Mixture' - UK's weak income fuels inequality in the country

High energy prices are causing problems, as are the consequences of the Covid pandemic and the effects of Brexit. But research by the Resolution Foundation and the Center for Economic Performance suggests the causes of t... Read more...

Sky News

Brexit will leave workers poorer than they would have been and has damaged Britain's competitiveness, new study says

Brexit has damaged Britain's competitiveness, will reduce productivity and leave the average worker poorer than they otherwise would have been, according to a new study from the Resolution Foundation and LSE's Centre for... Read more...

The Guardian

Brexit 'dragging down growth and costing hundreds a year in pay'

Britain's cost of living crisis is being made worse by Brexit dragging down the country's growth potential and costing workers hundreds of pounds a year in lost pay, say researchers. The Resolution Foundation thinktank a... Read more...

The Times

Brexit hitting production and wages, warns Resolution Foundation

Britain’s departure from the EU has damaged its competitiveness and will cut productivity and wages over the next ten years. Instead of the expected effect of narrowly reducing exports to the EU, Brexit has “... Read more...

Financial Times

Rees-Mogg asks public to say which retained EU laws they want to scrap

Thomas Sampson, an associate professor of economics at the London School of Economics who has modelled the effects of Brexit on UK trade, said there was no economic basis for the assertion that cutting EU regulation woul... Read more...

The Guardian

Immigration and vocational training: UK evidence

Researchers from the London School of Economics’ Centre for Economic Performance find that a “clear and robust impact of Brexit-induced trade frictions” had led to an increase in prices. ... Read more...

The Telegraph

'No evidence' of sustained hit to UK exports to EU since Brexit trade deal

Researchers find Brexit’s impacts on trade were only felt once the Trade and Cooperation Agreement kicked in, rather than steadily since the referendum. ... Read more...

Independent

Brexit has devastated UK exports to smaller EU countries, study says

LSE finds one-third decline in trading relationships under Boris Johnson’s deal – which has hit small firms hardest. ... Read more...

Financial Times

UK-EU trade relationships tumble after Brexit

Findings from the LSE's Centre for Economic Performance chime with warnings from business groups: that smaller firms have struggled to absorb customs controls, VAT and regulatory red tape, with many quitting exporting al... Read more...

Financial Times

Stable job market is ‘mixed blessing’ for UK workers

The pace of change in the UK jobs market has slowed to its lowest level in decades and, even the disruption of the pandemic, has been a far cry from the upheaval of the 1980s, according to research by the Resolution Foun... Read more...

The Times

Want a pay increase? Then move to a new job, says Resolution Foundation

Moving to a new employer offers a greater salary increase than staying put - and workers who resign to take up work in booming sectors stand to gain even more, according to research from the Resolution Foundation think t... Read more...

ITV News

Half of all businesses struggling to recruit new staff, survey finds

About half of all firms are struggling to recruit new workers and business confidence is dipping, according to new research from the CEP. Researchers also found that one in five are having issues retaining exi... Read more...

Financial Times

The 2020s are set to be a decisive economic decade for the UK

The Resolution Foundation and Centre for Economic Performance of the London School of Economics launch an important inquiry, analysing how the country must grapple with recovery from Covid-19, the af... Read more...

The Independent

UK faces ‘decisive decade’ of change and risks falling further behind other nations, report warns

The country is not neither prepared for, nor used to, change on the scale required to deal with climate change, Brexit, an ageing population, Covid and technological shifts, says report by the Economy 2030 Inq... Read more...

The Guardian

UK economy could resemble that of Italy by end of 2020s – report

A joint project by the Resolution Foundation thinktank and the London School of Economics said the UK was neither used to nor prepared for the challenges posed by the aftermath of Covid-19, Brexit, the ne... Read more...

Centre for Economic Performance

UK facing a ‘decisive decade’ of change

The UK is facing a ‘decisive decade’ of change as five seismic economic shifts – the Covid aftermath, Brexit, the Net Zero transition, an older population and rapid technological change - com... Read more...

The Independent

Brexit causes difficulties for more than 60 per cent of UK firms - report

Study by Josh De Lyon and Swati Dhingra finds higher prices and reduced competitiveness due to EU withdrawal. ... Read more...

iNews

Brexit has hits UK firms as border delays and bureaucracy add to costs, says study

Report by Josh De Lyon and Swati Dhingra finds almost two thirds of businesses have suffered from new EU import and export rules, while one in five companies have found it tougher to trade with ... Read more...

The Independent

Brexit disruption in first weeks of year is sign of more to come, economists warn

Thomas Sampson, associate economics professor at the London School of Economics, has predicted a 36 per cent fall in exports to the EU over the next decade. He said it was too early to claim that economists... Read more...

BBC

Scottish independence trading costs calculated

Study into trade concludes that the costs of Scottish independence would be two to three times greater than the impact from Brexit, and that joining the European Union would do little to offset that cost. ... Read more...

The Telegraph

Economic hit to Scotland from independence three times bigger than Brexit

Trade barriers with the rest of the UK would deal a hit to the Scottish economy far greater than Brexit, warns report by Hanwei Huang, Thomas Sampson and Patrick Schneider. ... Read more...

The Herald

People would be up to £2,800 a year worse off in independent Scotland, claims new research

Study by Hanwei Huang, Thomas Sampson and Patrick Schneider concludes independence would hit the Scottish economy harder than Brexit because Scotland’s trade with the rest of the UK is around f... Read more...

The Scotsman

Independence would hit Scottish economy harder than Brexit, say researchers

Academics from the LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance say the economic costs of independence are two or three times greater than Brexit due to the volume of Scotland’s trade with the rest of the... Read more...

Financial Times

Independence would cost Scotland far more than Brexit, study finds

Independence from the UK would cost Scotland’s economy up to three times as much in lost trade as Brexit will, according to analysis by the London School of Economics’ Centre for Economic Performan... Read more...

The Independent

Independence would hit Scotland's economy ‘two to three times' harder than Brexit, say economists

Independence would damage Scotland’s economy and leave the country “considerably poorer” than staying inside the UK, according to a study by economists Hanwei Huang, Thomas Sampson ... Read more...

The Guardian

Independence could cost Scotland's economy £11bn a year, forecast suggests

Economists say impact of leaving UK’s common market would hit two to three times as hard as leaving EU. ... Read more...

The Independent

Exports to EU to plunge by more than one-third because of Boris Johnson’s Brexit trade deal, study warns

Research by Thomas Sampson suggests UK exports to the EU may fall by over a third, and income per capita is forecast to fall by 6 per cent – just 2 per cent less than under a no-deal departure. ... Read more...

Financial Times

UK economists’ survey: recovery will be slower than in peer countries

A survey of nearly 100 economists revealed that most of them expect the size of the economy not to return to pre-pandemic levels until the third quarter of 2022, despite the expectation of a strong consumer-le... Read more...

The Guardian

What happens if the UK and EU fail to agree a Brexit deal?

A report by the Centre for Economic Performance found that seven in 10 firms “expect a no-deal Brexit to negatively impact their business”, adding that the consequences of no deal are "se... Read more...

The Guardian

Brexit will deliver double shock to UK economy, study finds

Sectors unscathed from coronavirus crisis face being severely affected by Brexit, finds a report from Dr Swati Dhingra and Josh De Lyon. ... Read more...

Financial Times

UK backs restrictions on low-skilled migrants; Conservative government; Ministers say plans are based on aspects of Australia's points system

As part of the new system, the government is expected to drop plans for a salary threshold of £30,000 for applicants. The government immigration adviser, the Migration Advisory Committee, recommended las... Read more...

City AM

Getting Brexit done will not help UK economy, say academics

Carrying out Brexit will not improve the UK's struggling economy but will usher in years more uncertainty about Britain's trading relationships, a new report has said. The hard Brexit that Prime Minister Boris J... Read more...

Bloomberg

Plunging Social Mobility in U.K. Was a Brexit Factor, Study Says

Britain has become much less socially mobile in recent decades, especially in areas that voted for Brexit in 2016, according to a new report by the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics.... Read more...

Office for National Statistics

ONS Research Excellence Awards 2019 - People's Choice Award to Dr Swati Dhingra

Congratulations to Dr Swati Dhingra, associate professor of economics at the Centre for Economic Performance, who has won the People's Choice Award at the ONS research excellence awards 2019. The ONS's research excell... Read more...

Wbur (Radio)

Brexit's Long Term Economic Impact (Audio)

Host Jeremy Hobson speaks with international trade expert Thomas Sampson of the London School of Economics about the potential long-term economic impacts of Brexit. The economic impact of Boris Johnson's Brexit proposa... Read more...

Financial Times

Boris Johnson’s Brexit deal poses a rules-of-origin conundrum

Thomas Sampson If Brexit is a divorce, then Northern Ireland is a child at the centre of a messy custody fight. The new Brexit deal seeks to solve the Irish border problem through joint custody. Whether Northern Ireland... Read more...

Investors Chronicle

Brexit: Trick or Treat?

The think tank, The UK in a Changing Europe, estimate that these effects will eventually reduce UK GDP per person by around 2.5 per cent, relative to what it would have been were we to stay in the EU. Less trade, however... Read more...

The Sunday Times

Johnson's deal loosens ties with EU - and that won't help; 'Level playing field' commitments have been watered down. However, much has yet to be decided, says David Smith

Professor Jonathan Portes and Thomas Sampson, among the authors of the UK in a Changing Europe report, said that while the political declaration provided scope for a closer relationship with the EU than Johnson had first... Read more...

The Sunday Times

Johnson's deal loosens ties with EU - and that won't help; 'Level playing field' commitments have been watered down. However, much has yet to be decided, says David Smith

Read more...

Zonebourse

GB: inflation rate unchanged at 1.7% in September (ONS)

Dennis Novy, professor of economics at the University of Warwick, points out that the UK experienced a surge in inflation in 2016 after the Brexit referendum, which had drastically slumped the pound by around 10%, which ... Read more...

The Sunday Times (London)

Sterling to rally further as hopes grow for Brexit breakthrough

In a report to be published today by the UK in a Changing Europe think tank, economists say that the prime minister's proposals are likely to end in a "Canada-minus" trade agreement less comprehensive than that between t... Read more...

Financial Times

How Boris Johnson’s hard Brexit would hit the UK economy

The Brexit deal that Boris Johnson, the prime minister, is seeking to strike with Brussels this week would push the UK down the route of a hard Brexit, resulting in the nation missing out on up to 7 per cent of growth, a... Read more...

The Independent

Boris Johnson's Brexit plan would leave everyone in the UK £2,000 worse off, study finds

Boris Johnson’s Brexit plan would leave knock up to £50bn off the economy and leave everyone in the UK £2,000 worse off, new analysis has found. The Academic think-tank The UK in a Changing Europe sa... Read more...

Investors Chronicle

PATRIOT GAMES; James Norrington examines how investors might position their portfolios in an era of economic nationalism

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) releases its Pink and Blue Books on the balance of payments at the end of October (interestingly the date is later than usual and coincides with the current Brexit departure date)... Read more...

VOX CEPR Policy Panel

New dawn fades: The post-referendum rise in import costs has hurt UK workers

Some commentators argue that globalisation is systematically connected to the real-wage and productivity stagnation seen across the developed world. This column analyses the relationship between international trade and w... Read more...

LesEchos.fr

Avoir raison contre tous / To be right against all

In a context made even more complicated by the situation in Ireland, the economists of the Center for Economic Performance of the LSE underline that the Brexiters also neglect the economic benefits of integration in the ... Read more...

EXPRESS (Online)

Piers Morgan takes swipe at Remainers' project fear after Britain sees investment boom

Another, Swati Dhingra, lecturer in economics at the London School of Economics, said that since the EU referendum, "the number of foreign investments and expansions… are showing disconcerting reductions."... Read more...

Správy RTVS (Radio and Television of Slovakia)

Interview with Dennis Novy

On Brexit and the potential future trading options for the UK and the EU27. This interview was part of a larger piece for the 6 o'clock news programme. ... Read more...

The Conversation

A no-deal Brexit won’t end the uncertainty for business

A no-deal Brexit means that Britain will revert to WTO rules to trade with the EU and the rest of the world. This means import duties and various controls on trade, which economists at LSE's Centre for Economic Performan... Read more...

The UK in a changing Europe

What the immediate impacts of a no-deal will have on UK trade

Dr Thomas Sampson explains what the immediate impacts of a no-deal will have on UK trade. Professor Thomas Sampson from @CEP_LSE explains what the immediate impacts of a #nodeal will have on UK trade.#Nodealexplain... Read more...

The National (Online)

Pound recovers after MPs secure right to table to bills blocking no-deal Brexit

Although the short-term impact of a no-deal Brexit could be relatively benign, leaving without a deal would prove costly in the long term, a new paper by the UK in a Changing Europe and the London School of Economics' Ce... Read more...

Metro

What does the pound falling mean for you?

Research published by the London School of Economics estimated that the spike in inflation that followed the 2016 referendum was costing the average household £7.74 a week - a figure equivalent to £404 a year... Read more...

Metro Online

What does the pound falling mean for you?

Research published by the London School of Economics estimated that the spike in inflation that followed the 2016 referendum was costing the average household £7.74 a week - a figure equivalent to £404 a year... Read more...

Marketnews.com

MNI INTERVIEW: BOE Likely Understating Impact Of Sterling Fall

LONDON (MNI) - The Bank of England risks substantially underestimating the upward inflationary pressure from sterling's depreciation due its practice of using trade weights to assess the impact of currency movements, a s... Read more...

CNN International [Aired 15:00 ET]

Queen Elizabeth Approves U.K. Prime Minister's Request to Suspend Parliament; European Commission Reacts to Boris Johnson's Move to Prorogue U.K. Parliament; Italian Parties Reach Deal to Form New Government. Aired 3-4p ET

QUEST: John Van Reenen is professor of economics at MIT, he says a no-deal Brexit is a battle for the soul of Britain. Why? JOHN VAN REENEN, PROFESSOR OF ECONOMICS, MIT: It's about the soul of Britain. I think today, Bo... Read more...

LSE Business Review

Why No-Deal Brexit is a battle for the soul of our nation

Britain is lurching towards an economic, political and moral disaster, writes John Van Reenen.... Read more...

Wired

The foods you'll really need to stockpile for a no-deal Brexit

A report commissioned by dairy giant Arla and published last year by the London School of Economics makes for sobering reading. In a press release accompanying the release of the report, the MD of the company that commis... Read more...

Vox CEPR Policy Portal (video)

Investing in Brexit

As Brexit nears (again), are British firms choosing to invest in the UK or in other European markets? Are European firms investing in the UK to preserve access to its markets? And has "global Britain" got off the drawing... Read more...

Open Access Government

'Remainers' suffered mental distress equivalent to migraine after Brexit vote

The research by Nick Powdthavee, of Warwick Business School, Anke Plagnol, of City University London, Andrew Clark, of Paris School of Economics, and Paul Frijters, of the London School of Economics, also found that repo... Read more...

Financial Times

What is the effect of the falling pound on Brexit Britain?

"But all UK households lose from a depreciation that pushes up the cost of imported goods, raising prices in the shops and eroding the real value of their earnings and savings. Research published by the London School of ... Read more...

VOX CEPR Policy Panel

Trade wars may ‘bloc up’ world trade

Write David Jacks, Dennis Novy Against the backdrop of new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration and retaliation from targeted countries, notably China, the trade wars of the 1930s have received renewed attention... Read more...

VoxEUVideoVox

Did Brexit Break the Bank?

CEPR Fellow Swati Dhingra, LSE, looks at what Brexit tells us about the contribution of globalisation to the productivity and wage stagnation we see across the developed world. Following the Brexit vote, sterling suffere... Read more...

Investors Chronicle FT

Damaging uncertainty

Thirdly, it is exporters who are being especially hard hit by Brexit uncertainty and it is these who tend to be more efficient than the average company. Brute maths, says Stanford University's Nick Bloom, means that this... Read more...

The Independent

Decline in living standards and GDP drop to result from Brexit, report finds

The slide in sterling since the referendum has pushed up prices without doing much to boost UK exports, while wage growth has lagged behind inflation, the analysis has found. Authors cite estimates by the London School o... Read more...

CONVERSABLE ECONOMIST

Three Years since the Brexit Vote: Looking Back

3) In the Fall 2017 issue of the Journal of Economic Perspectives, and Thomas Sampson sums up the research on what is known and what might come next in "Brexit: The Economics of International Disintegration," In turn, I... Read more...

Farming UK

Egg producers criticise critical labour after Brexit list

MAC chairman Professor Alan Manning said: "Today's labour market is very different to the one we reviewed when the last SOL was published in 2013. "Unemployment is lower and employers in various industries are facing di... Read more...

Irish Examiner

Brexit pound slide ‘hit wages’

In sectors where import prices rose because of the drop in sterling, training and wages for workers fell, the paper said. That could have negative long-term implications for productivity, skills and living standards, iss... Read more...

BreakingNews.ie

BUSINESS NEWS Brexit pound slide 'hit wages'

UK workers took a hit from the Brexit-related depreciation in the pound in the form of lower wages and training, according to an academic paper. In sectors where import prices rose because of the drop in sterling, train... Read more...

Bloomberg

Brexit’s Pound Drop Hurt Workers Without Boosting Exports

In sectors where import prices rose because of the drop in sterling, training and wages for workers fell, the paper said. That could have negative long-term implications for productivity, skills and living standards, iss... Read more...

The Economist

Four years after its steelworks shut, Redcar is recovering

It is harder to quantify the emotional impact of losing a plant where generations of the same families had worked for a century. From the beach, the idle works hulk over the skyline. Research by Sascha Becker, Thiemo Fet... Read more...

Euronews

Is the US right to claim the EU is not treating it fairly on trade?

The US and the EU may be threatening each other with tariffs, but experts say the trade relationship is balanced. "I find it difficult to understand exactly what the basis is for the US administration's complaints on th... Read more...

LSE Brexit blog

How the post-Brexit pound has hurt Britain’s workers

The unexpected result of the Brexit referendum, working through the rapid depreciation of sterling, has hurt British workers. Rui Costa, Swati Dhingra and Stephen Machin (LSE) show that the big drop in the value of the p... Read more...

The Sun

SAJ'S MIGRATION BID Sajid Javid to scrap plans that recommended EU migrants must earn £30k to work in Brexit Britain

In the letter to MAC chair Professor Alan Manning he makes clear he now wants the Committee "involved in the process". He says: "The Government is committed to engaging extensively over the course of this year before co... Read more...

Financial Times

‘Global Britain’ is an illusion because distance has not died

Distance matters, big time. Moreover, it matters more now than it did a century ago. Thus, another study reveals that the negative effect of distance was larger between 1950 and 2000 than it had been between 1870 and 191... Read more...

Capital. Gr

What does Greece 'win' from the Single European Market and what 'others'

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Le Monde

Le marché intérieur de l’Union européenne profite d’abord à Zurich et à Londres / The internal market of the European Union benefits first in Zurich and London

Read more...

RTL Today

Luxembourg, London, and Zurich inhabitants benefit the most from EU Single Market

A comprehensive study undertaken by the Bertelmann Stiftung and University of Sussex examines the real impact of the EU Single Market on incomes. Economists Giordano Mion (University of Sussex) and Dominic Ponattu (Bert... Read more...

Financial Times

Why life in the UK feels better than ever

Since the referendum, self-reported British subjective wellbeing has stagnated, finds a study led by Georgios Kavetsos of Queen Mary University of London. Pro-Europeans are predictably upset, but even anti-Europeans saw ... Read more...

The Economist

How is Brexit affecting FDI into Britain?

Brexit affects domestic firms, too. In January Barclays bank received legal approval to move €190bn ($213bn) of assets to Dublin, fearing no-deal. The London School of Economics recently found the Brexit vote had ca... Read more...

Business Insider Italia

Il mercato unico ha fatto guadagnare 800 euro all’anno ai cittadini dell’Ue. Ma la Germania e i paesi del centro intascano di più / The single market has earned 800 euros a year for EU citizens. But Germany and the countries of the center pocket more

Read more...

Taiwan News

EU single market benefits Germany and export hubs most

Read more...

Spiegel Online

So unterschiedlich profitieren Europäer vom Binnenmarkt / Europeans benefit so differently from the single market

Read more...

Dawn

Long, grinding Brexit is stressing people out

Researchers at the London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance found that the "subjective well-being," or happiness, of Britons has declined since the 2016 referendum regardless of a person's position on ... Read more...

The Times of Israel

‘Brexhaustion’: Long, grinding Brexit is stressing people out

Read more...

ABC News

Brexhaustion: Long, grinding Brexit is stressing people out

Read more...

Abbotsford News (Newspaper)

Brexhaustion: Long, grinding Brexit is stressing people out

Read more...

DAILY POST

Less cheese, fish, veg, but more carbs - how a worse case Brexit could hit your weekly shop

...roposed extensions to the official date for leaving Europe, the deadline is creeping closer.In this article, we take a look at how Brexit could impact your weekly shop. Less cheese (Image: Sunday Mirror) A report by ... Read more...

Der Spiegel

Bringt eine Zollunion die Lösung? / Will a customs union bring the solution?

"How unequal power relations can be, is shown by the example of Turkey, whose customs union with the EU has hitherto been limited to industrial products. If the EU lowers the industrial tariffs for a particular trading p... Read more...

Afterposten

Britene er fortsatt i EU. Men brexit har alt hatt store omkostninger / The British are still in the EU. But brexit has all had great costs

The value of the British pound is ten percent lower than in 2016. A study by the Center for Economic Performance estimated that increased inflation had cost an average household an estimated weekly wage all the first yea... Read more...

LSE Brexit blog

Voting for Brexit has already made the UK poorer

How has voting to leave the EU affected the UK's economy? The difficulty in answering this question is that we do not know what would have happened to the economy if Remain had won. Consequently, researchers look for way... Read more...

BBC World News (TV)

World Business Report

Snippet: ...according to a study by the London School of Economics British companies have delivered almost 11 billion dollars worth of new investment away from Britain through the EU since the Brexit vote so UK firms hik... Read more...

Tribune de Genève

Les Britanniques, fatigués et traumatisés par le Brexit /The British, tired and traumatized by Brexit

And the mood of the British is deeply affected. "The level of post-referendum satisfaction has deteriorated significantly in the UK compared to other EU countries," Georgios Kavetsos, a professor of behavioral science at... Read more...

City A.M. (Print)

THE COST OF TAKING BACK CONTROL

Snippet: ...A fall in the pound increases the costs of UK imports, and in the year after the vote consumer prices rose rapidly. Analysis from 2017 by researchers at the Centre for Economic Performance estimated that the ... Read more...

BBC World News (TV)

Business Briefing

Snippet: ... so what does the investment picture look like in the UK since the referendum in June 20 16th government figures show that last year business investment fell slightly by 0.4% to around 247 billion dollars acc... Read more...

LBC

Shelagh Fogarty 1 – 4PM

Snippet: ...know that element happens to be one OK that's enough Fabio 10 M&S group protection to keep control all leading Britain's conversation LBC with was speaking to Dr Thomas Sampson associate Professor of economic... Read more...

Investors Chronicle (Magazine)

The dark side of the jobs miracle

Secondly, workers are not being displaced by new technology. Business investment has fallen since 2016. There are countless reasons for this, many of them longstanding structural ones. One, which might have become more i... Read more...

The LightHouse

A disorderly divorce: why a reversal of Brexit could be the best outcome

...13, Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics.... Read more...

Financial Times

No-deal Brexit will hammer both UK and EU

The report was authored by Giordano Mion, a professor of economy at the University of Sussex, and Dominic Ponattu, a researcher at the Bertelsmann Foundation in Germany.... Read more...

LSE Business Review

UK economy since the Brexit vote: slower GDP growth, lower productivity, and a weaker pound

Evidence of the UK's economic performance since the EU Referendum is clear: GDP growth has slowed down, productivity has suffered, the pound has depreciated and purchasing power has gone down, and investments have declin... Read more...

Independent

The UK will have very little control over trade tariffs in the event of a no-deal Brexit.

Despite calls to 'take back control' the economic reality is that tariffs will be determined by the 'bound rates' that the UK already has in place under the WTO and, ultimately, no tariff regime will make up for loss of ... Read more...

Financial Times

Bank of England policymaker warns of risk to UK jobs market

Jonathan Haskel worried by falling business investment driven by uncertainty.... Read more...

Financial Times

Politics is failing on Brexit but economics has been on the money

A few days before the vote, three of the UK's most reputable economic institutions - the National Institute of Economic and Social Research, the Institute for Fiscal Studies and the Centre for Economic Performance at the... Read more...

New Statesman America

Even if MPs pass Theresa May’s deal, the UK’s Brexit nightmare won’t end

If, in spite of all this, the government manages to negotiate a trade agreement with the EU, what will be the economic and political consequences for the UK? Will it all be worthwhile in the end? A good guide to the econ... Read more...

Bloomberg

BOE’s Haskel Warns Brexit Deal May Not End Economic Uncertainty

Bank of England policy maker Jonathan Haskel warned that the UK may not see a material pickup in investment growth even if the government secures an exit deal with the European Union this month. Haskel, in his first spe... Read more...

Financial Times

Pervasive uncertainty - Your weekly briefing on the UK economy

What we're reading Political Quarterly is continuing its excellent series on Britain and Brexit. This week Swati Dhingra examined what a post-Brexit trade policy could look like while Duncan Weldon asked if Brexit really... Read more...

BBC2 (Broadcast)

Newsnight (19.20)

Ben Chu, Economics Editor of BBC Newsnight, showed a graph on FDI outflows from the UK (actual vs. expected) on BBC2 Newsnight on 07 March 2019. This graph is taken from CEP Brexit Analysis No. 13, Figure 2. 19:20min ... Read more...

The Political Quarterly

Brexit and the Future of Trade

The United Kingdom is one of the most open economies in the world. Its exports and imports were over £600 billion (30 per cent of UK GDP) each last year. It is 'extremely open' from an investment perspective, both its o... Read more...

The New Statesman

We need a political party that is tough on the causes of Brexit. The Independent Group isn’t

Economists like David Blanchflower, John Van Reenen and I set out just how bad UK economic performance had been over the previous five years, but once again expertise was ignored. As far as the media were concerned, redu... Read more...

Fortune

In Brexit, Could Ireland Wear the Crown?

"Moving companies to Dublin does not turn Dublin into London," says Swati Dhingra, an economist at the London School of Economics. "The dispersal—to Paris, Munich, wherever—means that nobody will inherit the conglome... Read more...

fDiIntelligence

UK inward FDI lowest since 2010

UK companies have increased their investments into the EU by $10.73bn due to Brexit uncertainty diverting investment from the domestic market, says a recent study from the London School of Economics' (LSE) Centre for Eco... Read more...

The Economist

What would a no-deal Brexit mean for trade?

According to the Centre for Economic Performance, a research institute, a no-deal Brexit would lower Britain's trade with the EU by two-fifths over ten years. BREXIT Papers & Analyses from the CEP.... Read more...

LSE Business Review

Brexit: New UK investments in the EU are growing, while new EU investments here fall

The increase in outward investments is entirely driven by the services sector, as Brexit negotiations have prioritised manufacturing - by Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson. ... Read more...

Times Higher Education (Online)

The week in higher education

The UK government's lead adviser on migration has claimed that the Home Office's net migration target no longer drives policy. Alan Manning, professor of economics at the London School of Economics and chair of the Migra... Read more...

In Parliament

Professor Alan Manning a Witness on the Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination Bill

In the first sitting of the Immigration and Social Security Co-ordination (EU Withdrawal) Bill, Professor Alan Manning joined a witness panel in his role as chair of the Migration Advisory Committee. He took a large numb... Read more...

The Daily Star

Brexit referendum spurs British firms into investing in EU

The referendum result led to a 12 percent increase in foreign direct investment transactions from Britain into the EU between mid-2016 and September 2018, researchers from the London School of Economics' Centre for Econo... Read more...

Vox

Brexit and outward investment by UK firms

Media reports suggest that some UK firms have started to move production abroad in anticipation of Brexit. Using data on announcements of new foreign investment transactions, this column reports evidence that the Brexit ... Read more...

Express (online)

Brexit BETRAYAL: Firms ditch UK to invest £7.7 BILLION in EU claim London experts

Dennis Novy, one of the report's authors, told CNBC: "The economic risk of Brexit is larger on the UK side of the Channel.... Read more...

Continental Telegraph

Brexit Is Reducing UK Domestic Investment And Foreign

Read more...

Sky News

Brexit is clearly taking its toll on UK economic growth

A study published this morning by the Centre for Economic Performance at the LSE dissects how foreign investment has changed behaviour since the referendum. According to the LSE researchers, UK firms appear to have star... Read more...

LSE Brexit Blog

Voting with their money: Brexit and outward investment by UK firms

Are firms moving investment abroad because of Brexit? Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson (LSE) use a 'doppelganger method' to estimate how foreign direct investment would have evolved without... Read more...

CNBC

British firms have diverted $10 billion of investment to the EU due to Brexit, study claims

A study conducted by academics from the London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) looked into how the vote to leave the EU has affected outward investment by U.K. companies. ... Read more...

CNBC Europe

Broadcast

Mention of CEP report showing British firms investing outside of the UK because of Brexit. ... Read more...

Reuters

Brexit referendum spurs British companies into investing in EU - research

The referendum result led to a 12 percent increase in foreign direct investment transactions from Britain into the EU between mid-2016 and September 2018, researchers from the London School of Economics' Centre for Econo... Read more...

The Independent

Brexit already hitting UK household finances due to higher prices, study shows

The average worker has had to spend more than £404, equivalent to more than a week's wages, in the first year after the Brexit vote, according to a report by the Centre for Competitive Advantage in the Global Economy (C... Read more...

The Atlantic

How Globalization Saved the World and Damned the West

MGI was putting its finishing touches on the report in early 2016, but held its publication for the Brexit vote in March. "We weren't surprised by the outcome," Manyika told me. "We had been sitting on this research show... Read more...

LSE Business Review (Blog)

The challenge of dealing with ‘double disruption’: Brexit and technology

The UK needs a new era of policy activism with a 'future of good work' focus, write Christopher Pissarides, Anna Thomas and Josh De Lyon.... Read more...

BBC Radio 4

Brexit: A Guide for the Perplexed

Snippet: ...ther revolutionary thing called Brexit the EU has always been a unique experiment and shared sovereignty and no-one has ever tried to leave before well apart from Greenland sort of in 1985 Professor Swati Dhi... Read more...

The Australian

Ball back in Brussels' court on Irish border sticking point

The Centre for Economic Performance estimates that the long-term impact of no deal on Ireland is almost as bad as for the UK. But, locked inside the EU, it cannot subsidise industries or change tariff schedules and its c... Read more...

The Times

Brexit will go to the brink, because everyone has something to lose

Ireland has a more intractable problem, however. The Centre for Economic Performance estimates that the long-term impact of no deal on Ireland is almost as bad as for the UK. But, locked inside the EU, it cannot subsidis... Read more...

New York Times

The ‘Rotten Equilibrium’ of Republican Politics

There are significant parallels between voting patterns for and against Brexit and the patterns in the 2016 and 2018 elections in this country. In a separate 2017 paper, "Who Voted For Brexit", Fetzer and two fellow ... Read more...

The State of Working Britain Blog

Measure for Measure: Has the Government Already Met its Net Immigration Target Without Noticing?

The State of Working Britain blog is edited by Paul Gregg and Jonathan Wadsworth It may well be that we no longer care about estimating the number of immigrants in the UK (though this is doubtful). Government policy (at... Read more...

Lancashire Telegraph

Burnley MP doubts the case for second Euro-referendum

A special report on Brexit and Pendle published by the London School of Economics this week reveals: "There is a clear consensus that if there was a second referendum held today, Pendle's vote would be the same or even m... Read more...

iPolitics.ca

Brexit chaos belies Quebec sovereigntist promise of painless breakup

Long term is worse. "Our best estimate is that GDP per capita will be 6.3 to 9.5 per cent per year lower than it would be if we were to remain in the EU," wrote John Van Reenen, today an economics professor at MIT. "At t... Read more...

The Times

The force of gravity on Britain's trade

But economists at the LSE argue that Mr Minford made no allowance for differences in quality among the manufactured goods being considered (Economists for Brexit: A Critique, Thomas Sampson, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Otta... Read more...

The Times

The force of gravity on Britain's trade

Claiming that manufacturing is protected in the EU is far more contentious. Mr Minford makes his case by taking an OECD databank of the prices of manufactured products around the world. He adjusts them for transport and ... Read more...

The Conversation

Brexit, xenophobia and international students: how to combat 'public paranoia' over immigration

Research by London School of Economics professor Stephen Machin and Richard Murphy at The University of Texas at Austin revealed that by paying higher fees, international students in effect subsidise certain domestic stu... Read more...

Financial Times

Should the world care about Brexit?

Thomas Sampson, a London School of Economics scholar, detects a wider global meaning in Brexit. "The period since world war II has been marked by growing economic and cultural globalisation and, in Europe, increasing pol... Read more...

Financial Times

The FT polled 81 economists about prospects for 2019

Swati Dhingra, associate professor, LSE Slowdown like earlier, low GDP growth relative to other OECD countries. Dampening of investments. Hard to predict numbers here because short-term forecasts are not the most relia... Read more...

Financial Times

May moves on workers’ rights in pursuit of legacy beyond Brexit

Alongside the new labour market rights, the government is also set to create a new single labour market enforcement body following a review by David Metcalf, the UK's first director of labour market enforcement, who re... Read more...

News Letter

Feeding the family... why costs bite as price of food keeps on rising

Snippet: ...poll. Everyday dairy products such as butter, yoghurt and cheese could become luxury items in Britain after Brexit, with price rises being caused by the slightest delay in the journey from farm to ... Read more...

LSE Brexit Blog

Resist, Rebel and Remain: the nation deserves and demands a second chance

Parliament should vote down Theresa May's Brexit deal on Tuesday. John Van Reenen (MIT/LSE) writes that while the argument for remaining in the EU is fundamentally moral and political, and not economic, it is important f... Read more...

The Gulf Time

Something about Brexit everyone can agree on

For any Brexiters holding out the hope the EU would come to the UK's rescue because it too has much to lose from not reaching a deal, an analysis this week from the Center for Economic Performance offers l... Read more...

BBC Radio 4

BBC Radio 4 - Today (11/30/2018 7:10:10 AM)

Swati Dhingra discusses trade policy and Brexit. ... Read more...

LSE Business Review

The economic consequences of the Brexit deal: the case of trade

Both the deal on offer and trading on WTO terms would reduce UK living standards compared to staying in the EU, write Thomas Sampson and Swati Dhingra.... Read more...

LSE Brexit blog

What are the economic consequences of May’s deal – and of no deal?

What will the economic impact of Theresa May's deal be? And how does it compare to the no-deal scenario?The LSE's Centre for Economic Performance, in association with The UK in a Changing Europe, has modelled both scenar... Read more...

The Conversation

The economic cost of Brexit is unavoidable – but that doesn’t mean it’s not worth it

We at The UK in a Changing Europe, working with the Centre for Economic Performance at the LSE and the Institute for Fiscal Studies, have reached similar findings, modelling specifically for how the prime minister's Brex... Read more...

Guardian

There can be no doubt any more: Brexit will make us poorer

You wait for months for an analysis of the economic impacts of Brexit, and then three come along at once. But, in contrast to the public perception that economists can't agree on even the most basic questions, like wheth... Read more...

Financial Reporter

Brexit to spark 4% drop in GDP: NIESR

Experts at the Centre for Economic Performance at LSE, King's College London and the IFS also released research today on the economic and fiscal consequences of Brexit. They estimate that the Brexit deal negotiated by th... Read more...

The Insider

Brexit deal 'could reduce UK economy by 5.5% of GDP'

Research by the London School of Economics Centre for Economic Performance, King's College London and the Institute for Fiscal Studies added a no-deal Brexit could hit GDP by as much as 8.7%. ... Read more...

Financial Times

The hunt for Brexit Plan B

The economic consequences of the Brexit deal New research by experts at the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, King's College London and the Institute for Fiscal Studies has modelled the e... Read more...

Daily Business

May’s Brexit deal ‘could slash growth by 5.5% over decade’

The economic modelling in the report covers trade and migration. For trade, researchers at LSE's entre for Economic Performance used a state-of-the-art model of global trade. They assumed that the deal means that the UK ... Read more...

Financial Times

Theresa May’s Brexit deal to cost up to £2,000 a year per person

Undertaken by a consortium of academics and think-tanks, from King's College London, the Centre for Economic Performance and the Institute for Fiscal Studies, the study was funded by the government's Economic and Social ... Read more...

BBC News

Brexit deal 'could cut UK growth by 5.5%' by 2030

The PM's Brexit deal could leave the economy as much as 5.5% smaller in a decade's time than it would be if the UK stayed in the EU, a study has said. And the cost to the public finances could be as much as 1.8% of GDP,... Read more...

Metro Newspaper

Everyone is losing out and it's all your fault, Juncker tells Britain

The Brexit deal could leave the economy up to 5.5 per cent smaller in ten ... per cent, says the London School of Economics entre for Economic Performance, … ... Read more...

Bloomberg

May's Brexit Worse for Economy Than EU Membership, Research Says

Savings on the U.K.'s contributions to the EU budget would make up only a fraction of the potential damage to the economy, according to the joint paper by the Centre for Economic Performance and academic think tank The U... Read more...

Investment Week

Economists warn of GDP blow if May's Brexit deal goes ahead

The report, The economic consquences for the Brexit deal, was carried out by the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, Kings College London and the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS). This co... Read more...

Qrius

Brexit is a major and growing source of uncertainty for firms

The majority of businesses in the UK report that Brexit is a source of uncertainty. This column uses survey responses from around 3,000 businesses to evaluate the level and impact of this uncertainty. It finds that Brexi... Read more...

Financial Times

Brexit doubts weaken productivity growth

Nick Bloom on Brexit uncertainty. A survey of 3,000 companies, funded by the Bank of England, which notes "Brexit's importance as a source of uncertainty has risen further in recent months". Nick Bloom, said: "Le... Read more...

London Review of Books

What would it be like?

Swati Dhingra and Josh De Lyon on the realities of a No Deal Brexit More than two years after the referendum, there is still a possibility that the UK will fail to reach a withdrawal agreement and an agreem... Read more...

The Scotsman

Brexit and trade: Why stakes for business are so high

The Centre for Economic Performance estimates that a "No-Deal WTO rules only" scenario would reduce the UK's trade with the EU by 40 per cent over ten years, bringing a fall in income per head of 2.6 per cent per... Read more...

LSE Business and Consultancy news

The impact of Brexit on the UK dairy sector

Given that changes could come into force as soon as March 2019, businesses such as Arla Foods UK have been compelled to start contingency planning, analysing what effect these changes might have on its busines... Read more...

The Independent

UK economy will suffer more than EU in 'no deal' Brexit scenario, warns IMF

The OECD estimated before the referendum that a WTO Brexit could cost the UK up to 5.1 percent of GDP over 15 years. A study by the London School of Economics estimated a 9.5 per cent hit. ... Read more...

Financial Times

Dairy products could become 'luxuries' after Brexit, industry warns

  Non-tariff barriers alone after Brexit could raise the price of dairy products in the UK, which may become “luxuries”, warned a report on Thursday. A study by the London School of Economi... Read more...

BBC News

Trump in the UK

Dr Swati Dhingra interviewed, talking about CEOs' meeting with President Trump and the importance of the trading relationship between the US and the UK, particularly given the prospect of a post-Brexit tra... Read more...

The UK in a Changing Europe press release

What the government's Brexit white paper must address

  A detailed assessment of what the government must address in its Brexit white paper has been carried out by academic think tank The UK in a Changing Europe.  The report – The Brexit w... Read more...

Vox

The economics of Brexit

2 years on from the UK’s referendum vote to leave the EU, substantial questions about the path to Brexit remain. In this special edition of Vox Talks, Tim Phillips talks to Swati Dhingra, Karl Whelan, an... Read more...

The New York Times

Airbus tells Britain it wants details of a Brexit deal, or else

Many businesses “are going to think very hard before choosing the U.K. if they don’t know whether it will be part of the integrated market” of the European Union, said Thomas Sampson, a lectu... Read more...

LSE Brexit blog

Brexit is still a hot topic on Twitter, but public sentiments remain largely unchanged

Article by Josh De Lyon, Elsa Leromain and Maria Molina-Domene:  The Brexit debate is intense and continues to dominate the UK policy agenda. It concerns the entire population. The authors use Twitter dat... Read more...

The Sunday Times

Call time on this unfair union

By sticking with the UK, the London School of Economics estimated Scotland will be £30bn worse off after Brexit, and the Bank of England reckoned incomes will be 900 a year less  . ... Read more...

Energy Voice

MEP warns north-east at most risk from Brexit

“If Jeremy Corbyn fails to back this and lets Theresa May drag us out of the single market our party will be abandoning workers in Aberdeen, Inverness and towns across Scotland.” Last year, a Londo... Read more...

The Huffington Global

Trade creates losers. Here’s how to help them

Article by Swati Dhingra  … Take Brexit, which involves Britain breaking from its largest trading partner, the European Union. The depreciation of sterling which followed the Brexit referendum is a... Read more...

The Press and Journal (Aberdeen)

MEP calls on Labour to act to prevent north-east from being ‘hardest-hit’ by Brexit

“If Jeremy Corbyn fails to back this and lets Theresa May drag us out of the Single Market our party will be abandoning workers in Aberdeen, Inverness and towns and cities across Scotland. That will be a... Read more...

The Press and Journal (Aberdeen)

MEP calls on Labour to act to prevent north-east from being ‘hardest-hit’ by Brexit

  “If Jeremy Corbyn fails to back this and lets Theresa May drag us out of the Single Market our party will be abandoning workers in Aberdeen, Inverness and towns and cities across Scotland. That... Read more...

The Economist

Trade creates losers. Here’s how to help them

Addressing hardships requires both redistribution and regulation, writes Swati Dhingra of the London School of Economics  Workers remain exposed to hardship from changes in their economic environment. Man... Read more...

The Economist

Trade creates losers. Here’s how to help them

Addressing hardships requires both redistribution and regulation, writes Swati Dhingra of the London School of Economics  Workers remain exposed to hardship from changes in their economic environment. Man... Read more...

Express online

‘Like a house of cards FALLING DOWN’ – Think tank RIP APART PM’s customs partnership plan

THE LUDICROUS customs partnership arrangement preferred by Remainers as a solution to the Ireland border post-Brexit has been torn apart by a London based think thank who have argued the plan is almost impossible to make... Read more...

Express online

‘Like a house of cards FALLING DOWN’ – Think tank RIP APART PM’s customs partnership plan

  THE LUDICROUS customs partnership arrangement preferred by Remainers as a solution to the Ireland border post-Brexit has been torn apart by a London based think thank who have argued the plan is almo... Read more...

Bloomberg

Roman Abramovich and Britain’s next crusade

A paper from the Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics estimated that Brexit could lead to a 22 percent fall in FDI over the next decade, causing a 3.4 percent decline in real incom... Read more...

The Times

Brexit will weaken stronger companies, says top economist

Leaving the European Union is likely to reduce productivity in Britain as it will strengthen weaker companies while hurting the strongest, an economist has warned. Nicholas Bloom, a professor at Stanford Unive... Read more...

FarmingUK

US-UK FTA could 'destroy large parts of British farming', report warns

Swati Dhingra, Lecturer at the London School of Economics, adds that the UK might be more likely to lower agricultural tariffs than the EU was during TTIP. “Historically Europe has been more concerned wi... Read more...

Harvard Kennedy School

On the Rebound: Prospects for a US-UK Free Trade Agreement

M-RCBG Associate Working Paper No. 89, Peter Sands, Ed Balls, Mehek Sethi, Eleanor Hallam, Sebastian Leape, Nyasha Weinberg, 2018. Paper interviewed and quotes Nikhil Datta, Swati Dhingra and Dennis Novy ... Read more...

The Daily Express

Brexit News. End of Free Movement for EU citizens imminent as May fast-tracks law

THERESA May is to speed up the process of ending freedom of movement for EU citizens by bringing forward the date when the Government will publish its proposed new immigration rules.  …  Up un... Read more...

The Financial Times

Spinning global Britain

The LSE’s Josh de Lyon examines the models behind the competing analyses of the economic consequences of Brexit. Forecasts are not “useless” as some might claim, but the true effect is diffic... Read more...

The Financial Times

Spinning global Britain

Read more...

BBC Newcastle [5:25:13 pm]

Broadcast

Mention of LSE research on the cost of a no-deal Brexit. Click to open ... Read more...

CEP mentions in Parliament

LSE Research mentioned in Lords Committee

Professor Menon from KCL referenced LSE research in his appearance before the Lords EU Sub-Cttee looking at Brexit and the value of the Commons Security and Defense Policy (CSDP) missions to the UK's forei... Read more...

CEP mentions in Parliament

International Trade Committee chair references LSE blog

In a one-off session on the economic effects of trade policy Angus MacNeil (SNP), Chair of the International Trade Cttee, referenced a recent LSE blog which suggested that there was a consensus between leading... Read more...

The UK in a Changing Europe blog

Article 50 one year on: the UK economy – initial evidence

Article by Thomas Sampson.  The full economic impacts of Brexit will not materialise for many years. But 21 months after the UK voted to leave the EU, we can assess how the Brexit vote has begun to affect... Read more...

Parliamentlive.tv

Home Affairs Committee: Post-Brexit migration policy

Professor Alan Manning (CEP/LSE) gave evidence to the Home Affairs Parliamentary Committee regarding the post-Brexit migration policy. ... Read more...

BBC News - Video

Prof Manning: Low skill sectors to 'struggle most' post-Brexit

Speaking to the Home Affairs Committee, Prof Alan Manning said the new immigration system would hit lower skilled immigration, leading to difficulties for the industries reliant upon it. Also in: The Sun... Read more...

LSE Brexit blog

Britain is already paying a price for voting to leave the EU

  Article by Thomas Sampson.  The full economic consequences of Brexit will not be realised for many years. But 21 months after the referendum, we can start to assess how the Brexit vote ha... Read more...

Daily Mirror

Rees-Mogg’s threat to oust May over Brexit

  …Ex-Tory Cabinet Minister Chris Patten said he was a “caricature” with no idea about trade deals. Brexit may cost us £1,700 a year each, says the London School of Economics. ... Read more...

Financial Times

Businesses back unrestricted access to EU workers after Brexit

British businesses want unrestricted access to European workers to continue after Brexit, describing them as better qualified and more motivated than their UK counterparts. The findings came in an interim repo... Read more...

Times of Malta

Brexit could cost the average Briton up to £1,700 a year

Disruption to trade caused by Brexit could cost the average Briton as much as £1,700 a year, with Remain-backing areas bearing the brunt, a report has claimed. The research suggested many of the worst-af... Read more...

Evening Standard

Brexit news latest: official migration report finds EU workers CAN be better than British

Unveiling the report, the Migration Advisory Committee’s chairman, Professor Alan Manning said that recommendations on the post-Brexit immigration system would be published in the autumn. These would be ... Read more...

LSE Brexit blog

How useful are the estimates of the economic consequences of Brexit?

In this blog, Josh De Lyon (LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance) discusses some of the concerns with the economic forecasts of the effects of Brexit and suggests that the available reports are inf... Read more...

The Irish News

DUP openly supporting further division in our divided land

Opinion – Letters to the Editor:  Alastair Hamilton must acknowledge Brexit realities Writing in the Huffington Post Invest NI chief executive Alastair Hamilton has described the concern that Brexit... Read more...

Newburgh Gazette (USA)

Brexit: a three course meal or a packet of crisps?

Brussels is anxious that Britain's exit from the Customs Union will be a step back in terms of free trade. "If you're in, you're in", said Thomas Sampson, an expert in global trade at the... Read more...

Servizio Informazione Religiosa (Italy)

Brexit: May, speech at Mansion House. Comments by Breinlich (economist) and Longley (journalist). "EU will reject the premier's proposal"

(London) "I do not see how the proposals of Prime Minister Theresa May can be accepted by the European Union". Word of Holger Breinlich, economist, lecturer at the "London School of Economics&qu... Read more...

Chronicle Live (Northumberland)

Here's what the North East needs to hear from Theresa May on Brexit

That’s helped to boost growth and employment, but now it means that regions like the north east are vulnerable to any increase in barriers to trade, as demonstrated by recent research at the University o... Read more...

Keene Sentinel (USA)

Jeremy Corbyn urges a soft Brexit, putting Theresa May in a hard spot

The problem for hard-line Brexiteers is that the European customs union dictates that all trade deals between the bloc and the outside world are negotiated by the European Union, not the individual member stat... Read more...

The Washington Post online

Jeremy Corbyn urges a soft Brexit, putting Theresa May in a hard spot

The problem for hard-line Brexiteers is that the European customs union dictates that all trade deals between the bloc and the outside world be negotiated by the European Union, not the individual member state... Read more...

LSE Thinks - video

Dr Thomas Sampson - Why are the Conservatives so divided over Brexit?

Theresa May and her senior ministers try to come to an agreement over the government's approach to Brexit, in the latest of a series of meetings on the UK’s future relationship with the EU. As part o... Read more...

BBC 2 on BBC iPlayer

The Mash Report (Series 1 - Winter: Episode 5)

Jonathan Wadsworth CEP research on immigration mentioned in the weeks news via BBC's 'The Mash Report'. ... Read more...

CityMetric

Aberdeen’s slowdown shows the dangers of being a one-industry town

When we consider these findings in light of research published last July by Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance – which suggested that Aberdeen's economy would be hit harder tha... Read more...

Financial Times

The old normal - Your weekly briefing on the UK economy

Last week’s highlights - Assessing the impact assessments - Almost all of the interesting results you get out of modelling Brexit are down to the judgments and assumptions you put in, said Robert Chote, ... Read more...

Centre for Cities – blog

Aberdeen’s economic slowdown highlights the dangers of being a one-sector city

Moreover, when we consider these findings in light of research published last July by Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance, which suggested that Aberdeen’s economy would be hit harde... Read more...

The Telegraph

The EU refuses a soft Brexit, so we must invoke the WTO immediately

An authoritative report last year by a team under MIT trade expert John Van Reenen for the Centre for Economic Performance estimated that a WTO option would cut British living standards by 2.7pc over time... Read more...

The Telegraph

The EU refuses a soft Brexit, so we must invoke the WTO immediately

Read more...

The Times (Northern Ireland)

Brexit dogma must be challenged

The intervention in the Brexit debate by the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) this week, coming out in support of Britain remaining in a customs union, is timely. ... The idea that a UK free to negotiat... Read more...

Gloucestershire Echo

Letters:Brexit aftermath is not rosy

…nearly six years.  The Centre for Economic Performance says that the vote has cost the … ... Read more...

Huffington Post – The Blog

For the third time we surveyed MPs on their attitude to Brexit – and the results were fascinating

What is clear is that the thinking on Conservative benches is in sharp contrast to the consensus amongst professional economists. Here, we find a different logic entirely. Leaving the single market and the cus... Read more...

IG

What is the economic impact of Brexit?

With the UK due to leave the EU at 11pm on 29 March 2019, countries on both sides of the channel are figuring out what Brexit will mean for their economies. We speak to Panmure Gordon’s David B... Read more...

Local Government Chronicle - LGC

How should councils respond to Brexit's economic shocks?

Article by Henry Overman With all British cities likely to see a fall in economic output as a result of Brexit, thoughts are turning to the policies needed to help local economies adjust to the challenges a... Read more...

Original 106 FM

(1/15/2018 9:00:24 AM)

Type: Broadcast Mention of LSE report which said that Aberdeen would be the UK city worst hit by a hard Brexit. ... Read more...

Original 106 FM

Original 106 FM (7:00:48 AM)

Mention of LSE report which found Aberdeen would be worst hit by a hard Brexit. ... Read more...

Guardian

Does London mayor Sadiq Khan’s Brexit report stack up?

A no-deal Brexit would leave Britain’s economy diminished and its people poorer. That is the conclusion of the economic forecast commissioned by the mayor of London, Sadiq Khan from Cambridge Econometric... Read more...

Guardian

Does London mayor Sadiq Khan's Brexit report stack up?

A no-deal Brexit would leave Britain’s economy diminished and its people poorer. That is the conclusion of the economic forecast commissioned by the mayor of London, Sadiq Khan from Cambridge Econometric... Read more...

Vox Video

Brexit and living standards

The average British household is already worse off than it was before the Brexit vote. Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson discuss how much of the rise in inflation is due to Brexit. Higher prices are costing the a... Read more...

Sputnik News – Education (Russia)

Thousands of EU professors left Britain because of Brexit

According to the calculations of the Center for Economic Performance (CEP), Brexit will significantly affect inflation, the national currency rate, as well as the income level of the British and the overall qu... Read more...

The Western Mail

Blair think-tank expert’s bleak Brexit predictions

AREPORT written by a Welsh political consultant for a thinktank set up by Tony Blair paints a bleak picture of a post-Brexit future. Dafydd Rees, who has held senior positions with the BBC, Sky and Bloomberg, ... Read more...

Institute for Global Change

Tony Blair: Brexit – what we now know – briefing

Executive summary: This document sets out some of the key things we have learnt since the referendum. These include: The Office for Budget Responsibility has downgraded UK growth expectations for the ... Read more...

States News Service

Brexit – what we now know

The following information was released by the Office of Tony Blair: Executive summary The Centre for Economic Performance says that the Brexit vote has cost the average household 404 a year. ... Read more...

Financial Times

Debt and interest rates to be consumers’ big worries, say economists

Q: In 2017, consumers’ finances were squeezed by rapidly rising prices. Will 2018 be an easier year for UK households and what are the implications for consumer spending? A:  Swati Dhingra, assis... Read more...

Portfolio (Hungary)

Pesszimisták a britek a Brexit kellős közepén/Pessimists are the British in the middle of Brexit

The latest forecasts from major London economic research houses seem to provoke pensive respondents. The renowned London Economics University, a study by the London School of Economics (CEP), has shown that th... Read more...

The Scotsman

Leader comment: Let's not jump off a Brexit cliff in 2018

The London School of Economics has estimated that failing to agree a trade deal could cost the UK economy up to £430 billion over five years. ... Read more...

Nap.hu (Hungary)

Will big pay rise come next year in Hungary?

Large London think tanks have also drawn attention to the real wage erosion in Great Britain. The recent London-based Economics Research Center (CEP), the London-based Economics University of London, has shown... Read more...

Napi.hu (Hungary)

That’s half of every fifth British employee

The recent study of the London School of Economics (CEP) in London has demonstrated with various model calculations that the unexpected market and real economy shock of a British EU member, who won a narrow ma... Read more...

Arah (Indonesia)

Usia Berapa yang Paling Membahagiakan Dalam Hidup? Ini Jawabannya/What age is most joyful in life? This is the answer

A study published by the Center for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics says the happiest age in human life, statistically, is 23 and 69 years. Based on data from 23,161 people aged 17 and 8... Read more...

International Business Times

What's the point of blue passports if we can't even afford holidays after Brexit?

Brexit analysis from the Centre for Economic Performance recently found that the living standard of every income group in the UK would decrease after Brexit, with those on middle incomes suffering slightly mor... Read more...

Adevarul.ro (Romania)

The real cost of Brexit for Great Britain: 350 million pounds a week

According to a study by the Financial Times, which analyzed a wide range of estimates and predictions, output in the UK is about 0.9% below the potential for remaining in the single market. In a complementary ... Read more...

Adevarul (Rumania)

The real cost of Brexit for Great Britain: 350 million pounds a week

According to a study by the Financial Times, which analyzed a wide range of estimates and predictions, output in the UK is about 0.9% below the potential for remaining in the single market. In a complementary ... Read more...

Sohu.com (China)

Economic trend tracking (1795) the Federal Reserve rate hit

Swati Dhingra of the Center for Economic Performance at London School of Economics (LSE) said "Inflation data provides the most useful information." She said the overall impact of uncertainty is more... Read more...

Iz.ru (Russia)

The EU was told about the multi-billion losses due to Brexit

As the portal iz.ru wrote, according to calculations for the Center for Economic Performance, each British family will lose up to £404 per year because of Brexit. This is due to rising prices for consume... Read more...

Investing.com

Optimistic UK business confidence indicators predict smooth Brexit

The possible options for the long-term economic partnership range along a wide spectrum – from a European Economic Area-type broad-based single market access, through a Canada-type free trade agreement, ... Read more...

Watson.ch

Europa ist wieder sexy/Europe is sexy again

Everything paletti thus? Not quite. There is a loser, and that means Great Britain. It is becoming increasingly clear that Brexit was not a good idea, at least economically. Thomas Sampson and his colleagues f... Read more...

Watson.ch

Europa ist wieder sexy/Europe is sexy again

Everything paletti thus? Not quite. There is a loser, and that means Great Britain. It is becoming increasingly clear that Brexit was not a good idea, at least economically. Thomas Sampson and his colleagues f... Read more...

MSN

The real price of Brexit begins to emerge

Thomas Sampson and colleagues at the London School of Economics have examined the direct effect of sterling’s depreciation since the EU referendum on prices and living standards. With the pound falling a... Read more...

Left Foot Forward

This is how much Brexit has cost already

Business investment grew by 1.3 per cent in the third quarter of 2017, this is down almost five-fold against official forecasts for growth drawn up in 2016. This economic downturn after Brexit has already cost... Read more...

Financial Times

The real price of Brexit begins to emerge

FT research shows that the weekly hit to the British economy could be the same £350m that Leave campaigners promised to claw back Thomas Sampson and colleagues at the London School of Economics have e... Read more...

CICC Online (China)

Sino-U.S. EU Economic Situation The global perception of China has completely changed

In June 2016, a referendum was held in Britain and the result was to withdraw from the EU. This opens the door to an experiment: what happens when an economy wants to reduce its globalization and lift its ties... Read more...

Servizio Informazione Religiosa (Italy)

European Council: Breinlich (London School of Economics), on Brexit “no surprise”. Agreement acceptable to everyone

Holger Breinlich, one of the UK's leading international economics experts, a lecturer at the London School of Economics and the University of Nottingham, comments on the start of phase two of the EU-UK neg... Read more...

CNFOL.COM (China)

Sino-U.S. EU Economic Situation The global perception of China has completely changed

John Wraith, head of interest rate policy at UBS UK, said: "The impact of the referendum was, first and foremost, only a sharp fall in the pound." Due to strong consumer spending, the UK economy init... Read more...

New Republic

The muddle of the middle

Last month, a study   by the London School of Economics found that the average household will already be paying at least an extra £400 in shopping annually, due to Brexit-induced infl... Read more...

American Economic Association

Chart of the week: Breaking down Brexit

Estimates of the full cost of Brexit — ranging from one to ten percent of the UK per capita income — depend on how the UK leaves. In a new paper in the fall issue of the Journal of Economic Perspec... Read more...

Szaopressa.com (Russia)

May: The estimated amount of "compensation" for Brexit will be approximately 35-39 billion pounds

In a study of the English Center for Economic Performance, published in late autumn, it is reported that only the fact of voting for England's withdrawal from the European Union has resulted in serious los... Read more...

Circular (Russia)

Each British family loses about $ 530 a year because of Brexit: the decision to withdraw from the EU has negatively affected inflation and the standard of living in the UK

Thus, the report for the Center for Economic Performance shows that voting for exit from the EU "was an unforeseen shock for the UK economy," the researchers conclude. "Our results provide convi... Read more...

The New European

Deluded President Trump failing the stress test

There is another B word that keeps popping up whenever the shortcomings of B for Brexit are highlighted. B for Bandwidth. We heard it from Alan Milburn as he explained why he was stepping down from his work he... Read more...

Daily Mail online

Liam Fox faces embarrassment after book he endorsed warns how hard Brexit could be damaging

Pro-Brexit Cabinet Minister Liam Fox faced embarrassment last night after it was revealed that he commissioned and endorsed a new book which warns of the damaging effects of a 'hard' Brexit. The Intern... Read more...

Rambler.ru (Russia)

Jean-Claude Juncker summed up the first phase of negotiations between the UK and the EU

The decision to leave the UK from the EU negatively affected the quality of life of citizens. This conclusion was reached by the specialists of the Center for Economic Performance research center, having found... Read more...

Business Insider

Brexit arguments rumble on as breakthrough is still awaited, says Ken Symon

Brexit arguments rumble on as breakthrough is still awaited, says Ken Symon Research by three academics from the London School of Economics, Josh De Lyon, Swati Dhingra and Stephen Machin shows th... Read more...

BBC Radio Surrey (6:30:41 AM)

CEP on Radio

… within the next half an hour Mole Valley and Drygate and Banstead among the areas which would be hit hardest by Brexit according to a report by researchers at the London School of Economics say both e... Read more...

Gulf Times online

Premier faces growth Tory civil war over soft Brexit deal

A recent study by LSE said Brexit without a trade deal would cost London over £100bn over five years, while staying in the single market would reduce the losses to some £58bn. ... Read more...

Evening Standard (London)

Now Tory civil war deepens over soft Brexit

Snippet:... A recent study by LSE said Brexit without a trade deal would cost London over £100 billion over five years, while staying in the single market would reduce the losses to some £58 billio... Read more...

Tvzvezda.ru (Russia)

по Brexit/May and Junker could not agree on Brexit

Article by Thomas Sampson, Dennis Novy, Holger Breinlich and Elsa Leromain Most economists believe that Brexit will be bad for the UK economy in the long-run. But what about the short-term? How ha... Read more...

ITV television

Peston on Sunday

Our final #GeekoftheWeek goes to Henry Overman with his NIESR chart looking at the local economic impact of Brexit. ... Read more...

Business Daily

Open door policy could raise Nairobi’s status as African economic hub

In a paper title Brexit and the Impact of Immigration on the UK by Jonathan Wadsworth, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen, the writers reveal that European Union (EU) immigration has triple... Read more...

Solihull News

We're £800 a year worse off thanks to Brexit, report says

...[Thomas] Sampson, who coauthored the Centre for Economic Performance research, said: "Even ... ... Read more...

The Street

Britain’s opposition leader says Labour Party a ‘threat’ to investment banks

The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance and Centre for Cities estimates the British capital could lose as much as £18 billion in annual revenue and as many as 30,000 jobs, a f... Read more...

Twitter

Peston on Sunday‏ : @pestononsunday

How will your local area be affected by #Brexit? Our final #GeekoftheWeek goes to @HenryOverman with his @NIESRorg chart looking at the local economic impact of Brexit.   Peston on Sunday Retweeted ... Read more...

Independent

Brexit has lost UK economy £300m per week since EU referendum result, analysis finds

A report by the London School of Economics’ Centre for Economics Performance earlier this month estimated that the Brexit-related spike in inflation in the UK had already cost the average UK household ar... Read more...

Get Surrey

Reigate & Mole Valley 'will be hit harder by Brexit than almost anywhere in the UK, study suggests

The report defines a hard Brexit as being on World Trade Organisation (WTO) tariffs with no customs union, and a soft Brexit with the UK staying in a form of customs union and tariffs remaining at zero with a ... Read more...

CEP mentioned in the Budget Resolutions Debate

CEPresearch was used in the post budget debate by MPs.

Alison Thewliss MP (SNP), Shadow SNP spokesman for Cities and Treasury referred to the recent CEP report The Brexit Vote, Inflation and UK Living Standards estimate "that the average household has... Read more...

CAPX

Brexit is already costing Britain

Article by Thomas Sampson et al Most economists believe that Brexit will be bad for the UK economy in the long-run. But what about the short-term? How has the referendum affected households in the first yea... Read more...

NIESR Blog

The local economic impacts of Brexit

Article by Henry Overman Much has been written about the impact that Brexit might have on the national economy. We know far less about how that impact might vary across the UK. In a recent paper published i... Read more...

De Welt

Britische Regionen fordern Brexit-Extrawürste

However, the regions that are now calling for special rules do not belong to those parts of the country that Brexit is likely to hit particularly hard economically. According to calculations by economists at t... Read more...

Pakistan Today

Change course or risk Brexit chaos, Ireland warns Theresa May

The latest work by economists at the London School of Economics estimates that, if the UK crashes out of the EU with no deal, the impact will be far more severe than the projections in the budget suggested. Th... Read more...

Birmingham Evening Mail

We’re £800 a year worse off thanks to Brexit, report says

… Dr Thomas Sampson, who co-authored the Centre for Economic Performance research, said: "Even before Brexit occurs, the increase in inflation caused by the Leave vote has already hurt UK household... Read more...

Guardian

Irish warn Theresa May: change course or risk Brexit chaos

Government sources said ministers would this week release sections of assessments into the potential economic impact of Brexit carried out across Whitehall, which until recently they had tried to keep secret. ... Read more...

ZDF.de (Germany)

Stellenabbau: Viele Sorgen, wenig Optimismus/Job cuts: many worries, little optimism

Read more...

HispanTV.com

Brexit: United Kingdom undergoes its lowest growth in 5 years

Growth largely rested on household spending. The companies, influenced by the uncertainty created by the Brexit - exit of the United Kingdom of the European Union (EU) -, invested cautiously while clearing unk... Read more...

Sputnik News (Russia)

Revenues of the British fell after Brexit and shrink still

According to the Center for Economic Performance Research Center (CEP), one of the main consequences of the vote on leaving the European Union was a marked decrease in the quality of life of British subjects. ... Read more...

De Welt (Germany)

Britische Regionen fordern Brexit-Extrawürste

However, the regions that are now calling for special rules do not belong to those parts of the country that Brexit is likely to hit particularly hard economically. According to calculations by economists at t... Read more...

ZDF.de (Germany)

Stellenabbau: Viele Sorgen, wenig Optimismus/Job cuts: many worries, little optimism

How many jobs are being lost in the UK due to the relocation of businesses is still unclear. Estimates range from 30,000 to 200,000. The Bank of England's most recent forecast, according to the BBC, is the... Read more...

Sputnik News (Russia)

Revenues of the British fell after Brexit and shrink still

According to the Center for Economic Performance Research Center (CEP), one of the main consequences of the vote on leaving the European Union was a marked decrease in the quality of life of British subjects. ... Read more...

NewsR.in (India)

UK economy: moderate growth but inflation remains high

Right now, the British people are already paying money. Every time they go shopping, because prices have gone up, they actually can buy less with their money said Dennis Novy, research fellow at the Center for... Read more...

Premium Official News

New study reveals hit to living standards from Brexit

... according to new analysis from the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London  ... ... Read more...

The UK in a Changing Europe Newsletter

Brexit squeeze

In the first detailed statistical analysis of how the referendum outcome has affected UK inflation, wages and living standards Thomas Sampson and his team show UK households are paying a high economic price fo... Read more...

LSE Business Review blog

Budget 2017: productivity is the focus, but ‘fixes’ are unlikely to be enough

The danger is not making a real difference to productivity when the country needs it the most, writes Anna Valero. Budget 2017 began with a bleak assessment of the UK’s growth prospects. For those of us ... Read more...

Eldiario.es (Spain)

The moral urgency of mental health

In support of this statement we can mention a recent investigation by a team of economists from the London School of Economics, directed by Richard Layard. The researchers analyzed data from surveys conducted ... Read more...

Zarojel.hu (Hungary)

British workers have already paid weekly for Brexit

In the referendum on British EU membership last June, a small, 51.9 percent majority of the participants voted out. The study, published on Monday by the prestigious London Economics University at London Schoo... Read more...

Financial Mail

DINNER PARTY INTEL: Tencent takes on the world

In the referendum on British EU membership last June, a small, 51.9 percent majority of the participants voted out. The study, published on Monday by the prestigious London Economics University at London Schoo... Read more...

EuroNews (Hungary)

Price of brexit: shrinking growth, rising inflation

The British already pay the price of brexit - explains Dennis Novy, an economics researcher at the London School of Economics and Political Science. - Every single shopping gets less and less money for their m... Read more...

Zarojel.hu (Hungary)

British workers have already paid weekly for Brexit

In the referendum on British EU membership last June, a small, 51.9 percent majority of the participants voted out. The study, published on Monday by the prestigious London Economics University at London Schoo... Read more...

Financial Mail

DINNER PARTY INTEL: Tencent takes on the world

3. Britons begin to feel the Brexit pinch - EU and Union flags fly above Parliament Square in central London, Britain. UK households are more than £400/year worse off as a result of Brexit-induced inflat... Read more...

CCTV Mandarin News

News

Dennis Novy interviewed by Chinese television on CEP Brexit analysis research into how much Brexit is already costing UK households. ... Read more...

Iran Daily

Statistics report shows Brexit’s influence on inflation in UK

A statistical analysis on the consequences of the Brexit vote in the United Kingdom was released on Monday, showing how the referendum outcome has affected inflation and living standards of people across the c... Read more...

EuroNews

UK economy: moderate growth but inflation remains high

UK economy: Britain is on course for its longest fall in living standards since records began, with wages not returning to their pre-financial crisis levels until at least 2025. … “Right now, the ... Read more...

Rosbalt.ru (Russia)

British authorities have reserved another 3 billion pounds for planning Brexit

Recently, the Center for Economic Performance (CEP), a local research center, recently released a survey according to which every British family, on average, loses 400 pounds sterling per year due to Brexit. ... Read more...

Rosbalt.ru (Russia)

British authorities have reserved another 3 billion pounds for planning Brexit

Recently, the Center for Economic Performance (CEP), a local research center, recently released a survey according to which every British family, on average, loses 400 pounds sterling per year due to Brexit. ... Read more...

GQ

Budget 2017: Brexit is the least of Philip Hammond’s worries

“One of the guys who pays my wages has decided he’s pulling investment from the UK,” my private fund manager mate tells me on Sunday as we stand on the touchline, watching our kids play rugby... Read more...

The Herald (Scotland)

Beware: Spreadsheet Phil will be flying blind in this Budget

Meanwhile, on the home front consumers have been fighting raging price increases thanks to the collapse in the value of the pound. The average household has lost £404 last year according to the Centre fo... Read more...

LSE Brexit blog

UK households are already paying an average of £404pa for Brexit

On 23 June 2016, the UK voted to leave the EU. As soon as the result became clear, sterling depreciated sharply and, since the vote, UK inflation has dramatically increased. How much of the rise in inflat... Read more...

LSE News

New study reveals hit to living standards from Brexit

Brexit is already costing the average UK household £7.74 per week or £404 per year, according to new analysis from the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London School of Economics and Po... Read more...

Wales online

Wales and Northern Ireland see 'the worst inflation spikes in the UK'

Wales and Northern Ireland have suffered the worst spikes in inflation in the UK as a result of last year’s vote for Brexit, according to new research from the London School of Economics. The analysis by... Read more...

Channel 103

Brexit vote 'has made households £400-a-year worse off', say researchers

A report from the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) says the average household is paying £404-a-year extra on food and household items due to rising prices. After the EU referendum vote, the falling ... Read more...

Bailiwick Express

Households are £852 a year worse off due to Brexit, study finds

Dr Thomas Sampson, who co-authored the Centre for Economic Performance research, said: “Even before Brexit occurs, the increase in inflation caused by the Leave vote has already hurt UK households. &ldqu... Read more...

Fars News Agency (Tehran)

Research: Brexit costs UK househilds over $500 per year

According to research conducted by the UK-based Centre for Economic Performance "By June 2017, the Brexit vote was costing the average household £7.74 per week through ... Read more...

Vox

The consequences of the Brexit vote for UK inflation and living standards: First evidence

Article by Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson. On 23 June 2016, the UK voted to leave the EU. As soon as the result became clear, sterling depreciated sharply and, since the vote, ... Read more...

The UK in a Changing Europe blog

New evidence shows UK households paying high economic price for vote to leave EU

The first detailed statistical analysis of how the referendum outcome has affected UK inflation, wages and living standards shows UK households are paying a high economic price for the vote to leave the Europe... Read more...

Financial Times

One to watch: four economies in focus

While movements in global commodity markets helped raise inflation, price rises in the UK have outstripped those in other leading economies. By September 2017, prices were up 3 per cent over the past year comp... Read more...

What Works Growth blog

The good news about exports

Article by Henry Overman: With Brexit looming, we’ve been running a series of workshops with local areas to think about different policy responses and consider what the evidence says on effectiveness. On... Read more...

Prospect Magazine

The reality of No Deal, part three: chaos at Calais

Article by Thomas Sampson: Why will Brexit cause problems at the border? Let’s start with the basics. The central issue is that currently, goods move freely between the UK and other EU countries. That&rs... Read more...

Financial Times

The great Brexit test begins to unfold

“The inflation figures are the most informative,” says Swati Dhingra, at the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics. She says the impact of broad uncertainty has been har... Read more...

LBC Radio

5:45:12 pm

Snippet: ...e Thank you very much Steve France's reporting for us there in Cardiff and serve loaded of the have been in touch about food prices someone texted me to say food has increased by 5% since June ... Read more...

The UK in a changing Europe blog

Post-Brexit UK trade policy: still just a wish list

Article by Nikhil Datta and Swati Dhingra It’s no secret that the UK is deeply integrated into the European Union. About half of its trade and investment is with the EU and, as a member of the single ... Read more...

Scottish Energy News

CBI survey shows 98% of British energy firms want post-Brexit investment framework

Meanwhile, the risks of Scotland crashing out of the EU without the UK government securing a deal have been revealed in a damning report by the London School of Economics. Figures show that every single part o... Read more...

Daily Record and Sunday Mail

Brexit could cost South Lanarkshire £1.3 billion

South Lanarkshire could lose out to the tune of £1.3 billion after Brexit according to statistics from the London School of Economics. ... Read more...

BBC Parliament

Live House of Commons

Ronnie Cowan, SNP, Inverclyde:  A report from the centre for cities and the Centre for economic performance and the London School of Economics said that all cities would schedule increasing cost... Read more...

LSE European Politics and Policy blog

The Brexit vote has caused a significant rise in UK prices, especially food

Article by Josh De Lyon, Swati Dhingra and Stephen Machin Since Britain’s EU referendum, UK inflation has risen faster than that of the Eurozone. Price rises have varied across sectors, but as&nb... Read more...

LSE Business Review blog

UK inflation has been rising fast since the Brexit vote

Food prices are rising faster, and real wage growth has again turned negative, write Josh De Lyon, Swati Dhingra and Stephen Machin.... Overall, this research points to a significant rise in prices occurring a... Read more...

Huffington Post

Wetherspoon's boss 'certain' Brexit can reduce food costs - but vague on his own prices

LSE economist Thomas Sampson viewed Martin’s press release and told HuffPost it had a “partial truth”, as axing the tariffs would make food cheaper but only cheaper than if Britain left the E... Read more...

Welt

Schon jetzt kostet der Brexit jeden Briten 682 Euro/Already, the Brexit costs every Briton 682 euros

Another study by the institute examining the regional implications of Brexit concludes that the south around London is likely to be hit particularly hard, as well as the region around Manchester and the south ... Read more...

Avvenire (Italy)

Breinlich: La recessione à dietro l’angolo/Breinlich: The recession is around the corner

The LSE economist: the cost of leaving the Union will fluctuate between £200 billion a year in the event of a complete breakdown and 20 billion for the softest solution to the Norwegian. There is no doub... Read more...

The UK in a changing Europe blog

Brexit and the future of globalisation

Article by Thomas Sampson Since World War II the global economy has become increasingly integrated. Brexit runs counter to this trend and has ignited a debate about the future of the EU and the global econo... Read more...

Helensburgh Advertiser

New figures reveal likely Brexit impact on Argyll and Bute

Research by the London School of Economics forecasts that even in the event of a Brexit transition deal being struck, the Argyll and Bute economy will shrink by 2 per cent. ... Read more...

Press and Journal (Aberdeen)

Argyll could be £350 million out of pocket as a result of Brexit

Scotland’s Brexit Secretary Mike Russell told the convention that a report out last week revealed a soft exit from the EU would leave the area £150million worse off, while a “hard, no deal Br... Read more...

Jyllands Posten (Denmark)

Eksperter: Globaliseringen har aldrig været en folkefest/Experts: Globalization has never been a people's party

Dennis Novy interviewed on globalisation and Brexit. ... Read more...

BBC TV Midlands

Sunday Politics

Mention of figures from the London School of Economics on the impact of a ‘no-deal’ Brexit on Birmingham’s economy. ... Read more...

The Straits Times

Messy divorce looms as Brexit talks go nowhere

The overall impression in other European capitals is that the British want to have their cake and eat it, by leaving the EU and yet retaining all its advantages, a demand which no EU government is prepared to ... Read more...

BBC TV Scotland

Scottish Questions

Snippet: Mention of LSE study on cost of Brexit for Scotland ... Read more...

The Press and Journal (Aberdeen)

Scottish Secretary “does not recognise” expert analysis of Brexit hit to Aberdeen

Scottish Secretary David Mundell has told opponents of Brexit to stop bandying about “damning figures” such as an analysis that Aberdeen will be worst hit by the divorce from Brussels. The London S... Read more...

Yorkshire Post

Leeds set to lose out on £6.4bn in a ‘Hard’ Brexit

However, the Department for Exiting the EU recently rejected requests to publish the analysis, arguing that there was a risk of a knock-on effect on national and regional economies . But the Lib Dems have work... Read more...

BBC News online

Brexit impact study ‘will not be published’ UK government assessments of the potential economic impact of Brexit on Scotland will not be made public, the Brexit secretary has confirmed.

But the analysis will be shared with the Scottish government, David Davis told a committee of MPs. Mr Davis told the Brexit select committee that publishing the analysis could undermine the national interest. ... Read more...

The Scotsman

Leader comment: Brexit figures must not be kept secret

It is still unclear whether we are heading for a ‘hard’ or ‘soft’ Brexit but, amid calls for a second referendum, it is important that voters are told about the UK Government’s ow... Read more...

Original 106 FM

Snippet: News story about study on the impact of Brexit on Aberdeen

Snippet: News story about study on the impact of Brexit on Aberdeen  ... Read more...

BBC Radio (Shetland)

(10/24/2017 6:20:18 AM)

Snippet: Discussion of study on cost of Brexit for Scotland ... Read more...

The Times (Scotland)

Cities stand to lose billions from Brexit

Scotland’s biggest cities stand to lose billions of pounds if the UK government fails to secure a Brexit deal, the Liberal Democrats have claimed (Hamish Macdonell writes). The party commissioned analysi... Read more...

Guardian

Universities deplore ‘McCarthyism’ as MP demands list of tutors lecturing on Brexit

Tory whip writes to every vice-chancellor to ask for syllabus and any online material Academics are accusing a Tory MP and government whip of “McCarthyite” behaviour, after he wrote to all unive... Read more...

Economic Policy Volume 32, Issue 92, October 2017

Articles Editors’ Choice

‘This paper estimates the welfare effects of Brexit in the medium to long run, focusing on trade and fiscal transfers. We use a standard quantitative general equilibrium trade model with many countries a... Read more...

Economic Policy Volume 32, Issue 92, October 2017

Articles Editors’ Choice

Who voted for Brexit? A comprehensive district-level analysis – Sascha O Becker, Thiemo Fetzer and Dennis Novy ‘On 23 June 2016, the British electorate voted to leave the European Union (EU). We... Read more...

The Blogger’s EU and Brexit blog

#LSEBrexitvote/Swati Dhingra/Is leaving the Customs Union the right move?

Will the UK be able to strike better trade deals than the European Union once it leaves the EU? Dr Swati Dhingra interview. Related interview #LSEBrexitvote/Swati Dhingra/Is leaving the Customs Union the... Read more...

BBC London 94.9 (Radio)

Snippet: ..Discussion of study showing cost of Brexit on London

... Read more...

The Herald (Scotland)

New analysis suggests Scotland would lose billions of pounds with Brexit

Every part of Scotland and the UK as a whole would be affected by a soft Brexit, which would retain access to the single market during a transition period, according to the London School of Economics (LSE). Ho... Read more...

Birmingham Mail

Birmingham would lose almost £7 billion from a ‘hard Brexit’

Birmingham would be the second most damaged city in Britain by a hard Brexit, new research has revealed. The city's economy would lose £6.82 billion over five years. The figures, published by the res... Read more...

Evening Standard

Hard Brexit ‘would cost London more than £100bn’

London boroughs from the suburbs to the City stand to lose billions of pounds from Brexit, new research revealed today. The impact of a “hard” exit without a trade deal would cost the capital&rsquo... Read more...

ChronicleLive (Newcastle)

This is how much a ‘no-deal’ Brexit would drain out of Newcastle and the rest of the North East

Newcastle’s economy would shrink by £1.92bn, a fall in economic output of 5%. The figures, published by the respected Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, show how muc... Read more...

Brabants Dagblad (Netherlands)

Ingezonden(Letters)

A response to the interview with Thomas Sampson about the 'Devil's Dilemma of the Brexit'. I know many English who voted for Brexit, and almost all of them are highly educated. The reasons for this... Read more...

Mail online

Leaving the EU without a trade deal could cost Britain £430 BILLION over five years, warns Vince Cable

Using calculations based on research by the London School of Economics, the Lib Dems say that if the UK exits the EU in March 2019 without a deal, Britain’s economic output in the five years after Brexit... Read more...

Daily Mirror

New Brexit research suggests Britain’s bill for leaving the EU without a deal

Leaving the EU will cost Britain £430billion over five years if no deal is done, research suggests. Even a “soft” Norway-style Brexit could cost the ­country £235billion – spa... Read more...

Naked Capitalism

Brexit: the economics of international disintegration

Article by Thomas Sampson It is too soon to know whether Brexit will be merely a diversion on the path to greater integration, a sign globalisation has reached its limits, or the start of a new era of prote... Read more...

Vox

Brexit: The economics of international disintegration

Article by Thomas Sampson While we can estimate the economic impact of Brexit, we do not yet understand what made people vote for it. This column argues that political pro-Brexit rhetoric conflates two dist... Read more...

The Spectator

Will the City thrive after Brexit?

While talk of a sudden exodus might be overblown, there is a danger that jobs in the sector could gradually slip away from the capital. Barclays’ Peter Gordon says that, over the next decade, ‘we m... Read more...

The Street.com

Goldman CEO Lloyd Blankfein trolls Britain’s Brexit plans with Frankfurt tweet

The London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance and Centre for Cities estimates the British capital could lose as much as £18 billion ($23.7 billion) in annual revenue and as many as ... Read more...

MIT Management Newsroom

Brexit, explained

Article by John Van Reenen:  ... “An argument that was made in favor of Brexit was that by restricting Europeans coming into Britain, it would create an economic boon,” said MIT Sloan professo... Read more...

LSE Brexit blog

Why Brexit could hit productivity in the UK

UK economic performance has been poor since the vote to leave the EU in June 2016, but has not been the catastrophe that many predicted. Nicholas Bloom (Stanford) and Paul Mizen (Nottingham University) dr... Read more...

Spectator – Coffee House blog

The embarrassing role of economists on Brexit

A major impediment to clarity has been the weight of advice from what Michael Gove calls ‘organisations with acronyms’ suggesting that  a ‘no deal’ on trade will greatly damage the... Read more...

Horticulture Week

Can UK fresh produce come out of Brexit ahead?

NFU Scotland’s Horticulture Committee chairman and Angus Soft Fruits (ASF) grower James Porter last month met UK Migration Advisory Committee chair Professor Alan Manning and Defra secretary Michael Gove... Read more...

London Review of Books

Letters – Vol 39 No. 20 19 October 2017 How not to do trade deals

Letter by Swati Dhingra and Nikhil Datta Martin Sanderson points out that manufacturing accounts for only a small share of the UK workforce, and reasons that it is hardly right to say blue-collar British wo... Read more...

The Maui News - blog

Mutually assured destruction

In the London Review of Books, Swati Dhingra and Nikhil Datta (economists in London) run down all the difficulties facing Britain in withdrawing from the European Union, in an article called “How Not to ... Read more...

BBC News

Pembrokeshire council vote for Brexit working group

A working group will be set up to prepare Pembrokeshire for the effect of Brexit, following a council vote. The county could lose £35.4m in trade if the United Kingdom opts for a "hard" Brexit,... Read more...

The Sunday Times

Still clueless on Brexit – and it is taking its toll

… Whether post-EU frictionless trade is even possible remains to be seen. In an article in the London Review of Books, Swati Dhingra and Nikhil Datta of the London School of Economics pour cold water on... Read more...

Kathimerini.gr (Greece)

Source of uncertainty, but not destruction, Brexit

Article by NICHOLAS BLOOM*, PAUL MIZEN The conditions in the British economy worsened after the Brexit referendum, but there was no disaster predicted by various economists. Growth rates in Britain have fal... Read more...

Ad.nl (Netherlands)

Brexit: van ‘taking back our money’ komt niets terecht/Brexit: 'taking back our money' is nothing wrong

Interview: Een harde Brexit kost iedere Brit 10 procent aan inkomen. Dat becijferde de jonge, gezaghebbende econoom Thomas Sampson. “Het aan banden leggen van het persoonsverkeer is heel kostbaar.”... Read more...

Western Telegraph

Report to Pembrokeshire County Council cabinet compares likely impact of Brexit to Sea Empress oil disaster

Brexit will hit Pembrokeshire harder than the Sea Empress disaster, according to a comparison made in a report for Cabinet next week. The Director of Development’s report ahead of an agenda item called &... Read more...

CEP at Party Conferences 2017

Labour Party Conference

Immigration Minister Rt Hon Brandon Lewis stated that the government was not looking to push skilled workers to leave the UK but to implement changes for further down the line to meet the demand for less migra... Read more...

Great Yarmouth Mercury

Great Yarmouth MP Brandon Lewis warns businesses may have to employ fewer staff post-Brexit

Businesses will be forced to employ fewer staff and improve productivity after Brexit, Great Yarmouth MP Brandon Lewis has warned. … Further details on how the government will tackle the problem will be... Read more...

Chronicle Live

Immigration Minister gives ominous Brexit warning to businesses when it comes to staff

The Government’s Migration Advisory Committee (MAC), chaired by Professor Alan Manning of the London School of Economics, would present a report to Government in September, and this would influence plans... Read more...

CEP Engagement

Conservative Party Conference

CAGE/SMF event at the Conservative Party conference in Manchester on Brexit. Dennis Novy talked about issues related to international trade, in particular the EU Single Market and customs union and potential n... Read more...

Birmingham Mail

Businesses told they may have to learn to get by with fewer staff after Brexit

Immigration Minister Brandon Lewis says it takes 20 workers to build a house in the UK but just four workers overseas The Government’s Migration Advisory Committee (MAC), chaired by Professor Alan Man... Read more...

LBC online

Maajid Nawaz: Maajid explains to leaver why immigration does not reduce wages

"Wheat and bread isn't analogous to workers coming to the country and that being the cause of the depreciation of wages. "The Economic Centre at LSE's Centre of Policy and Research [sic], hav... Read more...

Farmers Guardian

Non-EU workers targeted to plug agricultural labour gap

British agriculture has become a less attractive place to work for EU migrants and the industry needs to be able to look outside the EU to source more labour. This was the call from the chairman of NFU Scotlan... Read more...

The Beacon

How the UK can benefit from a free trade future after Brexit - even outside the Single Market

Too many economists have refused to take seriously the idea that Brexit has the potential to provide economic benefits to the UK. Before the referendum, Treasury economists assured the public that a vote to le... Read more...

Independent

Brexit: 'Zero chance' leaving EU will make Britons better off, Nobel laureate economist Paul Krugman says

Exclusive: Krugman rejects the assertions of Brexiteers that leaving the single market and customs union will ultimately help the UK export more to the rest of the world. A study by economi... Read more...

The UK in a Changing Europe blog

Florence speech falls short on the details of a bespoke arrangement with the EU

Article by Swati Dhingra and Josh De Lyon. On trade, the PM reiterated that the UK would be outside the Single Market and the Customs Union after Brexit. The UK would not pursue off-the-shelf arrangements, lik... Read more...

LBC Radio - Live with Nick Ferrari

How much does a #Brexit transition period help British business?

Dennis Novy was interviewed. The topic was the potential Brexit transition period, and to what extent it would help British business.   Related links [subscription required] http://lbc.audioag... Read more...

The Independent (Daily Edition)

Zero chance Brexit will make UK better off, Nobel laureate economist says

A study by economists at the London School of Economics has estimated the damage could be as great as 9.5 per cent of GDP if the UK leaves the EU without a free trade deal. Related article ‘Th... Read more...

Financial Times

Business fears Brexit will hit sales, study finds

British companies are increasingly concerned that Brexit will hit sales and raise costs, according to a survey backed by the Bank of England. Tracking the views of chief executives and chief financial officers... Read more...

LSE Brexit blog

Florence speech falls short on the details of a bespoke arrangement with the EU

Theresa May stepped in to lead the discussion on what the UK hopes to achieve from its Brexit negotiations with the EU. Swati Dhingra and Josh De Lyon (CEP, LSE) argue that her Fl... Read more...

Economist

Letters to the Editor: Patrick Minford responds

Rather, by using detailed quality-adjusted OECD prices we reach roughly the same estimates of nontariff barriers that the researchers at the London School of Economics cite for their own w... ... Read more...

LSE News

New LSE report on uneven spread of UK industry

The South-East is not the country’s productivity engine, rather a band stretching west from the capital towards Bristol is, according to a new LSE report which challenges prevailing wisdom on the uneven ... Read more...

European Union News – Durham University: Thought Leadership

How the UK can benefit from a free trade future after Brexit – even outside the single market

Professor of Finance and Economics, Kevin Dowd (Durham University), Professor David Paton (Nottingham University) and Professor David Blake (University of London) discuss how the UK can benefit from a free tra... Read more...

MoneyWeek

The UK cities that will be most affected by Brexit

It’s important to realise that, while Brexit will have an effect on the whole of the UK, it will not be spread evenly around the country. In an attempt to look at the relative winners and losers, the thi... Read more...

CEP citations/impact

Brexit reading list: economic, business and transport policy issues’, Gloria Taylor, Briefing Paper No.07830, House of Commons Library

This paper provides information on and/or links to a selection of analysis, comment and statistics on: - Trade negotiations, tariffs and custom duties - Domestic economic policy and public expenditure... Read more...

LSE Brexit blog

The Citizens’ Assembly on Brexit: reflections on the first weekend

The Citizens’ Assembly on Brexit has just completed its first weekend of deliberations. As an earlier post explained, the Assembly is a gathering of people from across the UK who have... Read more...

London Review of Books - Vol.39 No.18 September 2017

Swati Dhingra and Nikhil Datta: how not to do trade deals

Article by Nikhil Datta and Swati Dhingra: About half of Britain’s trade and investment is with the EU, and currently, as members, we implement almost the same standards for products and services. One of... Read more...

Portfolio (Hungary)

Sok munka, sok adó: így élnek a londoni magyarok/There is a lot of work and a lot of taxes: so do the Hungarians living in London

Last year before the Brexit referendum, the Center for Economic Performance (CEP) produced a study on the economic impacts of Eastern European immigrants. The London School of Economics, a research institute f... Read more...

GetReading

See how MPs for Berkshire voted in the Brexit Repeal Bill

Earlier in the summer, research from think tank Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics revealed Reading is likely to be one of the areas hit hardest by Brex... Read more...

Social Europe

How Bad Will Brexit Really Be For The UK?

The great majority of the economic forecasts have concluded that Brexit will damage the UK economy. In the case of ‘no deal’ between the UK and the EU, the majority view is that the loss of GDP cou... Read more...

What Works Centre for Local Economic Growth blog

The local economic impacts of Brexit

I've been working with colleagues at the Centre for Economic Performance (Swati Dhingra and Steve Machin) and the Centre for Cities (Naomi Clayton) to take a first look at the local economic impacts of Bre... Read more...

Oxford Times

Brexit has had 'little affect' on Oxford's finances, report finds

A report by the London School of Economics' Centre for Economic Performance had suggested Brexit would leave all British cities adversely affected. Related publications ‘Brexit, Trade and the E... Read more...

Conatus News

Post-Brexit Industrial Strategy – Dawn of a New Era for Britain?

The Centre for Economic Performance at London School of Economics has predicted a soft brexit is likely to increase the cost of EU trade by 2%, causing a subsequent 1% fall in British GDP, while a hard Brexit ... Read more...

Mirror

Single market, clean break or customs union - which Brexit side do you support and how much will it cost you?

Snippet…The Centre for Economic performance says trade would drop 40 per cent over 10 years and incomes would fall 2.6 per cent. Related links CEP BREXIT Analysis series http://cep.lse.ac.uk/BREXI... Read more...

EamonnMallie.com

A new Ireland presents better opportunities for all – A personal perspective – by Gerry Carlile

.Even before the EU referendum multiple reports carried out by credible and reputable organisations like PWC and Oxford Economics in relation to the effect of Brexit on the UK by the year 2030, concluded that ... Read more...

Politics.co.uk

Why is the government so afraid to publish its Brexit impact studies?

There has been a veritable flood of studies indicating what an economic disaster awaits us if the government pursue its preferred hard Brexit route. If the government's own studies contain anything to coun... Read more...

Economist

Most economists say Brexit will hurt the economy – but one disagrees

Patick Minford thinks that GDP could increase by 6.8% Mr Minford’s calculations are based on dubious assumptions. He also ignores the “gravity” effect, whereby close neighbours trade more ... Read more...

Yahoo! Style

Leading economists say £135bn hard Brexit boost claim ‘defies gravity’

A leading quartet of economists have taken issue with a report by pro-Brexit counterparts that paints a rosy picture for Britain should the country leave the EU without any trade deals in place. The four ... Read more...

City A.M.

DEBATE: Is the Economists for Free Trade £135bn figure realistic?

“NO – Thomas Sampson, assistant professor of economics at the London School of Economics. Economists for Free Trade’s estimate is misleading nonsense. It is based on an economic model that... Read more...

CEP on Twitter

Deputy Leader of SNP group in Westminster and SNP Economy spokesman Kirsty Blackman MSP retweeted LSE: RT @KirstySNP:

Here's a piece from LSE debunking Prof Minford's post-Brexit trade theories and a quote from him about industry – see http://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/the-britain-alone-scenario-how-econo... Read more...

fDi Magazine

The Brexit toll on FDI: The evidence so far 22:42

Foreign investment has dropped sharply since the June 2016's referendum as investors are holding off investments waiting for more clarity on the future of the country outside the EU. LSE’s lecturer D... Read more...

Huffington Post

Economist Who Claims £135billion Hard Brexit Boost For UK Guilty Of ‘Violence To Basic Facts Of Economic Life’

The policy, known as ‘Britain Alone’, was savaged by The Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, which suggested Minford’s work disregarded 40 years of established ... Read more...

In Facts - Stop destructive Brexit

BBC gifts Brexit economists too much credibility

The views of Economists for Brexit / Free Trade have repeatedly been rebuffed elsewhere, for example in a report by a group of economists at the LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance. They predict a 2.3%... Read more...

Yahoo! Finance

Leading economists say £135bn hard Brexit boost claim 'defies gravity'

The LSE quartet – professors Thomas Sampson, Swati Dhingra, Gianmarco Ottaviano and John Van Reenen – do concede that there is, potentially, a very minor boost to going it alone. Their own model... Read more...

Teraz.sk (Slovak)

The departure of Britain from the EU without agreement would not be a disaster by the IEA

"Compared to the results that would result from trading between the UK and the EU under WTO rules, unilateral liberalization (non-imposition of duties) would provide the United Kingdom with benefits becau... Read more...

Bloomberg

'No Deal' With EU No Disaster for Post-Brexit U.K., Says Report

“Compared to an outcome in which the U.K. and the EU traded under WTO terms, there would be benefits for the U.K. to unilaterally liberalizing as it would reduce the cost of imports,” said Thomas S... Read more...

American Journal of Transportation

'No Deal’ With EU No Disaster for Post-Brexit U.K., Says Report

“Compared to an outcome in which the U.K. and the EU traded under WTO terms, there would be benefits for the U.K. to unilaterally liberalizing as it would reduce the cost of imports,” said Thomas S... Read more...

CNN (TV)

Rosemary Church

Dennis Novy gave a live TV interview to CNN (host: Rosemary Church). The topic was the economic impact of Brexit, in particular a potential brain drain from the UK jobs market and the proposed post-Brexit ... Read more...

radioszczecin.pl

Wielka Brytania chce okresu przejściowego. Komentarze po dokumencie rządu / Britain wants a transition period. Comments after government document

The British government has issued a document on Tuesday expressing its willingness to ensure both sides have the greatest stability for several years after the Brexite, and at the same time it was time for Lon... Read more...

The Record.com

One U.S. factory goes global, while Trump shrinks the world

"Altering NAFTA could fundamentally change the production of the economy — for the U.S., as well as for Mexico — and that will be very disruptive," said Swati Dhingra, an economist at the... Read more...

CNN

CNN Live

Dennis Novy gave a live TV interview to CNN (host: Rosemary Church). The topic was the economic impact of Brexit, in particular a potential brain drain from the UK jobs market and the proposed post-Brexit cust... Read more...

Times of Tunbridge Wells

Report claims Brexit will sting whatever guise it comes in…

THE economies of both Tunbridge Wells and Tonbridge will suffer in the coming years due to Brexit, a new report by the London School of Economics claims. Titled The Local Economic Effects of Brexit, the study ... Read more...

Bankier (Poland)

Expert: Britain wants to speed up trade talks with brexitas

Dr Thomas Sampson of the London School of Economics (LSE) said on Tuesday that the publication of UK government plans for a transition period and regulations after the breit suggests that London wants to speed... Read more...

TVN24bis.pl

"Londyn chce przyspieszenia rozmów o handlu po brexicie" / "London wants to speed up talks about trade after brexit"

Dr Thomas Sampson of the London School of Economics (LSE) said that the publication of the UK government's plans for a transition period and regulations after the breit suggests that London wants to speed ... Read more...

BBC TV

Victoria Derbyshire

Dr Swati Dhingra talks about the customs union plan. Related links Swati Dhingra CEP publications webpage:  http://cep.lse.ac.uk/_new/publications/author.asp?author=dhingra ... Read more...

Fox Business

U.K. proposes broad customs deal with EU after Brexit – 2nd update

Also, the U.K. paper isn't a negotiating document and presented technical ideas that weren't fully developed and lacked significant detail. The two long-term approaches "are worth exploring fu... Read more...

4-traders

U.K. proposes broad customs deal with EU after Brexit – 2nd update

LONDON -- The U.K. government proposed a far-reaching customs arrangement with the European Union that it said would eliminate the need for border checks on imports and exports after Brexit. The "new cust... Read more...

LSE Brexit blog

UK government’s customs position paper fails to answer key questions

The UK government’s new position paper on future customs arrangements sets out its objectives for how goods trade with the EU will be governed following Brexit. However, as Thomas Sampson ... Read more...

Forsal.Pl (Poland)

What about international trade after brexit? Here are the possibilities and their consequences

The Center for Economic Performance estimated that in the case of such a scenario over the decade, trade would have fallen by 40 percent and average income by 2.6 percent. ... Read more...

The Times

The regions can be our road to revival, but only if transport links are improved

A rebalancing is long overdue. “Regional disparities are wider in the UK than other western European countries,” according to the London School of Economics’ Centre for Economic Performance. ... Read more...

KentLive

Thanet is predicted to be the worst affected area in Kent by a ‘soft Brexit’

Experts have predicted that Thanet would be the hardest hit area of Kent in a 'soft Brexit' scenario. A new study by the London School of Economics revealed that Thanet could lose £27.2 million &... Read more...

Bloomberg Politics

Britain’s Not-So-Sweet Options for an EU Trade Deal

What if there is no deal? A “very, very bad outcome,” in the words of Chancellor of the Exchequer Philip Hammond. The U.K. would regain control of laws, money, immigration and ability to negotia... Read more...

Prospect magazine

Hard or soft, Brexit will hit every British city—and pro-Leave areas will find it hardest to recover

People up and down the country can ill afford for silly season squabbles to distract us from the complexity of Brexit …amidst the summer politicking and parties, a new report by Centre for ... Read more...

Huffington Post

Credit Crunch Anniversary: Why Pay Is A ‘Long Way’ From Recovering And How Brexit Is Making It Worse

A London School of Economics report in June showed that Britain was one of just three out of 28 countries that saw wages fall in real terms between 2007 and 2015. The only country where wages fell more... Read more...

Liberation.fr (France)

Sorti de l’UE: l’orchestre cacophonique de Londres/Exit of the EU: the cacophony orchestra of London

Theresa May on vacation, the ministers of soft and hard Brexit clash in the most perfect disorder. Economists, on the other hand, predict a decline in growth. The government's hesitations have an impact... Read more...

Consultancy UK

Real pay growth to stagnate in 2017 and 2018

Private sector workers too have seen a significant drop in real term wages in recent years, with an LSE study estimating an effective 10% decrease since the financial crisis to 2015. ... Read more...

Wales online

Top economists have calculated the impact of a soft or hard Brexit on Swansea

Their research found that every local authority would be negatively affected under either scenario but concluded that the economic impact of leaving the single market and customs union would be around twice as... Read more...

Spirit FM

West Sussex town ranked ‘second most affected' area post-Brexit

A new report by think tank Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) predicts Worthing will be on the places hit hardest by an expected downturn in trade after the country leaves the... Read more...

The Sunday Times

A spanner in the works for Britain's growth

Snippet: Philip Hammond has said that if every region of the UK could match the productivity of London and southeast England, there would not be a productivity problem. The London School of Economics, which re... Read more...

Slough Express

Slough to be among top urban areas to feel negatie impact of Brexit, study says

New research suggests that Slough will be among the top five UK urban areas to be negatively impacted by Brexit. A report by the London School of Economics Centre for Economic Performance and think tank Centre... Read more...

DeathRattleSports.com

William Hague: Brexit disaster can be averted thanks to Philip Hammond’s transition plan

Number 10 said on 31 July that it would be “wrong” to suggest that EU free movement to the UK would “continue as it is now” after 2019. But Home Secretary Amber Rudd has said that EU na... Read more...

Laundry and Cleaning News International

TSA appeals to membership to respond to Migration Advisory Committee

MAC chairman, Professor Alan Manning, has been asked to produce interim reports to guide Home Office officials attempting to draw up a post-Brexit immigration regime that will bring an end to free movement but... Read more...

Getreading

Reading has been named as one of the areas likely to be hit hardest by Brexit

A new report put Reading in third place of areas worst hit by a hard Brexit A new report by the think tank Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics reveals... Read more...

FXdailyreport

The Past, Present, and Future of Brexit

Snippet: Many journalists have said the floodgates are now open for a lot of other countries to try and exit the EU including a big country like Spain. John Van Reenen of the London School of Economics called ... Read more...

This is Wiltshire

Business leaders optimistic despite shock statistics that put Swindon among hardest hit by Brexit

The authors of the report, Naomi Clayton and Professor Henry Overman of the LSE’s Centre For Economic Performance, said: “All British cities are set to be negatively affected as a result of higher ... Read more...

International Business Times

What Number 10 really said about ending free movement from the EU

…Rudd has commissioned a group of top economists, the Migration Advisory Committee (MAC), to investigate how the UK's future immigration system "should be aligned with a modern industrial strat... Read more...

Swindon Advertiser

Business leaders optimistic despite shock statistics that put Swindon among hardest hit by Brexit

The London School of Economics has published an analysis of the possible effects of a ‘hard’ and ‘soft’ Brexit on towns and cities all over the country. The report predicts that Swin... Read more...

Guardian

Fox in the chicken house is a boon to the SNP

We are also now beginning to see why Scots voted 2:1 to remain in the EU. The thinktank Centre for Cities has predicted that Scotland’s major cities will suffer the worst consequences of Brexit, hard or ... Read more...

Gazette Live

Hard or soft Brexit? This is what experts think the impact could be on Middlesbrough either way

Middlesbrough has been singled out as one of the places which could be hardest hit by Brexit. As the debate over the terms of the UK’s exit of the European Union continue to be debated, the potential ... Read more...

The Sunday Mirror

Brexit will hit hardest across the South of England - but one place in Scotland gets the brunt

Brexit will hit hardest in the South of England, ­according to new research. But although the more prosperous cities of the South will lose the most, they will find it easiest to adapt. Aberdeen in the Nor... Read more...

Appsforpcdaily.com

Brexit transition deal will end by 2022, says Philip Hammond

In findings released by think tank Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London School of Economics, the potential impact of either Brexit "type" on major cities in t... Read more...

MSN

Brexit to hit Aberdeen worst as London set for 2.6% output fall

Brexit will hit Scottish oil capital Aberdeen the hardest of all Britain’s cities, with London also ranking highly and facing a medium-term blow to economic output of as much as 2.6 percent, academics at... Read more...

LSE British Politics and Policy blog

The UK areas that will be hit most (and least) by Brexit

Article by Henry Overman: The LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance (working with the Centre for Cities think tank) has carried out a study shedding light upon the local economic impact of Brexit. Henry ... Read more...

City AM

These are the six UK cities that will suffer most from a 'hard' Brexit

The study by the Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic performance at the London School of Economics found that cities with large high-skilled service sectors, such as business and financial services, ... Read more...

Click Lancashire

Aberdeen will be hit hardest by Brexit deals

Smaller cities Crawley and Barnsley are predicted to have the lowest downturn in economic output of either a "hard" or "soft" Brexit, alongside cities like Hull and Wakefield. A new report ... Read more...

Newburgh Gazette (Illinois, USA)

Aberdeen and Edinburgh ‘to be hit hardest by Brexit'

Aberdeen and Edinburgh are the cities set to take the biggest financial hit when the United Kingdom leaves the European Union, according to a think tank that predicts a downturn in trade even if ministers stri... Read more...

Energy Voice

Brexit's impact on Aberdeen ‘not as bad as thought', minister says

The impact of Brexit on Aberdeen’s economy will not be as bad as predicted, according to junior Brexit minister Robin Walker. Mr Walker was responding to a bombshell report from the Centre for Cities, wh... Read more...

The National (Scotland)

Gordon MacIntyre-Kemp: Scotland WILL bear the brunt of Brexit recession

…Evidence again that any form of Brexit will do more damage to Scotland’s farming sector than it will to the UK as a whole. At least the city economies will be OK though? Not a chance. The report ... Read more...

Aberdeen Evening Express

Aberdeen's politicians and businesses remain upbeat despite prediction City will suffer most from Brexit

Aberdeen can rise to the challenge of finding news ways to boost the economy, politicians and industry leaders said today. The confident comments come despite a report yesterday that predicts Brexit will hit A... Read more...

Shropshire Star

Telford less likely to be hit by hard Brexit than other UK towns and cities

Telford will be among the UK towns least-affected by a hard Brexit, a report claims – although economists today denied its suggestion that a lack of skills in the town will cushion the blow. Researche... Read more...

Chronicle Live

All areas of North East will be hit by Brexit, new study shows

All areas of the North East would be hit by Brexit and may take longer to recover than other parts of the country, a new study says. The study by the Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance (... Read more...

Business Insider UK

The 6 UK cities that will suffer most from a ‘hard' Brexit

Wealthy Southern cities are predicted to be hardest hit by Brexit, according to a new report. The study, by the Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, foun... Read more...

Blackpool Gazette

Resort named in Brexit hit list

A think tank analysed the potential impact of both a “hard” and “soft” Brexit on British cities in the 10 years following the implementation of new trade arrangements with the EU. It is... Read more...

Sputnik (Romania)

EU citizens will have the right to work in the UK after Brexit – under certain conditions

She [Amber Rudd] told committee chairman, Professor Alan Manning, that during the transition period a “simple system for registering and documenting new arrivals” will be in place. ... Read more...

International Business Times

Eurosceptics plot mass leaflet drive to stop Tony Blair ‘hijacking' Brexit

Elsewhere, the UK government announced on Thursday that it has commissioned a group of top economists to investigate the financial benefits of migration from the EU. The independent Migration Advisory Committe... Read more...

Yahoo! Finance

Brexit will hit southern regions hardest while 'vote leave' areas to be least affected

Read more...

Yahoo! Finance

Brexit will hit southern regions hardest while 'vote leave' areas to be least affected

Read more...

i News

Brexit 'will hit cities and towns in southern England hardest'

Read more...

Guardian

Aberdeen to be worst hit by Brexit but all British cities will suffer

Read more...

Guardian

Aberdeen to be worst hit by Brexit but all British cities will suffer - report

Read more...

The National

Britain to ask committee to assess impact of migration from EU

Read more...

Sputnik News

UK Business Sectors That will suffer the most if EU migration is restricted

Read more...

Yorkshire Evening Post

'Leeds could be among hardest-hit by Brexit'

Read more...

nrc.nl

Willen de Tories migranten nog toelaten? / Will the Tories still allow migrants?

Read more...

The Telegraph

Brexit EU migration study examines if British workers are at a disadvantage to foreign labour

Read more...

BBC Radio 4

(17:10:06)

Read more...

Tyden.cz (Czechoslovakia)

Bezplatná terapie po telefonu: britský experiment zatím funguje/Free therapy by phone: British experiment yet works

Read more...

El Periodico de Mexico

Reino unido elaborara un informe sobre el impacto de la inmigracion europea en el pais/United Kingdom will produce a report on the impact of European immigration in the country

Read more...

Newstalk.com (Ireland)

UK orders study looking at impact of ending free EU movement

A major study has been ordered by the British government to look at the economic impact of ending free movement of EU workers. The UK Home Secretary, Amber Rudd, wants to know whether some parts of Britain ... Read more...

Mirror online

Tories mocked for deciding to ask experts about EU migration… a year after the referendum

The Migration Advisory Committee will embark on a major study into the role of 3.2million EU nationals in Britain's economy and society. Its "extremely important" work will look at patterns of mi... Read more...

Sky News online

Businesses clamour for clarity from ‘long overdue' migration study

Companies have been clamouring for clarity from the Government on the issue as the academic sector, agriculture, manufacturing and the hospitality trade all rely on large influxes of people to operate. The Con... Read more...

Public Sector Executive

Economy and infrastructure

All cities in the UK are looking set to see a fall in economic output regardless of whether a ‘hard’ or ‘soft’ Brexit is delivered, experts have today warned – but more prosperous... Read more...

STV online

News: Aberdeen ‘will be UK city worst hit by hard Brexit'

London and Edinburgh also ranked in the top ten list compiled by researchers at the Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London School of Economics. Related publications ... Read more...

Insider.co.uk

Aberdeen ‘worst affected city in UK if there's a hard Brexit'

Centre for Cities and Centre for Economic Performance analysis also places Edinburgh sixth in a top ten of urban conurbations hit most if the country fails to strike a deal with the EU. Related publications... Read more...

International Business Times

Revealed: the cities Brexit will hit hardest

Aberdeen will be the hardest hit city in the UK by Brexit, according to a new report on the economic impact of withdrawal from the European Union (EU). Other cities or urban areas such as London, Slough and Ed... Read more...

Worthing Herald

Study reveals Worthing will suffer from Brexit

Worthing is among the top ten towns that will suffer the most by Britain’s exit from Europe, according to a study that overturns assumptions that poorer areas of the UK will suffer the most. For the firs... Read more...

The Planner

Brexit will hit southern UK cities hardest – report

Cities that are successful and have large high-skilled service sectors, mainly located in the south of England, will be hit the hardest by Brexit, whether it is ‘hard’ or ‘soft’. A repo... Read more...

Aberdeen Evening Express

Aberdeen will be hit hardest by Brexit deals

A new report today named Aberdeen as the UK city predicted to be the worst-hit by a so-called hard Brexit. London and Edinburgh also ranked in the top 10 list compiled by researchers at the think tank Centre f... Read more...

Commonspace

Brexit will hit Aberdeen harder than any other city in UK, report says

Research done by the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London School of Economics and the Centre for Cities predicted an economic downturn of 3.7 per cent for Aberdeen and 2.7 per cent in Edinburgh ... Read more...

Bristol Post

Bristol to be one of the UK's cities worst hit by Brexit

The joint Centre for Cities and Centre for Economic Performance study predicts that Bristol’s economic output will decrease by up to 2.6 per cent – the 11th worst-hit city in the country. However, ... Read more...

Bloomberg Politics

Here are the places in the UK that will be hit hardest by Brexit

Brexit will hit Scottish oil capital Aberdeen the hardest of all Britain’s cities, with London also ranking highly and facing a medium-term blow to economic output of as much as 2.6 percent, academics at... Read more...

LSE EUROPP (European Politics and Policy) blog

CEP study: the UK areas that will be hit most (and least) by Brexit

The LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance (working with the Centre for Cities think tank) has carried out a study shedding light upon the local economic impact of Brexit. Henry G. Overman writes that it ... Read more...

BBC Wiltshire

(06:01:57)

Snippet: News that Swindon could be one of the cities worst hit by Brexit Click to open Related publications ‘The Local Economic Effects of Brexit’, Swati Dhingra, Stephen Machin and Henry ... Read more...

RES (Royal Economic Society) Newsletter

Conference Report 2017 'Divided we fall'

Perhaps the public knew that Brexit would drain their wallets, but voted for it anyway. Sometimes it’s not the economy, stupid. But Simon Wren-Lewis, of Oxford University, rubbished this idea, pointing o... Read more...

Guardian

Amber Rudd asks for analysis of EU migration – a year after referendum

The home secretary, Amber Rudd, is to commission the independent Migration Advisory Committee to carry out a detailed analysis of the economic and social contributions and costs of EU citizens in Britain. The ... Read more...

The Scottish Sun

BREX HIT New report names Aberdeen as UK city predicted to be worst-hit by so-called hard Brexit

A NEW report has named Aberdeen as the UK city predicted to be the worst-hit by a so-called hard Brexit. Edinburgh also ranked in the top 10 list compiled by researchers at the think tank Centre for Cities and... Read more...

i paper

New study finds towns in South hit worst after Brexit

Towns and cities in the South of England will be hit hardest by Britain’s exit from Europe, according to a study that overturns assumptions that poorer areas of the UK will suffer the most. Researchers a... Read more...

The Times (Scotland)

Aberdeen and Edinburgh ‘to be hit hardest by Brexit'

Aberdeen and Edinburgh are the cities set to take the biggest financial hit when the UK leaves the European Union, according to a think tank that predicts a downturn in trade even if ministers strike a “... Read more...

SERC blog

The local economic impacts of Brexit

Article by Henry Overman I've been working with colleagues at the Centre for Economic Performance (Swati Dhingra and Steve Machin) and the Centre for Cities (Naomi Clayton) to take a first look at the l... Read more...

BBC News

Aberdeen ‘worst hit' by hard Brexit, experts predict

Aberdeen could be the city worst hit by falling economic output due to a "hard" Brexit, experts have predicted. A new report from the Centre for Cities and the Centre for Economic Performance at t... Read more...

Sky news

Businesses clamour for clarity from 'long overdue' migration study

Consider the timescale: the Migration Advisory Committee (MAC) is made up of one chairman (Professor Alan Manning from the London School of Economics) and three independent economists who now have to commissio... Read more...

Daily Mail

Those Brexit scare stories debunked – House prices could crash

Paul Cheshire, Professor of Economic Geography at the LSE, says house prices could crash by 40 percent. His colleague Christian Hilber explains: ‘If Brexit leads to a recession and/or sluggish growth for... Read more...

Yahoo! Finance

The three things businesses need to survive Brexit

While the Prime Minister seems to understand that trade with the European Union is sizeable, she also seems to be under the illusion that Britain can pick and choose during the Brexit negotiations. L... Read more...

BBC2 TV

Victoria Derbyshire Show [around 10:30am]

Dennis Novy was live on the show.  The topic was the ongoing Brexit negotiations between the UK and the EU in Brussels, and in particular what the potential outcome might be for Britain’s economy an... Read more...

The UK in a Changing Europe (Kings College London)

Brexit and the skills challenge

Article by Sandra McNally The UK’s productivity suffered a shock in 2008 from which it has not recovered, and the ‘skills problem’ needs to be addressed. Within the context of a broader in... Read more...

The Financial

Report outlines costs of no Brexit deal

The consequences of the UK failing to reach a deal with the EU will be “widespread, damaging and pervasive”, according to a new report featuring LSE experts. Related publications ‘The C... Read more...

Parliamentary Business – www.parliament.uk

Economic Affairs Committee publishes its report on Brexit and the Labour Market

Professor Alan Manning, Chair of the Migration Advisory Committee and Professor of Economics, London School of Economics and Lord Layard member of the Economic Affairs Committee… Related publications... Read more...

LSE News

Report outlines costs of no Brexit deal

The consequences of the UK failing to reach a deal with the EU will be “widespread, damaging and pervasive”, according to a new report featuring LSE experts.           ... Read more...

The Economist

The six flavours of Brexit

Brexiteers rejected the Treasury’s projections for the cost of Brexit last year as “project fear”. But the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics has remodelled the... Read more...

LSE EUROPP (European Politics and Policy) blog

Five important questions the UK government's Brexit customs plan fails to answer

Article by Thomas Sampson: The most welcome aspect of the government’s policy paper on future customs arrangements is its acknowledgement of the desirability of a transition agreement after the UK leaves... Read more...

LSE Brexit blog

Post-Brexit work visa quotas on EU nationals are likely to favour graduates

Businesses that rely on low-skilled EU labour may face hiring difficulties, writes Jonathan Wadsworth. He argues that post-Brexit work visa quotas on EU nationals will probably favour graduates. Relate... Read more...

LSE British Politics and Policy blog

Five important questions the government's Brexit customs plan fails to answer

The government’s recent paper on future customs arrangements sets out its objectives for how goods trade with the EU will be governed following Brexit. However, as Thomas Sampson outlines below... Read more...

Vox

What next for US-Europe trade policy?

Article by Nikhil Datta and Swati Dhingra The economies of Europe and the United States are inextricably linked and in an ideal world, a number of factors motivate a trade deal such as the Transatlantic Tra... Read more...

Estate Agent Today

London's prime housing market is no longer roaring

Brexit and higher tax has had a particularly negative impact on the market in well-heeled inner London areas, some of which have seen prices fall sharply over the past 18 months or so, as they absorb the stamp... Read more...

The Times

Why the housing market is on a go-slow What about the forecast of a 40 per cent decline in prices?

Paul Cheshire, professor of economic geography at the London School of Economics, says that a house price correction, or significant fall in prices, is likely within the next two or three years. This is partly... Read more...

Hellenic News

Business casts doubt on UK-US post-Brexit trade deal

“There are bigger potential gains from doing a deal with Europe than with the U.K. on its own, just because Europe is a bigger market,” said Thomas Sampson, an economist at the Centre for Economic ... Read more...

Emirates-Business.ae

Businesses cast doubt on UK-US post-Brexit trade deal

“There are bigger potential gains from doing a deal with Europe than with the UK on its own, just because Europe is a bigger market,” said Thomas Sampson, an economist at the Centre for Economic Pe... Read more...

Bloomberg (USA)

Post-Brexit UK trade deal with Trump in easier said than done

“There are bigger potential gains from doing a deal with Europe than with the U.K. on its own, just because Europe is a bigger market,” said Thomas Sampson, an economist at the Centre for Economic ... Read more...

Yahoo!Finance

Post-Brexit U.K. trade deal with Trump is easier said than done

“There are bigger potential gains from doing a deal with Europe than with the U.K. on its own, just because Europe is a bigger market,” said Thomas Sampson, an economist at the Centre for Economic ... Read more...

LSE News

What can Brexit tell us about the white working class?

In the July episode of the #LSEIQ podcast we ask, ‘What can Brexit tell us about the white working class?’ One year on from the European Referendum, this demographic has been scrutinised for their ... Read more...

Market Oracle

UK House Prices ‘On Brink' Of Massive 40% Collapse

Two leading economics professors have warned that the UK housing market is on the brink of a 40% collapse, echoing the early 1990s property crisis. “We are due a significant correction in house pric... Read more...

Ham and High

Comment: Could London property be about to blow?

Professor Paul Cheshire predicts London property is long overdue a price correction. But could values really fall 40 per cent and bring about the return of 1990s scale negative equity? ... Read more...

Bullfax.com

UK house prices ‘on brink' of massive 40% collapse

Two leading economics professors have warned that the UK housing market is on the brink of a 40% collapse, echoing the early 1990s property crisis. "We are due a significant correction in house price... Read more...

Metro

House prices are on the brink of massive collapse

Prof Christian Hilber from the LSE said: ‘If Brexit leads to a recession and/or sluggish growth for extended periods, then an extended and severe downturn is more likely than a short-lived and mild one.&... Read more...

The Mirror

Experts predict house prices could plummet by up to 40 PER CENT due to Brexit and wage drop

House prices could plummet by almost 40 per cent as Britain faces a crash similar to that in the 1990s, a leading professor at the London School of Economics has warned. A possible Brexit -sparked recession co... Read more...

Mail online

Britain on the brink of the worst house price collapse since 1990s': experts predict property costs could plunge by forty per cent

House prices are teetering on the brink of a crash that could be as bad as the bust of the early 1990s, a leading expert has warned. There are already warning signs that prices are heading towards a near 40 pe... Read more...

BBC Parliament

Live House of Commons

…but analyses, London School of Economics, growth commission report pointed out the lack of a comprehensive and coherent, long-term industrial strategy from the UK Government had actually contributed to... Read more...

The UK in a Changing Europe

EU referendum: one year on - UK economic policy

Article by Dr Swati Dhingra What form of relationship to have with the EU after Brexit is the key economic policy issue facing the UK. This election was meant to give the prime minister a strong mandate for... Read more...

The UK in a changing Europe (Kings College London)

EU referendum: one year on - trade and the single market

Article by Thomas Sampson One year ago, the UK voted to leave the EU. However, voters did not choose what would come after Brexit. Options for “life after Brexit”:  One option is to rema... Read more...

Business Insider UK

The Bank of England is preparing for the absolute worst case Brexit scenario

Under May's argument, Britain would drop out of the EU, immediately reverting to unfavourable WTO trade terms, if the country's negotiators failed to get an agreement seen as having favourable terms fo... Read more...

LSE Business Review blog

Post-Brexit work visa quotas on EU nationals will likely favour graduates

Businesses that rely on low-skilled EU labour may face hiring difficulties, writes Jonathan Wadsworth Had things gone as most commentators expected, the UK would now be entering hard Brexit talks with the n... Read more...

4-traders

MORGAN STANLEY : Britain's financial power already on the wane

Among the matters at stake in those talks, which began in Brussels last Monday, is whether London can maintain its status as a global hub for finance after Brexit or be forced to watch as business flows to the... Read more...

Bloomberg Business Week

Britain's financial power is already seeping away

“There will be a lot of political pressure to get as much of the finance industry moved to the EU as possible,” said Tom Kirchmaier, a fellow in the financial-markets group at the London School of ... Read more...

Time

The continuing urgency of the Grenfell Tower inferno

In the days since the fire, Grenfell Tower has been held up as a tragic symbol of the social ills facing Britain: a detached political class; nearly seven years of a government-led austerity program that has s... Read more...

UOL Economia

Empresas enfrentam Brexit com ‘espirito de buldogue'/Companies face Brexit with ‘bulldog spirit'

"It's not a catastrophic madness, but the pound fell, investments decreased and inflation reached the highest rate in four years," said Swati Dhingra, economist at the Center for Economic Perform... Read more...

Bloomberg news

Brexit one year on: keep calm and hedge the pound

‘It’s not crazy catastrophic stuff, but the pound has fallen, investment is down, and inflation is up to a four-year high,” said Swati Dhingra, an economist at the Center for Economic Perform... Read more...

The Herald

Choppy year could be calm before Brexit storm

Swati Dhingra, of the LSE, said: “There is near consensus among economists that the hard – or chaotic – form of Brexit…would hurt the UK economy. Although there was little immediate ec... Read more...

The Herald

Herald View: Holyrood's role means hard Brexit is dead and buried

But the greatest potential trouble is on Brexit, with the constitutional uncertainty growing and economists laying out this week just what a hard or chaotic Brexit could mean for the economy: the pound droppin... Read more...

Eurasia Review

Will Brexit lead to financial big bang for EU-27? - Analysis

Many commentators are throwing out numbers about the negative impact of Brexit on GDP growth and income across Europe. The Center for Economic Performance has concluded that every EU member will lose income af... Read more...

24 heures

La question des Européens au Royaume-Uni/ The question of Europeans in the United Kingdom

BrexitAlors que les négociations sur le Brexit s'ouvrent lundi, quel sort attend les plus de 3,6 millions d'Européens au Royaume-Uni?/ BrexitAlors that the negotiations on the Brexit open... Read more...

Foreign Policy Research Institute

Will Brexit Lead to a Financial Big Bang for the EU-27?

Many commentators are throwing out numbers about the negative impact of Brexit on GDP growth and income across Europe. The Center for Economic Performance has concluded that every EU member will lose income af... Read more...

Communist Party of Vietnam Online Newspaper

European citizens living in the UK: a priority, many worry

Some also accuse European immigrants of having contributed to lowering wages. But according to Jonathan Wadsworth, author of a report on the subject for the London School of Economics, "All studies show t... Read more...

Diario Gestión (Spain)

Los Europeos en el Reino Unido: una prioridad, muchas inquietudes/Europeans in the UK: a priority, many concerns

Another recurring argument is that immigrants lower wages, a thesis that resists analyses. "All studies show that immigration has no impact on the wage level, or has it in a very marginal way," insis... Read more...

Le Quotidien (Luxembourg)

Brexit : quel avenir pour les expatriés européens au Royaume-Uni?/What future for the European expatriates in the United Kingdom?

Some also accuse the European immigrants have contributed to depress wages. But according to Jonathan Wadsworth, author of a report on the subject for the London School of Economics, "all the studies show... Read more...

Journal Dunet (France)

Les Européens au Royaume-Uni: une priorité, beaucoup d'inquiétudes/Europeans in the United Kingdom: a priority, a lot of concern

Some also accuse European immigrants of having contributed to lowering wages. But according to Jonathan Wadsworth, author of a report on the subject for the London School of Economics, "All studies show t... Read more...

CEP reports

‘EU referendum: One year on'. Report from The UK in a Changing Europe and the Political Studies Association, June 2017

‘EU referendum: One year on’. Report from The UK in a Changing Europe and the Political Studies Association, June 2017 Articles within the report: ‘Trade and the Single Market’, T... Read more...

Financial Times

Brexit exacts a heavy toll on UK business schools

France and Spain sense an opportunity as top professors seek employment outside Britain Luis Garicano arrived in the UK a decade ago to take up the role of professor of economics and strategy in the departm... Read more...

UniteWorks – Unite the Union

Unite warns of deepening Tory ‘wage pain' as average wages continue to fall

Theresa May and the Tories’ ‘wage pain’ is leaving millions of people struggling to make ends meet warned Britain’s largest union, Unite as official figures out today (Wednesday 14 June... Read more...

Financial Express (India)

UK election result 2017: With Theresa May dependent on DUP, Brexit negotiations become more difficult

But this election turned out to be much more than Brexit. “Economics is as much about humanity as policy”. Professor Swati Dhingra of the London School of Economics, in her article Salvaging Brexit... Read more...

La Voz de Cádiz – Economia

El Banco Popular tuvo que pedir el rescate bancario en el año 2012

Interview with Luis Garicano, head of citizen economy The same day he participates in a conference on the impact of Brexit at the Rafael del Pino Foundation, Luis Garicano (Valladolid, 1967) announces his p... Read more...

El Universal (Spain)

Europeos en Reino Unido tienen una prioridad y muchas inquietudes

Brexit supporters replicate that immigrants ' additional pressure on housing, schools and hospitals is not considered. Another recurring argument is that immigrants lower wages, a thesis that resists analy... Read more...

Geschichte der Gegenwart (Germany)

May will Regierung bilden – Brexit-Verhandlungen ab 19. Juni

In total, the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) calculates, it would be best for the British economy to remain part of the EU’s common market. Related publications ‘#GE2017Economists: The... Read more...

Yahoo! Finance

What does a hung parliament mean for Brexit and the economy?

Snippet: ...ana. “Without a strong mandate, Europe can ignore the UK’s demands. Even the UK’s threat to pull out of negotiations will now appear hollow and lacking the support of the British ... Read more...

Express (online)

‘We need your tourists!' Spanish fear bad Brexit deal for UK will damage THEIR future

Luis Garicano, a professor of Economics and Strategy in London, said he feared a lack of British tourists would hugely impact Spain's economy. Speaking at a Brexit conference in Spain, the professor said t... Read more...

Frankfurter Rundschau (Germany)

Die schlechteste Variante

A year ago, in June 2016, the British voted on their country's EU membership. Economists and financial markets were in bright turmoil and warned of the consequences of a Brexit. Today, twelve months later,... Read more...

Berliner Zeitung (Germany)

Horrorszenario „No Deal': Keine Brexit-Einigung wäre für die britische Wirtschaft fatal/Horror scenario „No Deal' no Brexit agreement would be fatal for the British economy

erall, the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) calculates, it would be best for the British economy to remain in spite of Brexit part of the EU's common market. This, too, would incur costs, but in the c... Read more...

Professional Adviser

The evidence for Brexit and other key election issues - LSE

The London School of Economics (LSE) has published a report assessing all of the party manifestos and how respective policies will affect key voter issues. Intended to be "objective, brief and non-tech... Read more...

Market Inspector (online)

Would TTIP be a good deal for European citizens?

According to Dennis Novy, Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Warwick: “TTIP has the potential to benefit millions of consumers. It goes far beyond an economic project. Its current time... Read more...

The National (Scotland)

Letters: BBC debates reveal how little they've progressed

SOME time ago Paxman's questions to Mrs May exposed effectively how ineffective she had been at the Home Office in dealing with immigration. She could not explain how Conservative policy has completely fai... Read more...

Financial Times

Manifesto economics

For the first time in years, UK voters have a real choice between economic models The Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics has published a series of election analyses, looking a... Read more...

The UK in a changing Europe

The manifestos uncovered: trade

Article by Swati Dhingra Unlike some other countries – the US and France spring to mind – trade has not been a major issue in recent UK elections. This reflected both EU membership and a broad p... Read more...

Socialist Worker

Migrant works say – ‘Don't blame us for low pay'

The London School of Economics’ (LSE) Centre for Economic Performance last year found that “the areas of the UK with large increases in EU immigration did not suffer greater falls in the jobs and p... Read more...

The Advertiser (Adelaide, Australia)

John Newton: Labour set to remain tarnished an divided while newly enthroned May will be mistress of all she surveys

Mrs May still seems to suggest that immigration should be kept under 100,000 a year while being just about the only person in the country who thinks that number should include students. Damage to university nu... Read more...

Economic Policy Digest – June 2017

Education and deprivation explain the Brexit vote better than immigration

Demography and education are a much better explanation of the ‘Leave’ vote in the June 2016 Brexit referendum than the decline in public services or recent immigration. These are the conclusions of... Read more...

Harvard Business Review (Brazil)

As corporações na era da desigualdade

Article by Nicholas Bloom Translating the economic principles into common language is the passion of Nicholas Bloom, who describes his work as "bar economics" or "concepts that I can explain ... Read more...

RT (Russia)

British wages in free fall, only crisis-hit Greece is worse in OECD

According to a London School of Economics (LSE) paper, Brits were the worst off when it came to their real wages, with pay falling by more than five percent between 2007 and 2015. Researchers for the presti... Read more...

Business Insider UK

Sovereign wealth funds are shunning British investments after Brexit

The LSE's Centre for Economic Performance said that returning to World Trade Organization rules would reduce the UK's trade with the EU by 40% over 10 years. Related publications CEP Election Ana... Read more...

Cinquantamila.it

Londra vota Brexit. Morbida o estrema saremo comunque più poveri

Brexit In fact is a trauma that breaks the vertical chain of production of the value that ties the United Kingdom to the EU, with consequences not apparent immediately. Quantifying these costs is therefore a d... Read more...

Independent

The chart that shows UK workers have had the worst wage performance in the OECD except Greece

The UK has suffered the biggest drop in average real wages of any OECD country except depression-wracked Greece, according to a pre-general election analysis published by the London School of Economi... Read more...

Sunday Herald (Scotland)

Anton Muscatelli: Immigrationisn't making us poorer – but scaremongering about it might

Firstly, there is simply no evidence that EU immigration has impacted negatively on the living standards of UK workers. A new study by the London School of Economics (LSE) has shown that there is no apparent l... Read more...

The Times

Election uncertainties to be followed by many more

The election uncertainty will give way to new uncertainties. Two new reports from the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) at the London School of Economics highlight some of the dangers. On immigration, the ... Read more...

The Economist

Britain's election offers little respite for its woes

Most independent experts predict long-term harm as well. According to the most recent estimates from the Centre for Economic Performance at the London School of Economics, a hard Brexit would reduce GDP per he... Read more...

The Economic Voice

Green Party: We will stand up for free movement

A recent study by the London School of Economics has blown apart a number of key myths around migration, saying: “Immigrants pay more in taxes than they take out in welfare and use of public services. UK... Read more...

The Economist – free exchange blog

Europe inches closer to a plan for fixing its financial flaws

Article by Luis Garicano DONALD TRUMP and Theresa May may have done more to push Europeans together, and open up an opportunity for reform of its institutions, than any pro-European American president or Br... Read more...

LSE Brexit blog

Brexit has already started to make UK citizens poorer

Leaving the European Union with no deal in place for future trading arrangements would be the worst-case Brexit scenario for the UK economy. What’s more, just because GDP growth has not declined since la... Read more...

ITV News

Theresa May reveals risky migration target timescale

So the prime minister may have to choose between risking the economy (immigrants keep living standards up and the deficit down according to the London School of Economics) or missing her target. ... Read more...

True Viral News

Brexit makes people poorer with more pain on the way, warns study

BREXIT has already started to make UK citizens poorer and more pain is likely in the months and years to come, a new study has warned. Although last year’s vote to quit the European Union has had “... Read more...

Herald Scotland

Brexit makes people poorer with more pain on the way, warns study

Although last year’s vote to quit the European Union has had “no obvious effect” on GDP growth, the collapse in the value of the pound – down 13 per cent against the US dollar and nine ... Read more...

Business Insider UK

LSE: Failure to get a Brexit trade deal will cost every household at least £1,890 a year

A report by the LSE's Centre for Economic Performance said that returning to World Trade Organization rules would reduce the UK's trade with the EU by 40% over 10 years…Report authors Swati Ding... Read more...

AOL.UK

UK citizens already poorer as a result of Brexit, study finds

Although last year's vote to quit the EU has had "no obvious effect" on GDP growth, the collapse in the value of the pound - down 13% against the US dollar and 9% against the euro by the end of l... Read more...

Mirror

Theresa May's 'no deal' Brexit would cost each family £1,890, experts warn

Although last year's vote to quit the EU has had "no obvious effect" on GDP growth, the collapse in the value of the pound - down 13% against the US dollar and 9% against the euro by the end of l... Read more...

Financial Times

Germany's declining respect for the UK

Further reading Brexit and the UK Economy There are many ways to leave and the referendum did not allow voters to choose between them — Brexit does not simply mean Brexit. (LSE Centre for Economic Per... Read more...

Bloomberg News online

Brexit Bulletin: The Ghost at the Debate

May’s insistence that “no deal is better than a bad deal” is wrong, according to a report by the Centre for Economic Performance…. “In practice the no-deal outcome, where the ... Read more...

Bloomberg News

No Brexit Deal ‘Worst-Case Scenario' for U.K. Economy, CEP Says

According to the Centre for Economic Performance, leaving the European Union with no pact in place would have twice the negative economic impact as remaining in the single market. That’s at odds with Pri... Read more...

Evening Express

UK citizens already poorer as a result of Brexit, study finds

Although last year’s vote to quit the EU has had “no obvious effect” on GDP growth, the collapse in the value of the pound – down 13% against the US dollar and 9% against the euro by th... Read more...

Market News

UK reality check: BOE wage growth forecasts implausible: CEP

Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee claims that nominal wage growth will return close to 4% by 2019 are "rather implausible and over-optimistic", according to two respected academics at the Cen... Read more...

iNews

Political pledges to cut immigration ‘will mean a drop in living standards'

The LSE study also states that immigration is not to blame for lower pay and prospects of low skilled workers. Academics behind the research said lower pay and prospects for UK workers was the result of the 20... Read more...

The Conversation UK

Cut immigration and the UK's economic prospects will just get worse – here's why

Jonathan Wadsworth and colleagues at the London School of Economics showed convincingly that across UK local authorities from 2008-15, EU immigrants had no statistically significant impact on the rea... Read more...

Public Finance

NHS and social care staffing crisis ‘not addressed in general election manifestos'

The parties all recognised funding shortfalls, rising costs, demographic pressures, increased expectations, and changes in health technology and medical practice, the London School of Economics Centre for Econ... Read more...

Harpers

LWF Day One: The big Brexit debate

Breaking down the cloud of uncertainty brought about by Brexit into manageable bite-sized pieces was the objective of panelists at this afternoon’s London Wine Fair industry briefing. A panel of industry... Read more...

Veren of Lood (Holland)

Econmoische aanraders/Economic recommendations

Recommends: Jobless recoveries: Exploring technology’s role – Georg Graetz, Guy Michaels - 13 mei Recoveries from recessions in the US used to involve rapid job generation, but job growth has... Read more...

Independent

Only economic study showing benefits of Brexit debunked as 'doubly misleading'

The assumptions of the Economists for Brexit group – now rebranded as Economists for Free Trade - were previously criticised as grossly unrealistic on other grounds, including ignoring the fact that coun... Read more...

Financial Times

Economists point finger of blame over Brexit forecasts

On Monday, Swati Dhingra of the London School of Economics told the Royal Economic Society annual conference that most academic economists had predicted a 1-3 per cent fall in economic output by five years aft... Read more...

CEP research citations

Bell B and Machin S (2016) Brexit and Wage Inequality, Centre for Economic Performance, London School of Economics and Political Science, July 2016.

Cited in ‘Research for REGI Committee – Building Blocks for a Future Cohesion Policy – First Reflections: Study’, Directorate-General for Internal Policies, Policy Department B – ... Read more...

Guardian

War shaped my childhood – don’t let Brexit risk our peace

Article by Patrick Stewart.  A recent report on the likely impact of Brexit from the London School of Economics has found that all EU countries will lose income after Brexit. The overall GDP fall in the U... Read more...

Allmediascotland.com

Media Release: SCDI Forum – Exporting key to resilient growth during Brexit and second independence referendum

The SCDI Forum – ‘Brave New Worlds? Economic Growth & Wealth Creation’ – will today (Thursday 16 March) consider the challenges and changes facing our economy, with presen... Read more...

US News

Brexit withdrawal pains loom over UK

Europe, not Britain, is seen as having the most leverage going into the talks. "The party with the most to lose has the weakest position," says Dennis Novy, a University of Warwick economist, "a... Read more...

Business Insider (Italy)

Brexit, l'appello della London School of Economics: 'Immigrati fondamentali per l'economia'/Brexit, the appeal of the London School of Economics: 'Immigrants are fundamental to the economy'

Brexit constringerà the United Kingdom to rethink all its economic policies: from the labour market to industrial policy, from immigration to foreign trade. A commitment is certainly not trivial for the... Read more...

Horticulture Week

Dutch TV news Javado and Alton Garden Centre Brexit report airs

Following Brexit, Dutch TV news has followed a consignment of orchids from Holland to Alton Garden Centre and visited last month's Garden Retail Summit. Dutch TV channel NPO1 (equivalent to BBC1) follow... Read more...

Daily Republic Online

Specter of no Brexit deal haunts Britain's automakers

Swati Dhingra, an economics lecturer at the London School of Economics, estimated in a study prior to last year’s referendum that Brexit could reduce total U.K. car production by as much as 12 percent. ... Read more...

Jakarta Globe

Britain Seeks to Plug Skills Shortages Sapping Productivity

While skills shortages are a crucial element, they are not the only factor behind Britain's weak productivity, said London School of Economics researcher Anna Valero. Low business investment, a lack of foc... Read more...

U.S. News and World Report

Dennis Novy gave an interview to the American news magazine U.S. News and World Report on 07 March 2017

The interview was about the negotiations on international trade between the UK and the EU that will follow once Article 50 has been triggered. In particular, the interview covered the strengths and weakne... Read more...

CEP Engagement/In politics

CEP and its research had a broad reach in Parliament during the month of February.

During the passage of the European Union (Notification of Withdrawal) Bill in the Lords, research on the benefits from immigration at the Centre for Economic Performance (CEP) was mentioned. Also, LSE resea... Read more...

Buitenland.eenvandaag.nl (Dutch TV)

Wat betekent de Brexit voor de handel met Engeland?/ What does Brexit mean to trade with England?

England, one of our main trading partners is to get out of the EU. The British Prime Minister Theresa May this month officially advised the European Union of the British departure. Dutch entrepreneurs who do a... Read more...

Bloomberg View

Specter of No Brexit Deal Haunts U.K. Automakers

Swati Dhingra, an economics lecturer at the London School of Economics, estimated in a study prior to last year's referendum that Brexit could reduce total U.K. car production by as much as 12 percent. ... Read more...

Carrier Management

Are fears of a Brexit exodus overblown

“Each business lobby is motivated — the worse you can make it sound at this point, the more likely your sector will get special treatment,” said Thomas Sampson, assistant professor of economi... Read more...

Bloomberg News online

The Brexit Bank Exodus Could Be More Like a Trickle

“Each business lobby is motivated -- the worse you can make it sound at this point, the more likely your sector will get special treatment,” said Thomas Sampson, assistant professor of economics at... Read more...

The Irish Times

Theresa May's Nasty Party dons UKIP's Brexit clothes at a heavy price

Immigration has now been extensively studied: there is lots of excellent data that reveals robust conclusions over many different pieces of research. According to, for example, the London School of Economics C... Read more...

Bloomberg

Brexit Bulletin: Team May hits back

Brexit is expected to spell the end of passporting, where firms seamlessly service the rest of the single market from their London hubs. That could herald a loss of more than 25 percent of the U... Read more...

Bloomberg News

UK banks' loss of EU passport a ‘major threat', LSE study says

The U.K. government must ensure British financial-services companies don’t lose their ease of access to the European Union after Brexit as a “matter of urgency,” according to a report ba... Read more...

House of Lords Hansard – www.parliament.uk

LSE research mentioned in Lords debate on the Article 50 Bill

During Lords debate on the Article 50 Bill, Lord McKenzie of Luton (Lab) mentioned LSE/CEP research:   "One of the most profound choices that the Government are seeking to make is to eschew mem... Read more...

Blasting News

Brexit could swiftly become a steep exit

The economic cost of Britain's exit from Europe could be quadruple original estimates according to MIT Economist, Professor John Van Reenen. Given all of the political flailing of arms and rhetorical sn... Read more...

Independent

Brexit four times worse for UK economy than previously believed, say MIT economists

New research claims leaving the EU will have bigger impact on UK productivity than had been thought Britain’s departure from the European Union could cause output losses of as much as 9.5 per cent, ac... Read more...

CNBC

Brexit will leave Britons more than $4,000 poorer, says MIT professor

Britons' incomes could be slashed by as much as 9.5 percent once the U.K. formally leaves the European Union, a new study released today by MIT economics professor John Van Reenen has claimed. The repor... Read more...

Finansgundem.com (Turkey)

Brexit, national income per capita in the UK to drop

Brexit, national income per capita in the UK to drop On June 23, a referendum MIT faculty member, Professor John Van Reenen advocated keeping Britain in the EU. ... Read more...

Star Tribune Online

World awaits next move amid threat of trade war

Most experts have assumed the responsibilities of governance would temper Trump's trade posture. Given that nearly one-third of all U.S. trade is conducted with China and Mexico, a rupture risks severe eco... Read more...

YLE (Finland)

Taloudellinen epävarmuus kalvaa brexit-Britanniaa

Britain's economy made a decision after the brexit-lock braking. One-third of the companies that froze investment plans as a result of a decision. The collapse of the value of the pound sterling told the c... Read more...

Challenges.fr (France)

2016: 'in success formidable pour l'industrie automobile britannique'

Thomas Sampson, Professor at the London School of Economics, warns that in addition to tariffs, British producers may suffer the impact of foreign barriers. "They would have to reorganize all of their sup... Read more...

ABS/CBN News

Could Brexit put the brakes on Britain's car industry?

Thomas Sampson, a professor at the London School of Economics, said British carmakers could suffer further disruption beyond tariffs. "Inside the customs union cross-border supply networks can flourish, b... Read more...

Le Point.fr

En renouveau, l'industrie automobile britannique a la croisee des Chemins du Brexit

Thomas Sampson, Professor at the London School of Economics, warns that in addition to tariffs, British producers may suffer the impact of foreign barriers. "They would have to reorganize all of their sup... Read more...

France 24

Could Brexit put the brakes on Britain's car industry?

Last week Prime Minister Theresa May confirmed Brexit would see Britain leave the European single market, creating a stumbling block for the car industry which relies on trading vehicles and loose parts withou... Read more...

Business World

Could 'Brexit' put the brakes on Britain's car industry?

Thomas Sampson, a professor at the London School of Economics, said British car makers could suffer further disruption beyond tariffs. “Inside the customs union cross-border supply networks can flourish,... Read more...

Deutsche Welle TV (DW-TV) online

Theresa May 'needs free trade deal' with Donald Trump to prove that Brexit works

DW spoke to economist Thomas Sampson from the London School of Economics ahead of British Prime Minister Theresa May's visit to the White House. She is the first world leader to meet the new US President D... Read more...

The Daily Star

Britain 'faces imminent GENERAL ELECTION' after Brexit blocked in bombshell ruling

Speaking to Daily Star Online, John Van Reenen, Professor of Economics at LSE, said Mrs May might be tempted to strengthen her hand in parliament. He said an election could boost her authority in both Houses, ... Read more...

T13.cl

Brexit: 5 obstaculos que enfrenta el plan de Reino Unido para salirse de la Union Europea

"Trade agreements are based on have something to give to receive something in return. "Nobody is doing charity here", explains Swati Dhingra, academic at the center of economic performance&... Read more...

BBC Mundo

Brexit: 5 obstaculos que enfrenta el plan de Reino Unido para salirse de la Union Europea

"Trade agreements are based on have something to give to receive something in return. No one is making charity here", explains Swati Dhingra, academic center of economic behaviour of the LSE. ... Read more...

BBC Radio Asia

BBC Asian Network

Swati Dhinghra commenting on free trade and Brexit. [Time: 08:00:24] ... Read more...

BBC Radio 4

The Today Programme

0750 Swati Dhingra interviewed. After the UK gives up full membership of the EU's customs union exporters' goods could be facing checks and delays at Britain's border. ... Read more...

BBC 2

Newsnight

Swati Dhingra interviewed.  Speaking about Brexit and free trade. ... Read more...

The Canary

At PMQs, the 'Irony Lady' revealed exactly what she's been hiding from the British public

May’s speech suggests the UK is on course to aim for a bilateral agreement. Currently, countries like Switzerland pay around 40% as much as the UK’s contribution for EU membership for access on tho... Read more...

Guardian

Theresa May's Brexit speech leaves small firms in the dark

Article by Swati Dhingra No access to EU’s single market and replacement deals potentially decades away heightens uncertainty for UK businesses. Theresa May’s speech on Tuesday was the govern... Read more...

Sputnik News

Brexit: the 'economic cost' of Sterling's surge in value after UK PM's speech

"Currency markets are always volatile and can be affected by political and economic views," Dr. Thomas Sampson, associate professor at the Center for Economic Performance at the L... Read more...

Pavlovic Today

3 reasons why Brexit was astonishingly the right decision

With popular google search results ranging from “What is the EU” to “What will happen if we leave the EU” from Britain hours after the referendum, it is clear that Brexit was an unknowl... Read more...

Independent

Brexit report promoted by right-wing press condemned by economic experts

“There’s absolutely no controversy about gravity models,” said Swati Dhingra, assistant professor at the London School of Economics, also pointing out that gravity models are the subject of t... Read more...

Mail Online

Gloomy economists forecast Brexit trouble ahead for the UK…despite getting it wrong last year

Four in ten leading economists are more pessimistic about Britain's future after Brexit, despite the buoyant economy since the vote, according to a new FT poll. While many are looking to 2017 for a spot of... Read more...

BBC Mundo (Spain)

Trump, Brexit, eleccciones europeas y otros enigmas de la economía para 2017

El comercio mundial patas arriba Swati Dhingra, especialista de comercio de la London School of Economics, pone el acento en otro peligro. "Lo más grave sería una guerra comercial de E... Read more...

Financial Times

Brexit: 5 questions for 2017

Further reading A derided expert speaks John Van Reenen, the outgoing director of the LSE’s Centre for Economic Performance takes no prisoners in a hard-hitting review of Brexit. Among ... Read more...

The Financial Times

Weaker pound expected to reduce immigration

Slower economic growth also predicted to deter new migrants Question:  ‘What do you think will happen to immigration?’ Stephen Machin, professor of economics, London School of Economics ... Read more...

The Financial Times

Chancellor likely to overshoot borrowing forecast, economists say

Contributing factors include weaker tax revenues and pressure to rein in cuts Question:  ‘Do you think the government will need to borrow more than it has forecast in 2017?’ Stephen Mach... Read more...

The Financial Times

Economists gloomy on UK prospects for 2017

Growth will slow, incomes will be squeezed and investment delayed, FT survey finds Question: ‘How much, if at all, do you expect UK economic growth to slow in 2017?’ Stephen Machin, professor... Read more...

LSE British Politics and Policy blog

The year in review: Brexit and then some

In our 2015 end-of-year review, John Van Reenen predicted that Britain was heading towards Brexit. The causes of the vote, the failures of the polls, and the “Brexit-Trump syndrome” were the topics... Read more...

Bloomberg

Brexit and politics loom over UK after tumultuous 2016

“The more likely a hard Brexit becomes, the bigger I think the business response will be in terms of reducing investment and firms relocating activity out of the U.K.,” said Thomas Sampson, a profe... Read more...

LSE Brexit Vote blog

There is no inevitable negative effect of immigration on the quality of people's lives in the UK

Many people think that migrants take jobs away from citizens, reduce wages or both. Others argue that immigrants benefit the economy because they take risks and start businesses.  In three short videos be... Read more...

LSE Business Review blog

Autumn Statement does little to dampen fears for the economic health of the UK

Brexit and the uncertainties surrounding it present an unprecedented challenge, writes Anna Valero In his first Autumn Statement (and last – since he has decided to abolish them in favour of an annua... Read more...

Financial Times

May seeks solution to productivity conundrum

Skills policies would ideally be co-ordinated with the government’s proposed new industrial strategy. “In the long-run, skills are really important for growth,” said Stephen Machin, co-chair ... Read more...

Watertown Daily Times

Displaced workers vow to hold Trump to his economic promises

“I’m pretty skeptical Trump’s policies will reverse this process,” said John Van Reenen, a professor of economics at MIT who studies how technology and innovation affect profits and wag... Read more...

SNP Helensburgh

HARD BREXIT: 'the elephant in the room' at autumn statement

HUGE THREAT TO ECONOMY TO OVERSHADOW TORY BUDGET The Scottish National Party has said that the threat of a hard Brexit will be the ‘elephant in the room’ at the Autumn Statement. “The T... Read more...

Sunday Herald (Scotland)

'Tory austerity crippled the economy, and Brexit is going to ruin it - yet Theresa May still has no plan'

The impact on productivity is as bad. The LSE (Centre for Economic Performance) suggests reduced trade will reduce productivity amounting to between 6.3 per cent and 9.5 per cent of GDP. This article was pu... Read more...

Countercurrents.org

Can a President Trump follow his signature agenda?

The commonly held belief that immigrants hold down the wages of native workers is also doubtful. The economic literature is mixed although a paper by Marco Manacorda, Alan Manning and Jonathan Wadsworth of the... Read more...

CKWX News (Vancouver, Canada)

News 1130

Dr Swati Dhingra interviewed, talking about the potential international implications of a Trump White House as well as initial reactions from (Brexit) UK. The interview was broadcast by CKWX News on the Ne... Read more...

FXStreet

What will Brexit do to Britain's growth rate?

We have gone back to the post-Brexit growth forecasts made earlier this year by six organisations – the NIESR, the Treasury, the OECD, the London School of Economics, the Confederation for British Indust... Read more...

LSE British Politics and Policy blog

Four principles for the UK's Brexit trade negotiations

The meaning of Brexit is yet to become clear. But if Brexit means leaving the customs union of the European Union, Thomas Sampson looks at what it might meant for the UK to pursue its own trade policy for the first time ... Read more...

Foreign Affairs Magazine

Salvaging Brexit

The right way to leave the EU Article by Swati Dhingra On June 30, a week after the British public voted to leave the EU, Theresa May gave a speech launching her candidacy for prime minister in which she declared, ''Br... Read more...

The Herald Scotland

Panic! We're led by a Dad's Army of Brexiter buffoons

It's beginning to dawn on Brexit voters that leaving the EU will be a disaster for working people. Inflation is back as a direct result of the 18 per cent devaluation of the pound since June 23. The forecast for price ri... Read more...

International Business Times

Latest twists as the Cabinet clashes over Brexit, Single Markets and customs unions

Prime Minister Theresa May is in Brussels for her first EU summit as UK leader, in the same week as cabinet ministers were presented with a paper warning that Britain pulling out of the EU customs union could lead to a 4... Read more...

RT UK

Cuts caused Brexit

Study says Brexit avoidable if Cameron had cut austerity. Interview with Dennis Novy The interview was broadcast by RT UK on October 19, 2016 Link to interview here [0:47 seconds] Related links Dennis Novy webpag... Read more...

City A.M.

Leaked government documents reveal £75bn cost of hard Brexit

The calculations, sent to May's close-knit team of Brexit advisers, which includes Hammond, David Davis, Liam Fox and Boris Johnson, claim the UK economy would be 4.5 percent smaller by 2030 if it leaves the Customs Unio... Read more...

Guardian

Philip Hammond to be pressed on risks of UK leaving EU customs union

Chancellor to appear before Treasury select committee after Whitehall estimates show economy could shrink by 4.5% Trade flows and foreign investment would also be hit hard by leaving the customs union, according to figu... Read more...

The Independent

Brexit: Theresa May warned Britain could lose 4.5% of its GDP if it leaves EU customs union

Cabinet ministers receive stark economic warnings against adopting a 'Norway-style' model The UK could suffer a fall in GDP of 4.5% by 2030 if it leaves the EU customs union. Cabinet ministers were given stark warni... Read more...

The Daily Mail

Ministers do battle over whether Britain should stay in the European customs union amid warnings quitting could mean a 4.5% hit to economy

Ministers are at loggerheads over whether to quit the European customs union amid warnings it could mean a 4.5 per cent hit to GDP. Papers circulated at a meeting of the Brexit Cabinet committee apparently suggested tha... Read more...

The Independent

Britain, these are the five realistic choices for Brexit - take your pick

The Economists for Brexit group claim Brexit 5 would deliver a UK growth boom by 2020. But economists at the London School of Economics say this is ideologically driven pseudoscience and that unilateral free trade would,... Read more...

The Conversation

A hard Brexit and reduced migration won't benefit UK workers

Article by Barbara Petrongolo In the wake of Britains vote to leave the EU, the big debate has switched to what relationship the two should have post-Brexit. Top of the agenda is access to the single market and freedom ... Read more...

RT TV

Russia Today

Dennis Novy interviewed live around 8.15pm. The topic analysing the Brexit referendum that was held in June 2016. The interview was about how the Brexit vote outcomes across voting areas in the UK were linked to immigrat... Read more...

The Guardian

Theresa May given stark warning about leaving customs union

The studies, by the Treasury, the thinktank NIESR and the Centre for Economic Performance and London School of Economics, predicted the effect on the British economy if the UK was to opt for a Norway-style model. That wo... Read more...

Migration Matters

Do migrants take away jobs?

Part 2/6 from six impossible ideas (after Brexit) Many people think that migrants take jobs away from citizens, reduce wages or both. But you may also have heard the argument that immigrants benefit the economy because ... Read more...

The Times

Playing it safe may mean giving Brexit Britain a very wide berth

Foreign direct investment is also much more economically potent than the domestic variety. It brings with it new technological and managerial knowhow that can dramatically boost productivity, according to London School o... Read more...

WallStreetcn.com (China)

'The news quiz' United Kingdom 'hard back in Europe,' you need to know

CEP research article previously published by Vox referenced in article published in PRC: [8]Swati Dhingra, Thomas Sampson: UK-EU relations after Brexit: What is best for the UK economy? This article was published onlin... Read more...

The Independent

Brexit: UK faces £350m-a-week ‘divorce bill' as result of leaving the EU

Economist Thomas Sampson told The Independent: ''It's important to remember that the exit bill would be a one-off payment and in the longer run it is likely to be dwarfed by the broader economic costs resulting from redu... Read more...

iNews

The politics behind pound sterling's volatile week

The pound has lost nearly 18 per cent of its value against the dollar since Britain voted Brexit, two per cent more than during the 2008 financial crash. On Thursday it reached its lowest point for 168 years. ''Movements... Read more...

Al Jazeera TV

News

Dennis Novy interviewed. The topic was the leaked Brexit analysis from the Treasury and the economic implications of Brexit, in particular for international trade. This interview was broadcast by Al Jazeera Television ... Read more...

BBC Three Counties Radio

Jasmeen Khan

Caller mentions research by the Centre for Economic Performance at around 01:11:05 Caller: ... not in many cases a cynical attempt on the part of employers to simply cheat workers by paying them the lowest wages that th... Read more...

LSE British Politics and Policy blog

Does immigration harm the job prospects of the UK-born? Brexit and the UK labour market

Following the referendum vote to leave the European Union, the UK faces a trade-off between retaining access to the Single Market and restricting free movement of labour. Barbara Petrongolo considers the likely impact of... Read more...

Financial Times

Free Lunch: My country right or wrong