Marriage and misallocation: evidence from 70 years of US history
The traditional expectation that married women should be homemakers restricts them from pursuing their comparative advantage in the labor market. I quantify the aggregate economic consequences of these marriage-specific gender norms, accounting for selection into marriage and labor force participation. In 1940, married women faced a "norms wedge" equivalent to a 44% tax on market wages compared to similar single women, which fell to 14% by 2010. Had these norms persisted at 1940 levels, market output today would be 8.7% lower and combined market and home output 5.3% lower. Amplification effects through endogenous human capital investment and marriage decisions, which reshape the productivity distribution of both women and men, are critical to generating these large results.
20 August 2025 Paper Number CEPDP2119
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This CEP discussion paper is published under the centre's Labour programme.
This publication comes under the following theme: Gender in the labour market