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CEP BREXIT Analysis
The Brexit Vote, Inflation and UK Living Standards Holger Breinlich, Elsa Leromain, Dennis Novy and Thomas Sampson
November 2017
Paper No' CEPBREXIT11:
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| Technical Paper (pdf)

Tags: brexit; economic uncertainty; trade; eu; inflation; uk living standards

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CEP Discussion Paper
Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom and Steven J. Davis
October 2015
Paper No' CEPDP1379:
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JEL Classification: D80; E22; E66; G18; L50


Tags: economic uncertainty; policy uncertainty; business cycles; fluctuations


This paper has been published as:
'Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty', Scott R. Baker, Nicholas Bloom, Steven J. Davis, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol 131, Issue 4, November 2016
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CEP Discussion Paper
Consumption Smoothing and the Welfare Cost of Uncertainty Yonas Alem and Jonathan Colmer
August 2015
Paper No' CEPDP1369:
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JEL Classification: D8; O12; I3


Tags: uncertainty; consumption smoothing; subjective well-being

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CEP Discussion Paper
Trade and Uncertainty Dennis Novy and Alan M. Taylor
May 2014
Paper No' CEPDP1266:
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JEL Classification: E3; F1


Tags: uncertainty shock; trade collapse; inventory; real options; imports; intermediates

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CEP Discussion Paper
Economic Uncertainty, Parental Selection, and the Criminal Activity of the 'Children of the Wall' Arnaud Chevalier and Olivier Marie January 2014
Paper No' CEPDP1256:
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JEL Classification: J13; K42


Tags: crime; parental selection; fertility; economic uncertainty; risk attitude

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CEP Occasional Paper
Fluctuations in Uncertainty Nicholas Bloom
December 2013
Paper No' CEPOP38:
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JEL Classification: E2; E3; O3; O4


Tags: uncertainty; risk; volatility; investment

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CEP Discussion Paper
Does Uncertainty Reduce Growth? Using Disasters as Natural Experiments Scott R. Baker and Nicholas Bloom
October 2013
Paper No' CEPDP1243:
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JEL Classification: D92; E22; D8; C23


Tags: uncertainty; natural disasters; political shocks; growth

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CEP Discussion Paper
Really Uncertain Business Cycles Nicholas Bloom, Max Floetotto, Nir Jaimovich, Itay Saporta-Eksten and Stephen Terry
March 2013
Paper No' CEPDP1195:
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JEL Classification: E3


Tags: uncertainty

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CEP US Election Analysis
Economic Recovery and Policy Uncertainty Scott R. Baker, Nick Bloom, Steven J. Davis and John Van Reenen
October 2012
Paper No' CEPUSA002:
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Tags: us elections; uncertainty; recession


One page summary (available in Adobe PDF)
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CEP Discussion Paper
Sequential Exporting Facundo Albornoz, Hector Calvo-Pardo, Gregory Corcos and Emanuel Ornelas
March 2010
Paper No' CEPDP0974:
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JEL Classification: F10; D21; F13


Tags: export dynamics; trade liberalization; experimentation; uncertainty

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CEP Discussion Paper
Policy Uncertainty and Precautionary Savings Francesco Giavazzi and Michael F. McMahon
April 2008
Paper No' CEPDP0863:
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JEL Classification: E21; H55


Tags: pension reform; precautionary saving; uncertainty; germany

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CEP Discussion Paper
Uncertainty and the Dynamics of R&D Nick Bloom
May 2007
Paper No' CEPDP0792:
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JEL Classification: D92; D8; O3


Tags: r&d; uncertainty; real options

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CEP Discussion Paper
Uncertainty and Investment Dynamics Nick Bloom, Stephen Bond and John Van Reenen
August 2006
Paper No' CEPDP0739:
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Data Files associated with this paper.

JEL Classification: D92; E22; D8; C23


Tags: investment; uncertainty; real options; panel data


This paper has been published as:
'Uncertainty and Company Investment Dynamics: Empirical Evidence for UK firms' Nick Bloom Steve Bond and John Van Reenen, Review of Economic Studies (2007) 74, 391-415
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CEP Discussion Paper
The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks: Firm Level Estimation and a 9/11 Simulation Nick Bloom
March 2006
Paper No' CEPDP0718:
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Data Files associated with this paper.

JEL Classification: D92; E22; D8; C23


Tags: labor; investment; uncertainty; real options