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Journal article

Some causal effects of an industrial policy


We exploit changes in the area-specific eligibility criteria for a program to support jobs through investment subsidies. European rules determine whether an area is eligible for subsidies, and we construct instrumental variables for area eligibility based on parameters of these rule changes. Areas eligible for higher subsidies significantly increased jobs and reduced unemployment. A 10-percentage point increase in the maximum investment subsidy stimulates a 10 percent increase in manufacturing employment. This effect exists solely for small firms: large companies accept subsidies without increasing activity. There are positive effects on investment and employment for incumbent firms but not Total Factor Productivity.


Chiara Criscuolo, Ralf Martin, Henry G. Overman and John Van Reenen

1 January 2019


American Economic Review 109(1) , pp.48-85, 2019


DOI: 10.1257/aer.20160034

https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.20160034

This Journal article is published under the centre's Growth programme.

This publication comes under the following theme: UK productivity and policy