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SERC/Urban and Spatial Programme Discussion Paper

The Spatial Decay in Commuting Probabilities: Employment Potential vs. Commuting Gravity


We show that an employment potential capitalisation model, which establishes a spatial relationship between the price of land and the spatial distribution of employment through a transport matrix, produces estimates of the spatial decay in bilateral commuting probabilities that are very close to the decay observed in commuting data.


Gabriel M. Ahlfeldt and Nicolai Wendland

4 November 2015     Paper Number SERCDP0188

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This SERC/Urban and Spatial Programme Discussion Paper is published under the centre's Urban programme.