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Abstract:

CEP discussion paper
Agglomeration and Economic Development: Import Substitution versus Trade Liberalisation
Diego Puga and Anthony J. Venables
November 1997
Paper No' CEPDP0377:
Full Paper (pdf)

This paper analyses a model of economic development in which international inequalities in the location of industry and income are supported by the agglomeration of industry in a subset of countries. Economic development may not be a gradual process of convergence by all countries, but instead involve countries moving sequentially from the group of poor countries to the group of rich countries. The role of trade policy in promotion industrialization is studied. While both import substitution and unilateral trade liberalisation may be 'successful' in attracting industry, they attract different sectors and welfare levels are higher under trade liberalisation.